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How Rothschild Sees The Future

Tyler Durden's picture





 

Rothschild has identified four different scenarios that, in their view, are the most likely to occur. The series of scenarios for GDP growth and inflation in the main western economies, Japan and China may guide investor thinking but their somewhat ominous conclusion is worth bearing in mind: "Further monetary 'experiments' are becoming less probable. However, significant imbalances and risks persist. This is the reason why we have left the size (probability) of our depression scenario unchanged."

Notably, equities are not well supported by current valuations, while monetary policy is limited by high debt levels and interest rates that are already close to zero...exposing equities to a potentially sharp correction."

 

Setting the scene

The scenarios presented here are intended to illustrate our economic outlook over the next few years.

What this is

A series of scenarios for GDP growth and inflation in the main western economies, Japan and China.

A simplification. The global economy is complex and multi-dimensional, and can be represented in many different ways. While narrowing in on just growth and inflation involves some simplification, we believe it is still worthwhile – most other economic variables and policy actions can be covered in relation to their impact on growth and inflation.

A guide to our thinking. The scenarios flow from our investment analysis. They are intended to illustrate the thinking that shapes the way we have built our clients’ portfolios. They can also help identify some of the main investment risks and opportunities.

What this isn’t

A series of detailed forecasts. In any exercise like this, there is always a danger of giving a false sense of certainty. We have kept our comments at a fairly high level, providing a sketch of what we see as the most likely outcomes.

Something set in stone. Our analysis evolves over time: the scenarios provide a snapshot of our outlook in 2014.

Something prescriptive. The scenarios are mainly a tool for communication. While they are valuable in our investment decisionmaking, they are not something we use rigidly.

What has changed?

Since we last published this report, the global economy has continued to recover, driven by the US. Although growth remains weak, conditions in the eurozone have also improved. Meanwhile, Japan appears to be making progress with efforts to stimulate its economy and China seems to have avoided a sharp slowdown.

Improving global economic data suggests to us that the world could begin to move away from the current situation of sluggish growth and loose monetary policies. Further monetary “experiments” are becoming less probable. However, significant imbalances and risks persist. This is the reason why we have left the size (probability) of our depression scenario unchanged.

Four main scenarios

We have identified four different scenarios that, in our view, are the most likely to occur.

For each scenario, the position of the bubble shows the combination of growth and inflation that we expect to see in the next one to three years.

The size of the bubble illustrates our view on the likelihood of this scenario occurring – this is subjective, and is intended just to illustrate our thinking.

Growth is expressed in relation to the potential for each country. For example, a growth rate of 4% would be low for China but very high for Europe. Similarly, inflation relates to a country’s individual inflation target.

We have adjusted the size of the bubbles to reflect our view that conditions in the global economy should continue to improve in 2014. We believe the world could begin to move away from our core “muddling through” scenario towards “economic renaissance” and that the “new monetary world” situation has become less likely.

(click image for huge legible version)

Implications for returns from asset classes

The table summarises the expected returns of the major asset classes under each of our four main scenarios.

The circles in the boxes show the expected return over the next three years, relative to the long-term expected returns*. Light green means higher than long-term expected returns*, while light red means lower.

These figures are an illustration of our thinking. They are based on an informed interpretation of our fundamental valuation models.

(click image for huge legible version)

Our conclusions

In most scenarios equities are the most attractive asset class. But valuation support is limited, exposing equities to a potentially sharp correction.

1. Continue to favour equities

We continue to favour equities despite their demanding valuations:

  • Abundant liquidity and repressed interest rates in our “muddling through” and “new monetary world” scenarios continue to support equities.
  • Improved earnings prospects in our economic renaissance” scenario should also boost equity prices despite the prospect of higher interest rates.
  • This pattern applies particularly to the US market. It is the most overvalued region but prices could continue to rise if the “economic renaissance” scenario becomes increasingly likely.

2. Remain cautious on bonds

  • We are avoiding long-maturity nominal bonds because they would be negatively affected by a normalisation of monetary policy in our “economic renaissance” scenario.
  • Within fixed income we continue to like shorter-maturity corporate bonds. This part of the market has two attractive features. First, there is still a decent yield advantage relative to government bonds. Second, the short maturity would offer some protection against rising interest rates, especially in our “economic renaissance” scenario.

3. Maintain exposure to real assets

  • The still sizeable probability of our “new monetary world” scenario lies behind our ongoing exposure to real assets such as gold, real estate and possibly inflation-linked bonds.
  • We are also confident that over an economic cycle equities continue to offer protection against inflation.
  • Additionally, we are focusing on hedge funds that have the flexibility to adjust to an unexpected increase in inflation.

4. Maintain our portfolio hedges

Although we believe the “depression” scenario is the least likely, its impact would be so disruptive that it must be considered within our investment strategy. Notably, equities are not well supported by current valuations, while monetary policy is limited by high debt levels and interest rates that are already close to zero.

Therefore, we include hedging strategies that can limit the potential losses from our portfolios:

  • We have a sizeable allocation to hedge funds that can provide significant protection in a bear market or which are not affected by movements in equity markets and therefore provide true diversification.
  • Additionally, we have direct equity hedges usually in the form of out-of-the-money put options on broad equity indices.
 


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Fri, 01/31/2014 - 16:59 | Link to Comment Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

Hopefully through the bars of a jail cell

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:08 | Link to Comment AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

So this report favors the economic renaissance scenario. I would imagine the Rothschilds see tmeselves as the New Medici's.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:18 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Its good to know that the Rothkids are looking out for the rest of us.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:34 | Link to Comment Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Rockefeller version: Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

edit: one of the possible events in the four scenarios they give is

"Islamic Terror Networks Thrive in Latin America (2016)"

I guess anything is possible in the future.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:09 | Link to Comment steelhead23
steelhead23's picture

It would appear that the Rothschilds are better at reality than are the Rockefellers.  While I too think there is a danger of violence emanating from south of the border affecting life in the US, the likeliest cause would appear to be competition with the CIA for the US drug market and the dollars being a primary dealer bring than any sillyness about Allah or Jihad.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:35 | Link to Comment Citxmech
Citxmech's picture

Rothchilds' strategy in a nutshell:

Step 1: Whatever it takes;

Step 2: Profit!

Repeat forever.

The fact that their assessment lists "renaissance" as a possibility above "depression" shows that this exercise was merely a tongue-in-cheek method of seeing who is paying attention by listening for the ensuing laughter.  

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:39 | Link to Comment Citxmech
Citxmech's picture

And regarding their possible scenarios - wtf is that bullshit on accepting higher inflation as the cost of growth?  Seriously?  

Sure, we can boost the hell out of GDP just by adding zeros onto the world's currencies. . . 

JFC.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:14 | Link to Comment jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

i see nothing about sabotaging the superbowl...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:50 | Link to Comment Bad Attitude
Bad Attitude's picture

I think I'll stick with my current investment strategy of food and ammunition.

Forward (over the cliff)!

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 04:36 | Link to Comment limit_less
limit_less's picture

Rothchilds' strategy in a nutshell:

Anything could happen and it will probably be good for gold

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:36 | Link to Comment Four chan
Four chan's picture

prison planet.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 22:57 | Link to Comment GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

Red Rover Red Rover

Bob Lazar's comin' over

So honey clear the airstrip and light up that stove

By Jove, I think it's started; OH YEAH

Escape from the Prison Planet!

-Clutch

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:36 | Link to Comment ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

Their hopes and dreams rest on personal income and cap ex.  So ... That really only leaves the depression as the more likely.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:12 | Link to Comment Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

======================FUCK THE ROTHSCHILDS==========================

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:47 | Link to Comment scrappy
scrappy's picture

Daddy, What the side of that balloon say?

Trial sweetie, trial.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:41 | Link to Comment Pseudo Anonym
Pseudo Anonym's picture

not a chance

the Rothschilds see tmeselves as the New Medici's

i am staying the fuck away from this thread, will have a good weekend and see you all boys next week.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:55 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Likewise, no fucking way those that are growing richer and taking control of more resources are going to want this to stop. No way liabilities can be funded if interest rates rise.

the system breaks and the world goes to war.

same as it ever was...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:53 | Link to Comment Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Medicis?  Don't you mean Borgias?

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:34 | Link to Comment Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

Don't listen to him. He's just another Savonarola

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:04 | Link to Comment The Heart
The Heart's picture

"Medicis?  Don't you mean Borgias?"

Naw, we got a new handle for these evil things. They now be known as, the rottenchildkillers.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:08 | Link to Comment Aaaarghh
Aaaarghh's picture

long drop, sort stop

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:09 | Link to Comment caShOnlY
caShOnlY's picture

I'll take depression for 10 ounces, Alex

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:12 | Link to Comment KnightTakesKing
KnightTakesKing's picture

 depression...

According the the Rothschild's, you should be buying government bonds not gold. 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:34 | Link to Comment Mr. Fix
Mr. Fix's picture

Maybe they would prefer hanging from a rope, we could give them a nice tall tree or lamppost for a great view.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:41 | Link to Comment Market Man
Market Man's picture

What is wrong with you people?????

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 19:07 | Link to Comment DonGenaro
DonGenaro's picture

they'll starve in their bunkers

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:00 | Link to Comment bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

I always hated baby blue.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:30 | Link to Comment Levadiakos
Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:02 | Link to Comment Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Well, that pretty much covers the gamut of everything that could happen, short of a fucking asteroid hitting the planet or the sun exploding - thanks for the fucking insight Rothschilds, you wouldn't want to let us in on which one you're going to cause, would you?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:13 | Link to Comment RSloane
RSloane's picture

I would much rather they view the world through an eyelid swollen from being punched so frequently. They could have summarized their prospectus with BTFATH because it means more money for them and less for the rest of us.

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:30 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Are there any boulders near the Rothkid compund?

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:41 | Link to Comment Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

The asteroid hitting the planet and the sun exploding scenearios are elucidated in the footnotes. 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:17 | Link to Comment AL_SWEARENGEN
AL_SWEARENGEN's picture

Rothchilds withdrawing from the Gold business (outwardly) and removing their seat at the London 'fix' years ago tells us all we need to know about what they really expect.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:33 | Link to Comment Mesquite
Mesquite's picture

My conjecture: Their sources sniffed out the coming tsunami of Tungsten..!!

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:52 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

They pull a 'George Costanza':  Do the opposite!

Actually, most of their gold (40%) is in the basement vault at #1 Rothschild Plaza, Tel Aviv.  25% is in Shanghai, Singapore and Switzerland.  15% is in NY, London, Paris.  Their Rome gold (10% of total) is co-stored with the Vatican treasures, which they safeguard for them (as collateral against lawsuits against the Church).

;-)

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:18 | Link to Comment SDShack
SDShack's picture

Well, since the Renaisance and Muddling Through are their most likely scenarios, I would choose either of the other 2 as what is going to happen. Best to be contrarian in this case. Depression or New Monetary World Order it is. Probably Depression first, then New Monetary World Order.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:20 | Link to Comment Salt
Salt's picture

The 'going to cause' is already in place. Ask yourself one question. Can it end well? There's your answer.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:07 | Link to Comment Dr Benway
Dr Benway's picture

Vapidity window-dressed into respectability

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:09 | Link to Comment percolator
percolator's picture

5. A hero puts a bullet to our head!

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:08 | Link to Comment lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

aren't these the people who manipulated the price of gold lower & then bought it all for themselves ?   ASSET STRIP THEM.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:22 | Link to Comment samsara
samsara's picture

No,  These are the guys that OWN your federal reserve. 

 

The Lost Century

“In November 1910, some powerful US bankers joined by the influential Paul Warburg had a meeting on Jekyll Island that would determine the destiny of the world financial system and the world economy for over 100 years. This infamous meeting led to the creation of the Federal Reserve System in the US on December 23, 1913.

 

The Fed was created by private bankers for the benefit of private bankers and today, 100 years later, they have been more successful than they could ever have imagined in 1913.

Not only have they created a system that efficiently controls the world financial system for their personal benefit but also world politics. They totally understood the advice of Mayer Amschel Rotschild, the founder of the Rothschild banking dynasty, who famously proclaimed:

“Give me control of the nation’s money and I care not who makes its laws.”

http://goldswitzerland.com/the-lost-century/

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:50 | Link to Comment Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

Indeed, samsara, the Rothschilds symbolized the ways the methods of organized crime created governments, and directed what those governments did, namely, operate runaway systems of legalized lies, backed by legalized violence, where the short-term success of the destruction backing up the deceit enabled evil deliberate ignorance to dominate every decision, so that, over and over again, the short-term considerations of the most powerful special interests increasingly drove the longer term consequences to get worse, faster.

BECAUSE "they created a system that efficiently controls the world financial system for their personal benefit but also world politics," they have effectively foreclosed upon and destroyed the future of the human species, since what they did was always based upon triumphantly backing up frauds with force, which never made those frauds become true, but rather drove the destruction of the planet to take place at an exponentially accelerating rate.

The primary long-term result of operating through fundamentally fraudulent financial accounting systems, made and maintained through the methods of organized crime creating and controlling governments, is the collective evil deliberate ignorance of the human species, which is driven to maximize its short-term benefits, regardless of the longer term costs.

Predicting the real future is primarily about waiting and watching as that globalized civilization reaches its tipping points, where the relative magnitudes of the short-term benefits turns towards the relative magnitude of the long-term costs becoming greater. We are near the peak of the maximization of the short-term benefits. Thereafter, we are headed through the prolonged disasters caused by the accumulating longer term consequences manifesting.

The Rothschilds symbolized the most successful group of human beings operating through the methods of organized crime to control other human beings, through debt slavery. While that works well for them, within the human world, in the shorter term, it simultaneously drove more social polarization, and destruction of the natural world, as indicated by the debt slavery numbers developing debt insanity magnitudes.

The most probable future is that the bottom will pop out of the depression bubble, that the chart above indicates is the least probable scenario. For a few centuries, all wars were banksters' wars, so that one could say that wars were the harvest of the banksters. What has happened recently is that progress in science and technologies have made some human beings become trillions of times more powerful and capable, however, those abilities were primarily directed by the banksters, to grow the social pyramid systems, built on lies and violence, maintaining ignorance and fear, so that there could be more readily maintained attitudes of evil deliberate ignorance towards the true longer term consequences caused by doing that. Since there are fundamentally fraudulent financial accounting systems, which have become global electronic frauds, backed by the force of atomic bombs, the most probable future is for exponential growth to madly overshoot, and then collapse into chaos, with the mass murders of the majority of the human population being the most probable longer term consequences of those sequences of short-term expediencies successfully disregarding and discounting the longer term consequences.

The basic problem is the growing contradictions between advances in science and technology making some human beings trillions of times more powerful and capable, to operate through the force backed frauds of the social pyramid systems, which enabled trillions of times worse evil deliberate ignorance towards the longer term consequences due to that having been successful in the shorter term.

The real future is primarily going to be the result of that evil deliberate ignorance towards what human beings have done to themselves and the planet as a whole. Nothing less than massive doses of more radical truth might enable the renaissance bubble to grow onwards, through radical changes of state. However, everything regarding the foundations of the current world social pyramid systems requires that they obstruct and prevent that from happening.

The runaway short-term triumphs of the Rothshilds and their ilk have driven the human species as a whole towards behaving increasingly in suicidal, if not almost omnicidal ways. The successes of controlling civilization through the methods of organized crime become the ways that everything that human beings decide to do is directed by an attitude of evil deliberate ignorance towards the longer term consequences from doing that. The primary theme of the real, foreseeable future is that global civilization will experience going through the tipping points where the longer term costs turn out more and more to be greater and greater than the short-term benefits were!

As long as civilization is dominated and controlled by the ability of banksters and their bullies to use lies and violence, to keep most other people ignorant and afraid, then the future of that civilization is necessarily doomed. Tragically, in each short-term increment, there are no practical, political ways to prevent human beings from collectively acting on the basis of the worst collective stupidity, with the greatest possible evil deliberate ignorance towards the real, longer term consequences of what they are doing. Therefore, the most probable future scenarios are about us "learning" about that in the worst possible ways ...

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:45 | Link to Comment Disenchanted
Disenchanted's picture

The Rothschilds are the ones pulling the strings of the Vampire Squid puppet...amongst other puppetry.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:45 | Link to Comment The Heart
The Heart's picture

You be a seriously rootin tootin, RM.

As always, a great gathering of your thoughts well expressed here on ZH.

Zowie...kapowie!

Big thanks.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:10 | Link to Comment LMAOLORI
LMAOLORI's picture

 

 

This is how they really see the future..

 

We Are Sleepwalking Towards A Cashless Society
Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:11 | Link to Comment The Proletariat
The Proletariat's picture

Happy Metal Friday bitchez.

Pretty Maids - Future World; sums this shit up better

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUUJq5mRrSc

\m/ stack on

In the distant
Far away
Trying to figure it out
But I can't explain
Now we see it
Now we don't
We're floating around
In the unknown zone

Watch the starlight
Shooting for the sky
Reaching out to catch
A piece of Paradise
Is it true
Or just imaginations
Visions twist around my mind
And brings me shelter from the night

Where do we go
Where do we go from here
When do we finally disappear

Oh future world
There's nothing left to save
They blew it all away
Future world
Tonight we're riding on
The final escape

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:09 | Link to Comment The_Ungrateful_Yid
The_Ungrateful_Yid's picture

Rope, Kick, Chair

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:11 | Link to Comment Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

How many will drown in this "muddling through"? Continued weakness means that many otherwise viable businesses will likely suffer and eventually fail. Like any illness, the longer it drags on, even if it's not imminently terminal, weakens the body making it much more susceptible to other attacks. I've had the sniffles for years now and seem to be developing a much deeper cough...cough...arghh.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 16:37 | Link to Comment Raging Debate
Raging Debate's picture

Muddling through - translation - Stagflation. My forecast several more years of it :(

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:11 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

When the SHTF the Rothschild's will be arrested and thrown into prisons and their stolen wealth returned to the 7 billion rightful owners.

The end is nigh Rothschild M'Fers.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:58 | Link to Comment KickIce
KickIce's picture

When the SHTF they'll attempt to transition from debt to full blown tyranny.  They have all the pieces in place from owning the MIC, Homeland Security, FEMA and the NDAA.  It will be ugly but yeah I believe they'll get strung up by their balls in the end.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:58 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

If only.  Bear in mind that these are the guys who start and finance revolutions and wars.

So... exactly what kind of "SHTF" are you talking about?

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 13:07 | Link to Comment Rafferty
Rafferty's picture

I'd love to think this will happen. But it won't.  These guys always get awaywith it. Answer me this: When was the last time bankers were strung up on lamp posts?  Not even during the  Great Recession.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:12 | Link to Comment Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

Thanks, Lord R. Now just tell us how many false flag attacks you've signed off on for 2014.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 06:22 | Link to Comment The Heart
The Heart's picture

Oh, there will be a note sent down the pike to isreal's mosad any day now to get the year off to a big bang. Don't forget, they still have on the front burner that plan for world war three to close up the loose ends, and consolidate their coffers. Got billions of people to kill and all, ya know.

http://www.threeworldwars.com/albert-pike2.htm

Can you imagine continuing on this sordid trail of stupidness, as the whole world watches. Yeppers, everybody KNOWS who and WHAT is behind the evil that comes down from high on the pyramid. What these frackers of humanity don't realize is, the entire pyramid is about to get out from under these things, and move on to happier economic times WITHOUT THEM. Who the heck needs these banksters any more anyways. Letting these closet scabies remain at the helm, is like throwing your gold into the busy streets, and then jumping off a very tall building into a bowl of oatmeal. (hint...hint)

EVERYBODY WORLD-WIDE KNOWS that when the toilet is flushed, those who cling to the chinga, will go down with it~

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h27HRNm_r4U

 

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 13:09 | Link to Comment Rafferty
Rafferty's picture

'everybody KNOWS who and WHAT is behind the evil that comes down from high on the pyramid.'

 

That's just the problem. 95% of people don't have a fucking clue.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:13 | Link to Comment pods
pods's picture

These fuckin cock-a-roaches really have slipped back into the shadows.  

Easy to figure out which scenario is going to happen when you are the puppetmaster.

I would like an asteroid to impact directly above the City of London.  That would bring a tear to my eye.

pods

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:38 | Link to Comment NemoDeNovo
NemoDeNovo's picture

Problem is though, that these fucktards would survie the asteroid impact and [re]build.  You know the old saying that only CockRoaches would survie an apocolypse, and these fuckers are the cockroaches of the world, IMO.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:05 | Link to Comment SilverDOG
SilverDOG's picture

Billions of people being tortured for the wellness of the reptilian Roths, and not one has taken the lead; and command of their hands.

Why and how can this be.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:13 | Link to Comment MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture

With a litlle luck the trash will not see the future!

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:14 | Link to Comment IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Just say NEW WORLD ORDER aka SLAVERY you smarmy fucks. As if you give a shit. 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:20 | Link to Comment Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

All part of a new economic cookbook "to serve man".

http://vimeo.com/37778819

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:15 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Think of it like this:  If the 98 lb schoolyard Weakling takes over the school yard... exactly WHOSE fault is it that this came about?

Likewise, if they took over, it was the Secular Oligarchs (Royalty, Aristocracy and Politicians) plus Clerical Oligarchs (Popes and Cardinals) who fucking GAVE them the power.  While the Clergy was maintaining their lifestyle, they were telling you to "turn the other cheek".  It is our so-called "Christian" Leaders (top to bottom) who have failed you, have failed us.  And you, you dumb-ass Sheep, willingly obeyed and let the Shepherds do whatever shepherds do to their flocking sheep.

But keep pretending that the 98 lb Weakling has some fucking magical powers that put him in charge.  The only fucking "magic" is in... the MIND.  Which the malleable, Christian Sheeple clearly lack. 

/'sarc' (for those who can't detect what is actually Righteous Indignation)

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 23:05 | Link to Comment FredFlintstone
FredFlintstone's picture

Excellent analogy Captain.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 13:13 | Link to Comment Rafferty
Rafferty's picture

Brilliant analogy Captain.  It should become mandatory reading for everyone.  I just hope you won't get some nice gentlemen from Internal security knocking on your door at midnight.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:18 | Link to Comment JaKst3r
JaKst3r's picture

RothschildCOIN remains the new norm....

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:20 | Link to Comment financialrealist
financialrealist's picture

well that told me absolutely nothing...I would think ZH would keep crap like this off the boards...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:01 | Link to Comment KickIce
KickIce's picture

Nice to get a reminder of who the real enemy is.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 23:03 | Link to Comment FredFlintstone
FredFlintstone's picture

Did this article come from Accredited Sources?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 23:06 | Link to Comment satoshi911
satoshi911's picture

This story orginated on ZH, source will never be known.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 16:17 | Link to Comment Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:21 | Link to Comment wackydog
wackydog's picture

IMHO - it seems like we're already in the "new financial order" and depression - combined. Already.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:25 | Link to Comment akak
akak's picture

I guess they forgot to add "continued sucking of monetary blood from world's population" since that factor is common to all four scenarios.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:35 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I'm pretty the Rothschilds aren't going to tell us what they really think..... Or what they plan on doing.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:36 | Link to Comment denverdolomte
denverdolomte's picture

I didn't downvote you.

 

Your pretty? Someones having a good day today. /sarc

 

Yeah I agree, these fucks are going to openly tell the world their plans. I did just clean the yard of dog poo and needing a place to dispose of it, wonder if i could get their addresses and equally dispurse it to them, I don't want any of their family to feel left out.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:54 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Oops...... Hazards of typing whilst on the phone. Oh well I feel pretty.. Oh so pretty.... I feel pretty and witty and bright......

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:46 | Link to Comment BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Exactly Doc...was my immediate thought if ZH posts this/it's thereby available to the public at large....

NEVER forget the Rothchild history...these motherfucking wankin trillionaire cunts are the most devious, dastardly shit-eating, both sides of wars backin, Fed creatin ass-crackin swine ever pooched out of a woman's womb...

 

 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:05 | Link to Comment DaddyO
DaddyO's picture

Sheesh, why don't you tell us how you really feel about them...

DaddyO

/S

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:13 | Link to Comment Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Don't forget 'inbred'.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:12 | Link to Comment Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

I thought that reptiles were hatched and not pooched from a woman's womb.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:37 | Link to Comment Critical Path
Critical Path's picture

Renaissance in U.S. manufacturing...

So much talk about manufacturing returning to the U.S.  Don't get too excited though, the model doesn't include a return of the workforce that started to be laid off about 3 decades ago.  No, this is for automation.

This would all be deflationary if it weren't for all the financial engineering, ZIRP, QE, Bail-out/in BS. 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:39 | Link to Comment resurger
resurger's picture

A sharp correction to the upside.

Mother fuckers

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:48 | Link to Comment alfred b.
alfred b.'s picture

 

    we can thank the Rothsicks for providing all Fed members & their cronies with the 'Rose-colored Glasses'.....obviously no one else got them!

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:51 | Link to Comment prudent1nvestor
prudent1nvestor's picture

The one article with a reasonably balanced perspective, and actual investment advice/scenarios get's the worst reviews on ZH

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:58 | Link to Comment kk1532003
kk1532003's picture

"i'm so wise I'll post it twice!"

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:52 | Link to Comment prudent1nvestor
prudent1nvestor's picture

The one article with a reasonably balanced perspective, and actual investment advice/scenarios get's the worst reviews on ZH

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 22:57 | Link to Comment FredFlintstone
FredFlintstone's picture

MDB?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:53 | Link to Comment debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

The Rothschilds is old money. Old moneychangers. Watch the new moneychangers, more sophisticated, challenging maybe.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:56 | Link to Comment Duc888
Duc888's picture

 

 

#5.  Banksters, the other white meat.

 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 17:59 | Link to Comment kk1532003
kk1532003's picture

They fogot scenario #6...

 

String the Rothschilds and every other banker up by there wrinkled nutsacks then shove a hot poker up their ass.

 

Coming to an insurrection near you...

 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:02 | Link to Comment Duc888
Duc888's picture

Critical Path: Renaissance in U.S. manufacturing...So much talk about manufacturing returning to the U.S.  Don't get too excited though, the model doesn't include a return of the workforce that started to be laid off about 3 decades ago.  No, this is for automation.

This would all be deflationary if it weren't for all the financial engineering, ZIRP, QE, Bail-out/in BS. 

 

I'm guessing in 10 years, (should we survive that long and should the US not be split up or worse)  "manufacturing" will take place in about 10-15 percent of the households with some form of 3-D printing.  By 15 years out it will be in over 50% of households.  The big hold up now is just in material sciences.  Once that gets sussed out you're going to go Online, in what ever form that is in 15 years and purchase a file that will be run through your 3D printer and out shits a newfangled "Mr Coffee" machine.   Additive manufacturing is the future. 

 

Anyone remember "The Graduate"....           PLASTICS..............

 


 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:14 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

LMFAO!!!!  And the energy and resources that need to be put into all those printers will be provided how exactly?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:35 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

I'll be able to print my own iPhone.

Wealth, at last!

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:06 | Link to Comment Unprepared
Unprepared's picture

SOLDIERS!!... REMEMBER.

WHATEVER YOU DO, PROTECT YOUR SHIELD AT ALL TIMES. RAISE IT OVERHEAD AND OFFER YOUR RIBS TO THE SLIDING ENEMY SWORD. PUT IT BEHIND YOU AND LET YOUR TORSO EMBRACE THE INCOMING ARROWS.

 

THE ONLY GOOD SHIELD IS A RED SHIELD.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:13 | Link to Comment daemon
daemon's picture

Yes, they are right : it will be an economic renaissance starting in ....

 

Detroit .

 

I came to that conclusion thanks to my pretty elaborate prognostication tool : digested tea leaves .

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:17 | Link to Comment Cornholiovanderbilt
Cornholiovanderbilt's picture

Are the sochi Olympics the 21st century version of the battle of waterloo for the Moloch worshipping pedophiles?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:23 | Link to Comment Duc888
Duc888's picture

"LMFAO!!!!  And the energy and resources that need to be put into all those printers will be provided how exactly?"

 

Yes, because they use as much energy as a microwave oven does... (rolling eyes)

 

The Horror.....the horror...

 

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:26 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

ZH:  BTFD!

Rothschilds:  Screw the Dip!  Buy when there's Blood in the streets.  Make it happen.  Create giant Bubble, sell at top.  Rinse & repeat.  Family is everything, Tribesmen rule, non-Tribesmen are chattel.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 18:35 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

75% chance of no "Economic renaissance."

If that was a weather forecast for rain , well...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:01 | Link to Comment falak pema
falak pema's picture

Talking about the future here is something about the PAST said by a prescient man now in charge of Fin Min India, then a professor at Chicago school who defied Greenspan openly about his legacy in...2005 at Jackson Hole; later was chief Economist of IMF; aka the position currently held by Blanchard.

This guy nailed it then...

Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party - WSJ.com

The current EM turmoil and increasing currency wars only mean one thing :

WHEN THEIVES FALL OUT THE GAME GETS TOUGHER AS ITS EVERY MAN FOR HIMSELF. WE ARE HEADING THERE MORE AND MORE AS THE COLLECTIVE CB PRINTING WILL HAVE TO STOP. HITTING THE ASYMPTOTE IS THE TRIGGER.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:00 | Link to Comment Heroic Couplet
Heroic Couplet's picture

Of course, intelligent people can come up with the Anti-Rothschild GAAP accounting: I call mine Detroit accounting.

1. Bank bubbles. Detroit account for how much we can screw banks out of.

2. Real estate: Tear down Detroit. Rebuild only sustainable. Account for how much Alan Greenspan is screwed out of.

3. Muni bonds. Count how much less work Meredith has to account for.

4. CDO destruction. Detroit accounting says Phil Gramm gets screwed out of future income from CDOs.

5. Use Detroit accounting to ensure credit unions only exist in the state of Michigand and in Detroit.

6. Big Energy Screw: building sustainable has a column where Big Oil and Big Energy get screwed.

Detroit Accounting: Kep running accounting totals and send to the TBTF bank CEOS and to Michigan US Members of Congress.

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:06 | Link to Comment metaforge
metaforge's picture

What the hell?  The article basically said anything can happen.  100 monkeys on 100 typewriters could have said as much.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:27 | Link to Comment TORNasunder
TORNasunder's picture

This is coming from the Rothschild investment group, so from that perspective it makes sense. Have to keep the money home, so try and appear realistic without scaring off the investors. I knew the report was bogus when I read;

"Since we last published this report, the global economy has continued to recover, driven by the US."

What they meant was;
The global economy has not imploded thanks to the ridiculous money printing by the CBs led by the Fed.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 03:17 | Link to Comment steelrules
steelrules's picture

Barring the invention of free energy like fusion I don't see a bright future for any of us, we are on the path to destruction, but I take solace in knowing that all of Rothschilds trillions will soon be worthless.

After all my ZH friends, hasn't all the money printing the wars, the birth of the police state all been about keeping Rothschilds and their ilk as our overlords.

I say let the fuker burn down.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:15 | Link to Comment monad
monad's picture

I hate when "experts" troll feedback for ideas. Just pay Holder to troll the patent office, second handers. You already pay him to crush your viable competition. But even this won't save you. The old money will take us all down with them as they attempt to 'bridge' their CONtrol to another status quo. Doomed by design. TPTB attempting to CONtrol innovation by homicidal fraud. But innovation is by its nature asymmetric to the status quo.
The nation I served brought defectors because our better way of life is the ultimate bait; not their Big Momma police state. TTWK I am not 35, nor did I ever enlist. I made your arms. Figure that out.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 22:54 | Link to Comment FredFlintstone
FredFlintstone's picture

You make prosthetics?

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:00 | Link to Comment monad
monad's picture

The second amendment of the constitution guarantees my unlimited right to self DFENS, Fred. If you intend to win, don't bring spears and arrows to a gunfight. Go find a Roman bridge in urban France. Learn its history - the floods it has endured, while the flimsy modern bridges around it made by effete modern krugmanati frogs who deign to ridicule Frvdivs Flvnstonivs washed away, again and again and again. Go stand on that bridge, that study of integrity, and contemplate the psyop that is Fred Flintstone.

They did it right. We can do better. First, we must kill all the lawyers.

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:02 | Link to Comment TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

Broken Bridges spur the economy in ways which stabil bridges cannot.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 19:59 | Link to Comment Xandrino
Xandrino's picture

They wont let that happen, they will squeeze just the right amount out of you to stop rebellion in its tracks, maintaining their superiority...fact is they're smarter than 99% of the rest. They have everything to lose...not the other way around.

This has been going on for hundreds of years, if not thousands, pretty damn sure they won't blow it....history repeats itself but the winners always stay the same...

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:03 | Link to Comment shinobi-7
shinobi-7's picture

What kind of prediction is this? Nostradamus it certainly isn't! I dare hope they have a better team writing better stuff internally stamped "confidential".

Over the last five years, we have been relentlessly moving towards to bottom of the current bubble called "Muddling through" here toward the bottom bubble called "Depression". A future Nobel prize economist will probably write that the drift was inexorable and that the very best we could do was to slow down the process by throwing the furnitures into the fire to keep warm (economic activity) another day.

The current system build just after the second world war is dying under an immense pile of debts and imbalances far too large to be corrected. It can certainly live another day provided nothing rocks the boat but is that likely? Every subject in which you dive a little bit deeper looks worse than the other. Where is this "Economic Renaissance" supposed to come from? Ordos in Inner Mongolia, Athens, Detroit, Buenos Aires...? Of course the Socialists in Paris can find a recipes to save Europe, Abe may be on the verge to save Japan and Washington may suddenly start functioning normally. But what are the odds for any of those things happening? Conversely, any one of these problems can get worse anytime now and one of them will sooner than later.

We still have a few more months of "muddle through" in front of us if only because the financial authorities have learned how to put out fires on short notice, mostly by drowning the market with cash. There will be no second Leaman, that much is certain. But as we've learned with real forests putting out small fires is not necessarily the best strategy. In the end you let underbrush accumulate and when the fire comes it engulf the whole forest. Financial management like forest management requires knowledge and foresight. We still have limited knowledge and almost zero foresight: What could go wrong?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:03 | Link to Comment blindman
blindman's picture

bubblenomics from the inside perspective,
on the outside it looks/feels compressive and
different.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:03 | Link to Comment Deepskyy
Deepskyy's picture

So... stagflation it is?

Whoooo 1978 all over again!  I wasn't alive to enjoy it the first time!

 

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:07 | Link to Comment Xandrino
Xandrino's picture

think about it, they have all the money they need, they own roughly 60-70% of EVERYTHING, they have technology about 50 years ahead of the rest.

All they need to do is create a situation where people will beg for their impanted microchip(yes it will be done by consent), if a too large amount of people resist they will create a massive false flag(or just bomb 80% to smitherines), and voila, it's over.

That's not considering theoretical circumstances that haven't been proven.

It's over folks. 90-99% of the people have no fucking clue and are completley helpless. So no fucking crisis is going to change this. Either by consent or conquest.

 

PS I hope I'm very wrong, but considering the facts I don't see any other way.

 

Sun, 02/02/2014 - 19:43 | Link to Comment fedupwhiteguy
fedupwhiteguy's picture

downed you!! i say don't ever give up. plan for success. plan to fight to the end.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXHSfLOlYJY

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:17 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

who?

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:28 | Link to Comment gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Seriously who.  An article attributed to Rothschild.  It would be good to clearly state the source.  If it is indeed a Rothschild (capital R).

 

The serious and laughable fallacy in the scenarios is that lack of revenue restrains Giverment spending....  Given that I doubt it is a Rothschild, more like murray rothschild from Hoboken....

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 03:33 | Link to Comment monad
Fri, 01/31/2014 - 20:57 | Link to Comment Bazza McKenzie
Bazza McKenzie's picture

The simple fact is most of the developed world has been in a depression since the GFC.  For reasons we all understand, the GDP numbers are a fabrication.  Aside from the simple falsification of government numbers, the GDP is heavily propped up by counting as "product" the systematic theft of wealth from middle class savers.

Those savings, which were intended to be consumed in the future are rapidly disappearing into the maws of the 1% in the financial sector, government and their cronies, and those businesses that cater to consumption by those groups.  This loss of assets by the middle class is not counted as an offset in GDP, as it ought to be.

Those savings were and are not a bottomless supply.  Once the parasites have consumed them all, the depression will be plainly visible even to politicians and this Rothschild who apparently haven't the wit to realise that when both the proportion of the workforce employed is continuously plummeting for years and the average real wage they earn is also falling, that it is nothing but a depression.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 22:05 | Link to Comment fijisailor
fijisailor's picture

This is the best analysis a Rothschild can come up with? Posters on ZH have more insight.

Fri, 01/31/2014 - 22:42 | Link to Comment dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

they listed everything except corruption.. I guess that is a given in all 4 scenarios

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:34 | Link to Comment The Heart
The Heart's picture

Hey ah, rottenchildkillers, how does that fukushma Extinction Level Event fit into those malarkey scenarios?

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 05:50 | Link to Comment no more banksters
Sat, 02/01/2014 - 11:56 | Link to Comment messymerry
messymerry's picture

Not a peep on the wealth gap and the very real possibility of civil unrest in the subject countries.  This is a flawed outlook.  Rothchild is looking at economic issues.  That is only a partial forecast.  What we are expenriencing is global "Socio-economic" collapse.  The emphasis should be on the socio part because that is what is going to bite us in the ass. 

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 12:46 | Link to Comment moonstears
moonstears's picture

Hey, tommorow It might be sunny, it might snow, might be cloudy and windy, could rain buckets. Thanks for playing, peons.

p.s. I SHARED 'CAUSE I'M SMARTER THAN YOU.

M. ROTTENCHILD 

Sat, 02/01/2014 - 12:48 | Link to Comment Minburi
Minburi's picture

Why do they say "depression"?

What about a happy little contraction?

There's a scenario that I'd like to see.

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