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Nikkei Futs Down Nearly 1000 Points In Three Days

Tyler Durden's picture




 

USDJPY has fallen over 250 pips in the last few days and today is its biggest daily drop in 8 months as stimulus-hope premia is removed from the FX carry trade juicer. USDJPY has retraced all its post-FOMC gains in the last 2 days as the euphoria-to-disaster crowd continues to flood in and out. This dive has driven Nikkei 225 futures down almost 1000 points from Friday's highs, pressuring the Japanese stock market to near its cheapest to the Dow in 15 months.

 

2 weeks up and 2 days down - as hope is eviscerated...

 

retracing all the post-FOMC gains (JPY losses)

 

and smashes Japanese stocks lower...

 

As a gentle reminder - as we noted here:

Perhaps no chart better captures the current fleeting, momentum-chasing "euphoria to despair" sentiment in the markets, in which nothing is real or fundamentally-driven, and where everything is a "smoke and mirrors" illusion encouraging the speculative stampede into (and then out of) the comfort of printed paper "wealth", than the following visual summary of how foreign cash came to Japan, injecting a record amount of money on hopes that Abenomics would promptly send the Nikkei to 20,000, and upon realizing the failure of Abenomics to result in a virtuous market expansion (the Nikkei is down about 7% for 2014), has high-tailed it out of the land of the rising sun at the fastest pace in history!

 

And keep in mind that the Nikkei is still roughly, and artificially, 50% higher than where it will be once the Abenomics euphoria is fully faded. Which is why the purple line may still have a very long way to go... in an inversely upward direction.

Source: Diapason Commodities Management

 

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Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:42 | 4636522 robilla
robilla's picture

Everybody Wang Chung tonight

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:52 | 4636554 flacon
flacon's picture

Is market drop bullish for stawks?

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:58 | 4636569 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Get to work Yellen!  The world needs your printing press!

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:26 | 4636651 Manthong
Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:27 | 4636654 SomebodySpecial
SomebodySpecial's picture

Tyler really needs go get an editor to help correct the increasing number of typographical and grammatical errors in posts posted by Tyler Durden.

This one really takes the cake.

Nikki Futs Down instead of Nikki Puts Down...

Maybe he can't afford to "get it right"

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 18:46 | 4637290 Wait What
Wait What's picture

aesthetics vs. substance. i get this shit all the time. say something brilliant, only to get nit picked for pronunciation or syntactical awkwardness in expressing an idea that coalesced moments before. usually by someone w/ a mediocre intellect still confused and trying to catch up. i just roll my eyes and move on to something (and someone) more meaningful. i'm guessing TD does the same, but Abe, on the other hand, must be singing this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRVSSwJYqh0&feature=kp

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:42 | 4636523 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Don'rt worry, Abe the wonder boy and his mighty flying robot Stimulus will save the day.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:47 | 4636536 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

get ready to BTFD

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:01 | 4636587 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Mrs. Watanabe was screaming something about Kiniro...

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:47 | 4636526 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Abe needs to hire Bernanke as BOJ chairman...

A few news...

URGENT: Protesters 'break into' office of Kiev-appointed prosecutor in western

UKRAINE'S TYMCHUK SAYS PRO-KREMLIN ACTIVISTS TOLD TO PREPARE CORRIDOR IN LUGANSK REGION FOR RUSSIAN TROOPS

UKRAINE'S TYMCHUK SAYS RUSSIA PLANS TO ENTER EASTERN UKRAINE IN THE COMING NIGHT

Hearing reports on Ukrainian army preparing to storm Lugansk

John Kerry says , , Sanctions are possible on Russia

http://www.thelocal.se/20140407/russia-ups-spy-numbers-in-sweden

"Säpo chief counter-intelligence analyst Wilhelm Unge...told Sveriges Radio (SR) that he was "a bit concerned" that Russia's interest in Sweden had intensified, as evidenced by simulated flight attacks on Swedish targets as well as attempts to recruit spies, increased signals intelligence, and the purchase of a significant number of maps.

"The most serious threat we see right now is war preparations," he explained. "It's no secret that Russia is engaged in this. It's a little bit worrying."

This could be fun.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:32 | 4636663 agstacks
agstacks's picture

Mining Sanctions? What are they going to kick them out of the COMEX, lol.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:46 | 4636533 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

Buy the fucking Nip?

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:47 | 4636534 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

That consumption tax should help.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:49 | 4636543 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

Yup nothing like a new VAT tax to make the sheeple feel good about themselves so they can go and spend some more

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:50 | 4636547 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   Here's one possible scenario I've been exploring for the fed. minutes tomorrow. The minutes are hawkish or taken as no additional easing is planned, and the threshold for additional easing is high.

   The bond market sells off and the usd spikes off this recent selloff. The reaction is taken as risk off by the markets so the FX carry continues to unwind and pressure usd/jpy and the risk crosses, even though yields move higher. The stronger dollar causes riskier currencies to selloff.

  We obviously have some macro news to get through first, but it's something im factoring over the next 24 hours.  Asia could get ugly later.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:02 | 4636590 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

i'm expecting an ES dumpfest the second the bell rings in 59 minutes.  SPX futes may be down 20+ (1.5%)  in the AM

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:53 | 4636556 Peter K
Peter K's picture

Hey, and periphery Euroland debt is likewise cheap, still trading at a discount to Germany. It don't get any better then this.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:56 | 4636563 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Nikkei is going down in flames. This is bullish for the S&P 500 because reasons.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 14:57 | 4636566 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Well, that's good for the DOW, because all that "hot money" will come flowin' this a-way and so we'll be rolin in dough.

Sun, 04/13/2014 - 00:28 | 4636575 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

and to celebrate, Japan just raised its sales tax by 3% to 8%!  next year it goes to 10%.

At least they have non-stop massive doses of deadly, extinction causing radiation to look forward to for the next 50,000 years.

Sionara, bitchez

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:05 | 4636605 Haager
Haager's picture

Erasing all post-FOMC gains just means new FOMC-gains are needed. And by some kind of accident, this will be, err... tomorrow?

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 15:37 | 4636674 CHX
CHX's picture

Wake me when gold is at 2500 and/or the DOW has cut down thru 10k.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 16:02 | 4636738 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

so if the carry trade is seemingly so key to all this, then why is the NASDAQ up like mad today?

 

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 18:52 | 4637327 Wait What
Wait What's picture

a Wiley E. Coyote moment. don't look down.

Tue, 04/08/2014 - 16:30 | 4636817 Pareto
Pareto's picture

Love the inversely upward direction

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