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Fed Lowers GDP Forecast, "Dots" Indicate 13 Participants See First Firming In 2015, Up From 12 In December

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While everyone is debating just what the Fed's new qualtiative guidance means, the Fed quietly lowered its GDP forecast for 2014-2016 modestly from its December forecast, even as it sees unemployment falling faster than before, and hitting 5.2%-5.6% by 2016.

 

And perhaps more important, the "dots" now indicate that the number of people who see policy firming in 2015 is 13, up 1 from 12 in December.

And the punchline: the median 2016 rate forecast has risen from 1.75% to 2.25% - half a percent higher despite what is effectively weaker overall economic projections.

 

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Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:19 | 4568652 digitlman
digitlman's picture

I agree it will get lower faster. 

 

As the Labor Participation Rate continues to drop.

 

#WINNING?

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:23 | 4568685 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

The Burro Of Lying Statishits will have to lie harder is all.

Burrocracies make the ruling of the many byt he few very easy.

All burrockrauts need a kick in the ass.

I "crack" mysef up sometimes....

ori

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:20 | 4568660 dow jones 20000
dow jones 20000's picture

ughhhhhhhhhhhhh when will this whole charade just end

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:30 | 4568728 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Sooner than they think, but later than we think.

And faster than anyone expects when it starts.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:20 | 4568661 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

and what r the phony paper prices of the only 2 forms of money doin?????

nothin!

"yeah, but sometimes nothin is a real cool hand..."

Cool Hand Luke

 

keep stackin

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:22 | 4568681 Cannon Fodder
Cannon Fodder's picture

Voted up for quoting Cool Hand Luke...

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:21 | 4568663 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Considering the FED's previous forcasting abilities, assume error bars of 100% in either direction.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:36 | 4568766 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Was gonna bet on black or maybe red but now I am on double zero, best odds? I can always change my mind after I put down the bet, right? 

Long nail guns.

Short honest accountants. 

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:20 | 4568669 metaforge
metaforge's picture

Thank the State I have my myRA!  Whew...  When times get tough, there's nothing like knowing your hard earned money is safe & sound in US Treasuries.... *facepalm*

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:23 | 4568691 youngman
youngman's picture

That just means that Belgim owns you and your retirement funds

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 16:27 | 4569343 headhunt
headhunt's picture

Belgium has not purchased the amount of treasuries being reported.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:20 | 4568670 Uber Vandal
Uber Vandal's picture

If everyone is unemployed, no one is unemployed.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:21 | 4568671 booboo
booboo's picture

I can't feel the dots on that braille chart with this old monitor, whats it say?

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:21 | 4568672 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

how can people be so fucking stupid to believe one word these fuckheads say?  

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:22 | 4568683 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Lower GDP should lower interest rates, not raise them.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:23 | 4568684 Ifigenia
Ifigenia's picture

Is there any diference between FED forecasting and PBOC forecasting?

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:24 | 4568698 youngman
youngman's picture

Here comes the speech....Yellen at the helm....anyone scared....

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:27 | 4568710 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

Lower GDP = Buy stawks, sell UST.  Mmmkay.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:29 | 4568724 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

When's the last time they raised the forecast(and were right)?

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 14:54 | 4568873 Freedumb
Freedumb's picture

By adding millions of burger flipping jobs we'll be at 2% unemployment by 2020, plus think of all the additional jobs we can create to process all the foodstamps these people will qualify for.

Not to mention the GDP boost from everyone taking out student loans for tuition and drugs, which should come in around 100k a year by 2020. Then with all the Associates/Bachelors degrees these people will be getting from online universities, the economy will truly take off due to the unprecedented pool of skilled labor that is created.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 15:06 | 4568942 The Econ Ideal
The Econ Ideal's picture

Stagflation

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 15:44 | 4569162 headhunt
headhunt's picture

I am waiting for one of these meetings to announce the answer to be '42'.

Wed, 03/19/2014 - 18:56 | 4569878 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Real GDP is negative. 

Government spending is the largest component of GDP.

Their numbers are FUBAR.

I don't give a fuck where they went to school.

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