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Wholesale Sales Collapse Most In 5 Years As Autos Lead Inventory Surge

Tyler Durden's picture




 

We are sure the great and good of the economic world will explain away this data with one word - "weather" but the 1.9% drop in Wholesale Sales is the largest in 5 years and aside from the financial crisis is the worst since 1993! This is also the biggest miss on record. Inventories rose more than expected (+0.6% vs +0.4% expectations) which could be a problem as the inventories/sales ratio surges to its highest in 11 months. Unsurprisingly, Autos saw the largest inventory build (+6.8% YoY).

Wholesale Sales plunge...

 

With auto inventory at all time record highs and growing at the fastest pace in 15 months

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:10 | 4534100 First There Is ...
First There Is A Mountain's picture

Whateva - just buy $PLUG and put your worries to bed. This forklift company is doing amazing things. I'm bullish the US of A!!! Fuck yeah!! 

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:12 | 4534109 wallstreetapost...
wallstreetaposteriori's picture

whats that trading at now..... 54x ttm revenues?  Up 600+% YTD..  All you have to do to make it in America nowadays is buy on margin...  

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:22 | 4534135 pods
pods's picture

I don't know about the rest of you luddites, but I am not looking forward to having to buy a car that thinks about the traffic conditions ahead, can parallel park, and has an active wifi connection with others.

pods

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:39 | 4534179 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

Moar inventory means moar to sale. stock go green on this bullish news

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:42 | 4534181 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

They'll be bringing back the $99/month BOGO deals soon enough. They're literally running out of asphalt, comcrete, gravel & even grass to park the sheet metal on.

The Central Fiat Fractional Reserve Banks fixed the economy, bitchez.

Free hot dogs, leprechauns, face painting & green clover helium balloons at the St. Patrick's Day Kia/Chevy/Chrysler/Buick/GMC/Lincoln/VW/Ford/Fiat/Hyundai/Toyota/Nissan MEGASALE!!!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:56 | 4534233 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Slow car sales and the death of retail in the USA.  Slowing in China with huge debts.  This does not look like a good recipe, nor do I see how are chefs at the Fed will wriggle out of these deflationary trends.

Unless/until they print.  Deflation, then inflation?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:05 | 4534270 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

People are just all saving to buy a 120K Tesla I guess...

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:06 | 4534281 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Just wait until Chinese Consumers realize that the price they see doesn't have to be the price they pay.

It will make trampled-to-death-for-$99-HDTVs-on-Black-Friday-in-USSA stories seem tame by comparison.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 13:17 | 4534758 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"how are chefs at the Fed"

I'm sure the chefs at the Federal Reserve are fine, and they have a recipe for their success...

 

Sorry dude, had to poke fun at the use of "are" for "our".  Chef, chief, not really sure about that one though!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 14:25 | 4535082 rotagen
rotagen's picture

WAIT, YOU MEAN THE 400% PROFIT MARGINS ON NEW CARS IS THREATENED ?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:11 | 4534104 Its_the_economy...
Its_the_economy_stupid's picture

well....it was.....really cold.

\

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:17 | 4534122 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Yeah, the bounce-back this spring is going to epic.  EPIC, I TELL YOU!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:44 | 4534184 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

Global warming caused that plane to disappear. Deny all you want, it's true.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:11 | 4534105 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

These oscillations in the matrix are really becoming a problem.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:19 | 4534128 pods
pods's picture

Look on the bright side, when that deer comes by twice you can double your freezer contents?

Just tryin to help.

pods

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:12 | 4534107 MathWins
MathWins's picture

Surely this is a good reason for the stock market to go up!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:12 | 4534108 mac768
mac768's picture

BULLISH buy the FATH again and more

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:13 | 4534111 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

low level bankers, realtors, and car salesmen are the next to enjoy this wonderful recover. Welcome to the party pal! [/John McClane]

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:15 | 4534114 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

My commuter train goes behind a Honda dealership.  Normally I don't really pay attention, but yesterday I whispered under my breath.... "thats a lot of fucking cars"

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:15 | 4534116 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

More cars equals more demand, right?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:21 | 4534118 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

More demand for parking lots.  Like I've said before...china builds ghost cities, we have Ghost Cars...ship Ghost Cars to Ghost Cities for illusion of Activity.  

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:27 | 4534146 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Maybe we should improve access to financing /sarc.  We have ghost cities too BTW.  Ours just sprawl more than tower.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:30 | 4534155 holmes
holmes's picture

Bullish for empty mall parking lots that can be used to store the auto inventory overflow

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:31 | 4534160 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Can I get a Mall Parking lot REIT?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 13:17 | 4534759 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

No!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:35 | 4534162 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Can I get a Mall Parking lot REIT?  POS Site problem

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 13:18 | 4534762 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

Dammit!  I said NO!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:31 | 4534163 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Can I get a Mall Parking lot REIT?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 13:20 | 4534771 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

Well, shit.... Go ask your mother.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 15:15 | 4535331 ReactionToClose...
ReactionToClosedMinds's picture

....ghost city economy ... nice ...it has a certain catchy ring.

Jon Corzine......ghost city broker...

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 19:28 | 4536210 JeffB
JeffB's picture

Krugman ought to be in heaven. He will probaby try and talk Congress into using them for target practice for the new weaponry he's proposing for the imaginary space alien invasion he wants them to concoct to raise demand and take all of the money from the selfish people who are hoarding/saving it.

Think of all the broken windows those new nuclear lasers could destroy. This could take the world economy to a new all time high!

 

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:53 | 4534225 negative rates
negative rates's picture

No, it's an indication of how well the last car was built.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:18 | 4534120 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

Cash for Clunkers 2!!! USA!! USA!! USA!!

Gimmee my free shit!!!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:39 | 4534136 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I agree.  But this time we should go full-keynesian on it.  Mandate that all cars prior to 2012 be crushed and replaced with new ones.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:18 | 4534316 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Krugman is pressing Obama to sign an Executive Order that decrees any vehicle not having BOTH a) radar sensor cruise control and b) adaptive braking be confiscated immediately & scrapped, in order to "protect the public health, safety and welfare."

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 15:42 | 4535442 atomp
atomp's picture

any a you homo's... touch my classic, and I'll kill you.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:48 | 4534202 Professor Fate
Professor Fate's picture

Absolutely!.  But how's about some negetive interest rates with 10 year pick-a-pay negative ammort. financing.  Let GM pay me to drive away in a new Vette.  My bet is Janet will buy my paper.  Besides, the Hannibal 8 is getting a little worn.  Where do I sign?

Professor Fate
"Push the Button, Max" 

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:18 | 4534123 pound the vix
pound the vix's picture

The worse the economic new gets the higher CAT goes.  Commodities dow CAT up!  Sure this makes sense.  Oh wait, low interest rates for ever means endless buybacks.  Got it

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:18 | 4534124 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Please explain "biggest miss on record." Miss from expectations?

Or did you mean fattest bitch on record?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:20 | 4534129 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

My mouth still hangs slack when I look at that 2008-2009 downturn.  That thing is just wicked.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:09 | 4534291 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

We are now in a dead world bounce.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:20 | 4534130 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It looks like all markets are ripe for a little deflationary consolidation and theft from the weaker players.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:22 | 4534134 praps
praps's picture

Could it be that QE does not actually make the economy grow?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:23 | 4534137 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

market dont care; higher!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:26 | 4534144 NotAMathWhiz
NotAMathWhiz's picture

Time for 120 month loans, that will fix it.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:36 | 4534173 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

if 120 fixes it...140 hasta be supercharged growth

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:06 | 4534279 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

AND 48 MONTHS BEFORE YOU NEED TO MAKE A FIRST DOWNPAYMENT WITH A 100% REFUND IF YOU DON'T  LIKE THE CAR AFTER 48 MONTHS!!

that would do it... would work better than cash for clunckers I say...

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 12:48 | 4534656 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Coming soon to a dead auto mall near you!

I remember when sixty months was a shocker...but it sold cars as people are payment buyers.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:39 | 4534178 Debugas
Debugas's picture

i dont mind buying a new car every year but i have no money to do it

if automaking industry believes the Fed will stimulate me to do it then Ok we can keep going that way

the only problem - i have not seen a single dollar bill from the Fed yet

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:51 | 4534214 yogibear
yogibear's picture

"i have not seen a single dollar bill from the Fed yet"

The Fed and the banksters want you to borrow and create more debt. Infinite debt in fact.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 12:42 | 4534636 Zigs
Zigs's picture

The FED knows how to grow money on trees.  Unfortunately, the branches are too high for most of us.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:42 | 4534186 Market Rage
Market Rage's picture

They've put some extra mice on the wheel this morning to try and get this back to Friday's high.  l think any ES shorts in the 1880s will be good.  I'd like to see NQ get back to 3730 area this afternoon too.  This will not go on forever.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:44 | 4534191 Spungo
Spungo's picture

"Can I get a Mall Parking lot REIT?"

I'm sure parking REITs exist, but they would probably be overpriced at this time. They'll be a fantastic buy after the next crash.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 10:52 | 4534218 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

Gotta love that marriage of government and busisness.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:08 | 4534288 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Mussolini would be proud.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 11:01 | 4534256 Wait What
Wait What's picture

4 words: "free cars for everyone." paid for by Uncle Sam. your tax dollars hard at work. imagine the benefits: registration, insurance, gasoline, repairs, not to mention incoming taxes from all of those. virtuous circle! win-win!!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 16:41 | 4535661 eaglerock
eaglerock's picture

An Obama car to go with the Obama phone!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 12:07 | 4534511 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"Wholesale Sales Collapse"

 

I would rearrange the words: sales wholesale collapse.

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 12:53 | 4534680 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Stuff the auto dealers. Used car prices are up as new car prices are up, up, up. 

Smart dealers are in the used car biz and the new car biz is only for the factory financing. Have a pulse? You are approved as we want higher yields!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 13:16 | 4534750 TORNasunder
TORNasunder's picture

This recovery would be working great if it weren't for all this damn reality!! Curse you reality! Can't you see the people love their fantasy!! ;)

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 14:01 | 4534967 kellycriterion
kellycriterion's picture

Have any of the talking heads on the 24/7 news channels managed to identify virtuous cycle as confiscate up economics?

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 14:24 | 4535079 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

Car go beep beep!

Tue, 03/11/2014 - 19:30 | 4536211 monad
monad's picture

Obamacar: everyone gets a free car, the IRS takes it out of every working chumps' wages. 

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