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The Day That BTFD Failed

Tyler Durden's picture




 

We noted on Friday that something happened in the US stock market that day that has not been seen since the Fed unveiled QE4EVA. It went quietly under the radar of the mainstream media; talking-heads did not mention it; and strategists shrugged it off. What happened? BTFD Failed... and, as BofAML's Macneil Curry warns, popular trades are in trouble (bad news for equity bulls and treasury bears).

 

As a gentle reminder, the main investing thesis of the last few years has been BTFD (because buying the fucking dip has worked every time in the past, it will continue to work - therefore BFTD, BTFATH, and BTFWWIII)...

 

But - for the first time in 18 months... BTFD failed on Friday... (each dip was met with higher highs)...

 

 

Until Friday.. when the Nasdaq, having "dipped" to the 100DMA was "bought" back above the 50DMA but failed to make new highs and in fact made new lows...

 

So BTFD has failed.

As BofAML's Macneil Curry warns, Popular trades in trouble

Last week did not turn out like we thought it would. We came in aggressively bullish the S&P500, anticipating a resumption of its l/term uptrend for 1942, and we were equally bearish US Treasuries, recommending a short position in FVM4. Now both of those views appear to be in serious trouble.

The breakdown in tech stocks, with the NASDAQ Comp. closing below its 100d avg for the 1st time since Dec'1212, says that equities are likely to suffer more in the week ahead. This threatens the developing Treasury bear trend, particularly after Friday's Bullish Reversal Candles across much of the curve.

Chart of the week: NASDAQ Comp breaks key support 

 

The NASDAQ Comp has closed below its 100d avg for the 1st time since Dec'12. THIS IS BAD NEWS.

Historically, the 1st close below the 100d avg in 6 months or more has resulted in significant underperformance, with the avg 1wk, 2wk, and 1m returns all falling into negative territory. Beware, the 3968, Feb-05 low is vulnerable.

 

As the clip above says.. easy, you buy the fucking dip because "if you don't you're a fucking idiot".. unless this time it's dfferent...

 

 

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Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:34 | 4630513 Robot Traders Mom
Robot Traders Mom's picture

Nobody can say they weren't warned this was coming. People have chosen to accept their conditioning and will have nobody to blame but themselves when the bubble pops. 

 

www.TopTheNews.com 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:37 | 4630521 Motorhead
Motorhead's picture

Where are the Silver Bears?!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:48 | 4630543 Kitler
Kitler's picture

They are buying the fucking dip you fucking idiot.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:59 | 4630579 max2205
max2205's picture

I'll be fu ked but momos are off 20 40% but the Fed only let the spy drop less than 2%...well played sir

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:19 | 4630618 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Niggers, please.  This is just the quiet before the storm.

I am Chumbawamba.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:21 | 4630623 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

STFD!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:36 | 4630654 TheLooza
TheLooza's picture

im doing my taxes and just fully realized, emotionally speaking, that i have over 250k in carry forward short term losses.  That hurts.  I have puts going into tomorrow, btw.....

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:50 | 4630671 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Dude.   No worries.. That's money in the bank. 

Me thinks there's a good chance of one more half percent pop left for this "market" and than a sudden collapse.

Until then, remain sufficiently stoned, drunk or otherwise unconscious of reality and stay tuned to this Civil Defense channel for further  instructions.

That is all.

PS:  And get the fuck out of the house and get laid too!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:29 | 4630961 franzpick
franzpick's picture

The 2 year long BTFD metric - 'Never Sell A Quiet Market After A Rise' - ended Thursday.  We no longer have a quiet market after a rise.

Sell early and sell often...

 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:18 | 4631084 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

"NOTABLE TWITTER INVESTOR AND VENTURE CAPITALIST GEORGE ZACHARY just went on Bloomberg West—not exactly home turf for market skepticism—and said he thinks we're in a TECH BUBBLE (but..but...BTFATH, no? The FedYellen "put" will save all "investors," no?), as AS EVIDENCED BY BALLOONING COMPANY VALUATIONS AND ACQUISITIONS."

#NoShitSherlock

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/wearable-watch-space-is-growing-quickly-z...

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:34 | 4631122 flacon
flacon's picture

S&P going down is bullish for stawks... oh wait...

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:23 | 4631208 ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

I hope it takes all of Wall Street down the tubes and their Washington lackies with them.

The problem is I don't think they will go down quietly.  

The only way to stop them is to stop playing their game.  Don't BTFD.  Since they "own" the markets ... let them have them.  They can't collect from themselves.

Screw'em

 

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 05:59 | 4631596 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

There are well lit EXITS signs in this Theater. I hope so, Ive not seen them but I hope they exist. Please tell me they are plentiful and wide and not few and locked. Please, no one yell FIRE till I have moved from my seat

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:19 | 4630945 I need Another Beer
I need Another Beer's picture

Ack acks, r like pit bulls, U never know when they will decide to rip out ur throat

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:28 | 4631214 Money Squid
Money Squid's picture

Racism, to include any religious affiliation, will not be tolerated in ANY FORM on this site, including the disparagment of people in the comments section.

To report any form of discrimination, please right click on the comment number, copy the link to the comment, and send the comment link to abuse [at] zerohedge.com.

Any user found to be discriminating against ANY race, religion, or affiliation, will be banned immediately, and have their comments removed from the system.

You have been warned.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:51 | 4631244 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

Stasi, is that you?!

If you say that all white people are better and more superior. That's 'rayciiist."

If you say that most black communities in the DC US are violent cesspools. That’s observational.

If you say that the industries of faud and theft, finance, are dominated by Jew. That's common sense.

If you say that most Asians are better at math. That's who I'm sitting next to in Calculus III.

 

rac·ism ?r??siz?m noun noun: racism 1. the belief that all members of each race possess characteristics or abilities specific to that race, esp. so as to distinguish it as inferior or superior to another race or races.
Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:20 | 4631267 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Many years ago the University hired me to sit in Math Classes. Yeah...It was great during test time.

 

I caught 30 CheATERS at Arizona State University in a School Year. (I was the best at my job.) Fifteen of those were expelled and one of those had his Student Visa revoked and was deported.

 

I hope that you do not have a case of the "wandering eyes" or Crib-Sheet-itis.

 

Heads up.

 

Oh...and yes...I have read "The Bell Curve" by Murray and Herrnstein

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:25 | 4631305 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

To the dishonest wonder whom awarded a Down Arrow. ..I HATE FUCKING CHEATERS AS IT IS WHAT HAS PLACED US IN THIS ECONOMIC CONUNDRUM.

 

Now you may be a dishonest prick. So I will have fun with any dishonest cheating prick...

 

Let's go hunting. I live at 12223B Woodside Ave., Lakeside, CA, USA.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:35 | 4631399 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

So, you live at Tropical Fish Encounters ?

Or the Wild Bull Tavern - probably the latter

'cause you're full of bull ...

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 02:49 | 4631494 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Tropical Fish Encounters was in a storefront beneath me. It went out of business in February. The fuckin' "Wild Bull Tavern", the former "Lakeside Round Up" is a Bar in the building just East from my location.

 

Let's go hunting.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:39 | 4631403 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

I was trying to add a bit of levity to a serious post. I.e. I was joking.

I have never cheated. Not from moral concerns, but I wanted my grades to trully reflect what I had done/learned.

Now I did once try to cheat in "Organizational Behavior," I think that that was what it was called. I ended up not using the crib sheet because I had memorized the material while making the crib sheet. Nearly aced it and ruined the "curve" others were depending on. LOL

Anyways, an even better book is, The 10,000 Year Explosion: How Civilization Accelerated Human Evolution. They deafly dance around what the Bell-curve

 

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 02:55 | 4631497 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Good for you.

 

I hate cheaters and frauds.

 

Look at the Down Arrows. That gives you an idea of whom is on this board.

 

As for "The Bell Curve"...It was enlightening.

 

I will look into the other book as it also sounds fascinating.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:15 | 4631282 TheMeatTrapper
TheMeatTrapper's picture

@Money Squid:

Without regard to your chosen racial identity, sexual orientation, age, gender, physical disabilities or any other butt hurt excuse for special status - Fuck You.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:29 | 4631310 Money Squid
Money Squid's picture

@ meatloser.

Hi loser. Long before you came around the site was full of interesting reads, few comments. The few comments were questions about the articles or some good responses to them. Now there is a lot of loser comments like yours and chumby. Chumby is only famous for being the first one to use "bitchez", which had a long and funny run. You can see chumby is one of the originals, maybe he even posts as one of the tylers. ZH was gaining in popularity because of the great information, not stupid comments like yours. I do not want to see this site slide down to your level. It is losers like you that are the lowest common denominator. cursing at losers like you is beneath me as I only curse at those who can understand how stupid they are.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:14 | 4631374 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

Except you sound like the 4th grade crybaby on the playground.  TEACHER!!  TEACHER!!  TEACHER!!! HE CALLED ME A NAME!!!  WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:32 | 4631396 Money Squid
Money Squid's picture

your hurtful, yet accurate description of my 4th grade year will result in many sleepless nights for me.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:14 | 4631506 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

niggaz, please - the use of the term 'niggaz, please' has passed into the parlance of common euphemism. If you are unable to distinguish genuine racism from an otherwise innocuous euphemmism utilised in a CONTEXT that is unrelated to racial issues then you have no place calling out people for diminishing the intellectual calibre of debate here

if chumba had used it in reference to specific and actual afro american people then i myself would have reported it

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 07:39 | 4631694 UselessEater
UselessEater's picture

entertaining but say something, this PC stuff wasn't around when I was informed I was bad just for being white at the age of 8.

now some real discourse please

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 14:17 | 4633000 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Nigger, please.  How is that discrimination?

I am Chumbawamba.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 13:47 | 4632885 midas360
midas360's picture

Completely unnecessary. 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:06 | 4630595 xtop23
xtop23's picture

They'll blame the weather. 

Until I see a cascade of Wall Street "movers", plummeting to the street below from open skyscraper windows, I remain unimpressed.

Of course ...... who needs an open window when you've got a black bag group taking "middle management" out anyway?

 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:36 | 4630658 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Could mass banker "suicides" be the cause of a fucking dip?

Exactly how many would it take?

Can we start a petition?

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 02:43 | 4631489 Oliver Jones
Oliver Jones's picture

I don't know.

It's a bit like that Monty Python sketch with financial professionals jumping out the window.

"That was Perkins from Finance!"
"No it wasn't."
"That's Perkins."
"Oh yeah."

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:58 | 4631027 Greenie
Greenie's picture

They (the MSM) will blame the HFT guys when shit hits the fan. The bandwagons have been circling all week. The right time is now.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:17 | 4631288 daveO
daveO's picture

60Minutes made the report 5 days before. The setup is in. All systems are go.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:46 | 4631411 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

Are we that stupid?  Is it really that simple? Please please don't crash the market this month and blame HFT.  Please don't have Senate and House investigations into secret scalping of decimal pennies.  Please Mr. president, please don't interupt my CNBC insiders report to tell us this is unacceptable in the 21st century.  There is no way they will crash the market and claim that 'investors lost their faith in the markets'.  There is no way he can stand up there and say,'the black swan has landed'. God no, not now.  

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:05 | 4631504 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

/s

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 06:23 | 4631627 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

It's looking like it's about time to do the right thing, and not be looking back at this time in history 10 years from now saying, if only I had done the right thing then.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 06:30 | 4631625 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

As evident in the high risk high reward "growth" stocks who mostly make a stain of profit on a bit of toilet paper. When they (momentum) stocks take a hit it is "locked and loaded". Know there are EXITS! and they are your first movers toward the door. It starts as a dull sound of movement, disturbing the Theater and it does not become evident till the movement disturbs your view.When it does you take notice and by that time the popcorn is dropped and you had better hope you can outrun the Fat fuck who is blocking the exit. I know, seen it so many times before.

If anything you should plan the shortest ( pun) distance that takes you to the exit less seen, therefore less crowded.  Edit: you have time but not much, so avoid the crush as HFT have no soul and have no cognitve thought to temper the rush. They will outrun you and feed the fear

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:01 | 4631032 SilverDOG
SilverDOG's picture

xtop23

 

Go ahead and "JUMP!"

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ap2J9RbXaP4

 

Mondays motto.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:07 | 4630599 Mr Pink
Mr Pink's picture

H..em em em ...should I just buy the fucking dip?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:15 | 4630615 FinalEvent
FinalEvent's picture

<- My name

<- not my name

Black monday tomorrow!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:17 | 4630616 fockewulf190
fockewulf190's picture

No, you should buy phyzz.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:36 | 4630657 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

You must mean physical farmland.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:47 | 4630677 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Or just a physic.

 

Now there's  a term you don't see much anymore, you mooks!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:03 | 4631039 HardAssets
HardAssets's picture

Physical farmland ?   Better have very deep pockets.

Not too many farmers anxious to sell any.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:41 | 4631136 NuckingFuts
NuckingFuts's picture

I've got 200 acres payed off..... Not nearly enough. But have the stack in case I have to move on.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:53 | 4631247 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

"I've got 200 acres payed off"

Not according to the local extortion rackets.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:15 | 4631377 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

Paid off?  Your property tax bill is NEVER PAID OFF!!

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:31 | 4631520 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

not this old argument against owning property

you ever had a property tax that is more than 10% the cost of paying rent?

didnt think so

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 07:55 | 4631720 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

Not arguing against owning property. Just reminding everyone that you don't own your property, you rent from .gov. In perpetuity, as long as you "own" said property.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:57 | 4631357 StillSilence
StillSilence's picture

That depends if you want to have land or money.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:05 | 4630725 motorollin
motorollin's picture

Yeah like paper UST? /s

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:12 | 4631054 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

After a long hibernation, the Silver Bears are out catching Silver Fish, you fucking idiot.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:55 | 4630573 Market Rage
Market Rage's picture

Agree.  I don't know if they'll be able to get out of this one.  Cute avatar btw.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:23 | 4631205 RiverRoad
RiverRoad's picture

And isn't it just about time for the sharks to head for the Hamptons?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:40 | 4631329 uncle_vito
uncle_vito's picture

Only 1 day down.   Sheesh.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:40 | 4631529 dogfish
dogfish's picture

The link dont work,i had to type in the address.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 04:08 | 4631539 random999
random999's picture

lol I´ve been thinking about buying or not for a loong time, but I´ll never be able to know what is wrong or right in a time where everything is manipulated by governments, computers, media and bankers.

What Im worrying about is that IF the stockmarket crashes badly, there might be nothing left to buy.
Anyways, so i spent half my cash on stocks which is around half a year of earnings. If stockmarket tumbles around 30% I will buy the other half. If it continues down under 50% I will get my damn morgage and pump in another 4 annual earnings. If it continues down under 80% from current value I´ll boost the morgage and pump in another 4 annual earnings as long as the banks still offer that cash to me.

 

After that i can only hope there will be a recovery sooner or later. Well if there is not, who cares about those lost cash and morgage?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:36 | 4630517 symtex411
symtex411's picture

somehow this has to be bullish, I mean it's not really differrrent this time is it...

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:54 | 4630568 negative rates
negative rates's picture

No, you Lost Leverage, it was proved. 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:08 | 4630597 Nikki Alexis
Nikki Alexis's picture

One down day and a few bears think it's the beginning of the end... again.  We have seen 5 years of this.  A solid selloff followed by BTFD and new highs in a few days.  Nothing to see here.

 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:00 | 4631031 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

All the Fed's shennanigans are going to work until they don't.  And I think that the bears are just being hopeful, because this shit's going to keep going until it unexpectedly breaks.  I'm not good enough to time it. 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:13 | 4631067 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"One down day and a few bears think it's the beginning of the end... again."

 

But it isn't just one down day on the Nasdaq. 

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:17 | 4631436 teslaberry
teslaberry's picture

it's funny but a banker i know who has made a shit ton of money being highly bullish since 2009 said this friday was the top of the market. 

i asked him if he thought the market would crash, he said he had no clue. 

 

there's only one way to make money he said: taking risk. 

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:44 | 4631451 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

That is why there are so many dead bankers.  Hoping for dead bankers is like hoping for $5000 gold. Sounds wonderful in theory.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 06:59 | 4631641 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

You never "See" a suckerpunch coming but you hear it hiss just before you go down. Yes just watch the risky assets being pumped then dumped. When high risk, high reward stocks who make little to justify the orbital valuations get hammered, they ( THEY) are heading to the Exits before you. Ask yourself do you sell a company that makes solid profits year on year or do you first sell the Momentum stocks that have nothing but a good story behind them and lock it down. Not rocket science. Its a " Give me" in golf terms. You have time to make an orderly exit just like them. watch what they do.   Never feed Peals to Pigs, it is expensive and the Pigs get annoyed when you do it.  Such is Life!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:37 | 4630520 mattgallis
mattgallis's picture

Tesla below 80 by 2015?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:41 | 4630532 knukles
knukles's picture

 Be goin down in flames

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:54 | 4630569 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

I thought that was up in flames, which only proves Wenchly is right,

  I don't know up from down.

But I do know head from tail;)

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:50 | 4631455 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

Up in smoke,

down in flames, Kaiserhoff.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:54 | 4630570 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

I thought that was up in flames, which only proves Wenchly is right,

  I don't know up from down.

But I do know head from tail;)

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:39 | 4630525 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

"Last week did not turn out like we thought it would." Actually, it did but it did not turn out like you told your clients it would. BIG difference.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:40 | 4630527 knukles
knukles's picture

BTFDWTFDDGBDBTDWGBMONOK

Buy the fucking dip when the fucking dip didn't get bought, dip, because the dip will get bought, maybe or not, OK?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:06 | 4630551 Kitler
Kitler's picture

It could be a rare double-fucking dip opportunity opening up here.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:15 | 4630614 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

That's like putting your whole mouth right in the dip.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:45 | 4630674 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

did that once, but the new generation antibiotics took care of the ... er ... outcome

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:48 | 4630679 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Just once!?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:06 | 4630897 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Sometimes once is enough.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:55 | 4630572 negative rates
negative rates's picture

You want some onion to go with that dip?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:32 | 4630968 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

You can double dip....just don't toss the salad.....especially if there are black beans in it.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:11 | 4631187 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Yellen' Onion Rings around the posie.   They were so rose'y.  NASDAQs and BioTechs...they all fall down !

It'll make the long's cryyy,..  

Can't wait to see the post fall-out spin jobs from management nut jobs.

 

MZZ, QID for 401K and IRA...should be good.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:42 | 4630529 q99x2
q99x2's picture

As they take their profits some will go to Bitcoin. Although, Most will flip from long to short.

That's a good thing.

YeeeeeeeeHaaaaaaaa.

I wonder how HFT works in reverse.

Is Greece going to default?

Thank you Putin.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:44 | 4630534 Mr Giggles
Mr Giggles's picture

No down. Market shut. that is it.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:02 | 4630586 seek
seek's picture

That's my read as well unless the stocks are somehow offloaded onto the Fed. There's no way they'll allow a 2008 repeat after this level of printing, since it would reveal every lie they've made.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:08 | 4630738 motorollin
motorollin's picture

You know, that sounds right, in theory. But I don't think that TPTB will let the economy fully recover, because that would allow interest rates to rise. The government literally cannot afford that. Japan, Europe, nor the US. There will be another collapse to allow rates to stay low or turn negative. 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:16 | 4630774 seek
seek's picture

They're in a tough spot, but if the Fed is the only buyer of significance they can play a lot of games with rates as they have already done.

It is wickedly evil that we're entering a point where the Fed and government are actually incentivized to not allow a recovery, not that one is coming.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:36 | 4631524 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

and so this is perhaps the point where the market decides to set the bond rates instead

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:44 | 4630535 Future Jim
Future Jim's picture

Is there really no way to kick the can further down the road?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:47 | 4630539 SmilinJoeFizzion
SmilinJoeFizzion's picture

Can rolled into storm drain. Game over

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:56 | 4630707 Eternal Complainer
Eternal Complainer's picture

Yep,
It may be 'the boiler room' bust out moment down at the fed.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:51 | 4630548 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Since no one wastes money of infrastructure anymore (too busy buyin the dip) the road went to unimproved road, to trail, to path, to ......?

 

Should make JHK happy anyway.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:52 | 4630560 Tasty Sandwich
Tasty Sandwich's picture

Kicking the can is not the problem.

At the end of the road, there's a cliff.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:15 | 4630608 All Risk No Reward
All Risk No Reward's picture

There is no cliff for TBTF&Jail, just for everyone else.

Then again, that has been the plan all along...  you know, made by those stupid people who are laying seige to the planet of super smart people that know these people are stupid.

The strongest incentive for TBTF&Jail is to loot everyone raw in a way that a nation of cowards can pretend they aren't being robbed, THEN PULL THE PLUG TO BUY UP THE COUNTRY FOR PENNIES ON THE DOLLAR OR SIMPLY SEIZE ASSETS OF ALL TYPES...  STATE, CORPORATE, PRIVATE, WHATEVER.

Yes, hyperinflation may happen, BUT NOT WHILE THE SHOT CALLERS ARE SITTING ON TRILLIONS IN CASH AND TRILLIONS MORE IN DEBT PAPER.

This is so darn obvious, EVEN A CAVE MAN OUGHT TO BE ABLE TO FIGURE THIS ONE OUT!

Just because Rockefeller funded empty suits pound the table on hyperinflation all the time doesn't mean it makes sense!

Don't you folks get it?  Duping everyone into believing hyperinflation is imminent enables them to offload their assets at the best possible prices before they pull the plug on everyone else.

Rothschild pretended to sell after British beat the French in order to dupe everyone else into selling (he had the news and everyone else didn't).  You know, because he was so stupid.

He actually bought for pennies on the dollar and all the idiots that went along with the Rothschild funded establishment line got their faces ripped off.

Happy ripping - because we learn nothing from history.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:39 | 4630660 Tasty Sandwich
Tasty Sandwich's picture

The system requires exponential growth, even if the underlying, real economy cannot grow.

The ruling elite cannot overcome physics and peak oil.

The real economy has been and is contracting - and will continue to do so.  The financial system will eventually completely implode too.

Sitting on that cash actually prevents hyperinflation in some ways.

If they literally dropped it into the hands of normal people who'd go spend it, then hyperinflation would be imminent.

Currency collapse is inevitable, but inevitable does not mean imminent.

Sun, 04/13/2014 - 00:44 | 4653221 All Risk No Reward
All Risk No Reward's picture

Wehn one's financial institution is TBTF&Jail, as Morgan, Sachs and the other chosen few are, why would their owners care so long as they can collapse their competition and then buy them with your bailout money for 3 cents on the dollar?

The game isn't controlling money, it is controlling REALITY and that is their gambit.

Yes, hyperinflation is inevitable, BUT THE BIGS WILL BE OUT OF MONEY AND INTO EVERYONE ELSES HARD ASSETS WHEN THEY ORCHESTRATE IT.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 05:54 | 4631594 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Run, men, the Serfs found arms somewhere--Arrrghh!

My God, Nigel, they've set fire to the yacht club!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:56 | 4630567 Kitler
Kitler's picture

Yes, but first they will have to build more road.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:57 | 4630575 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

<-- "We have to kick this can to see what's in it."

<-- "If you like your can, you can kick your can."

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:48 | 4631144 surf0766
surf0766's picture

<< FUCK THEM BOTH

<< FUCK THEM BOTH

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:49 | 4630544 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Buy the fucking dipshit!
Yup, greater fools are back in style, so go long them!

This glitch in the matrix can be healed, Dear Janet, but it'll cost ya.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:50 | 4630549 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

The can is now the size of a marble and has gone down the rabbit hole.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:36 | 4630655 Offthebeach
Offthebeach's picture

Cans are barbaric relics.

Modern Monetary Can Theory has done away with kicking and cans. Federal Can Reserve will issue can distance in support of the economic needs.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:12 | 4631430 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

Paper cans distort the intrinsic value of real cans.  It takes less energy to kick a paper can down the road. The compensating variable allows for a higher velocity thus more downrange BOUNCE.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 02:20 | 4631472 Grom Hellscream
Grom Hellscream's picture

These paper cans are all rehypothecated, and probably do not even exist. When the music stops, you will be canless.

 

Only buy physical cans that you can actually kick down the road.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 04:49 | 4631556 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

I sense the return of the old "canned hams" idea ...

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 05:52 | 4631591 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

+10

Most cans are just digital bytes.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 17:51 | 4630556 Barry McBear
Barry McBear's picture

The ECB is going to give a trillion reasons to BTFD next month.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:10 | 4630605 franciscopendergrass
franciscopendergrass's picture

+1 for making the observation but -1000000 for the ECB QE'ing the way to further indebting the Europeans.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:49 | 4631148 surf0766
surf0766's picture

EUrope is toast and Putin knows it. He will take it all. Mommy Jeans will do nothing to stop him. Yes he is "JUST WORDS"

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:19 | 4631182 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

If we see Yellen, Lagarde, and Hillary spreading (it on thick) at the next ECB or IMF meeting we know it's near the end.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:05 | 4630593 jim249
jim249's picture

Bullish. Rally on Monday AM.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:28 | 4630638 valley chick
valley chick's picture

What changed since Friday?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:51 | 4630688 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Two days into the future... 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 22:17 | 4631197 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

It's astounding
Time is fleeting
Madness takes it's toll...

Ahh...But listen closely...Not for very much longer...

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 00:45 | 4631410 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

Let's do the Time Warp again !!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:05 | 4630594 schooltruth
schooltruth's picture

Remember way back 9 days ago when the NASDAQ slipped 2% over the course of a couple of days at the end of March?  That prompted Yellen to calm everyone's fears with an assurance that support will remain in place.

I'd expect more frequent comments this week if the declines pick up any steam.

However, I agree with the author that at some point paying 350x 2015 Revenues might seem a little silly in retrospect.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:13 | 4631432 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

or blame HFT

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:09 | 4630602 billhilly
billhilly's picture

As BofAML's Macneil Curry warns, Popular trades in trouble

Last week did not turn out like we thought it would. We came in aggressively bullish the S&P500, anticipating a resumption of its l/term uptrend for 1942,

 

Maybe it didn't turn out like they thought it would but who wants to bet they still have a 100% perfect trading record for the quarter ?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:18 | 4630617 Okienomics
Okienomics's picture

BTDD (double dip)

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:20 | 4630620 holdbuysell
holdbuysell's picture

It's AFT* that BTFD failed.

* - About F*cking Time

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:27 | 4630634 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Too many holes in the dam and not enough fingers to plug them.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:35 | 4630650 Imminent Collapse
Imminent Collapse's picture

Nothing is as it seems.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:35 | 4630652 socalbeach
socalbeach's picture

My favorite exchange from the video:

.

woman: But is that not very similar to a pyramid scheme? ...

man: It's not a pyramid scheme you idiot.  It's a buy the dip scheme.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:39 | 4630664 nightshiftsucks
nightshiftsucks's picture

So the Feds get everyone to buy stocks and then let it dump ? Don't think so.might have a small correction but that's it.By the end of the year there will be a big stimulus program/was and 100 billion+ a month will be printed.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:50 | 4631152 surf0766
surf0766's picture

And the petro dollar will be gone.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:44 | 4630669 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

If all it takes is for a small sell off for people to start screaming the end is near, then I'm pretty sure that the end isn't near. The end will come like a thief in the night, and we won't know what hit us. We have a dying currency and the stock market will act accordingly.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:48 | 4630682 nightshiftsucks
nightshiftsucks's picture

Honest question,wouldn't the stock market jump because people would be looking for a place to put their money ? Are we Venezuela ?

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:52 | 4630692 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Honest answer:   What fucking "money" are you talking about!? 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:56 | 4630698 nightshiftsucks
nightshiftsucks's picture

Well if the dollars come rushing back then where will they go ? I'll be honest,I've been sitting on 600k in cash for a while and starting to think seriously what to do with it but unfortunately it's in retirement accounts.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:12 | 4630922 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Help those you care about most. Money means nothing.

 

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:57 | 4631021 kareninca
kareninca's picture

My husband and I have loads of relatives (and family friends) who feel that "money means nothing," and treat it accordingly, and so even though they earn decent salaries, they are utterly broke and even in debt.  We are able to help them (and do), because we treat it like it means something.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:25 | 4631439 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

Doesn't make sense.  You believe in money. They don't believe in money. You give them something they don't believe in. You feel better. Oh I get it

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:18 | 4631083 jim249
jim249's picture

The Fed will help you spend it.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:45 | 4631140 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Don't bogart that cash my friend, sign it over to me.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 23:59 | 4631299 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Get a rollover IRA or 401K (and roll that into a IRA) and put into Phys or PSLV or CEF at a broker like Schwab.

 

or...get a physical Gold IRA, just make sure  you don't/can't touch it and have a valid trust or account to manage it by a third party.

 

Gold, Silver, gems, land..and good tangibles.

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 01:33 | 4631443 Hovel Downs
Hovel Downs's picture

I think the idea of phys is you keep it in your own grubby little hands.  If you want to speculate then CEF is good.  {Your speculating that the brokerage and government will honor their promise}

Mon, 04/07/2014 - 03:19 | 4631507 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Plan is to exit ASAP and even leave a 10% penalty on 401K (and IRA if possible), and move on out of Dodge.

Precious dream.

 

If the stock market collapse is very large I hope the shorts are all honored and can be converted to physical and then .... close all accounts.

If this is a big collapse there will be lots of sparks flying, and who knows what may come.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:52 | 4631159 surf0766
surf0766's picture

We are Germany and the EPA is the Angle of Death.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 18:52 | 4630694 nightshiftsucks
nightshiftsucks's picture

OT, I live in the SF East Bay Area. I was driving around today and noticed a lot more open home signs than in the past several years,I also saw a bunch of recently purchased cars,more than normal.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 20:50 | 4631007 kareninca
kareninca's picture

Every single f***ing car in Silicon Valley is new and costly.  Except ours, and our neighbor's  -  he is an 58 y.o. astrophysicist and has the same view we do; you're supposed to drive an old beater until it falls apart, that's the rational thing!!!!!  Most of these people can't really afford those cars; it's ridiculous.  It is so bizarre, driving around in an economic recession (most of the country is in a depression but here I guess it's a recession), and every car on the road is new and costly!!!  Except us, our neighbor, and the Hispanic gardeners who drive old pick-ups.  Good thing there are all those license plate scanners (/sarc), otherwise the cops would probably stop us every day just for being freaks.  

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:12 | 4631065 seek
seek's picture

Same thing in Phoenix -- I'd say for far sale signs started spiking about 3-4 months ago. It's nearly to 2008 levels in my neighborhood. From what I've heard our market turned and is off its peak but not by a lot.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 21:51 | 4631153 Tinky
Tinky's picture

My co-op is under (cash) contract, and not a moment too soon. Even here in the metro NYC area I don't feel safe.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:03 | 4630718 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

FROTHY!

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:06 | 4630728 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Charts, how effing quaint. BTFD or die bitchez.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:07 | 4630736 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

NOBODY, I SAY NOBODY WILL SHORT.  Too many shorts got their head taken off with a necular melt up.  So, now there is nobody to catch the falling knife as everyone is long.

Sun, 04/06/2014 - 19:14 | 4630761 jubber
jubber's picture

HK and European futures already moving up , HK already up 60, Dow and S&P both positive

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