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Worst. Recovery. Ever: Japan Regular Wages Decline For 21 Consecutive Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Japan's economic farce has gotten so bad it is becoming painful to even discuss it: first, every newspaper writes effusive, extended articles about how after nearly two years of consecutive declines in base pay praising Abenomics, and then the next month the "increase" is promptly revised lower in a footnote in some article which gets zero to no prominence, which however continues to reaffirm that Abenomics is an absolute, unmitigated disaster. Sure enough this is what happened today, when last month's bombastic "Japan Base Wages Rise for First Time in Nearly Two Years" can now be retracted and instead replaced with this: "regular pay slipped an annual 0.3 percent in February, falling for a 21st straight month after a 0.2 percent slip the previous month."

And what's worse, real wages, which take into account consumer inflation, dropped an annual 1.9 percent in February, down for a eighth straight month.

So much for forcing companies to boost worker wages (which many have agreed to, boosting monthly pay by 2000 Yen, or about 4 BigMacs). By now even the most clueless economist PhDs (i.e., all of them), should be aware that as long as there is no sustained wage growth, Japan can have all the inflation it wants - it simply means that even less consumption will take place. Add the imminent sales tax hike into the equation and suddenly the specter of all out recession, even as the Nikkei continues to soar solely due to currency collapse, becomes an all too real possibility.

 

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Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:37 | 4613509 Balvan
Balvan's picture

Their recovery might be weak, but i'd still rather  be living in Japan than Afghanistan (GDP growth 15%) or Bhutan (10%)

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:40 | 4613516 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Well, no risk, no reward.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:04 | 4613573 power steering
power steering's picture

GM blamed Bush

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 11:48 | 4613888 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Japan just needs to add some capital controls to ensure those yen flow the right direction into the pockets of the workers.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:08 | 4613584 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

How about none of the above. Door number 4 Monty.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:37 | 4613510 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Looks like an all out DEPRESSION. 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:06 | 4613579 patb
patb's picture

it's StagCession.

Just long miserable, and now deeply engrained in the psyche of citizenry.

25 years of this, and add in the pressure of declining lifetime employment,

fewer companies hiring young people and fewer women having children so less demand.

 

it's just a vicious spiral.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:37 | 4613511 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

so G-7 now stands for Grosswagedecline 7%.

Must suck to not be in that club ... says Vlad.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:37 | 4613512 Spungo
Spungo's picture

At least the Japanese now know what it feels like to be American. Your pay stays the same but the cost of everything goes way up.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:47 | 4613539 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

the Japanese have known this for the last 20 years.  we're only in year 5 in the US.  its just getting much more severe there now.  coming to you shortly.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:39 | 4613514 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Well, it's a good thing that there is "no inflation"....

/s

 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:40 | 4613515 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

is that because of inflation or deflation? I lost count...

if it's deflation, that means that this is a non issue.

 

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:42 | 4613524 agstacks
agstacks's picture

The poor wages are a result of the recent balmy 60 degree days this early in the spring.  It's unusally warm for this time of year. \sarc

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:45 | 4613685 Carl Popper
Carl Popper's picture

Please do not worry

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:44 | 4613530 madbraz
madbraz's picture

On a separate note, a look at the SP500 over the last 15 trading days shows that between 4PM and 9:30AM (when cash markets are closed), the market was up roughly 75 points (4%).  During market hours, the stock market was up 6 points (0.3%).

 

So, yes, the market is manipulated.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:50 | 4613546 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

FED jams in all the POMO free money under cover of darkness, then during 'trading hours' all the HFT machines skim it all off. Of course FED knows nothing of this 'HFT' talk....nothing!

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:45 | 4613531 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I'm sure this is somehow positive news for US indexes.....somehow.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:46 | 4613536 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Fukunomics.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:47 | 4613537 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Why does 'Recovery' seem to mean 'OK, we pulled the plug on the financial world again and stole all you peasants wealth, so now get back out there and rebuild it all for us so we can take it all for ourselves yet again.'

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:49 | 4613544 I am a Man I am...
Tue, 04/01/2014 - 09:54 | 4613552 SmilinJoeFizzion
SmilinJoeFizzion's picture

Wheres Godzilla when you need him

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:02 | 4613567 toros
toros's picture

April Fools!

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:06 | 4613580 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Japanese Ministry of Propaganda says the unemployment rate dropped to 3.6 % ! BLS must do better !

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:12 | 4613594 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Replace "Japan" with "US" and the shit is all the same

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:24 | 4613631 NMFP
NMFP's picture

When's a recovery not a recovery?

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 10:42 | 4613664 Carl Popper
Carl Popper's picture

I knew a vet from the post ww2 japanese occupation. One pack of cigs would get you 20 small pieces of carved ivory. Total value about 800 bucks today.

A carton of cigs would get you a girl for the entire weekend.

Vaginas become monetized in tough times.

That's good for old, overweight white guys like me.

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 11:02 | 4613752 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

naked kleptocracy

Tue, 04/01/2014 - 11:39 | 4613838 DIgnified
DIgnified's picture


This "recovery" is legalese. What is supposed to be rcovered? The economy? Your money? My money?  

How about their recovery of consolidated power?

The "recovery" never was, is not, or ever shall be. The plan to remove wealth, and weapons from then serf has been if full effect. Make appropriate plans.
Tue, 04/15/2014 - 21:01 | 4663584 Possible Impact
Possible Impact's picture

"Happiness is a tight Labor Market"

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!