Fukushima Radiation To Reach West Coast Next Month

Tyler Durden's picture

Over the past three years there has been endless debate over whether the Fukushima radioactive fallout is hitting the US west coast, or if, as the media spin would have it, it is largely isolated, and best to just take their word for it for the simple reason that no federal agency currently samples Pacific Coast seawater for radiation. The answer may finally be in sight, and it is not a pleasant one: USA Today reports that "very low levels of radiation from the Fukushima nuclear disaster likely will reach ocean waters along the U.S. West Coast next month, scientists are reporting. Current models predict that the radiation will be at extremely low levels that won't harm humans or the environment, said Ken Buesseler, a chemical oceanographer at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution who presented research on the issue last week.

Hopefully these "models" are better at forecasting than the Fed's (which are operated by three supercomputers), and the definition of "minimum" hasn't undergone the same material revisions as did "maximum" in the context of the maximum permitted radiation dose falling on Tepco workers in the days when Japan desperately was lying every day about the magnitude of the radioactive disaster. Obviously, it is one thing to make up predictions for the sake of avoiding a panic, it is something entirely different to have empirical data: "I'm not trying to be alarmist," Buesseler said. "We can make predictions, we can do models. But unless you have results, how will we know it's safe?"

As if Buesseler doesn't know that any actual data that reveals alarming results will be seasonally adjusted, and then all excess radiation will be blamed on the "harsh winter weather."

Mockery of economists and other idiots aside, here are the facts on the prevailing models:

There are three competing models of the Fukushima radiation plume, differing in amount and timing. But all predict that the plume will reach the West Coast this summer, and the most commonly cited one estimates an April arrival, Buesseler said.

 

A report presented last week at a conference of the American Geophysical Union's Ocean Sciences Section showed that some Cesium 134 has already has arrived in Canada, in the Gulf of Alaska area.

 

Cesium 134 serves as a fingerprint for Fukushima, Buesseler said.

 

"The models show it will reach north of Seattle first, then move down the coast," Buesseler said.

The good news:

By the time it gets here, the material will be so diluted as to be almost negligible, the models predict. Radiation also decays. Cesium 134, for example, has a half-life of two years, meaning it will have half its original intensity after that period.

Or rather, make that the spin: after all as the paper notes, West Coast states are winding down their tsunami debris response efforts. "Oregon's coastline is seeing less debris from the tsunami this winter than in the past two years, Oregon State Parks spokesman Chris Havel said. If that doesn't change, officials likely will disband a task force that was mobilized to deal with the debris. Last year, Washington suspended its marine debris reporting hotline."

One can be certain that no amount of reality, or radioactivity, will be allowed to spoil the budgeted plans that involve a return to normalcy even as the Fukushima power plant is nowhere near contained today, than it was the day after the historic catastrophe from March 2011.

And in case that is not yet clear, here is exhibit A: a Reuters report on Fukushima children that assigns increasingly abnormal pathologies not on the fallout from the Fukushima explosion but, get this, on their staying indoors!

Some of the smallest children in Koriyama, a short drive from the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant, barely know what it's like to play outside -- fear of radiation has kept them in doors for much of their short lives.  Though the strict safety limits for outdoor activity set after multiple meltdowns at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant in 2011 have now been eased, parental worries and ingrained habit mean many children still stay inside.

 

And the impact is now starting to show, with children experiencing falling strength, lack of coordination, some cannot even ride a bicycle, and emotional issues like shorter tempers, officials and educators say.

 

"There are children who are very fearful. They ask before they eat anything, 'does this have radiation in it?' and we have to tell them it's okay to eat," said Mitsuhiro Hiraguri, director of the Emporium Kindergarten in Koriyama, some 55 km (35 miles) west of the Fukushima nuclear plant. "But some really, really want to play outside. They say they want to play in the sandbox and make mud pies. We have to tell them no, I'm sorry. Play in the sandbox inside instead."

You see, the falling strength, the lack of coordination, and the behavioral changes three years after the explosion, are all due to children not being allowed to play in Fukushima's spilling over radioactive cooling water, where as of a month ago, record amounts of Cesium were recorded. Nothing to do at all with slightly "abnormal" levels of alpha, beta and gamma radiation in the air.

This continues:

"Compared to before the disaster, you can certainly see a fall in the results of physical strength and ability tests - things like grip strength, running and throwing balls," said Toshiaki Yabe, an official with the Koriyama city government.

 

Hiraguri said that stress was showing up in an increase of scuffles, arguments and even sudden nosebleeds among the children, as well as more subtle effects.

 

"There's a lot more children who aren't all that alert in their response to things. They aren't motivated to do anything," he said.

Yes: the nosebleeds and the lack of alertness too are not due to the radiation, but all entirely due to being kept away from it. We suppose the proper advice here is: to avoid sudden nosebleeds, short tempers, and falling strength, let you children run like the wind, if possible into the Third reactor's cooling tanks.

One really can't make this pathetic, deadly BS up.

So keeping in the theme of this lunacy, and coming soon to a Orwellian banana dictatorship near you: the poor will be taxed more, because it is their fault they did not invest the money they don't have, in Glorious Bernank's attempt to make everything better for everyone. Remember: the Chairsatan was just paid in one hour more than in one full year at the Fed to reveal that "his natural inclination would be to try to help the average person."

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ForTheWorld's picture

This just in - we're fucked.

medium giraffe's picture

Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue.

LetThemEatRand's picture

au contraire.  The glue has anti-carcinogenic properties*.  Sniff on.

*this message brought to you by Toky brand airplane glue.  Take a flight with usTM

Independent's picture

LOL very low levels, how about HIGH levels of radiation via microparticles of plutonium, uranium and a bunch of other isotopes that were released into the air from the nuclear meldown that penetrated the reactor vessel, all those tiny airborne particles took a fast ride on the the jet stream and have settled into the lungs and digestive tracts of a lot of Americans a long time ago.

philipat's picture

And how would they know that if nobody is actually measuring the levels? The half life of many of the nastier isotopes is 30 years and up. Maybe justice will come to "Surfer Dude" after all?

LetThemEatRand's picture

Good point.  Even for the other stuff, the last time I checked "half-life" means it's only half as deadly after x years.    The half-life of an AK-47 is however many rounds are in it, divided by two.

philipat's picture

Does that method of calculation explain why DHS bought so many Hollowtips?

LetThemEatRand's picture

Si, as Eric Holder might say.

Skateboarder's picture

West coast raidated skateboarding. Glow in the dark would be cool. Hole in your face will not be cool.

wintermute's picture

Any desal plants in California?

CuttingEdge's picture

Next I-Phone to feature a mini G-counter for West Coast residents? They'd sell a shitload...

divide_by_zero's picture

There's one being built in Carlsbad right now, probably another couple years til it goes online.

giggler321's picture

yer "Look at me, I have < . . . > 3 eyes"

The Dunce's picture

Green glowing sushi kicks ass.  Bastards.

CheapBastard's picture

Yes, I saw the article...USA, page 52, 5th column down at the bottom of the page.

Jack Burton's picture

Good points as always Rand! What many people fail to understand is the difference between being radiated externally by a source. Very low levels of this type can do little harm at all, thus dilution is great. BUT, particles that can be inhaled or eaten, Oh, that is a different thing. No matter how diluted a particle cloud, it only takes a single particle inhaled to sit in your body for years hitting the cells right around it with radiation until it triggers that one single cell to mutate into cancer. Thus plutonium is perhaps the greatest poison we know of, as only a few particles per person can set off a wave of cancer.

The real problem is that TEPCO and Tokyo are lying and covering up the real extent of releases. We have NO IDEA what was, is and will continue to be realeased. 3 cores have melted through containment, and god knows how much spent fuel was blasted out in the three hydrogen explosions.

The worst that I can see is the ground water contamination via the three melt downs. These are raw core materials leeching into the ground water. Then there is all that daily cooling water pouring over cores to prevet further melt down.

The biggest joke I ever heard in my live was the day CNN had breaking news out of Fukushima that all the cores had been placed in safe cold shutdown! Ha! What a laugh.

LetThemEatRand's picture

Other than that, honorable Mrs. Lincolnshima, how was the play?

prmths2's picture

Half-life refers to the amount of time it takes for half of the radioactive material to decay, not how "deadly" it is. A really short half-life means that the material typically decays before you have a chance to come into contact with it. A really long half-life (U235, U238) indicates a slow rate of decay, and the total radiation dose will be low for a human life span. Intermediate half-life (Pu238) is the most problematic.

Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

 

Half-life - the time it takes for half the quantity of a given element to decay into the next element in the series, which MAY or may not be radioactive .. LEAD is the final step in the sequence for Uranium for instance ...

 

 

Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

 

Independent says: "LOL very low levels, how about HIGH levels of radiation via microparticles of plutonium, uranium and a bunch of other isotopes ... "

 

Sniffing the ocean again? Those compounds you list are pretty standard fare in the ocean anyway ...

 

 

Carpenter1's picture

Radiation doesn't disseminate evenly so saying it will be low levels is misinformation.  Radiation travels in condensed pockets, or strains. Fish and sea life are already dying by the millions, though the "low levels of radiation" arent even here.

This is because streams have already arrived and are killing whatever crosses its path. You can take a reading in one place which shows no radiation while 50 ft away could be off the chart.

Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

 

" Fish and sea life are already dying by the millions, ... "

 

That's normal; how many fish DIE in the ocean on any given day? (Ans: Billions)

 

(IOW you made a tautological statement.)

Pooper Popper's picture

Ora Noe...

Youra  donga goin too glowa!!!

SnobGobbler's picture

mr busseler is a twat, woods hole is partnered with the DOE; not to mention the models dont account for the full 3 year  release. ongoing release i mean.

all lies

Jim in MN's picture

You know who else is fucked?

 

I was looking around the WIPP accident site in NM, and guess what the nearest downwind population center is?

 

Midland, TX.   WHO LIVES IN MIDLAND TX???

 

And folks wonder why there is no admission of how bad the Valentine's Day Plutonium Puff was (or is, considering no humans can enter the contaminated site a month later).

 

Somebody is in deep, deep, doo-doo.

medium giraffe's picture

"Somebody is in deep, deep, doo-doo."

 

Homo Sapiens.

Jack Burton's picture

Was it a proven plutonium particulate release? If so, that is the worst shit possible, dispersal doesn't help, actually makes it worse, like I said above.

Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

Jim in MN pens: " I was looking around the WIPP accident site in NM, and guess what the nearest downwind population center is? "

Are you conflating several issues? On purpose maybe? Are you actually aware of what took place at WIPP? Even remotely?
Jim in MN's picture

No.  No.  And yes.  Also yes.

failure to perform's picture

Does anyone else remember reading this article from 2009? http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3748014,00.html

"The experiment's results were dramatic: 70% of the monkeys that did not receive the cure died, while the ones that survived suffered from the various maladies associated with lethal nuclear radiation. However, the group that did receive the anti-radiation shot saw almost all monkeys survive, most of them without any side-effects. The tests showed that injecting the medication between 24 hours before the exposure to 72 hours following the exposure achieves similar results."

I wonder how much more they know now?

P.S. I truly think we are screwed. If they have a pill, it's not for us. Anyways I just wish they would just get the show going, I'm tired of wating for the next shoe to drop. Three deaths due to cancer this month, I'm actually becoming numb

Tim_'s picture

Their stock (Nasdaq:CBLI) price has crashed. Maybe it is a buy.


Entolimod (CBLB502) Biodefense

"Entolimod (CBLB502) is in development as a countermeasure against death following total body irradiation. Acute radiation syndrome (ARS) results from radiation exposure, for which there are currently no FDA-approved treatments."

"Efficacy of Entolimod (CBLB502) as a radiation countermeasure has been assessed in animal models. These studies demonstrate that a single administration of Entolimod (CBLB502) given either before or after lethal total body irradiation leads to significant improvement in animal survival. We showed that Entolimod (CBLB502) reduces radiation damage to both hematopoietic (HP) and gastrointestinal (GI) tissues and improves tissue regeneration."

"We completed two clinical studies that involved administration of a range of doses of Entolimod (CBLB502) in 150 healthy human volunteers. Both studies demonstrated that administration of Entolimod (CBLB502) appears to be safe within a certain dose range."

Buck Johnson's picture

We are fucked, and it's so true.  They did research on radiation and the oceans ability to dilute it, they say it's possible but others have commented that the govt. report on that was classified.  I think that the ocean is just like the air and the land, radiation can contaminate to the point that it can't be diluted.  Also Plutonium is a man made and doesn't occur naturally in the environment.

-NaN-'s picture

A small town in Alaska will be taking samples very soon, if not already, and will be posting the results to this website (see article): http://sewardcitynews.com/2014/02/fukushima-fallout-what-can-seward-do/

Jack Burton's picture

I like Seward, beautiful place! Sounds like locals are going to act in their own self interest instead of relying on the great Washington Corporate Whore House!

fockewulf190's picture

"This just in - we're fucked."

If any of those spent fuel rods over at Fuki get a taste of fresh air and spontaneously combust, then we'll be way beyond just fucked, or even FUBAR. It will be an extinction event....and we will all enter the world of "On The Beach".

zuuma's picture

Jeeeze!

Even if my secret bunker had a lead lined roof, excellent rad scrubbing air intakes

And a mildly overpressure atmosphere --

I STILL wouldn't want to live in the fucker for 30 YEARS!

...there's always a bottle of whiskey, a pistol, and an open field, I guess.

Hobbleknee's picture

If USA Today says it's coming next month, then it already came last year.

Mr Pink's picture

I thought it was supposed to be here last month

booboo's picture

Yea, whatever happened to the floatsum that was as big as Maine, did California land a team of Latino's on it and claim it yet? Calishima.

 

tenpanhandle's picture

I'm kind of curious how the debris came and went a year before the radiation contamination.  All I know is that I haven' been and won't be eating WestCoast shell fish for another half life or two. 

Anyone hear about the dissappearing starfsh? 

http://www.newsmax.com/SciTech/starfish-deaths-west-coast/2014/02/01/id/550330

A Lunatic's picture

Starfish aren't soft and cuddly so who gives a shit..........??

 

 

 

Uber Vandal's picture

And a year prior to that (Feb. 2012), sea urchins were dying off around Hawaii.

http://thegardenisland.com/news/local/large-scale-die-off-of-sea-urchins...

Sea Urchins found dead at Hawaii February 2012

Star Fish / Sea Stars found dead on west coast August / September 2013


Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

 

"And a year prior to that (Feb. 2012), sea urchins were dying off around Hawaii."

 

Right. Chalk it up to, um, yeah - radiation. Never mind any other factors that may be operative.

 

Anyone else get the feeling we are 'devolving' from making use of our minds to pure animal impulses - like fear - as the internet grows in prominence?

 

Shades of the 'Tower of Babel" I would say.

 

 

Uber Vandal's picture

Funny, I did not mention radiation or Fukushima in my original post, neither did the article from 2012.

So, who is "using animal impusles" again?

Ident 7777 economy's picture

By implication or inference; check out the title of this thread again ...

Tim_'s picture

Mysterious cluster of birth defects in Washington state stumps doctors


"They went through hospital and doctors' records in a three-county area and found 23 cases of anencephaly from January 2010 to January 2013. Such a finding meant a rate of 8.4 cases per 10,000 live births -- four times higher than the national average of 2.1 cases per 10,000 live births."

"For months, Andrea Jackman has been expecting a call from the Department of Health. While pregnant, Jackman lived in the Yakima Valley, an agricultural area in south-central Washington. Her daughter, Olivia, was born in September with spina bifida, which, like anencephaly, is a neural tube defect the state is also tracking."

"She says she's incredulous and outraged that state researchers haven't called to ask questions... ."

"'What are you researching if you haven't physically called the families to find out?' she asks."

groundedkiwi's picture

Google anencephaly and Hiroshima.

Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

 

1) No other factors have been considered (very poor research).

2) Wide-ranging conclusion erroneously based on a "case sample of one".

3) No direct cause-effect relationship established.

Tim_'s picture

Highly radioactive: 1,000 gallons of nuclear waste leak in Washington state every year


"Six tanks at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation are leaking an estimated 1,000 gallons of nuclear waste each year."

"The Hanford Nuclear Reservation, which was established in 1943 as part of the Manhattan Project, is mostly decommissioned but still holds two-thirds of the nation’s radioactive waste in its 177 tanks. The millions of gallons of radioactive material, which still remain from Cold War-era plutonium production, are highly dangerous and are quickly dripping into American soil."

"The government estimates that already 1 million gallons of radioactive liquid have leaked from the Hanford Nuclear Reservation... ."

"The radioactive waste contains the most dangerous chemicals known to man, including plutonium, enriched uranium, nitric acid and solvents."

"Leaks were discovered years ago, but the Department of Energy said the problem had been solved when it was initially discovered in 2005."