This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
20 Early Warning Signs That We Are Approaching A Global Economic Meltdown
Submitted by Michael Snyder of The Economic Collapse blog,
Have you been paying attention to what has been happening in Argentina, Venezuela, Brazil, Ukraine, Turkey and China? If you are like most Americans, you have not been. Most Americans don't seem to really care too much about what is happening in the rest of the world, but they should. In major cities all over the globe right now, there is looting, violence, shortages of basic supplies, and runs on the banks. We are not at a "global crisis" stage yet, but things are getting worse with each passing day. For a while, I have felt that 2014 would turn out to be a major "turning point" for the global economy, and so far that is exactly what it is turning out to be. The following are 20 early warning signs that we are rapidly approaching a global economic meltdown...
#1 The looting, violence and economic chaos that is happening in Argentina right now is a perfect example of what can happen when you print too much money...
For Dominga Kanaza, it wasn’t just the soaring inflation or the weeklong blackouts or even the looting that frayed her nerves.
It was all of them combined.
At one point last month, the 37-year-old shop owner refused to open the metal shutters protecting her corner grocery in downtown Buenos Aires more than a few inches -- just enough to sell soda to passersby on a sweltering summer day.
#2 The value of the Argentine Peso is absolutely collapsing.
#3 Widespread shortages, looting and accelerating inflation are also causing huge problems in Venezuela...
Economic mismanagement in Venezuela has reached such a level that it risks inciting a violent popular reaction. Venezuela is experiencing declining export revenues, accelerating inflation and widespread shortages of basic consumer goods. At the same time, the Maduro administration has foreclosed peaceful options for Venezuelans to bring about a change in its current policies.
President Maduro, who came to power in a highly-contested election last April, has reacted to the economic crisis with interventionist and increasingly authoritarian measures. His recent orders to slash prices of goods sold in private businesses resulted in episodes of looting, which suggests a latent potential for violence. He has put the armed forces on the street to enforce his economic decrees, exposing them to popular discontent.
#4 In a stunning decision, the Venezuelan government has just announced that it has devalued the Bolivar by more than 40 percent.
#5 Brazilian stocks declined sharply on Thursday. There is a tremendous amount of concern that the economic meltdown that is happening in Argentina is going to spill over into Brazil.
#6 Ukraine is rapidly coming apart at the seams...
A tense ceasefire was announced in Kiev on the fifth day of violence, with radical protesters and riot police holding their position. Opposition leaders are negotiating with the government, but doubts remain that they will be able to stop the rioters.
#7 It appears that a bank run has begun in China...
As China's CNR reports, depositors in some of Yancheng City's largest farmers' co-operative mutual fund societies ("banks") have been unable to withdraw "hundreds of millions" in deposits in the last few weeks. "Everyone wants to borrow and no one wants to save," warned one 'salesperson', "and loan repayments are difficult to recover." There is "no money" and the doors are locked.
#8 Art Cashin of UBS is warning that credit markets in China "may be broken". For much more on this, please see my recent article entitled "The $23 Trillion Credit Bubble In China Is Starting To Collapse – Global Financial Crisis Next?"
#9 News that China's manufacturing sector is contracting shook up financial markets on Thursday...
Wall Street was rattled by a key reading on China's manufacturing which dropped below the key 50 level in January, according to HSBC. A reading below 50 on the HSBC flash manufacturing PMI suggests economic contraction.
#10 Japanese stocks experienced their biggest drop in 7 months on Thursday.
#11 The value of the Turkish Lira is absolutely collapsing.
#12 The unemployment rate in France has risen for 9 quarters in a row and recently soared to a new 16 year high.
#13 In Italy, the unemployment rate has soared to a brand new all-time record high of 12.7 percent.
#14 The unemployment rate in Spain is sitting at an all-time record high of 26.7 percent.
#15 This year, the Baltic Dry Index experienced the largest two week post-holiday decline that we have ever seen.
#16 Chipmaker Intel recently announced that it plans to eliminate 5,000 jobs over the coming year.
#17 CNBC is reporting that U.S. retailers just experienced "the worst holiday season since 2008".
#18 A recent CNBC article stated that U.S. consumers should expect a "tsunami" of store closings in the retail industry...
Get ready for the next era in retail—one that will be characterized by far fewer shops and smaller stores.
On Tuesday, Sears said that it will shutter its flagship store in downtown Chicago in April. It's the latest of about 300 store closures in the U.S. that Sears has made since 2010. The news follows announcements earlier this month of multiple store closings from major department stores J.C. Penney and Macy's.
Further signs of cuts in the industry came Wednesday, when Target said that it will eliminate 475 jobs worldwide, including some at its Minnesota headquarters, and not fill 700 empty positions.
#19 The U.S. Congress is facing another deadline to raise the debt ceiling in February.
#20 The Dow fell by more than 170 points on Thursday. It is becoming increasingly likely that "the peak of the market" is now in the rear view mirror.
And I have not even mentioned the extreme drought that has caused the U.S. cattle herd to drop to a 61 year low or the nuclear radiation from Fukushima that is washing up on the west coast.
In light of everything above, is there anyone out there that still wants to claim that "everything is going to be okay" for the global economy?
Sadly, most Americans are not even aware of most of these things.
All over the country today, the number one news headline is about Justin Bieber. The mainstream media is absolutely obsessed with celebrity scandals, and so is a very large percentage of the U.S. population.
A great economic storm is rapidly approaching, and most people don't even seem to notice the storm clouds that are gathering on the horizon.
In the end, perhaps we will get what we deserve as a nation.
- 65077 reads
- Printer-friendly version
- Send to friend
- advertisements -


Only 20?
Here's #21, search term SUBPRIME in Google trends returns a chart suggesting increasing interest in SUBPRIME. Top regional interest is in Singapore, Malaysia, Austraila, India, Ireland, UK, US. Housing Bubble 2.0 is indeed close to popping if it hasn't already burst.
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=sub%20prime
I shouldn't be so critical, I use to complie data and it takes a lot of time. Maybe he stopped @ 20 to tie one on after he saw his 401K's YTD performance.
With recoveries like this, who needs depressions?!
This kid's Composition/Grammar is atrocious!
Contagion bitches.
Now this article comes from "'The Economic Collapse Blog", seriously a "blog" dedicated to economic collapse. That in itself is an indicator of the bias of the writer. show this too if you're neutral http://profit.ndtv.com/news/corporates/article-tcs-raises-hiring-target-...
http://www.equitybulls.com/admin/news2006/news_det.asp?id=133094
".... Occuring at the National Press Club in DC on January 14, 'The World in 2050: Talent Mobility and the Future of Jobs' event sought answers to the fundamental questions of why global businesses face significant challenges in finding qualified talent with millions of STEM positions emerging..."
But showing this, the full truth, would go against your agenda, no?
To be fair a lot of these 20 points are ridiculous to take as a measure of global crisis approaching.
Argentina has collapsed before.
Ukraine is just rioting, nobody gives a fuck.
Turkish Lira? Who cares?
Those things don't have any significant impact that can trigger a global economic meltdown...
I noticed that too, Gank.
My favorite construction is: "...soared to a brand new all-time record high...."
Wow dude. How many synonomous adjectives do you really need to express that thought?
Yeah but he's artfully referring to the 'brand new' all time record highs as opposed to the 'old' all time record highs. And the 'all time' record highs are far more important than the 'subset of time' record highs.
If you think his writing is bad,imagine my disdane at reading f20 of the weakest arguments ever for an economic collapse. This dribble isnt worthy of an 8th grader's homework assignment.
Who gives a fuck..It's notan english class. You take the time ad compile info and you write all the fucking articles you lazy dp shit. Your probably a fat fuck as well
wow
Somone is off his meds!
With what lies ahead, we're gonna wish we could party like it's 1999
A great economic storm is rapidly approaching, and most people don't even seem to notice the storm clouds that are gathering on the horizon. In the end, perhaps we will get what we deserve as a nation.
Except that "we" will "carry on" bitching to the end.
Que sera sera...
When the sheeple rolled over as the banking cartel and political elite raliroaded the fools and allowed unsecured bank debt holders to use public money to bail them out and all those corportate bonuses based on ridiculous leverage over a decade of greed, crimes, and lies needed to be paid out despite bankrupting their companies, they and we will indeed "keep bitching"
Its only in the years ahead as the disparity from this heist continues to escalate and the fat fools are unable to lazily live off the system in the comfort they have been used to, that we may get those clouds for real.
We have been in an economic shit storm since the 1960's.
Here's #22, dozens of lists with reasons to worry are popping up everywhere.
Snyderman has been making 20 signs of doom lists for a while now. Hold on, my Snydey senses are tingling. I feel another list coming.
increasingly loans are becoming subprime but are called out as prime. dumbed down loans match dumbed down people. their back is covered as we found out in 07-08. so wtf. sign and live for the day. as i watch the markets correct i have a sic feeling that this finally getting to a point that dawn an age feudlalism-empires desparate, empire deplete of leadership based on sound priciples of the cycles of life and sound money(of course). like, fucken - eh man, cant you see the obvious?
all, activity financial is running on thin air-ready to drop to a point that beckons choas. a system based on non-productive assets, like a home built at the base of a volcano or a home in the flood zone or a home built on sand.
are humans this dumb? must be, plan, plan, plan b = find a place away from major population centers. find a few like minded and meet regularily to tweek your plan. go into detail, as major roads will be closed. think martial law and i am stranded. if you think this is far fetched you are probably in debt and feel trapped, rightfully so. use this echo bubble to rid yourself of your excess real estate. it is your achiles heal. determine what you are willing to fight for and the rest is flight.
from that location the rest falls into place. cue H.Horseman for basic starting point of a new game...
a heart felt thanks to the most savy posters for your many insights...
We either have private property or we have slavery.
Prior to this great episode in American freedom, the world was run this way, as a feudal system. But when this government was created, it was created to support the market system. This government was to be limited; it was intended that the private system would grow and grow, that a greater and greater prosperity would ensue, and that the government would come along to protect the rights that provided that growth.
But when the International-bankers founded their private Fed cartel and gained control of America’s money supply and, thus, all commerce, suddenly it was the government that was going to grow and grow and the private sector was going to provide the value for the new tyrant. And thus began debt slavery as the bankers and the corporations around them began depriving the people of their property.
The reason for America is private property, so people can have something. We are not on this earth to be slaves. Without private property we are slaves. It has been proven a million times over that the opposite of private property is slavery. If you don’t own anything, somebody owns you. It can be the socialists or it can be the Maos.
And the answer is to take them out and hang them.
“How can a man speak freely if there is no spot on which he and his audience have the right to stand? How can he practice his religion if he has no right to own a religious edifice, or to his own person? How is a free press to exist if the materials are not in private ownership? With state ownership, nothing can be done except by command or permission. A slave is under command and permission.
“He is not free.” -- Isabel Patterson, The God of the Machine
+100, new game. Excellen insight.
The Rothschilds were involved in the American Revolution. They got the soldiers from Hesse for King George. They received a commission for each soldier supplied AND a portion of the life insurance premium when one died.
We can surmise they were involved in fomenting the revolution as well, because of the huge amount of profit they would make.
Perhaps they were also lending money to King George and charging huge amounts of interest, which would be the reason King George raised taxes. And the excessive taxation led to the revolution.
At any rate, making it a free country allowed those who originally enslaved us the freedom to come to America and enslave us all over again.
And what could be easier. The average American has no 5 year plan, nor 10 year, nor 100 year plan, nor 1000 year plan, as the Rothschilds do. The average American's plan, if he plans at all, consists of drinking beer on the weekend and watching a game on TV.
That the Rothschilds have at least 100 year plans can be shown by their comments to the Tsar at the time of the war of 1812. The Tsar did not want a central bank in Russia run by the Rothschilds. The Rothschilds controlled the Bank of England, and there by controlled England. They engineered the war of 1812 to force a central bank upon America. The Tsar came in on the side of America to prevent the Rothschilds from establishing a central bank in America. [Why are we not taught these things in school?]
This so enraged the Rothschilds that they vowed to kill the Tsar and all his family. It took them 100 years to do it, but they did. This demonstrates that all things are possible if you have a plan.
"are humans this dumb"
that's what the animals are asking
I've come to the conclusion the only serious economic activity going on in this country is car purchases. Everywhere I go people are driving new high end vehicles. At my work, people who make less than half what I do are driving Mercedes and Lexuses. I'm astounded. We have no budget for a new car and the idea of a 97 month car loan tells us others really can't afford a car either. People either can't do math, are pathetically stupid or are drugged up to the point they can't perceive reality.
Miffed;-)
True. I work in costrucion and the ony "private indstry" rojects we do are new car dealerships and big ones at that.
I would have to agree. I noticed the same thing here, and it was the same in the runup to 2008.
In 1994 the Mexicans were stealing 10,000 cars a month out of Los Angeles. The rate of theft has increased since then. Multiply that by the number of cities they have conquered. Also add to that all the rest of the stuff they steal. That is a huge amount of economic activity. Just welfare fraud by Mexicans is over 500 Billion a year.
The muslims are worse though.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_kKkY5EpVpY
Plan now. They plan to exterminate us.
This is something I am so confused about. Western women can boast they have the best lives anywhere in the world. The right to education, rights to abortion, freedom to pursue any job or profession. They cannot be beaten under the auspices of a religion. Yet, they are eerily quiet when a very strict religion that would quickly subjugate them if given the chance starts to infiltrate their world. I have several Persian women friends who are fighting for women's rights in the Middle East and are horrified by their tales. Some of their compatriots in Iran have been beaten for days in prison for defying oppressive treatment. I am amazed of their courage and wish I could see some of it here in American women. I guess when you lead a life of privilege for so long you become lazy and complacent.
Miffed;-)
Let's not forget that Americans, as a group, are fat, lazy and duuuuuuuuumb.
And thanks to outcome based education, everyone in America now gets a trophy.
That's my main gripe about the OLYMPICS. EVERYBODY deserves a medal for doing their PERSONAL BEST!
Personal best??
Mariel Hemingway and Patrice Donnelly.. Enjoy.
http://www.pornhub.com/view_video.php?viewkey=1889354017
two naked women
and a plastic pelican
what's not to love
the tiny tits.
Yes, I was expecting some pelican-infested orgy, not a meeting of the local chapter of the IBTC.
The smaller the tits, the tighter the pussy.
I always hated the shit out of that kinda crap in grade school. Fuck personal bests I want to win damnit!
The worst manifestation of this "no losers" mantra might be the Special Olympics. Have any of the (apparently) guilt-ridden Special Olympics organizers ever paused to consider whether or not running races, leaping hurdles, throwing shot, long jumping, etc. makes a mentally retarded child (or adult) less retarded, or conveys any meaningful benefit to the "winners" of such silliness?
Seems to me the purpose of such exhibitions is to make (generally leftist) moral busybodies feel better about the fact that retarded people exist. Special Olympics certainly doesn't help the participants, whether they did their personal best or not.
You are a cunt. A disease infested, pus ridden cunt. Your shallow perspective and obvious failed experiences at real human interaction reek of 'second semester, freshman year finance major', so basically a cunt. Welcome to Fight Club, dick. Keep the comments sophisticated and if you can't? "Come and get one in the yarbles, if you have any yarbles, you eunuch jelly thou."
a worrld without compassion is how we got in this mess to begin with. "i gots to get mine and fuck everyone else!" we saw this on wall street and in DC. now, people who are fed up of that mess are preparing (get theirs) and all of the others (sheep) can get fucked. ironic. others here have shown the way; get local, get your tribe together, work together to survive.
Let me guess, you came in last place at the Special Olympics, didn't you?
It's OK, you're still a very very special person. You did a good job!
CUNT.
(until people are too stupid to figure out how to make trophies).
Bill Maher, left wing loney comedian who I detest, has it correct:
'The only thing exceptional about Americans is their stupidity'
Sad but true.
As evidenced by those who quote him?.
This article is way off. I just watched CNBC and none other than Don Luskin assured everyone that Argentina, Turkey, South Africa, etc, currency issues dont mean anything! Man, are we in trouble. Best argument for not listening to that station I have ever seen.
Kudlow: "free market capitalism will overcome!" And then: "but I'm worried the Fed will do something stupid like taper More at their next meeting!" So sad, he doesnt even realize when he contradicts himself in two sentences. And all of his conclusions begin with stating the "facts" that "Europe is improving, the Us is growing, and China is going great!" The man will require potty training in the next year or so.
"trading dollars for gold." everyone here should love this stuff. there really is a point where you're buying a country.
what would make me laugh is a rate of return on a savings account.
then I'll know the world has come to an end.
in the meantime "you'll know when everyone gets called to go over to someplace"...and, yeah...I'm totally serious. There is a point where this becomes "all too real all too quickly."
one week? ten days? in the world of "false flags" I'm counting about 200 of them right now.
"take your pick for the drop down menu, sir."
and to me "that's what's different this time." I know this won't be well received but near as I can tell there really is no going back this time. we've gone from "arsenal of democracy" to "Gods of War" as a result of being "successful." (meaning in the policy sense...being "saved" from the Great Depression as it were.) The old saw in history is "World War I was a surprise but World War II was not."
Again...we'll see...but these "affairs" can move very quickly once it comes time to "appropriate" things...and there is nothing left to steal.
I say again "short this market at your peril."
You a banker too?
Krudlow never recovered from his cokehead years ... he still thinks it's 1985.
He's a relic from the cold war era mentality. I used to watch his show ocassionally until the ramp up to Syria began. Krudlow was beating the war drum harder than John McCain is you can believe that. Fuck him and the MIC.
Saw the same shit. Kudlow is so out of touch and living in a bubble. He treats those govt numbers like scripture , but they are all distorted. He is right about free markets leading us to a better life , but the game is rigged by the elites. They have all the cards , make the rules , and rig the game. The rest of us have no hope, but we do have lots of bullets.
Kudlow is just like the RINOs. He uses a bunch of free market code words but if you listen closely he's just another statist.
Stopped listening to this ass clown when his contradictions began to out number his age. That and when he dissed Ron Paul. And Don Luskin will paint whatever story they want him to. I was always attracted to the opening line: "free market capitalism is still the best path to prosperity", but the show has become and aspires to anything but that principle.
AND #23: Justin Bieber got arrested.
Surely that fits somewhere.
Read the entire article before posting a comment.
It was a joke you dumbass
Apparently, you didn't read the entire article either! If you had, you would have seen that the author himself had already made the Justin Beiber joke.
Dumbass.
that list is impressive in a very BAD way! YIKES!
The truly scary part is that this list merely scratches the surface. Society is devolving into anarchy all around the world. Looks like the Mayans were right, just off by a year or so.
No, not anarchy, something much worse...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_Qpy0mXg8Y
Its a matter of timing.......
Yep. Its not IF, its WHEN
In simpler times this would be called a depression.
Decades from now, maybe the word 'recovery' will be as taboo as the word 'depression' is today.
"Bill, tell me how you're feeling. I dunno, Doc, I just can't seem to get out of my own way. I sleep a lot, I feel tired all the time, I'm angry and sad a lot and nothing seems to interest me any more. Bill, as your doctor, I have to say that you're exhibiting all the classic symptoms of recovery. Is it serious, Doc? Well, Bill, if you keep on going like this you might just decide to kill yourself because of your acute recovery." Etc., etc.
There are two kinds of people in this world. Those addicted to Substance D, and those who haven't tried it.
From: A Scanner Darkly
No my friend.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wi4W2ATGAs
maybe the doctor can prescribe some medical marijuana to assist his recovery
Timmmmmmmmmmmmmmmberrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!
How many times have we seen signs the collapse was coming? Im sure TPTB will put another bandaid on this and it's back to business as usual
All they have to do is just keep printing money and giving it to their friends.
TPTB can continue to put a happy face on it and lie to the people to keep up the facade, but when society begins to devolve into anarchy, no amount of rhetoric is going to stop the rioting.
Not the rioting, the mountains of heads the Muslims will cut off. Typically when they take over, piles of our heads are so high, a man on a horse cannot see over the top of them.
Of all the Muslim countries that now exist, all of them were previously our race.
http://pn14.info/?p=90006
http://www.barenakedislam.com/2013/09/16/syria-obama-armed-fsa-rebels-wa...
http://boudicabpi.boudica.us/?p=5458
action starts at 5:10
Over 270 million of our race beheaded by Muslims since 622 AD
Plan now or you will be exterminated by muslims.
They'll up the printing another $40 billion a month to give the financial sector another 6 months of pillaging
Michael Synder "101 reason Jeebuz fucking xmas WILL fly out of pigs arse this week"
As soon as I saw this title '20 reasons the sky is falling", I had to see the author, I figure Schiff bitch, but no synder, didn't ZH just dump a synder shit on us yesterday? :(
*
Just one comment for SYNDER bitch the CHINESE stock market is sky-rocket while the USA heads to the toilet.
Get real, Synder is as close to JEEBUS as Hitler is to Judaism.
*
There is not one item on this list, that hasn't been already posted by TYLER this week, so this is just an attempt to stir up the toilet bowl.
Funny though he's got 4-5 bash CHINA, and CHINA is going to the MOON, and USA is going down,... so we know a fact that this BIEBER story and "LOOK at CHINA", is major MSM distraction, for a black-swan in the USA.
Give it a rest. China has plenty of problems, which have been outlined here and elsewhere. They are creating way too much money, and all the numbers they put out are bullshit, just like everyone else's. and lets not forget those 10s of millions of extra males they have there with no hope of a wife. That does not done well for any society.
In rural CHINA there was never a one child limit, only in the city's.
In China, men go to Laos, Myanmar, or Vietnam everyday for wives; where there are a surlplus of women. Nabbing a CHINESE man in LAOS in like winning the lottery for LAOS villagers.
Human females in ASIA are readily available.
In INDIA human life is so cheap that CONDOM, costs more than a woman.
*
My point was that the 20 items had already given spoon fed to us earlier this week in other tyler-posts.
Yes, and without the various Thai and Ukrainain bride site ads ZH would become unprofitable for its shadowy new owners.
They need misery so these girls will be desperate to put up with a fat Yank slug.
ZH is more about propoganda than profit. It all depends on your point of view.
shut up.
what ? you need silence to hump the maid?
time honored solution: much old blood must be shed, and much new blood generated.
Went out and continued prepping today. Usually means I'm completely 180 out from what is occurring. I bought every off the shelf medication X 5 plus my regular off the wall purchase of 80 rolls of TP, the majority of which i store in the basement. Love going through the line with Tampax and monostat 3, Some day I'll be correct that TSHTF but for now I just look like a nutcase.
The bankers might be able to distort reality for a while, but they will not be able to cover up the epidemic of tragedy that is setting up house off the California coast.
Do you mean Fukushitty, the drought, 10% sales tax, disarmament? Pick your poison.
in californicate situational awareness will equel home prices...
Naw, lots of us do it. Just make sure that the people who see you loading up don't know where you live else you are Fd when TSHTF. ;-) PS Cheapest toilet paper cases on Amazon Prime these days. If you don't care about downy softness, it saves a trip especially with free 2 day shipping.
Two-ply or not two-ply, that is the question...
William,
As Reads: Mein Mutti
Should Read: Meine Mutti
Feminine order ... in Geman?
Great art !!!
Wrong. Mein Mutti as the subjective.
You are both wrong. If it should be changed at all, it would be "Mein Führer" that suits best. I am sure williambanzai knows that, and I am glad he did it like he did.
Hold on to your precious metals and guns folks, it's going to be a wild ride!!!
Don't forget about the power of 'acquisition' if you dont have the funds. Start your list now. Only target assholes though. I have 2 in mind.
LOLOL!
That might just be the gayest nazi since Will Ferrell in "The Producers." I liked the orginial better though. :(
I think the wild ride has begun. Right here in my neighborhood a kid said his truck "failed" and he crashed into a home. The day before, a lady down the street chopped up her boyfriend into parts.
We never have any trouble here. There must be a zeitgeist on the loose.
There must be a zeitgeist on the loose.
haha, most excellent way of describing the phenomenon.
#21. Minus 318 today. LMAO!
Once again all of this just proves how stupid humankind is.
On a positive note just pretend all of this is a movie. Why would you want to see a boring movie. Hell.......you may get to kill people, have people trying to kill you, blow shit up, rape your neighbor and who knows what else before this over. Embrace this.........these are exciting times. LMAO.
I'm in Texas. I hear gunfire most days. I figure my neighbors will take care of any threats before they get near me.
Same in my corner of Arkansas.
I hear machine gun fire and mortars fairly often and have large helicopters fly over the house, but then again a large military base is a half mile away.
Everything is fuckin fine.......JPM still has enough money to pay trolls to scurry amongst us here at ZH and downvote everyone.
INVEST, BITCHEZ!!!!!!!!
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-to-invest-in-the-hottest-stock-sect...
Industry-momentum portfolios — which jump into and out of various sector funds in an attempt to profit from those performing best at any given time — had a very good 2013.
In fact, nine of the 10 most profitable mutual-fund portfolios last year — out of the more than 250 monitored by the Hulbert Financial Digest — pursued such a strategy, also referred to as “industry rotation.” These nine produced an average gain of 41%, in contrast to a 32% return for the S&P 500, assuming dividends were reinvested.
Unlike many other strategies that lead the performance rankings in a given year, only to lose much or all of it in the next, many industry-momentum portfolios sport impressive long-term returns as well. Six of the nine that ranked highly in 2013 have been around for at least a decade, and each of them outperformed the S&P 500 over this longer period as well.
Of course, not all industry-momentum strategies beat the market. But enough of them do over the long term to warrant a closer look.
Though momentum strategies are quite popular on Wall Street, many investors who follow them focus on individual stocks as opposed to industries. They constantly reshuffle their portfolios to own those stocks that recently have performed the best and shun those that have performed the worst — an approach that can lead to a large number of transactions and associated costs.
This focus on individual stocks appears to be largely unnecessary, according to Tobias Moskowitz, a finance professor at the University of Chicago. He says investors can capture much, if not most, of the “momentum effect” among larger-cap stocks by focusing on industries rather than individual stocks.
In other words, the bulk of the outperformance that typically comes from buying high-momentum stocks comes from their being in industries that are themselves beating the market.
The investment implication of this research doesn’t mean you should invest in just the one or two top-performing industry funds, says James Lowell, editor of an industry-momentum advisory service called Fidelity Sector Investor. Such an approach would be riskier than most investors would be willing tolerate, since it involves putting all your eggs in just one or two baskets, he says.
Lowell’s top industry-momentum strategy, which he calls the “Technology Plus” portfolio, is in first place for 10-year returns among mutual-fund strategies tracked by the Hulbert Financial Digest, with a 14% annualized return in contrast to the S&P 500’s 7.5%. “Diversification is a core principle of any great momentum model,” he says.
Each of the top industry-momentum strategists constructs his model portfolio to be more diversified than would be the case if he owned only the industry-specific funds with the best recent performance. On average they recommend that their model portfolios contain six separate funds. And they favor funds that tend to move independently of each other.
That means, for example, that they wouldn’t recommend owning both an energy fund and an energy-services fund, even if both were at the top of the rankings for recent performance.
Another way to reduce the risks otherwise associated with a pure momentum strategy is to allocate to it only a portion of the funds you otherwise have invested in stocks. Lowell, for example, recommends you allocate no more than 10% of your stock funds to his industry-momentum strategy.
Most of the top-performing industry-momentum strategists also favor actively managed industry funds over exchange-traded funds that track an industry benchmark. This isn’t because all active industry funds beat their benchmarks. Instead, according to Lowell, it is because a good manager has a better chance of beating his benchmark when his industry itself is hot.
KEEP SHILLING, MW.
Zzzz same old doom and gloom clowns been saying for years.
True. But it has an equal probability of being correct as the folks that parade up on CNBC day after day.
The sunny skies, rainbows and puppy dogs financial reports are on TV ... look there for what you want.
I suspect that this article must be part 1 of many articles because in my books there are something like 200 signs of an approaching economic meltdown.
methinks that Fukushima will have slightly more than a little impact on the imminent Global Economic Collapse, as well.
But all in and at the Top, its the banking system, the irresponsible incompetence and self agenda of the Terrorists (politicians) that appears to be now irreversibly trending towards the abyss.
It is not Power that brings Evil to the Tyranny of wretched "government" but those that fear the loss of that Power,
where, Terrorism is a poltical tool for those who wish to grasp, gain, increase and hold Power.
The Year of the Horse cometh.
Ho hum
The cost of living in U.S. is cheaper than Argentina... explain me that ...
Buy your pesos outside Argentina at the unofficial rate.
say what bob ?
i paid just over 100 dollars in property taxes for the whole year..
1 kg of " lomo" is at $5.
yea yea tvs are twice as much , but i do not consider those cost of living, since i can buy a projector abroad for example.
i could go on forever ...
conclusión ARGENtinA is super fucking cheap when in crisis.
soon would be the time to buy LAND.
Just don't try to buy "THE LAND". If you know what's good fer ya.
"The mainstream media is absolutely obsessed with celebrity scandals ...". No, the mainstream media is doing exactly what it is being told to do by an increasingly panicked TPTB who understand that if they can't keep people distracted, all those guns are going to come out of the closet, onto the streets, and then into their gated communities. And BTW - for those who like showing off their wealth - I wouldn't be driving a Mercedes, BMW, Porsche or Jaguar anywhere for the next few years, even with body armor and runflat tires. Luckily for me, all I have is an eight year old truck, and a perfectly good bicycle gets me anywhere I need to go.
Everybody panic!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DF1QgxftDtg
Don't panic! Use these: http://www.mostly-harmless.de/joo.html
Don't leave home without them.
"It appears that a bank run has begun in China."
By design with the help of the US federal Reserve banksters and the government.
The US will collapse China's economy before China collapses the US.
World-wide economic wars. PhDs of the US Federal Reserve vs Chinese central bankers.
You think its Fed vs Chinese central bank. Thats funny.
Its more like Fed+Chinese Central Bak+BoJ+ECB vs Everyone else.
Ill give you a hint who wins...not us.
There aren't enough lamp posts for all of us but there are plenty for them.
More like this ... all the PTB that sits in a room and agrees that there must be a one world government but then who?
The mob say's we can have my whop friends run the cop-shop?
...
It goes on, and then somebody say's "I have a friend that's a Jewish Lawyer, he can write the law",... ok
Then finally to banking, "Who is going to run the money?", ... Shit, we'll have to hire the Jews too, who else can we trust?
*
In summary, CHINA, RUSSIA, JAPAN, ... its all theatre, they're all going to HIRE the BEST to do their work, and the best minds in paper-money, and LAW are jewish minds.
*
I used to joke when younger, are you going to hire a gang banger to be your doctor? or a beaner to be your accountant?
The PTB always have and always will hire Zionist Right Wing Jewish Lawyers to count the money and make the LAW.
Do Zionists rule the world? Fuck no, they're just wage slaves like the rest of you.
No, it is the B for IS vs. everyone else.
What, no US real estate numbers, residential or commercial?
Had a beer with a couple of friends in a local pub today. Mentioned that 32 % OF 8 million mortgages were 90 days or more delinquent. Silence.
So what was the shrugged response. Employment--nothing even though I knew several were not working. Bar tender, give me another beer.
Suggesteded by analogy, if a big swell was coming in the ocean and that maybe ya ought to try like hell to get there to ride it in ar stroll out and before the wave broke, dive under it. No response.
Well why not just stand here and let it break on me and drill me into the sand; basically that is what the mericans people are doing.
Incredible that most of the sheep are doing nothing to protect themselves. This is going to be far worse then I could ever imagine===worldwide!
Milestones
2 million are deliquent, 32% of which haven't made a payment in years. 8 million are still "underwater".
All the strange down voting is surely a sign of things to come.
It is only a matter of time before the down votes to reasonable comments become a deluge.
Comrade Silverman Pushes to Outlaw Masturbation (for men)
Stop worrying about the Global Market Meltdown. The end is near for all of us..
/Sarc
TPTB will fix this crisis too. Be long chewing gum and baling wire!
JFK once said that "the time to fix the roof is when the sun is shining".
Well, the sun is going behind the clouds. And storms and hurricanes usually last a few days. You don't have any home-owner's insurance, America, so let's hope your roof doesn't leak too bad.
JFK had many bright ideas that would have made America a greater democracy and free market nation, less dependent on the military industrial complex, thus a bullet in the back of the head was greeted with great joy by America's elites. As today, their puppet Obama talks all liberal, while overseeing things like the TPP, a charter to enshrine international corporate control. Or to spy on every living soul on the planet 24/7. The Black Bush is worse than the white Bush. America will never be allowed to elect a man like Kennedy again, they will get corporate military industrial complex puppet men like Obama the stooge of the elites. A fine target for right wing hate, while he works to make America a plantation economy with the 1% as overlords. The Republican versus Democrat hoax is all fake, they all work for the same boss.
Except JFK was the one that got America involved in Vietnam that broke us financially. And he campaigned on spending more on the military, look up the "missle gap" he brought up in the debate with Nixon.
I get so tired of the St. JFK bullshit, he was a shitty President that was killed by a Left-Wing Marxist.
Jeepers:
I get so tired of the stories about it being a lone communist gunman.
In sniper school they take guys to that site to teach 'triangulated shooting', the MARINES consider the JFK shooting as the finest example of what a team of PRO's can do in all of SNIPING history.
JFK is texbook classic of how coordinated teams of trained snipers can walk away from a kill, and never get caught.
*
Just stating trivia from when I went to sniper school, when they taught us 'coordinated-triangulated shooting' this was the preferred real-world classic for all to model.
Essentially 3 guys at 120 degree's shoot, with perfect synchronization ( time ), its take months of training.
The team would have had to drive many times down the road in front of the depository to get the timing just right, meaning a lot of trial runs would have had to taken place in the preceding days.
If you ever see any raw 1963's newspapers from the first 1-3 days of the shooting there 100's of witnesses that saw shooters from the classic sites, but by the 3rd day the entire MSM was all on the same shooter, ... OSWALD.
sniper school.... lol you are so full of shit.
Esencial three guys ? why three?
My father also went to Dallas. Studied the subject for years,
His opinión, Six people aimed at him , not all shot
2 in the building Oswald was in.
2 behind the Fence directly in front of the car, one left one right.
1 in the gutter, front left of car, " killing shot"
1 last resort guy,"driver".
You still readin him?
Agreed... JFK was a philandering SOB, but he had a sound mind when it came to monetary policy and the subversives lurking about him and his brother. Needless to say, these two nuisances of the PTB were quickly put in their places.
And no, JC... they were not killed by Left-Winged-Marxists. It was the money power located at 32º03'52.84N 34º46'40.24E who were the executors. Let the wise speak only of that which they know.
Jack:
Green arrow,however,it was the front of the head not the back.
Exactly. They explained all of this in the X-Files.
Yep, and JFK also advocated "NATIONAL SERVICE", another HITLER volunteer work program for youth.
"Not ask what your country can do for you, ask how you can get on your knees and serve your country" - JFK
Teddy Roosevelet (USA prez) said it better in 1907 "There is exists a secret government behind the one you see that controls all"
I remain convinced that was why he was shot on the campaign train. The same as my hero, Andrew Jackson, two shots attempted in the Capitol during the bank crisis. Jackson had to be restrained from attacking the shooter.
Teddy was part of it, he ought to know. He was the straw man that drained enough votes from McKinley to get Woodrow Wilson elected so Wilson could promote and help to enact the agenda of the elite shadow government.
WW was an evil stupid, "useful idiot" of the nascent NWO.
The further into the past you go the brighter the sun. Incremental fixes shoudl have been done periodically for decades. And for all these decades anytime anyone mentioned small adjustments they were shoutted down and demonized.
And now here we are.
....."they were shouted down and demonized.".....by the Demoncraps.
the house of cards in going down, enjoy
We are all going to be taken to heaven.
YeeeeeeeeeHaaaaaaaaaaa Bitchez.
xcept bankers, lawyers and chicago politicians.
#21 Recently, the greatest attack since 9/11 occurred: The soul of America targeted! Facebook.
A Princeton University study, released to the public without permission, declared that AmeriZuckbook, may decline by 80% in short order.
What did WE, AmeriBook, do in response?
Our Fatherland, Facebook Inc., founded under great duress in 2004, righted our patrionage!
Princeton and Facebook. Face to face!
What a stellar battle of greatness! Princeton, around since the 1700's, against Faceberg. circa '04
Rename this country already. THE FACEBOOK of STATES. Your Face....Booked as revenue...
Wal-Mart is firing 2,300 people at Sam's Club.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/wal-marts-cuts-2-300-234341599.html