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Chicago PMI Plunges To 7-Month Lows, Misses By Most In A Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"But it must be the weather", we are sure, will be the cry of a thousand economists whose meterologist forecasts just got torn up. Chicago PMI just missed expectations by the most in a year and tumbled to its lowest since August as it appears knowing what the weather was like in March did nothing for analysts' ability to comprehend the awful reality of the underlying economy. The business barmoter has been falling since October (pre-weather) but this month saw the employment sub-index collapsed to 50 (from 59.3), prices paid dropped, and new orders tumbled to the lowest since August.

 

 

Commenting on the MNI Chicago Report, Philip Uglow, Chief Economist of MNI Indicators said,

“March saw a significant weakening in activity following a five month spell of firm growth. It’s too early to tell, though, if this is the start of a sustained slowdown or just a blip.” 

 

“Panellists, though, were optimistic about the future. Asked about the outlook for demand over the next three months, the majority of businesses said they expected to see a pick-up.” he added.

This 3-sigma miss is below even the worst (lowest) economist estimates and well below chief Punxatawney Joe Lavorgna's 60.0 expectation

 

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Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:55 | 4610338 FieldingMellish
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BULLISH!!!!! (why not)

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:58 | 4610346 Cursive
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@FieldingMellish

Even after 5 years of SSDD, this is still UFB.

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:56 | 4610339 buzzsaw99
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yellen that sleazy nasty skunk cunt bitch whore skank itchy crotch weasel faced asswipe

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 10:00 | 4610356 Agent P
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Do you work for Hallmark? 

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 10:14 | 4610363 derek_vineyard
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this market has game. no crash in sight.

TLT getting slapped around 5 minutes after the bounce.  data means nothing.

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:56 | 4610341 coulous
coulous's picture

bad enough to reach an all time high in SP500 !!

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:57 | 4610343 Max Damage
Max Damage's picture

Print MOARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR. It's gotta work sometime hasn't it fuckwits???????????

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:58 | 4610349 Baby Eating Dingo22
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The more pain the economy inflicts, the more pleasure the market feels

How kinky

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:58 | 4610351 Agent P
Agent P's picture

If PMI stood for Pothole Measurement Index, the number would be off the chart. 

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:59 | 4610352 khakuda
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This is what happens when you purposefully don't count the huge inflation in food, natural gas, rents and obamacare in your stats.  You can just pretend people aren't running out of money, then stand around with a dumb look when things don't work out so great.  Japan has lots of dumb looks now, too.

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 09:59 | 4610354 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Dow's up 146, running down the hall with it's fingers in it's ears screaming "I don't care!  I don't care!  I don't care!"

 

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 10:04 | 4610366 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

i was wondering why the ''market'' was up so much this morning. this must be it.

 

no surprise, this ponzi scheme goes up on anything and its the last day of quarter, must make new highs

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 10:16 | 4610413 Debeachesand Je...
Debeachesand Jerseyshores's picture

The "New Normal"??????

 

WTF-----Just go with the flow------and get screwed royally.....

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 10:34 | 4610481 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Unlike Kiev and Baghdad no one knows why Chicago exists actually.

And to think they call Cleveland "the mistake by the Lake." Hmmm. What the hell do we call Chicago then?

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 11:31 | 4610720 SeattleBruce
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""But it must be the weather", we are sure, will be the cry of a thousand economists" - and in the summer the reason will be 'it's too hot to manufacture.'  But the spring and fall numbers will still be a problem...

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 11:58 | 4610812 yogibear
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Only thing that matters is Wall Street and stocks. The real economy can tank.

The more printing eventually equates to higher and higher levels of inflation. More inflation with stagnant income eventually leads to more debt and a faltering consumerism. 

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 14:51 | 4611474 screw face
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MOAR DATA..........

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 15:40 | 4611614 LooseLee
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Sadly, Americans are unable to face reality. Pollyanna should be their middle name. The PINKO Commie//Socialist/Fascist class that keeps gunning this market is currently having their day. When reality finally overcomes the illusions that restrain it, I plan to watch with utter inner enjoyment and chuckle at the morons that walk this country upright...

Mon, 03/31/2014 - 15:40 | 4611616 LooseLee
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Dupe

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