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Goldman "Muppets" Ukraine Bond Buyers As 3-Month Yields Spike Above 50%

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Despite promises by the West to do "whatever it takes" and Treasury Secretary Lew's note today that Ukraine aid could reach $15 billion, it appears the market is not buying it with June 2014 Ukraine government bond yields spiking above 53% today. Of course, this should be no surprise to Goldman Sachs clients who were told on Feb 21st that events were "unambiguously positive" for short-term bonds (then trading above 97) but are now trading below 90. It seems that the market believes default is highly likely and that any "aid" will flow directly to Russia for energy bills.

Keep talking...

  • *LEW SAYS UKRAINE NEEDS `FOUNDATION' FOR ECONOMY FROM IMF
  • *LEW SAYS IMF UKRAINE PACKAGE MAY BE $15 BLN OR LARGER

But the market is not buying it...

 

And from Goldman on Feb 23rd...

In our view, U.S. and EU financial support is likely to arrive quickly and in large enough volume to prevent a sovereign credit event from taking place in the short term. In this instance, we think that political considerations are likely to override economic or financial ones.

 

...

 

From a market perspective, we think that recent developments are unambiguously positive for short-dated credit and we would expect the yield curve to reverse its inversion.

Oops! Yields were sub 20% then... now they are 53%!

 

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Wed, 03/12/2014 - 10:56 | 4538711 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

BTMFATH on the yield!

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 10:58 | 4538712 synergize
synergize's picture

At this point you cant blame Goldman - if muppets want to believe ANYTHING they say then they deserve being crucified by Goldman bankers.  I figure a fool will lose his money either way (bitcoin, PLUG, etc) and Goldman is simply bringing that event a little closer to the present.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 10:57 | 4538713 youngman
youngman's picture

Chase that yield....make that quarter...buy that game stock IPO

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:00 | 4538725 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

This is a direct hit on Ukraine retail bank rates.

 

3 month rates apply to US banks - directly.

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/about/us-prime-rate/

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 10:59 | 4538735 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

A preview of US Treasuries?

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:23 | 4538887 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

Risk v. Return.....once thought obsolete, will make a come back! 

 

"investors" will need to be paid for the risk they take......sometime.......hopefully.....

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 10:59 | 4538737 asteroids
asteroids's picture

What idiot would buy the bonds of a country that won't defend its borders against an agressor? Hell, the Ukraine could vanish overnight and your bonds would be worthless. Gotta give credit to the squid. They know there's a sucker born every minute.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:38 | 4538965 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

US has an assault on it's southern border everday.  Your point?

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 15:37 | 4540002 pcrs
pcrs's picture

You mean: buy the contractual obligations of a bunch of crooks and tax extorters, who do not fend of competing gangs?

What makes you think crooks keep contractual obligations. 

Crooks do not like to be bound by contracts.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:02 | 4538758 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

They were probably short oil yesterday afternoon too because hopey and clowngress, you know, helps :wink wink: them with their trading.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:03 | 4538765 ...out of space
...out of space's picture

what about CDS on ukrain?

and first they say that IMF aid will be 1B

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:06 | 4538779 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

     Add Ukrainian bonds to the list of most shorted shit for the yield chasing BTATH idiots...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:06 | 4538782 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Time for this picture again if you care to get an idea of what dealing with Goldman Sacks is like:

http://michaelgarcia1980.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/kermit-gapes.jpg?w=720

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 12:03 | 4539103 pods
pods's picture

The quintessential Kermit BOHICA pic.

pods

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 12:05 | 4539113 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

It would be as funny if the puppet was Obama, just waiting for the hand of Valerie Jarret to operate his mouth.

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:18 | 4538853 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Sell Spanish 10 yrs bonds

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:21 | 4538872 d_taco
d_taco's picture

Brazil’s IMF Director Urges Lender Not to Bend Rules for Ukraine

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-07/brazil-s-imf-director-urges-len...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 13:52 | 4538999 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

I believe that sentiment is shared by certain others http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:47 | 4539018 atsoft888
atsoft888's picture

The certain way to be called Putin's puppet. Also, he looks for troubles by becoming an enemy of a Free World.

So, short-sighted...

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:35 | 4538954 b_thunder
b_thunder's picture

Goldman is NOT Virtu.  Goldman is allowed to make errors 2-3 times/year, while Virtu never makes errors

 

Wed, 03/12/2014 - 11:43 | 4539000 atsoft888
atsoft888's picture

Blame it on Putin and Yanukovich!!!
Good strategy. And Yats the Rabbit will have ability to beg for more money to rescue Templeton ;-) 

Free World, Free Enterprise, Free Money....

 

Mon, 03/17/2014 - 19:58 | 4561132 MollyHacker
MollyHacker's picture

*LEW SAYS UKRAINE NEEDS `FOUNDATION' FOR ECONOMY FROM IMF
Duh ~ I guess so since "Kerry-trade" made off with Ukraine's reserve

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