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Guest Post: How Monetary Policy Drives Foreign Policy

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Via The Animal Spirits Page blog,

It should now be evident that America's foreign policy is to an extent being driven by our banking mess. Again and again, we see Washington, including Wall Street's handmaiden, the Fed, exporting monetary chaos implicitely in order to weaken the status of potentially competing reserve currencies:

  • Wall Street sent a tsunami of bad AAA-rated mortgage debt to Europe, much to Germany, the locus of power for the Euro (and again, implicit admission of guilt is seen in the apparent fronting of billions of bailout dollars to the European banks by the Fed after the crisis);
  • Washington has apparently fomented or supported a coup in the Ukraine that increases the likelihood of war in Europe dramatically therefore sending the gigantic pools of liquid financial assets in the world scurrying into the greenback and US Treasuries, which the Chinese have stopped gobbling up;
  • the other factor is that the military-industrial complex needs war to get its funding, and when drone-bombing rag-heads can't provoke a serious attack, destabilizing a former Eastern bloc nation and provoking a somewhat justifiably paranoid Russian leader into military action guarantees at least a shot in the arm of crisis funding.

Russia has repeatedly stated over the past decades that an EU move on the Ukraine crosses a red line. The EU ignored the warning, and with the US's help and the ire of Ukrainians sick of a corrupt government crossed Putin's red line. What the Ukrainians want is democracy and relief from their corrupt plutocrats (see previous post's article by Paul Craig Roberts).

The US has no compelling strategic interest in the Ukraine, or in the Crimea remaining part of the Ukraine. Yes, the Ukraine has been looted by its oligarchs, just as Russia was, and just as the US is being looted by its oligarchs right now; incomes of a majority of American households are falling so the banks can collect on bad debts. It would be nice for people everywhere if they could break the grip of the plutocrats over their livelihoods. In the Ukraine, to substitute debt servitude to Western banks for the domination of the oligarchs would only accelerate the collapse of the EU. And it's not clear the EU, if it offers help, won't be ripped off by the oligarchs as well. The new government in the Ukraine has already increased the power of the oligarchs by giving them provinces to rule, so it's not clear the Western "rescuers" are even able to help solve the fundamental problem at all, and might end up losing their shirts again, as they have in Greece, Portugal, et al.

Until democratic governments around the world become strong enough to counteract the power of the plutocrats by taxing them, both their income and their wealth (as Sweden does) the revolving looting of sovereign governments and demolition of middle classes by the plutocrats and their corporations will continue.

A couple of posts ago I said the scariest thing I've heard recently was Catherine Anne Fitts saying what the world needs now is a global debt for equity swap. I should say I generally like Ms. Fitts' analysis and suspect she may even have misspoken when she made this comment. Such a move would concentrate ownership of the world's assets sufficiently to create even more of a Plantation Earth than we have currently.

She identified the problem, but not the solution. What the world needs now is a global jubilee, debt forgiveness. The debt that the Fed is shoving under the carpet via QE is what is known in banking circles as "bad debt." It is loans that never should have been made because they will never be repaid. In honest not crony capitalism such debts come out of the profits (as losses) of the banks that made them. In crony capitalism, with a central bank controlled by the banks, such debts are "paid back" by being monetized and put on the backs of the taxpayers either directly or through inflation.

The austerity programs Europe has put in place so that Wall Street and European banks can be paid back bad debts have destroyed more than one economy and more are probably yet to fall. (The idea promoted ten plus years ago of "convergence" of interest rates in the EU between periphery and core caused me to gag at the time.) Debt slavery to Western banks is not the answer. (China is apparently making similar mistakes; it will be interesting to see what they do with the bad debt. I suspect their strong central government will tell the bankers to go stuff it.) Ms. Fitts suggests that sooner or later the plutocrats will destroy the banks in order to buy them cheap and collect the rents themselves, canny suggestion indeed.

Chaos in the world = a strong dollar. Until it doesn't. Chaos has a way of being unpredictable.

Capitalism has killed democracy. "Free" markets dominated by monopolies and oligopolies are not what Adam Smith had in mind. It's time for democracy to be reborn. There are degrees of economic inequality that are simply immoral and destructive and humankind has the right to reject them. When the top 85 families own as much as the bottom 3.5 billion people, as recently reported, we have reached such a point.

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Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:35 | 4536945 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

Free Akak*

*EDIT:  his name was Tyler Durden.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:54 | 4537032 booboo
booboo's picture

"Until democratic governments around the world become strong enough to counteract the power of the plutocrats"

What a fucking dumb statement, the very reason the "plutocrats" exist is BECAUSE of a powerful demoCrazy. How the hell do you think these folk got there in the first place, they were VOTED into power by the idiots who believe that everyone else should pay for their lifestyle. FUCK, what a circle jerk. Can we for once settle the argument that democracy is nothing but mob rule and the birth mother of fascism. Can we agree that adults can contract for any fucking service they agree on without having Dianne Fienstien rummage through their bedroom and shake them down for a few shekels.

Fuck the state.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:00 | 4537056 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I agree, Booboo.  I've been saying for a while now we should just go back to having kings and emperors and be done with it.  

The sheep now feed only at the trough.  They don't even venture out in the meadow any more.  They were told the grass was sour and there were wolves lurking around every tree.  Far too dangerous.  We need protection now, not freedom, no matter the cost.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:07 | 4537080 National Blessing
National Blessing's picture

It's all crap.  We're still a super power.  Death to the empire is a good thing.  This credit bubble is a blessing in disguise.  Maybe we can go back to being a republic.  Bitches.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:14 | 4537435 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

Taxing plutocrats and giving money to governments is a sure way to create a collectivist (totalitarian) world.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:21 | 4537451 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

You can't tax the rule makers.

 

0.1% are taxing top 20% income earners to redistribute to the rest of bottom 80% which keeps the masses at bay.

 

only way to prevent plutocracy is to divide up the power and change hands frequently. That's what empires do to conquered lands. 

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 05:52 | 4537694 new game
new game's picture

the swiss have it right.  democracy doesn't end at the voting both. by petition the people introduce bills to be voted on.

imagine fucking that.

bill # 1 = term limits

2= equel benifits for elected SERVANTS OF THE STATE, their new title(ohiltercare)

3=corp NOT a person

4=donations limit, no fucking exceptions, abolish pacs ect. mandatory ten sentence for violation.

5=national sales tax, abolish irs(sorry all you accountants, no tit to suck)

6=edit the fed, next upon revealing the truth, return to money backed by something tangible instead of force.

7=budget is determined by receipts of national tax, smothed out by rolling average with automatic cuts if receipts trend lower.  when surpluses acumulate, people decide the fate of THIER MONEY!

the republic would be run by the people that elected the servants that want the job-a check and balance by propsitions,the people...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 09:57 | 4538341 Steve in Greensboro
Steve in Greensboro's picture

California has public initiatives and referenda.  A more messed up place politically would be hard to find.

I would prefer not to grant the power to decide how I live to a typical voter, i.e. somebody who gets his news from "The Daily Show".

The solution is to return the U.S. to Constitutional government.  Simple but difficult.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:17 | 4537107 prains
prains's picture

you are killing an art form with your paint by numbers, Irrational Festuring........it's Bitchez

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:17 | 4537109 Anusocracy
Anusocracy's picture

Government is a lure Mother Nature created to catch slaves.

Wake up little dupes, freedom beckons.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:24 | 4537130 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

Anyone care that Akak apparently has been banned?  http://www.zerohedge.com/users/akak

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:28 | 4537145 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

Get the word out. This is important. Something's been "off" since March 1. Purge?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:33 | 4537163 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

So much for ZH being different.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:05 | 4537293 AmericasCicero
AmericasCicero's picture

What is an akak?

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:14 | 4537317 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

A long time poster on this site when it was something different.  I used to get in vigorous debates with him.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:32 | 4537362 Anusocracy
Anusocracy's picture

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-03/ukraine-denies-russias-denial-c...

Akak

0

-6

You will be happy to know that, due to the pro-authoritarian shifts in editorial stance and popular opinions here on ZH, I will in fact be leaving. I have asked the administration of ZH to delete my account here, and in any case this will be my very last post after my four-year tenure here.

Please enjoy your Czar Vladimir fan club, of which I want no part.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:31 | 4537468 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

like facebook you can leave but can't delete, but unlike zookerberg, Ivandjiiski is not rich

 

On March 14, 2006, while in possession of that material, non-public information, Ivandjiiski bought 1000 shares of Hawaiian Holdings for $4.75 a share. On March 15th, when the new financing was publicly announced, the share price of Hawaiian Holdings increased 6%, to close at $5.30. On March 21, 2006, Ivandjiiski sold his 1,000 shares of Hawaiian Holdings stock for $5.53 per share, for a profit of $780.

 

 

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:51 | 4537404 Vlad Tepid
Vlad Tepid's picture

I think he antagonized the overlord's Chinese minions a little too much...AnAnonymous went and cried to the Chairman, who put in a call to whoever runs Teh Internets.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:06 | 4537296 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

Clicked on your link, it says you are not authorized to view this page, that means he is banned? And might you have any idea why that is? If that's true, I'm beginning to wonder if I even want to keep coming here. He gets banned, but all the Sarah palin trolls the other day are still lurking I'm sure...we will see by the down votes I get for that...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:23 | 4537332 g'kar
g'kar's picture

Never could understand the hatred that woman generated.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:50 | 4537381 tickhound
tickhound's picture

Similarly, some guys like dildos in their asses... Just not too big. Been like this ever since the USS Limbaugh landed here and Tyler went back to being Mr. Norton counting clicks for his IKEA rewards program.

You're in line with current zh trend... Look at it as your home away from the National Review.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:40 | 4537383 Hulk
Hulk's picture

He wasn't banned. he quit and turned off his account. He felt ZH liked Putin too much...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 08:41 | 4537983 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

I frequently post comments about Putin and Russia in this Ukraine mess and posted comments about Putin and Russia with regards to the Syria mess.  I wonder if I'm one of those people considered pro Putin.  while I don't really care what others think here are the facts:

1.  I don't have a dog in this fight.  That might be a shocking statement to some, coming from someone living in the West knowing that when the West crumbles my lifestyle will crumble with it.  I know that most Americans know, intuitively at least, that they materially benefit from America's Empire.  but I know that America's Empire harms me and other larger ways including its constant war on my natural rights.  so I endeavor to point out when America's tactics which it has used for the last 50 years or more get turned around and used against her Icannot help but note the irony.

2.  I have previously pointed out how the Russians for decades deployed diplomats to deal with the West who had decades of international diplomatic experience.  Putin himself has decades of international experience dealing with the West.  our system in marked contrast produces a new cadre of idiots every four years who are like children upon the world stage.  our children have been able to get away with their child like worldviews and behaviors because they were backed by our economy which backed our military.  now that the politicians have successfully destroyed the productive economy and over deployed the military trying to increase and maintain Empire the game has changed dramatically and our diplomats' shortcomings are now being made apparent to us.  this should come as a surprise to no one but for some reason most are shocked by it.  

3.  as Judge Napolitano recently pointed out Putin is a torturer a murderer and  a criminal.  those things can also be truthfully said about recent American presidents.  there is nothing admirable here.

4.  depending on whose number you believe the Russians sacrificed nearly seven hundred thousand troops in the Battle of Smolensk in order to slow the German advance and protect Moscow.  anyone who believes Putin is going to roll over for the likes of Barack Obama is a f****** moron.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 09:18 | 4538153 11b40
11b40's picture

You are not authorized to access this page.

This is the message I get when following your link.

Anyone know why Akak was banned?  He had been around a long time.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:04 | 4537421 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

 

 

National Blessing writes a good blog, fishez!

I wrote a piece in tribute to his.  I decided to take a crack at talking about my day.  Nothing that interesting.  Nothing really new, well, in Peru but that´s it.

You don´t want to read it?  I don´t care.

"A Tribute to Another Blogger"

http://tinyurl.com/lwn2shy

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:34 | 4537171 Solon the Destroyer
Solon the Destroyer's picture

There's a lot of fucking dumb statements in this article. There's some good stuff too. It reads all mixed up and ambiguous like the muddle-headed thinking of someone new to econ. 

He certainly isn't someone with the acumen to be criticizing the thinking of Catherine Austin Fitts with sweet fuck all provided to back up that criticism.  He even recommends a debt jubilee, which besides being impossible for a debt-based currency system, is a sure-fire guarantee of hyper-inflation (I should know).  And no mention of precious metals or the gold standard.  He admires a strong central government in another comment... and then recognizes that this is crony capitalism... yep, muddle-headed. 

He sounds like he is getting it (slowly), but is by no means an authority of any sort and really isn't deserving of having his thoughts re-published by ZH.  I hate saying that as I appreciate almost everything published here, whether I agree with it or not, but this piece was a bit facile and naive.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:23 | 4537341 Ifigenia
Ifigenia's picture

the solution is every voter has the right to sold his vote to the highest bider.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 04:53 | 4537655 The.Harmless.Who
The.Harmless.Who's picture

 

 

It really doesn't matter.  

 

Any flourishing democracy will soon be destroyed, by the in-flow of the Zionist Talmudic Tribes into it.

 

These fuckers have their own code, and that is the sub-jew-gation of the masses, using currency and wars.  It has been their way for thousands of years - and the experience of destruction beats anything constructive ideas or ideals we might have.  

 

Therefore, "the masses" winning is neither possible or realistic.  The real goal should be to avoid defeat - i.e. to never surrender to the parasitic tribe.

 

The solution is simply non-alliance to these scumbags. The good news is, you're here - on Zero Hedge (and you've probably read/seen fight club), so this gives you an edge.  

 

Don't play inside the system. Don't be a sucker thinking the US Govt and the Army it uses are part of the Real America or the wider "free" world.  Don't support your jailer by giving taxes hand over fist.  Self incorp, find any means to legally avoid taxation - that's a start. 

 

And, stack on - because history has shown us that the zionist talmudc tribe only talks down gold so that they can take it from you in exchange for cheap paper!!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:33 | 4536958 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

1. Keep issuing fiat currency
2. Use Wall St and MIC to export said fiat.
3. Pass GO, collect $200M bonus, enjoy life.
4. Rinse and Repeat.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:35 | 4537174 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

pretty much. you could argue "the war isn't big enough." we had stupendously high tax rates for WWII. Of course wage and price controls, recycling, Rosie the Riveter.

Something isn't working when you have this much debt.
The amount of oil currently off market is simply staggering.
Libya, Iraq, Venezuela, Kazakstan...that's four million barrels of oil a day right there.

Look at British Petroleum...the company is getting looted.
Somehwere in here is a slew of "not so funny but in fact hilarious oil prices are so high" jokes.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:37 | 4536968 fijisailor
fijisailor's picture

No, tell me it ain't so, that socialist Sweden could be a model for how to limit the vampire squid corporations.  

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:40 | 4537478 Ifigenia
Ifigenia's picture

since Olaf Palm death, Sweden left the group of independent free country

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 05:57 | 4537706 fijisailor
fijisailor's picture

Another great leader asassinated in the name of corporate fascism.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:42 | 4536987 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

So you want the governments to have even MORE power to tax? 

 

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:47 | 4537008 FreeMktFisherMN
FreeMktFisherMN's picture

Thank you. The state is nothing but an organized system of theft and coercion brought about to stop... theft and coercion. The market's self regulating mechanisms uninhibited protect people better than could any bureaucrat.

The U.S. is not a good place to do business. It is increasingly fascist that's part of why stocks are soaring; SMEs can't compete so these big companies LIKE regulations as only THEY can handle the cost.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:52 | 4537025 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Count me in on both above comments.  That's it exactly.  

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:18 | 4537113 Shad_ow
Shad_ow's picture

I'm in.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 23:35 | 4537175 Anusocracy
Anusocracy's picture

"Drapetomania was a supposed mental illness described by American physician Samuel A. Cartwright in 1851 that caused black slaves to flee captivity."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drapetomania

In our current era, anarchy correlates with drapetomania and all of the government lovers are Samuel Cartwrights.

It is interesting to note that the dupes think that are enslaving the other guy, but are in fact enslaving themselves.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 07:46 | 4537849 shovelhead
Wed, 03/12/2014 - 00:13 | 4537314 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

Exactly. You know who loves high taxes and lots of regulations? Very rich people and big corporations. This guys article sounds like it was written by a young, naive occupy Wall Street type that thinks the answer to banks having to much power is giving the govt more power....which is controlled in large part by, you guessed it, banks/fed. When you are dealing with a revolving door circle jerk like that, taking power from one and giving it to the other accomplishes nothing because they are essentially the same.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 02:08 | 4537497 Ifigenia
Ifigenia's picture

 Is no so linear, without removing Glass–Steagall Act of 1933, I think the wall street wouldnt get so powerful to caused the 2008 subprime crisis with impunity or the damage would not be so horrific. Allowing Banks to turn to casino (merging it with investment banks) turn out to be fatal to tax payer. Even Reagen with his deregulation fever didnt touch Glass- Seagall. and less war less taxes.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:47 | 4537007 miro1a
miro1a's picture

So... socialism = democracy = good.  got it.  Go fuck yourself.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:51 | 4537017 FreeMktFisherMN
FreeMktFisherMN's picture

Democracy=mob rule. Even monarchy at least the govt is privately owned in some ways, and there is a vested interest as the monarch reaps what he sows and thus foreseeably cares about investment and long term growth.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:50 | 4537018 FreeMktFisherMN
FreeMktFisherMN's picture

Democracy=mob rule. Even monarchy at least the govt is privately owned in some ways, and there is a vested interest as the monarch reaps what he sows.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:57 | 4537042 booboo
booboo's picture

Thats so nice he said it twice!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:49 | 4537010 g'kar
g'kar's picture

"Capitalism has killed democracy. "Free" markets dominated by monopolies and oligopolies are not what Adam Smith had in mind. It's time for democracy to be reborn."

Democracy is what killed our Republican form of government. The animal spirits never read the US Constitution I guess.

 

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 01:52 | 4537503 Ifigenia
Ifigenia's picture

Free market is "Private gains Private losses" all else is confusion. Giving taxpayer money to private banks is not capitalism.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 07:47 | 4537850 jerry_theking_lawler
jerry_theking_lawler's picture

"Capitalism has killed democracy."

Think it was is the other way around in the USSA. Republic was replace with 'democracy'. Democracy killed Capitalism and installed Fascism in its place. Fascism is where we currently are and the reason for the accumulation of wealth at the top.

Always remember this fact...even as ZH is getting torn apart.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 22:55 | 4537022 Aussie V
Aussie V's picture

It is a crazy crazy situation and time where we are now living. We are seeing a Seinfeld/Superman bizarro world where, right is wrong, good is bad, rich is poor and truth are lies.

This cannot go on indefinitely. At some point there has to be a reset, a false flag event, bigger and more catastrophic than the last.

If I was a betting man, looking at the present situation with the Ukraine I won't be surprised to see The US EU and NATO gather up a bunch of patsies, cut their hair, make em shave, dress em up real good like and, make em look like an Army.

Continue the barage of bullshit via the media, and push Putin to the point where Russia feels like their existence is questionable where, they fire off Nuclear weapons or, weapon. One would be enough!!

Then, the US EU, NATO forces would have the moral authority to take out Russia, (Syria would collapse), and Iran while they're at it and it is Global checkmate

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