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Janet Yellen: Fed To Stay The Course On Taper - Full Testimony

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just as Goldman has predicted (and the market had seemingly hoped would not happen), Janet Yellen, in her first speech as new Fed chair "stayed the course" on the Taper:

  • *YELLEN SAYS FOMC LIKELY TO CONTINUE QE TAPER IN MEASURED STEPS
  • *YELLEN SAYS RECOVERY IN LABOR MARKET IS `FAR FROM COMPLETE'
  • *YELLEN SAY FED TO `CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR EMERGING RISKS'
  • *YELLEN: MAIN RATE LIKELY TO BE LOW WELL PAST 6.5% JOBLESS RATE

Of course, the Q&A (and hawkish follow-up panel) may well be the "common knowledge" setting moment for today but for now, the Taper is on and forward-guidance

Pre-Yellen: S&P Futs 1801, Gold $1285, 10Y 2.68%, USDJPY 102.3

 

On Growth...

*YELLEN PREDICTS MODERATE GROWTH IN ECONOMY, JOBS IN 2014, 2015
*YELLEN SAYS ECONOMY GAINED MORE TRACTION IN 2ND HALF 2013

On Inflation...

*YELLEN EXPECTS INFLATION TO MOVE TOWARD 2% `OVER COMING YEARS'
*YELLEN SAYS SOME SOFTNESS IN INFLATION LIKELY TO BE TRANSITORY

On Jobs...

*YELLEN SAYS `TOO MANY AMERICANS REMAIN UNEMPLOYED'
*YELLEN SAYS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DOESN'T GIVE FULL VIEW OF JOBS
*YELLEN SAYS RECOVERY IN LABOR MARKET IS `FAR FROM COMPLETE'
*YELLEN: MAIN RATE LIKELY TO BE LOW WELL PAST 6.5% JOBLESS RATE
*YELLEN SAYS FOMC LIKELY TO CONTINUE QE TAPER IN MEASURED STEPS
*YELLEN REITERATES SHE `STRONGLY' SUPPORTS CURRENT FOMC POLICY

On Taper

*YELLEN `COMMITTED TO ACHIEVING BOTH PARTS OF OUR DUAL MANDATE'
*YELLEN SEES `GREAT DEAL OF CONTINUITY' IN MONETARY POLICY
*YELLEN SAYS BOND PURCHASES BY FED `NOT ON A PRESET COURSE'
*YELLEN: HIGHLY ACCOMMODATIVE POLICY APPROPRIATE AFTER QE ENDS

On EM Risks...

*YELLEN: GLOBAL MARKET SHIFTS NOT A BIG RISK TO U.S. OUTLOOK
*YELLEN SAY FED TO `CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR EMERGING RISKS'

 

Wordcloud of Yellen's speech:

Full prepared remarks (pdf)

 

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Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:34 | 4423414 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Treasuries to rally then?  You don't say...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:38 | 4423428 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Gold should too. 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:42 | 4423439 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

must... keep... debt... affordable...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:46 | 4423457 onewayticket2
onewayticket2's picture

....by taking on more debt.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:48 | 4423461 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Debt is a asset... AND WE GOT PLENTY OF IT!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:57 | 4423494 Mister Kitty
Mister Kitty's picture

I call bullshit.  Markets will crash.  And Yellen will be a-printing.  Mark my words.  Bitches.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:34 | 4423602 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I wouldn't take that bet. The Fed is only interested in the major banks. They don't give shit about anything else, including the stock market, except if it affects the banks.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:44 | 4423634 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

And if you keep giving the banks trillions how can anything affect them?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 11:04 | 4423680 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Well, specifically, at this point I think the banks want interest rates to rise. Denninger has been writing about this, but ZIRP is slowly killing the insurance companies and pension funds. The banks don't want that. Plus, now that they're recapitalized and have gorged themselves on as much real estate as they want, the banks would probably welcome a stock market crash so they could buy stocks on the cheap with their excess reserves.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 13:48 | 4424273 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

BINGO!  I have arguments with permabulls all the time regarding not only the FEDs powers but their intent.  The FED is owned by Chase, Wells Fargo, BofA, etc as we all know.  For our charade of a system to work requires booms AND busts.  For the big banks to continue their thievery they must buy low and sell high.  With their balance sheets being relatively clean and awash in fiat a stock crash serves their interests.  A rise in interest rates as you pointed out helps insurance and pensions while hurting RE, but considering that residential RE is toast anyway and the banks have far less exposure than in 2008 I think the FED will have everyone take their Housing Crash 2.0 medicine now rather than later.  They know the longer they wait the worse the pop will be.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:46 | 4423463 Looney
Looney's picture

Fed's cuntinuity in action...  ;-)

Looney

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:49 | 4423467 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

"...it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6-1/2 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the 2 percent goal"

In other words, "my colleagues and I on the FOMC know full well these numbers are completely unreliable. But thanks to the dilligent efforts of our propaganda apparatus, we can continue to enrich our most important clients for a further indeterminate amount of time."

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:43 | 4423445 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Taper "likely" to continue.  Yeah.  Uh huh.

Say it is when it isn't.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:46 | 4423456 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Anyone else catch that 110 billion dollar reverse REPO?  Who will blow up next?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:51 | 4423479 negative rates
negative rates's picture

The derivitaves mkt would be a good start.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:48 | 4423459 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Oh yes it will Ignoramus! 

I've said before the Big Banks who OWN the Federal Reserve have given up on playing the stuuuupid fucking QE game to support Obozo now that he's lost all political power.

 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:53 | 4423476 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

"...Ignoramus!"

Excuse me, but it's Ignatius J. Reilly, Mongoloid, Esq. to you.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:56 | 4423490 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

"...QE game to support Obozo..."

He's been a good little doggie.  Isn't QE about the banks?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:34 | 4423612 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

QE has always been about funneling cash to the Big Banks. It was never about Obama or anything else. They are tapering now because the risks to those banks from continuing QE outweigh any additional benefits to the banks from QE. It's as simple as that.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 13:52 | 4424282 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

BINGO again Edog.  You win the thread!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:34 | 4423415 konputa
konputa's picture

Is there no live stream? I can't find it on CSPAN or Bloomberg.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:37 | 4423419 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

this is just a release of prepared remarks

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:47 | 4423468 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

you're into grannyporn he?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:08 | 4423532 konputa
konputa's picture

A daily dose of two minutes hate is more like it, comrade.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:39 | 4423416 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

europe up 1% so who cares what yellen says /s

 

barclays walking a failure tightrope and all is well in euroland

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:36 | 4423417 Max Damage
Max Damage's picture

Thank fuck there is no picture of her in this article

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:40 | 4423427 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Yea, our politicians are more pitiful looking than at any time in recent history.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:44 | 4423453 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Inbreeding will do that...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:43 | 4423637 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I think Mark Davis, the owner of the Oakland Raiders, is the love child of Al Davis and Janet Yellen.

http://www.faniq.com/blog/The-Curious-Case-of-Raiders-Owner-Mark-Davis-Blog-72783

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 13:57 | 4424304 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

A grown man with a bowlcut who is not mentally disabled disqualifies himself from any position of responsibility.  Poor Raiderfans, I thought they had hope once the crazy old man died, then I saw his son.  By now I would have thrown in the towel and supported the 49ers.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:50 | 4423477 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

shhhhhhhhhh....don't give the Tylers any ideas

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:38 | 4423420 MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture
  • *YELLEN SAYS RECOVERY IN LABOR MARKET IS `FAR FROM COMPLETE'

When did it start beautiful?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:36 | 4423421 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

So glad we can audit them to make sure

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:37 | 4423422 Skin666
Skin666's picture

So the pin is pulled out of the clusterfuck grenade...

 

Tick tock tick tock...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:39 | 4423429 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

From yesterday...."Bulls can only hope that Birinyi is correct (and it's the stock that matters)..."

so far, so good.


Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:59 | 4423503 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@fonzannoon

This is the point in the saga where she's bathing herself in the punchbowl.  Everyone else still sees the that the punchbowl hasn't been taken away, but they're blind to to her spoiling it.  After she stews in it awhile, nobody's gonna want it....

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:11 | 4423538 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I hear you man. I still think we have some serious juice left in the tank. But I guess we will see. The fact that they are going ahead with cutting down the flow tells me they are either making a huge mistake, or feel pretty damn confident skynet is up and running.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:41 | 4423431 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Recovery in labor market is far from complete. Ask the 48 million households on snap if there is any recovery in the labor market you withered old troll.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:51 | 4423447 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I heard she brought cookies. Oatmeal rasisin!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:15 | 4423545 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Ensure IV drips for everyone!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:49 | 4423474 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

Money
Get away
You get a good job with good pay and you're okay
Money
It's a gas
Grab that cash with both hands and make a stash
New car, caviar, four star daydream ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpbbuaIA3Ds

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:41 | 4423433 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

Who's gonna blink first?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:00 | 4423506 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Either way, we don't win.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:40 | 4423437 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Yellen says "we'll debase the dollar with 50% but nobody will notice it and she doesn't expect any fallout"

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:40 | 4423438 More_sellers_th...
More_sellers_than_buyers's picture

Who cares. Taper ...no taper...we cant audit them, so what they say has no reflection on reality. 85 billion a month? could be 400 billion or 0. How are we to know?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:43 | 4423440 GoldenTool
GoldenTool's picture

Taper on Biatchz!

 

"vini, vidi, vici"

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:41 | 4423443 digitlman
digitlman's picture

What's that Yellen is Smellin'?

 

 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:42 | 4423446 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

did anyone actually think this stupid fucking cunt would say anything to tick off the markets?

 

we must rally on, spy, goog, fb, twtr, all must finish green, the dow must get back to 16000, they will wipe away the entire 7 percent loss from the start of the year in a heartbeat.

 

why the fuck would the fucking market be up last week the final 2 days on absolute shit data the amount it was, other than the fact that these stupid fuckers will control this thing and never let it happen.

 

i hope all these bankers fucking die.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:46 | 4423448 bozarking
bozarking's picture

She didn't give her 2 cents on when to short JPY? Disappointing.

 

 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:49 | 4423475 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Market order....wide stops.....

Go for it.

 

Shalom!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:46 | 4423460 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Global market risks are not a big issue for the U.S? Where did I here that before?

 

Oh yeah.....Sub-prime is contained and not a major risk. ~The Bernank~

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:47 | 4423469 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

memory lane for anyone who is interested

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QpD64GUoXw

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:47 | 4423466 Sufiy
Sufiy's picture


Morgan Gold: Gold Shortage - Is It Time To Buy Gold?

There is Gold shortage to come very soon as all the Gold which has gone to the East will not be coming back. China is accumulating Gold with military state-level planning and devotion. The real numbers of 2,181 tons of Gold imported by China last year, Koos Jasen is talking about, are really groundbreaking and close to the world's annual production.

 

http://sufiy.blogspot.co.uk/2014/02/morgan-gold-gold-shortage-is-it-time...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:48 | 4423471 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

has been for the last decade

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 09:53 | 4423485 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

the wordcloud code:

~~~~~~~~

financial Committee

inflation rate

labor market
percent purchases
current year

Federal federal

~~~

pretty much says it all right there

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:04 | 4423510 F em all but 6
F em all but 6's picture

I can see it now. Hillary in the white house riding in on a broom. Yellen pulling the strings behind the curtain. The problem? There exists no substance known to man that will cover the collective stench of the vaginal discharge eminating from those 2 cunts. Moreover, I think Bill had it right. Long tuna flavored cigars.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:09 | 4423535 madbraz
madbraz's picture

Yellen, as you claim in your report to the House that you and your FED are "strengthening the financial system", answer me this:

 

Why oh why did the FED propose to use a "credit rating" system (CRC) to "strengthen the liquidity position" of TBTF banks that is not used for sovereign credit rating anywhere in the world (it's not a credit rating!).

 

Could it be that one of your primary dealers suggested this to your friend Dudley at the NY FED?  Could it be that this is being done because based on this "system" Greek debt and other garbage can be used as "risk free" collateral for calculating liquidity ratios?

 

Do you work for the people or do you work for JP Morgan?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:29 | 4423583 Woodhippie
Woodhippie's picture

"Do you work for the people or do you work for JP Morgan?"

 

umm .. she works for a private bank.  What's the "people" got to do with it?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:33 | 4423597 madbraz
madbraz's picture

Sarcasm new to you?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:34 | 4423601 Woodhippie
Woodhippie's picture

Sorry brotha... not used to reading your posts .. my bad.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:19 | 4423561 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

"And we have the market going up WITH a continuation of Taper AND no POMO today!!"  At least no "official" POMO...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:34 | 4423611 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

How come the Bernank is called "Chairman" but old Yellen is just called "Chair?"

Could it be that the Fed Presidents and Governors don't recognize women as people? Pretty old school, those lifeless fuckers.

Maybe we need Sheryl Sandberg to "lean in" on some of them. A little titty bump could probably do some good, except for the gay one's like James (just the tip, please) Bullard.

Oh, well, keep stakin'...

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 13:54 | 4424296 akak
akak's picture

To use the word "man", as in "Chairman", implies an acknowledgment that the person in question is actually a member of the human species.

I think Yellen has them confused on this point.

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:38 | 4423620 Rising Sun
Rising Sun's picture

Corporate job building and research strategy - share buybacks.

 

Fuck you Yellen!!!

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 10:42 | 4423632 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Just as Goldman has predicted…

Don’t you mean, “Just as Goldman has instructed?”

 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 11:38 | 4423799 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

Pre-Yellen: S&P Futs 1801, Gold $1285, 10Y 2.68%, USDJPY 102.3

 

Gold is drilling up through 1290 now, bitchez!  Silver at 20.25 and rising.  I'd say BTFD, but that ain't possible right now...but I'll still buy silver all day any day as long as it's under 30/oz. 

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 14:27 | 4424423 Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

Why does Yellen speak as if she forget her small helmet in the green room? I guess being stupid isn't illegal?

Tue, 02/11/2014 - 14:39 | 4424475 XRAYD
XRAYD's picture

With Ben, Housing crisis was "contained". Now this:

 

YELLEN: GLOBAL MARKET SHIFTS NOT A BIG RISK TO U.S. OUTLOOK!!

-  so how about Obama and doubling EXPORTS? To where?

- AND S&P getting 1/2 earnings from overseas? How?

Stay tuned!

 

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