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Ukraine Hikes Tensions Again, Says Russian Army Concentrated Near East Border For "Quick Invasion"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On the heels of reports that:

  • *UKRAINE WON'T RECOGNIZE CRIMEA JOINING RUSSIA: INTERFAX

The Eastern Ukraine Kharkiv region's governor Baluta warns:

  • *RUSSIAN ARMY CONCENTRATED NEAR ROADS FOR QUICK INVASION: BALUTA
  • *RUSSIA BOOSTS ARMY PRESENCE AT UKRAINE BORDER: KHARKIV GOVERNOR

And all of this after Putin confirmed that West's sanctions are "irresponsible and aggressive and we will respond properly."

 

Baluta warns about Russian troops amassing: (Via Bloomberg,)

Russian military presence has grown in last 5 days, Ihor Baluta, governor of eastern Ukrainian region, says in interview.

 

Baluta also says:

 

Russian forces concentrated along highways for rapid invasion, ~15km from border

 

57 Russians denied crossing into Kharkiv region today as of 10am

 

No resistance to Ukraine’s troop deployment in Kharkiv

 

10 Russians involved in attempt to storm govt building March 16

 

Russia “is trying to create the situation unfolding now in the south here in eastern regions”

 

~25% of Kharkiv residents sympathize with separatists

An Ukraine's foreign minister makes it clear that they will not accept Crimea's annexation (via Interfax,)

Ukraine will not recognize the Autonomous Republic of Crimea's and Sevastopol's accession to the Russian Federation, nor will it recognize independence of the self-proclaimed Republic of Crimea, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said.

 

"We do not recognize and will never recognize either Crimea's so-called independence or the so-called agreement on its accession to the Russian Federation," Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Yevhen Perebyinis said at a news conference on Tuesday.

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Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:11 | 4562596 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

doesnt russia/ukraine understand today is vix opex and mm's have to kill vix calls?  stand down, at least for one more day so GS and friends can rake in a few hundred million in profits....

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:12 | 4562599 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

So we are going to keep going with this eh?

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:15 | 4562614 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

You don't call it a blitz for nothing.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:22 | 4562640 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

A short, sharp shock and they'll never do it again, dig it?

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:29 | 4562655 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

The contest is a simple one...

 

How far can the tension be ratcheted before someone fires a shot.

 

The West would do well to remember what happened to Sakhalin.

 

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2007/02/05/839912...

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:41 | 4562722 TerminalDebt
TerminalDebt's picture

So how can I make money from this? That's the only important thing here.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:36 | 4562947 J S Bach
J S Bach's picture

Judging by the recent Crimean vote, it wouldn't be a Russian "invasion", but rather a "liberation".

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 12:02 | 4563507 Phuk u
Phuk u's picture

Only 60% of the Crimean population voted, the other 40% did not so to me it is

a surprise that the yes vote was only 97%. Perhaps Russia could liberate Europe

or the USA because Boris Krapaalot and his family prefer to be Russian.  Putin on TV today was a complete

cock justifying his annexation of Crimea.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 12:24 | 4563625 Arius
Arius's picture

We are all Ukrainians now!

Vive la Ukraine!

Vive democracy!

down with Lavrov and Putin !

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:27 | 4562665 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

meet ihor..he dont take no orders from no woman...or obammy

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kvms4sP7CLk

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:38 | 4562710 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

He's Mr. Clean-up!  Ihor for president 2016!  Seriously, could he be any worse?

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:09 | 4562845 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

he is a fucking trip....how does one get molded like that...i bet his father was a hoot

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:50 | 4562764 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

Maybe they can called it Shock and Awe or something like Operation Freedom. You know, it's when you invade a sovereign country for no reason or push back an invader to reinstall a bogus "royal family" that controls all of the countries assets and oppresses its citizens.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:22 | 4562644 BandGap
BandGap's picture

If one is willing to believe the US backed the coup in Ukraine to begin with, these are just moves as the game continues. If, and I stress if, the US is behind this then bullshit sanctions are just a cover for something far more meaningful. All in the name of "democracy".

The other village idiot, McCain, is "reassuring" Poland that this situation isn't what it might appear to be (the Poles remember history, too) and if it is, "the US has your back". A dozen or so F-15 thrown in as a sign of good intentions. The Poles have good pilots.

There is no fucking way this is going away. Out of money, out of hope, looks like self destruction - think about it. This is how the end game is supposed to look. It's a big board game of fucking Risk. Now watch the Chinese.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:22 | 4562892 Lost My Shorts
Lost My Shorts's picture

I am a broken record here, the only one not trying to join Vlad's Man Club for Men.  But the real story here is not exactly what the Vlad-worshippers think.

To a true Russian nationalist, Ukraine is not even really a country.  It's just a wayward Russian province.  To a true Russian nationalist, annexing only Crimea and one third of Ukraine in the east would be a disappointment.  They want it all.

For Putin to now annex one third of the Ukraine is not necessarily an aggressive move or a show of strength (believe it or not).  From the Russian perspective it might seem more like a historic compromise, ceding the Ukrainian-speaking portion to permanent independence and perhaps western influence or even western alliance.

If Putin is indeed the new Hitler, annexing more of Ukraine might be just a prelude to taking it all, and the Baltics, and Byelorus, and forcing Poland and the Balkans out of the EU (hello world war).

If Putin is aggressive but patient, prepared to leave some of history to the future, he will not annex more of Ukraine to keep open Russia's option to take it all.

If Putin is pragmatic and doesn't like messes on his doorstep, he might annex Eastern Ukraine to bring permanent stability to the region.  Recall that Ukraine as now constituted is an ethnically divided, totally corrupt, bankrupt failed state and there is no realistic prospect for change any time soon.  Rationalizing and right-sizing Ukraine's borders would set the stage for the purer western part to clean up its act and pursue a European course, while the eastern part nestles in the bosom of Mother Russia.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:39 | 4562958 29.5 hours
29.5 hours's picture

 

 

Somewhere in all this, you are trying to make a point. Distill.

The latest eruptions from the current Ukranian regime remind me of a scene in a comedy "Blazing Saddles" where a Black sheriff is holding a gun to his head.

 

 

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:39 | 4562959 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

+100

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 11:58 | 4563355 Element
Element's picture

If Russia is a democracy they are not going to force anything on the neighbors. that would kill their own legitimacy. They are going to allow them the option to choose.

In the end Ukraine can not lift up its skirts and move over beside France, they are joined at the hip with Russia, permanently. So they better find a Ukrainian leadership that is going to face basic facts, because the west only wants an anti-Russian puppet, the Russians want a neighbor that is not a failed state basket-case living a shadow hand to mouth existence serving US interests as a mere pawn, and probable proxy battlefield. The truth is there are people in the West of Ukraine who are demanding the Euromaidan puppets in Kiev be overthrown.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 12:10 | 4563558 Phuk u
Phuk u's picture

Not sure how you have worked that one out, the only puppets in Kiev were the

ones that Putin put in (its all in the name). Ukraine has been buggered both politically

and economically by Kremlin stooges since 'independance'. Ukrainians look towards Europe

in the hope of a better life one without bribery and politicians/oligarch/bandits raping the country.

Ukraine wants out of Russia....Simples.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 13:23 | 4564027 Element
Element's picture

 

 

"... in the hope of a better life one without bribery and politicians/oligarch/bandits raping the country. ..."

er ... the grass is always greener on the other side of the fence ... until you get there and find it's not. Ukraine is not in central Europe, it is in Russia's hip pocket, and it owes it a lot of money. Time to settle the bill or pay the price because Ukraine 'going' to Europe is a fantasy, Ukraine is not going any where. And let me tell you clearly, Ukraine is a pawn between big powers, and there is only one way this ends, with a pro-Russian govt in Kiev. I see you have had trouble voicing your views on zh apparently, but whatever you may wish for, the geography and strategic situation means Ukraine is in the miserable situation of being broke, and being a strategic pawn, and have an unelected coup rabble in Kiev, that is trying to make the fantasy work. And it won't.

It's a bitter pill, but Ukraine should never have given up the nukes. Their mere possession makes it impossible for big powers to treat you as an expendable pawn. I'm sorry, but Ukraine will be used, destroyed and then abandoned by NATO (to save their own skin) and then Russia will take control of what's left, anyway.

Given this is the strategic trajectory, the option exists to avoid a useless conflict.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 17:35 | 4565224 Phuk u
Phuk u's picture

Well its started Element, some borders and no nukes. I have no trouble voicing my opinion, you can take a choice

on whether to agree or not (literally more red than green !). I have had my own business in Ukraine and still have some interests

there so I have half an idea of what is happening. Since independance the country has not had the leadership to prosper. If it had by now it could

of held its own as a bridge between Russia and Europe instead of the bankrupt nation it has become requiring

financial help at a price. If Ukraine joins NATO that could be it for all of us, if it doesn't it could be the end of Ukraine.

A double bind for Ukrainians.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:31 | 4562930 Freddie
Freddie's picture

Why don't you go pick up a gun and fight for the Poles and the dual citizens in the American govt.?  F McCain!

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:40 | 4562950 WhyWait
WhyWait's picture

 

 

Yes, I've been wondering.  Much of Western Ukraine was Polish, and the new NaZi thugs brag about their party's heritage of murdering half a million Poles.  As the Western Ukraine descends into civil war, and as Russian troops by invitation move into the South and East, what will Poland do?

 

And what about Romania? Haven't heard anything about Romania lately either.  They were a piece of work in the War, willing allies in Hitler's invasion of the Soviet Union, and participants in the holocaust.  Their version of Communism was bizarre. What are their ambitions now? Take Moldova?  Re-take Bessarabia, which was under Romanian rule from 1918 to 1944?  

From ABC News yesterday:

Romania's president said Monday that Russia has created a chain of conflicts around the Black Sea to further President Vladimir Putin's goal of rebuilding the former Soviet Union along its former border with the West.

Romanian President Traian Basescu, who spoke to The Associated Press in an interview Monday, said he fears that neighboring Moldova is 'in great danger.'

"If you look at the map, you will see this chain of frozen conflicts" around the Black Sea "that can be set off at any time," he said, referring to conflicts in Georgia, Ukraine and Moldova.

 Basescu said Putin's priorities 'seem to be connected to the point of contact between the European Union and NATO.' He said Ukraine and Moldova were 'a priority for Vladimir Putin, who wants to rebuild the Soviet Union.'

Russia has 1,500 troops stationed in the separatist republic of Trans-Dniester since 1990, when it broke away from Moldova, fearing that country would reunite with Romania. Trans-Dniester is not internationally recognized but is supported by Russia. 

http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/romania-putin-creating-bla...

 

 

 

 

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 11:54 | 4563447 Johnny Cocknballs
Johnny Cocknballs's picture

Um, are you aware the Soviets invaded Romania first, at the very start of ww2, that the soviets killed and deported thousands, and that's basically why they were "willing allies" in the German attack on the Bolsheviks?

The ABC analysis is corporate media anti-Putin horseshit.

NATO stirred the pot in Georgia, not Putin, ditto Ukraine, ditto Poland.

Your whole inane post is a clumsy effort to switch the roles of aggressor and defender, actor and reactor.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 15:18 | 4564665 Independent
Independent's picture

Moldova would be much better off with the Russians, one only has to look at Romania to see how the country is being run into the Ground by a corrupt govt and how its being enslaved by the IMF.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 08:48 | 4566308 WhyWait
WhyWait's picture

Good call on who was the aggressor 70 years ago.  I stand corrected. But of course 70 years later both sides are still living inside their own stories about it.

From your final sentence I'm not sure you're getting where I'm coming from.

This entire clusterfuck is coming out of NATO's roiling of the pot.  I quote the Pres of Romania not to agree with him that it's Putin's fault but for his voicing of a whole collection of ancient grievances and claims that are being detonated.  My point is that NATO is forcing open Pandora's Box tio dubdue Russia, but the resulting meltdown - compounded with the economic chaos that is being triggered - may be beyond their ability to control.  

It's not just red lines that are being crossed.  It's tipping points.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:30 | 4562676 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

dont for a second think the fed cares about stocks or anything else.  they blow bubbles to serve their masters.  they pop bubbles to serve their masters.  in both scenarios, the uber wealthy get uberer wealthy and the poor get poorerer.  

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:41 | 4562965 Unknown User
Unknown User's picture

Well, at least the poor get to be uber-poor. It's kindof somthing...

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:14 | 4562611 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Close. Its their money and your life.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:22 | 4562639 Azannoth
Azannoth's picture

Both of you are wrong, they already Own you, your money and your life!

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:39 | 4562713 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

correct

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:12 | 4562604 Whoa Dammit
Whoa Dammit's picture

Next up Ukrainian leaders threaten to hold their breath until they turn blue ,while kicking their feet on the floor, unless Mommy IMF and Daddy USA gives them a few billion dollars.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:18 | 4562627 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Hell, they didn't even have to do half that and Obama already had the COTUS (Checkbook Of The...) out and was scratching away. It's not his money after all...

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:37 | 4562707 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

The f,.....g stupid Ukranans can't understand that IMF money is a honey covered cactus which they are going to walking aroundcwith stuck up their posteriors.

Putin probably can't wait for the IMF to take on this bankrupt nation.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:14 | 4562861 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

IMF is bankers helping bankers. People just carry the debt burden.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:13 | 4562607 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Too bad. WTF are you going to do about it Yevhen? I think you're going to find that getting into bed with the U.s comes with some heavy strings attached. She's a clingy bitch donchya know?

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:14 | 4562609 Element
Element's picture

 

 

UKRAINE WON'T RECOGNIZE CRIMEA JOINING RUSSIA: INTERFAX

Given Moscow doesn't even recognise the 'govt' in Kiev, I suspect they won't feel too put-out by this.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:12 | 4562853 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

No, the Russians are more likely to feel Put-in.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:15 | 4562612 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Methinks the West(Ukraine) doth protest too much.  Farts in the wind. I don't see Putin giving an inch on this.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:15 | 4562613 holmes
holmes's picture

What's to worry. Didn't Obozo draw a red line somewhere in Eastern Ukraine.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:17 | 4562618 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

I think they're still transporting it from Syria.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:19 | 4562634 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

If Obozo had a line he already snorted it off the Resolute Desk...

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:31 | 4562684 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Which is why we didn't send it back to England with the bust of Winston Chruchill.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:16 | 4562616 nah
nah's picture

come on, you think China looks at Russia and says.  These guys know how to take territory because their navy cant function without Crimea, betcha there more like the nazis and dont really give a shit about islands

.

a billion people on an island bitchez

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:21 | 4562623 d_taco
d_taco's picture

I do not see the problem. The current Ukrain leader Yatsenyuk is a good friend of Pintchuk, the sun in law of Mr Kuchma.

Mr Kuchma was the guy who run Ukraine from 1994 up to the orange revolution. So the Ukraine is still in the hands of the same corrupt clan. It seems Mr putin does not realize; nothing changed in Ukraine since 1994.

Mr Pintchuk was in 2005, during the Orange Revolution, the example of corruption of the past regime in Ukraine, now he is a big friend of the Clintons

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 10:13 | 4562858 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

I'd be very surprised if Mr. Putin did not realize this fully.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 15:21 | 4564679 Independent
Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:18 | 4562625 Mine Is Bigger
Mine Is Bigger's picture

Has any country ever disowned a region?  East and South Ukraine can make history by coming together and holding a referendum to kick out Kiev and West Ukraine from the country.

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:18 | 4562626 Element
Element's picture

One of the dangers of imposing sanctions on Russia is it reduces deterrence and leverage, and makes Russia think, "Well, why make it go to waste, if they are going to sanction us, why not make it worthwhile?"

Tue, 03/18/2014 - 09:22 | 4562646 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Well our illustrious band of retards in power will just keep poking the Bear thinking it's asleep.  Fun starts when it wakes up. Not sure a black eye would show on Bammy but it is fun to watch him squirm.

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