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Stocks Close At Record High Following China, Japan, And US Data Misses

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Japanese data (double) miss, check! Chinese data miss, check! US data miss, check! Investor trust in US equity at record lows, check! All-time record highs for US equities - you betcha! Stocks broadly pumped and dumped once again today but the start-of-the-month exuberance over April's seasonality was enough to leave gains that accelerated into the close as the long-bond sold off and short-end rallied (biggest 2-day steepening in 5 months). USDJPY was in charge for much of the day but when it went limp in the last hour, it was VIX-clubbing time (to 10-week lows ahead of the ECB and NFP?)  Oil prices slumped intraday (back below $100) as gold slipped but copper and silver flatlined. Wondering what fueled today's panic buying spree? "Most shorted" stocks tripled the market's performance on the day...

 

 

As we noted in the last hour of trading:

 

Off last Thursday's open last week, it's all about high beta again bitches...

 

Biotechs pumped and dumped (and then rallied into the close)

 

USDJPY and stocks tracked well most of the day but the last couple of hours it went dead and so VIX was put in charge...

 

VIX was slammed (again) as the mad buying scramble fo stocks and selling panic for vol went on (which makes total sense ahead of ECB and NFP friday)...

 

Oil prices tumbled hard; gold slipped as copper and silver remained around unch...

 

As stocks and oil decoupled when Europe closed...

 

Treasuries saw more flattener unwinds with the long-end underperforming notably...

 

and the last 2 days have seen the biggest steepening in 5s30s in 5 months!!

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: As @Not_Jim_Cramer warns... tick, tick, tick...

 

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Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:09 | 4614840 khakuda
khakuda's picture

Yellen needs to produce her own 30% return this year so that she can speak for $250,000 a pop when she retires.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:11 | 4614845 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

Fuck Yellen

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:14 | 4614867 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

APRIL FOOLS, BITCHEZ!

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 19:00 | 4615359 Two-bits
Two-bits's picture

No, Common Core mathematics was used here.  The friendly answer is the correct answer.

 

Recession? Looky there, all time highs. 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:16 | 4614875 BORT
BORT's picture

EEwww.  You must be blind

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:49 | 4615035 Rip van Wrinkle
Rip van Wrinkle's picture

No, thanks all the same.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:11 | 4614846 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

did you expect any different...

the markel of the global financial world - USA, USA,USA!!!!

we all getting rich...

get rid of all your Gold and Silver...

we're number 1....

fucking joke......

 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:11 | 4614848 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

, fishez!  And think about selling some stocks...

STFATH!

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:13 | 4614852 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

Tyler has it exactly right. When the Lewis interview hit on Sunday night I turned to my wife and said we'll be at record highs by midweek. They beat me by a day. As many around here have said it's not about earnings, companies, multiples, economic reports, etc... it's all about keeping Dick and Jane sending their $1000 a month off the the 401(k). That's it, and the entire cartel will do ANYTHING to keep "confidence" alive

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:16 | 4614876 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Which is why it WILL, ultimately, crash.

DavidC

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:24 | 4614915 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

yeah, but when? and what would actually cause it? 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:55 | 4615049 DavidC
DavidC's picture

If I knew when I wouldn't have been losing money since 2009.

But with regard to what would actually cause it how about;
Record debt levels, higher than 2008.
Banks leveraged more than in 2008.
Labour participation rate at 40-50 year lows.
Student debt at record levels.
Fed 'assets' at over $4 trillion.
Pissing off the international community (Merkel particularly) with NSA snooping.
Continual wars.
Putting in $5bn to destabilise a democratically elected government in Ukraine.

Shall I carry on?

DavidC

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 22:12 | 4615909 KickIce
KickIce's picture

I see two possibilities, food inflation/shortages or riots after a professional/college championship game.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:20 | 4614896 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Yup.  Nobody cares about manipulation as long as it's working on their side. 

$1000 a month?  What are you?  Some kind of evil rich person, oppressing the masses, to have that kinda scratch to put aside every month?  ;)

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:14 | 4614861 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

After Lewis' book, it was assured. Algos hate being called out.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:18 | 4614886 Cupid Stunt
Cupid Stunt's picture

Just another day in La La Land...................

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 19:00 | 4614892 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Surely she can get the Market Capitalization-to-GDP ratio higher than the Greenspan "bubble" heights in 2000... before it pops...

http://www.vectorgrader.com/indicators/market-cap-gdp

YellenFedFUBAR.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:20 | 4614898 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Or we'll get the mother of all shortsqueezes and the DOW will go to 25000 and the nasdaq to 5500

or we're near the 2000 bubbletop anyday now.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:21 | 4614904 rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

Don't forget the 2pm shitfest ramp.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:25 | 4614920 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Everyone is just front-running the obvious break out past 1900 on the NFP number because whatever it is will be bullish.    

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:33 | 4614955 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

After over 30 years of trading commodities I will flat out state without any reservations that lies and manipulation run rampant. If you think anyone is looking out for the small independent trader you are wrong.

An unholy alliance of the Federal Reserve, the government, and the too big to fail has left the rest of us in a precarious position. For the big boys, its insider information and computer trading, this includes computing patterns that exploit where stops are placed, this improves their ability to wash shorts and the weak out of their positions.More of this subject below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/07/markets-more-lies-and-munipulatio...

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 20:14 | 4615571 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

The small independent trader ? well; they're looking out for him alright, in the same sense that a Tuna "looks out" for a Sardine.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:40 | 4614994 Father Lucifer
Father Lucifer's picture

Play along and make money, what else can u du?

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 17:35 | 4615166 Battleaxe
Battleaxe's picture

Until you don't.

They're suckering as many into the market as possible and then only they know when to set their short positions, pull the QE rug out from under it, and make a killing.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 16:43 | 4615005 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

Dont forget other notable manufacturing misses:

Germany: March 53.7, Feb 54.8
UK:
March 55.3, Feb 56.2 (revised down)

Also, Deutsche Bank reports that the UKs forex reserves are lower than economic behemoths the Philippines, Denmark, Poland, Turkey and Mexico (Telegraph, London).

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 19:44 | 4615494 undertowed
undertowed's picture

This has to be a sucker's market. There are no supporting fundamentals. But we keep sucking cuz there's nowhere else to feed.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 19:49 | 4615509 PowerPlayer
PowerPlayer's picture

The problem is the Fed is getting drunk on its own power while believing they can eliminate risk.  The problem is that when people believe there is no risk, then you get bubbles because people don't think there are any consequences to buying overvalued assets.  Eventually the bubble will become too large for the Fed to control and it will be a massive crash, just as the Fed has hypnotized everyone into believing there is no risk.  

I can't comprehend how these people at the Fed can be this stupid.  The Chinese are figuring out what happens when people feel they can invest with no risk.  

Wed, 04/02/2014 - 03:34 | 4616379 kurt
kurt's picture

Hey, Jump!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!