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JPM Misses Top And Bottom Line, Slammed By Collapse In Mortgage Origination, Slide In Fixed Income Trading

Tyler Durden's picture




 

So much for the infallible Mr. Dimon.

Moments ago, JPM reported Q1 earnings which missed across the board, driven by the now traditional double whammy of collapsing mortgage revenues - the lifeblood of any old normal bank - and fixed income trading revenues  - the lifeblood of new normal banks. Specifically, JPM reported revenues of $23.9 billion, well below the expected $24.5 billion, matched by a reported earnings miss of $1.28, down from $1.59 a quarter ago (and down $0.02 from Q4, 2014), also missing consensus estimates of $1.38.

The breakdown was as follows:

 

However, recall that as Zero Hedge first reported last quarter, JPM recently jumped on the FVA bandwagon, to wit:

In addition to analyzing the Firm’s consolidated results on a reported basis, management reviews the Firm’s results and the results of the lines of business on a “managed” basis, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. The Firm’s definition of managed basis starts with the reported U.S. GAAP results and includes certain reclassifications to present total consolidated net revenue for the Firm (and total net revenue for each of the business segments) on a fully taxable-equivalent (“FTE”) basis. Accordingly, revenue from investments that receive tax credits and tax-exempt securities is presented in the managed results on a basis comparable to taxable securities and investments. This non-GAAP financial measure allows management to assess the comparability of revenue arising from both taxable and tax-exempt sources. The corresponding income tax impact related to tax-exempt items is recorded within income tax expense. These adjustments have no impact on consolidated net income/(loss) as reported by the Firm or net income/(loss) as reported by the lines of business.

... which means one has to look at revenue on both a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. Sure enough, the company's non-GAAP revenue, reported quietly in the footnotes, was $1.1 billion less than the non-GAAP print.

 

Fine, revenue you can't fudge as easily. But what about EPS - after all the firm should be quite able to boost "earnings" by taking out another abnormally sized loan loss reserve release. It is here that we observe something curious: while last quarter JPM generated $1.3 billion in "bottom line earnings" from loan reserve releases, this quarter the number was down to a far smaller print, as JPM took only $417MM in releases, down substantially from $1.2 billion a year ago. Considering JPM still has a total reserve of $15.8 billion it was strange why it didn't take out more - it is almost as if Jamie Dimon wanted to miss the bottom line!

 

Going back to the firm's actual operations, here is where the bulk of the pain came from: mortgages, or rather the lack thereof.

Of note here: Mortgage Production was a disaster with mortgage related revenue of only $292 million, and net loss of $58 million.

As JPM says, "Revenue 76% lower YoY, primarily on lower volumes; originations down 68% YoY and 27% QoQ"

Nothing better in the servicing division: "Mortgage Servicing pretax loss of $270mm, down $169mm YoY"

The culprit: mortgage originations, which tumbled from $52.7 bn in Q1 2013, and $23.3bn in Q4 2013, to just $17.0 billion as the US consumer continues to not want to buy houses on credit.  Which also means that as JPM further writes, "Headcount down ~14,000, or ~30% since the beginning of 2013, and ~3,000 QoQ."

Oh well, at least those "all cash" Chinese and Russian buyers are happy, if not so much JPM's soon to be terminated mortgage bankers.

Tied with this is the fact that as we expected, JPM's market-based Net Interest Margin continues to decline, hitting a new record low of just 0.84%. The recent uber flattening in the yield curve will certainly not help.

 

And then, looking at the Investment Bank, things are just as bad if not worse:

 

Yup - fixed income markets, that key profit center for every bank - crashed by $1 billion Y/Y to only $3.8 billion as even equity market revenue dropped by $45 million to $1.3 billion. Also note the average VaR which tumbled from $62mm to only $42mm - as if Jamie is telling the traders to take zero risk.

Which ties in with the last slide - remember the London Whale operation, the CIO, which was a revenue and income goldmine for so long until it blew up? So much for that.

Full earnings presentation below.

 

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Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:48 | 4646737 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

Jaime takes another paycut?
Jaime gets called into the BOD office and there is a nail gun on the table?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:52 | 4646744 y3maxx
y3maxx's picture

...Zero Hedge

...J P Morgan

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:58 | 4646761 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

Mr Dimon, just 5 years after a hundred billion dollar taxpayer bailout, it looks like your bank is going to shit again...

 

"That's why I am richer than you"

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:00 | 4646768 Wahooo
Wahooo's picture

No doubt that after the conference call, JPM closes green today.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:11 | 4646789 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

JPM is likely very short this market.

They could report essentially any earnings they like under "mark to fantasy" accounting standards approved for financial institutions by Congress.  They pretty much own congress after all. 

Think about it.  After marking to fantasy upwards for years suddenly they mark to fantasy down now.  Why would they do that? 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:18 | 4646811 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

They are making it look like JPM is the fall bank.

Unikely. The bottom is probably falling out of another gorilla's numbers as we speak/type.

Left hand, Right hand, Nugen Hand?

ori

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:22 | 4646821 Wahooo
Wahooo's picture

Buffet's bank just reported, earnings up, pre-market up. Looks like the Feds are taking JPM down a notch at a time.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:30 | 4646846 Manthong
Manthong's picture

What’s the big deal?

All it takes is for the Fed to conjure up another few trillion like they have been doing for the last few years.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:41 | 4646878 nuclearsquid
nuclearsquid's picture

No bonus for back office chimps this Christmas.  

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:54 | 4646930 Manthong
Manthong's picture

How the F can you miss when you control the interest “market"?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:19 | 4646812 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

It's like the South Park episode where the devil bets on Jesus in a boxing match between the devil and Jesus.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:21 | 4646819 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Compare JPM earnings with WFC this morning.  WFC says everything is great and full steam ahead.  In many details Wells says the exact opposite about the economy that JPM says in its earning report.  Clearly they didn't get the memo to mark to the same fantasy.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:20 | 4646816 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Debbie does Dallas?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:23 | 4646823 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

Just a tempest in a...errr, never mind..

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:32 | 4647065 chapaev's ghost
chapaev's ghost's picture

How does the quote go? "....First by inflation and then by deflation..."

 

 

 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:56 | 4646749 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

So where's this office?

I'm sending a 45acp he can use instead.

And yes, as a matter of fact.. It really is a Hi-Point for that fucking scum ball!

http://www.hi-pointfirearms.com/handguns/handguns_45acp.html

 

And the """market""" fucking IMPLODES today!

May well turn out to be an even MOAR Black Friday than the last time!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:50 | 4646739 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

Double post..... So fuck you JPM!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:49 | 4646740 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Jamie Dimon puts his Presidential Cufflinks one cuff at a time.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:55 | 4646759 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

How else can you put cufflinks on?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:19 | 4646815 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

By having two newbie traders come and do it for you as a "ritual", together, every morning....

Who knows what goes on behind closed vault doors...

ori

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:29 | 4646841 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

Because Jamie Dimon goes to the office and then gets dressed?

 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:31 | 4646847 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

I imagine you can leave your cuff-links off and still appear dressed?

Nein?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:08 | 4646984 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

It's like pants.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:28 | 4646834 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Before being transplanted into his host symbiont's body he used to put them on one claw a time.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:00 | 4646769 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@TiS

Jamie Dimon, like Chuck Norris, doesn't wear cufflinks.  He doesn't even wear clothes.  He just MAKES us all THINK he's wearing clothes and cufflinks.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:50 | 4646745 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

And this after all the stops have been pulled to make the thing look as good as possible. I wonder if it is, in reality, not much, much worse.

Banks have been found defrauding, colluding and cheating on all levels, why not with their own figures?. After all, that would be much easier.

Got gold?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:52 | 4646751 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

Man, first  Goldman Sachs' giant Squid slips under the waves, now Moby Dick is diving to the deep

 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:51 | 4646752 youngman
youngman's picture

Goodthing he paid all those fines last year....

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:52 | 4646753 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It's a real bitch when, even in a (Fed) rigged market, you can't make a decent profit.

There ought to be a law.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:18 | 4646802 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

What happened to the 100% "Winning" trading daze phenoms? Better call in Dick Bove to explain how cheap the bank stocks are, and how "regulation" uncertainty is holding them back.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:08 | 4646763 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Who needs earnings when you have a "fortress" balance sheet?  /sarc

It is here that we observe something curious: while last quarter JPM generated $1.3 billion in "bottom line earnings" from loan reserve releases, this quarter the number was down to a far smaller print, as JPM took only $417MM in releases, down substantially from $1.2 billion a year ago. Considering JPM still has a total reserve of $15.8 billion it was strange why it didn't take out more - it is almost as if Jamie Dimon wanted to miss the bottom line!

 

That, or they know what is coming: Mortgage Meltdown Part Deux.

 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:15 | 4646799 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Fortress investment group owns Nationstar mortgage LLC. Total criminal outfits, Fuck  'em. Sell!

Death, by law, to Banksters!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 07:59 | 4646765 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

Over the last several years a pattern of a random statements from the Fed and several other sources have caused crazy and illogical rallies. An unholy alliance of the Federal Reserve, the government, and the too big to fail has left those of us who question the validity of the recovery in a precarious position.

This is a reason for the bears to be cautious For the big boys, its insider information and computer trading, this includes computing patterns that exploit where stops are placed, this improves their ability to wash the timid and weak bears out of their positions in this manipulated market.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/04/bears-have-little-reason-for-conf...

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:01 | 4646766 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

Dad - can we still rent that mansion in the Hampsteins for the summer?

- younger crypto Dimon

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:00 | 4646767 TheBoyPlunger
TheBoyPlunger's picture

Up here in the Seattle housing bubble 2.0 all the decent properties are being bought with all cash by wealthy Chinese. No mortgages necessary.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:40 | 4646772 y3maxx
y3maxx's picture

...One day soon, the USSA "Claws back" all "State side" foreign owned property.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:13 | 4646793 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

U sen ren check now, round eye.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:03 | 4646770 db51
db51's picture

There outh to be a law?     There will be one soon.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:04 | 4646773 Dubaibanker
Dubaibanker's picture

Apparently, Dimon has reached the final stage of grief: He has accepted the decline of JPM as an eventuality.

Jamie Dimon hits final stage of grief: acceptance

Chinese CEO of JPM has left the building...leaving an investigation behind for Dimon to handle.

JPMorgan top China banker Fang to leave amid hiring probe

Commodity business is already under investigation despite being sold recently....see below post on ZH as well. Size and scale of JPM keeps declining rapidly every single month. 

J.P. Morgan's fmr. commodities chief under investigation

 

In the Middle East, they have been cutting corporate relationships with top banks....including in Saudi and Abu Dhabi.

IFR-JP Morgan cuts banking ties with Dubai's Emirates NBD -sources

8,000 further jobs to go....

JPMorgan to cut 8,000 jobs, lowers 2014 profit target

Another line of business sold in the US....

J.P. MORGAN SIGNS AGREEMENT TO SELL ITS LARGE-MARKET 401K RECORDKEEPING BUSINESS, J.P. MORGAN RETIREMENT PLAN SERVICES, TO GREAT-WEST FINANCIAL 
Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:08 | 4646781 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Strange...I thought the 'Market' was always right, 'all knowing' and discounted at least 6 months out. Then why didn't it discount the banks earnings for Q1 2014 back in Q3 of last year? It knew about Dodd/Frank, etc. I can only conclude that the 'market' (and all of the sell-side analysts, media whores, as well as Bulltards) are full of S&$%! Unless, of course, the 'market' died sometime in the 1990's and has henceforth been hijacked by the FED and their lackey bootlickers. So what is it?

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:09 | 4646782 sangell
sangell's picture

...and that's why he is richer than you!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:10 | 4646788 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Jumper!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:19 | 4646813 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

What is over under for bankster deaths this week?

 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:40 | 4646874 intric8
intric8's picture

either over a bridge or under a bus

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:13 | 4646792 venturen
venturen's picture

more like QE drying up! Have stolen all the money they can....nothing left to scam

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:18 | 4646807 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Time for bonuses, gold plated nail guns for all top execs. 

Silver plated shitgums for lowly managers.

Buy silver today. Or seeds.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:21 | 4646818 A_Nejad
A_Nejad's picture

When the head of the tribe shows bleeding, you know the ENTIRE tribe is running outa lies....It's like "in your face", not in Yiddish.... 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:26 | 4646830 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

...the wheels on the bus go round and round, round and round, round and round.  The wheels on the bus go round and round, 'til the fall off.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:41 | 4646879 kurt
kurt's picture

Huge breakout up day today! To the moon! To the MOON!!!!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 08:48 | 4646907 topshelfstuff
topshelfstuff's picture

It just dawned on me, is there something going on that we are all missing here? Something JPM knows


JPMorgan sells physical commodities unit to Mercuria for ... www.reuters.com/.../us-jpmorgan-mercuria-idUSBREA2I0LG201...
Reuters 

Mar 19, 2014

JP Morgan sells $160B Kansas City retirement plan operation

www.bizjournals.com/.../jp-morgan-sells-160b-kansas-city-retire...

JP Morgan Chase sells short-term Treasury holdings www.usatoday.com/story/.../jpmorgan...sells.../2962461/
USA Today 

Oct 10, 2013 - NEW YORK (AP) — JPMorgan Chase said late Thursday that it is selling the government debt it holds in money market funds

JP Morgan Chase's sale of private equity arm stalls www.pehub.com/.../jp-morgan-chases-sale-of-private-equity-arm-stalls/

Mar 8, 2014 - The auction of JP Morgan Chase's private equity business, One Equity Partners, in the market since at least November, has hit an impasse

JPMorgan Is Selling The Building That Houses Its Gold Vault www.zerohedge.com/.../jpmorgan-selling-building-houses-its...
Zero Hedge 

Aug 18, 2013


JPMorgan Sells 401(k) Recordkeeping to Great-West Lifeco ... www.bloomberg.com/.../jpmorgan-to-sell-401-k-unit-to-...
Bloomberg L.P. 

Apr 3, 2014 - JPMorgan Chase & Co., the largest U.S. lender, agreed to sell its large-market 401(k) recordkeeping business

JPMorgan To Exit Foodstamp, Other Prepaid Cards Business

JPMorgan's surprise announcement

Curiously, it was just over two years ago when JPM said this about its EBT business:

“This business is a very important business to JP Morgan,” Christopher Paton, the company’s managing director of treasury services, told Bloomberg News in 2011. “It’s an important business in terms of its size and scale. We also regard it as very important in the sense that we are delivering a very useful social function. We are a key part of this benefit delivery mechanism. Right now volumes have gone through the roof in the past couple of years or so … The good news from JP Morgan’s perspective is the infrastructure that we built has been able to cope with that increase in volume.”

Guess the social function isn't that important any more. However, along with the responsibilities, JPM is losing a substantial revenue stream:

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 17:56 | 4649225 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

They also exited the Student Loan business.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:03 | 4646957 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

...while last quarter JPM generated $1.3 billion in "bottom line earnings" from loan reserve releases, this quarter the number was down to a far smaller print, as JPM took only $417MM in releases, down substantially from $1.2 billion a year ago. Considering JPM still has a total reserve of $15.8 billion it was strange why it didn't take out more - it is almost as if Jamie Dimon wanted to miss the bottom line!

 

Dimon lost his nerve when the koolaide he was drinking wore off. I find his lack of faith in this great recovery disturbing. lulz.

 

I was so looking forward to them looting the company entirely for bonuses and then having to sell stock down the road to raise reserve capital in a dead equity market. They will still have to if the market crashes too bad that won't be allowed to happen.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:31 | 4647063 A_Nejad
A_Nejad's picture

Ding-Dong...Let the mother fuckers bleed!!!!! 

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:41 | 4647111 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Fuck'em sideways with a running rusty chainsaw.  Hope they DIE!

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 09:42 | 4647118 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

Fixed income trading drying up?

 

Let me guess.

 

They were sitting (FASB 157) billions of junk MBS.  Selling them piecemeal to the Fed at par+.

 

Fed cuts back = easy profits drop

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 10:09 | 4647249 RealityCheque
RealityCheque's picture

Paging Satan: there's something wrong at your earth-based subsidiary.

Fri, 04/11/2014 - 14:28 | 4648334 Typing Typer
Typing Typer's picture

Maybe it was really the infallible Mr. Erian.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!