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Dow Down 1000 Points From Highs, Nikkei Nuked

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It's not just Japanese stocks that are in trouble. The Dow Industrials futures just lost 15,500 - the lowest level since the debt-ceiling lows mid-November and down over 1000 points from 2013's closing highs. The terrible ISM print triggerd wholesale buying in bonds and bullion and selling of stocks and the USD as the Dow broke below its 200DMA. VIX has hit 20% this morning and credit markets still suggest the S&P is 60-70 points rich.

The Dow is down 1000 poinst from its highs...

 

and below Debt-ceiling recovery lows...

 

as the Dow drops below its 200DMA...

 

The Nikkei is getting nuked and now trades over 2,000 points from its highs and over 1100 points "cheap" to the Dow...

 

Bonds are well bid... as is bullion...

 

It seems the taper is dragging the US wealth effect lower faster than Philip Seymour-Hoffman's drug dealer's income.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:32 | 4395730 fonestar
fonestar's picture

bad news is bad news again?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:32 | 4395734 Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

As long as Jamie's bonus is safe we're cool

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:39 | 4395764 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

DOW 10,000 hats?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:48 | 4395791 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

Yes, pretty please. That would be a good start ....

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:04 | 4395849 zerozulu
zerozulu's picture

Run baby run

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:18 | 4395893 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Run Forest!  Run!!

Fixed it..

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:22 | 4395903 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Was not expecting PSH snark.

+1 Would LOL again.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:14 | 4396091 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

Hoping for 6,443.27 (March 6, 2009) again... Then it's time to buy.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:26 | 4396098 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

I'm not a technical/chart guy, but let me give fair warning that my "Dow 15000" baseball cap is worn out, and if I have to buy another one from the cnBSc gift shop, I am sending the bill to Yellen.

And if I have to buy a 2nd, "Dow 12000" baseball cap in the near future, I'm double billing Yellen for it.

Didn't they just throw Alcoa out of the Dow 30 to try and keep it erect?

C'mon, DJIA, throw out and replace some more dogs of the Dow 30 if that's what it takes! And hurry!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:31 | 4396148 General Decline
General Decline's picture

Yeah, no kidding. I'll need to replace my " The DOW hit 15,000 and all I got was this stoopid t shirt" t shirt.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 14:04 | 4396259 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Doesn't Yellen know she can just double QE in order to try and further artificially depress interest rates, to allow already massively indebted corporations to buy back even more blocks/mountains of their own shares of stock, going even further into debt, thus KICKING THE CAN SOME MORE?

WTF, BernYellen?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:42 | 4395771 Oquities
Oquities's picture

it has been my sense that an over-lauded "buy the dip" market would end in not a crash, but rather a slow, painful drip down, where buying the dip gets you further in the deep.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:49 | 4395794 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Remember we ground lower off the 2007 highs for almost a year until September of 2008.... THEN the wheels came off (key event:  when Hank Paulson and then-newly-minted Ben Bernanke walked up the hill and said "We need 3/4 of a trillion dollars of taxpayer money by Wednesday or we're all dead.")

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 16:41 | 4397077 SDShack
SDShack's picture

Yep, I sold Dec 2007, but  got sucked in Apr 2008 after a 20% dip. Learned my lesson.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:28 | 4395925 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

That reminds me of The Great Crash: 

 

John Kenneth Galbraith, author of 1929 - The Great Crash, described the pattern of the 1929-1932 bear market as follows:


'The worst continued to worsen. What looked one day like the end proved on the next day to have been only the beginning. Nothing could have been more ingeniously designed to maximize the suffering, and also to insure that as few people as possible escape the common misfortune. The fortunate speculator who had funds to answer the first margin call presently got another and equally urgent one, and if he met that there would still be another. In the end all the money he had was extracted from him and lost. The man with the smart money, who was safely out of the market when the first crash came, naturally went back in to pick up bargains. The bargains then suffered a ruinous fall. Even the man who waited for volume of trading to return to normal and saw Wall Street become as placid as a produce market, and who then bought common stocks would see their value drop to a third or a fourth of the purchase price in the next 24 months. The Coolidge bull market was a remarkable phenomenon. The ruthlessness of its liquidation was, in its own way, equally remarkable.

   

       
Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:05 | 4396063 Oquities
Oquities's picture

that's the feeling, yes Smiddy.  kill them slowly, with resurgences of hope for survival, then a wish for a fast death that saps the spirit

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:27 | 4395926 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture
nm, double entry
Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:43 | 4395962 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

Hey hey BTFATH is SOOOOOO 2013.   Time to move on:

 

New Acro:  STFDCB

Short The Furry Dead Cat Bounce

Sorry to all those cat lovers out there:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTVOK2yvbBM

PPS: apologies to "Its Only Rock N Rollhttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-31/you-know-its-top-when#comment-4...

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:45 | 4395783 Hayabusa
Hayabusa's picture

You said, "The Dow Industrials futures just lost 15,500"... uh it may have dropped to 15,500 but not lost it.  If it had lost 15,500 I'd be at home hunkering down with the rest of you.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:46 | 4395788 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

It lost the support price of 15,500....the implication was there

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:18 | 4395822 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Why wait?  But buy a good bottle of scotch on the way home to hunker down with.

it that you Fonz trolling us here??

DOW 15,000 SUPPORT BROKEN!

Told ya not to wait!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:28 | 4395928 National Blessing
National Blessing's picture

I see the DOW going to 30,000.  What's to stop it?  The money has to go somewhere.  Word.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:02 | 4396046 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

I agree if the value of the dollar is cut in half.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:42 | 4395975 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

fonestar, bad news is bad news again because the illusion of control is fading away.  

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:31 | 4395731 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

it just bumped a smal resistance... and a diamond and a hindenburg crap...

Janet will print it up again.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:33 | 4395743 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Agree Sudden... I am not shorting this market. When they announce no taper you will see the markets go ballistic, until they crap all over the place. Sticking with my gold, silve and miners. Maybe, just maybe, it is our turn.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:16 | 4395885 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Amen to that.  Gold, silver, and miners for now.  All the Fed can do is print, and as progressively more people come to realize that it's not possible to print our way out of this mess, and that it is printing that got us in this mess and continues to make it worse, money will flood out of fiat in torrents.  Hold on and enjoy the ride!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:34 | 4395735 Pig Circus
Pig Circus's picture

If this is the long awaited collapse, this is what the start of it would look like.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:38 | 4395759 JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

I concur with the sentiment and for those who believe we are going to simply see a Yellen reflate...we have always said hyper-inflation was just around the corner.  It begins with commodities then money leaves the system and it's evrything else not nailed down.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:41 | 4395772 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

we have always said hyper-inflation was just around the corner

Yep, it is always lurking in this environment, just below the surface.  And this is the fatal weakness of the "managed economy" model, it is the idea that human emotions and expectations can be managed through threats, jawboning, Liesman-ing, etc.  Eventually, reality intrudes.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:09 | 4396062 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

I don't think she will because she can't without causing far more harm than good:

The Fed, QE, Rates And You

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?singlepost=3327908

They recognize the problem they've caused.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 16:48 | 4397104 SDShack
SDShack's picture

Commodities will have a tough time reflating in a world wide recession. Especially with every CB on the planet manipulating contracts to prevent it. If we have learned anything these last 5+ years, it is there is no rule of law, and there is no market. So stop acting like there is both. 2008 was engineered. 2014 or whatever the date is, will be engineered also.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:32 | 4395736 Rastadamus
Rastadamus's picture

Yeeeeeeee HAW! RIDE THAT SHIT LIKE SLIM PICKENS!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:36 | 4395737 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Close your eyes and repeat after me. The fed's printing has nothing to do with the markets. The free markets are a barometer on the health of the economy. Now tap your heals together three times.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:44 | 4395777 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Whoah!  It worked!  I just did it and now I'm.... jeez, I'm not sure where I am.  A snow-covered field out in the middle of nowhere.  There's a little farm house nearby.

Oh, wait.... I think I know where I am.  Doc, you bastard, I'm in freaking Kansas.  Now I gotta pay for a flight back home.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:32 | 4396157 Pareto
Pareto's picture

What Doc?  No BTFD?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:33 | 4395742 Jayda1850
Jayda1850's picture

Keep this shit coming, got a long way to go and these -1% days are just so slow and boring. bring on the -4% days.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:46 | 4395985 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

More like -4% day....singular.  The days after the -4% day will be -10%, -15%, kaboom.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:04 | 4396060 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

again...the problem here is contagion..."knock on effects"...all being sold as a false bill of goods (Kevin Bacon's "all is well" moment. Sorry to hear abot SPH btw. Huge loss for theater in New York.)

The epicenter remains Europe which is simply rolling over the untenable.
And this "media weapon" that has been created will turn on its "master" at some point.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:39 | 4395767 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

ZH called the bottom again! Well done!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:42 | 4395770 fijisailor
fijisailor's picture

I like the negative correlation between QE and PMs

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:13 | 4395877 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

I don't like the neg correlation because they are going to continue to plump the markets like a basted turkey and gold will be seen as a raven on the mantelpiece and not be given its due.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:55 | 4396023 fijisailor
fijisailor's picture

The FED is tapering because the turkey has a really big tape worm and was loosing weight faster than it could eat.  It's probably too late to try that again.  Now they're hoping the turkey will lay a few eggs before it dies.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:45 | 4395773 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

"It seems the taper is dragging the US wealth effect lower faster than Philip Seymour-Hoffman's drug dealer's income."

I love zerohedge, but make up your fucking minds already.  If they print, you bitch, and if they taper, you bitch.  Printing is wrong - I get that - but tapering is not, even if it hits the "wealth effect" because the wealth effect it hit was a falsely generated pile of fiat shit that accrued only to bankers and connected assholes, so fuck them. 

It's not a drag on a wealth effect that is happening ... it is a correction that is long overdue and needs to go a lot futher than a meager 1000 points.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:47 | 4395789 Pheonyte
Pheonyte's picture

Can you point to me where Tyler said that tapering is bad? There's a difference between describing what's going on and evaluating it. That quote is purely descriptive.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:47 | 4395795 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

I wants more QE...moar!!!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:09 | 4396077 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

"There's a difference between describing what's going on and evaluating it."

Exactly, although Tyler should have put "wealth effect" in quotes as it doesn't actually exist in its intended sense of stimulating the economy.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:02 | 4395830 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

The schadenfreude is vectorless.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:00 | 4396043 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Very nice SR, that is a trippy visual....

ori

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:49 | 4395797 Silver Garbage Man
Silver Garbage Man's picture

How long until everything but Gold and Silver are sold?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 11:49 | 4395802 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

2035

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:10 | 4395869 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

Yellen is going to tapping CTRL-P faster than she flicks her bean.  Oh wait, she has a penis.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:18 | 4395898 Overfed
Overfed's picture

Eeww. That created a disturbing mental image. Eeeck.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:15 | 4395881 starman
starman's picture

Ka boom !

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:28 | 4395927 Amagnonx
Amagnonx's picture

.. obviously tapering doesnt work, back to plan Ctrl-P ..

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:27 | 4396134 redux2redux
redux2redux's picture

How about Ctl-Alt-Delete?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:28 | 4395930 starman
starman's picture

So who's buying the dip today Yellin? 

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:36 | 4395954 overexposed
overexposed's picture

Thanks for making me snort coffee through my nose with that Philip Seymour-Hoffman crack, Tylers.  That hurts like heck (though probably not as much as his OD did d'oh)

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 14:30 | 4396363 stant
stant's picture

And the loss will show up in the next ism report

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:52 | 4396007 adr
adr's picture

While we were watching the worst super bowl I've ever seen my sister says, "Philip Seymour-Hoffman died."

I said, "Wow the whacked out coke head finally OD'd."

She looked at me like how can you say something like that. Then she searched for the whole story and says, "How did you know he overdosed?"

Free benny bux is like crack and the market overdosed in 2013. There isn't any withdrawal, just death.

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 12:57 | 4396028 ifishivote
ifishivote's picture

Its real simple.. When funiture stores like Raymore & Flaigan offer 4 years of interest free purchase you know things are starting to slow down

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:08 | 4396080 Spectre
Spectre's picture

Any day now some twit with money credentials will come out and make a move that is a strong equity signal and hope to alay eveyones biggest fear, ie Warren Buffet etal buy some S&P futures.  Or in a month Yellen reverses course and re-ignites QE with a 150 Billion a month move.

 

In other news, I think a  rather large derivative shop is about to come un-glued.

 

Happy Trails - Mu Cha-Cha's

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:23 | 4396122 royal
royal's picture

Hugh Hendry -- how those longs working out beeotch?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 13:36 | 4396183 ColoQ
ColoQ's picture

If the guy couldn't look in the mirror in December I can imagine he avoids anything with a reflection like the plague now!  It must be hilarious to see him driving in his Ferarri and break into tears evey time he checks the rear view mirror.  Oh well, it's trending!

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 14:26 | 4396347 syntaxterror
syntaxterror's picture

How are all of the indebted pensions going to manage if stawks don't generate 10% this year?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 14:50 | 4396474 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

29 ticks down on ES from a reasonable short entry at the key levels I posted here repeatedly.  Not too shabby.  

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 15:29 | 4396734 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

Has anyone checked in on Hugh hendry lately?

Mon, 02/03/2014 - 15:58 | 4396862 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

we're not even at an actual correction until DJI 14929.38

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