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Ready For The Price Of Food To More Than Double By The End Of This Decade?

Tyler Durden's picture


It's not just beef, pork, shrimp, eggs, and orange juice...

Submitted by Michael Snyder of The Economic Collapse blog,

Do you think that the price of food is high now?  Just wait.  If current trends continue, many of the most common food items that Americans buy will cost more than twice as much by the end of this decade.  Global demand for food continues to rise steadily as crippling droughts ravage key agricultural regions all over the planet.  You see, it isn't just the multi-year California drought that is affecting food prices.  Down in Brazil (one of the leading exporters of food in the world), the drought has gotten so bad that 142 cities were rationing water at one point earlier this year.  And outbreaks of disease are also having a significant impact on our food supply.  A devastating pig virus that has never been seen in the U.S. before has already killed up to 6 million pigsEven if nothing else bad happens (and that is a very questionable assumption to make), our food prices are going to be moving aggressively upward for the foreseeable future.  But what if something does happen?  In recent years, global food reserves have dipped to extremely low levels, and a single major global event (war, pandemic, terror attack, planetary natural disaster, etc.) could create an unprecedented global food crisis very rapidly.

A professor at the W. P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University named Timothy Richards has calculated what the drought in California is going to do to produce prices at our supermarkets in the near future.  His projections are quite sobering...

  • Avocados likely to go up 17  to 35 cents to as much as $1.60 each.
  • Berries likely to rise 21 to 43 cents to as much as $3.46 per clamshell container.
  • Broccoli likely to go up 20 to 40 cents to a possible $2.18 per pound.
  • Grapes likely to rise 26 to 50 cents to a possible $2.93 per pound.
  • Lettuce likely to rise 31 to 62 cents to as much as $2.44 per head.
  • Packaged salad likely to go up 17 to 34 cents to a possible $3.03 per bag.
  • Peppers likely to go up 18 to 35 cents to a possible $2.48 per pound.
  • Tomatoes likely to rise 22 to 45 cents to a possible $2.84 per pound.

So what happens if the drought does not end any time soon?

Scientist Lynn Ingram, who has studied the climate history of the state of California extensively, told CBS News that we could potentially be facing "a century-long megadrought" in California.  If that does indeed turn out to be the case, we could be facing huge price increases for produce year after year.

And it isn't just crops that are grown in the United States that we need to be concerned about.  As NBC News recently reported, the price of cocoa is absolutely soaring and that is going to mean much higher prices for chocolate...

As cocoa prices surge to near-record highs on demand for emerging markets, chocoholics brace for a hike in price – and maybe even a different taste, as chocolate makers hunt out cheaper ingredients.


Cocoa futures are up 10 percent so far this year, hitting almost £1,900 on ($3,195) a ton in March. Last year prices rose 20 percent.

In fact, experts are now warning that chocolate may soon become a "high-end luxury item" because it is becoming so expensive.

Meat prices are also starting to spiral out of control.

A virus known as porcine epidemic diarrhea has pushed pork prices up to new all-time record highs.  It has already spread to 27 states, and as I mentioned above, it has already killed up to 6 million pigs.  It is being projected that U.S. pork production will decline by about 7 percent this year as a result, and Americans could end up paying up to 20 percent more for pork by the end of the year.

The price of beef has also soared to a brand new all-time record high.  Due to the drought that never seems to let up in the western half of the country, the total size of the U.S. cattle herd has been declining for seven years in a row, and it is now the smallest that is has been since 1951.

If the overall price of food in this country increases by just an average of a little more than 12 percent a year, it will double by the end of this decade.

What would you do if you suddenly walked into the grocery store and everything was twice as much?

That is a frightening thing to think about.

Meanwhile, all of our other bills just keep going up as well.  For example, we just learned that the price of electricity hit a brand new all-time record high for the month of March.

If our incomes were keeping up with all of these price increases, that would be one thing.  Unfortunately, that is not the case.  As I wrote about earlier this week, the quality of our jobs continues to go down and more Americans fall out of the middle class every single day.

According to CNBC, there are hundreds of thousands of Americans with college degrees that are working for minimum wage right now...

While a college degree might help get a job, it doesn't necessarily mean a good salary. According to a report released last month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, some 260,000 workers with bachelor's degrees and 200,000 workers with associate's degrees are making the minimum wage.


The federal minimum wage is $7.25 an hour, and the minimum wage for tipped workers is $2.13 an hour. Some cities and states have recently raised their minimum wage, but the BLS report defines only those making $7.25 an hour or less as "minimum wage workers."

And according to the U.S. Census Bureau, median household income in the United States has dropped for five years in a row.

This is why so many families are financially stressed these days.  The cost of living is going up at a steady pace, but for the most part our paychecks are not keeping up.  Average Americans are having to stretch their money farther than ever, and many families have reached the breaking point.


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Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:13 | 4677426 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

I knew there was a reason I started to have a desire to garden. Now if only the wife would let me have some cattle and chickens.....until the Feds came by and killed them off for false fees. 

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:24 | 4677460 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

If they try to take everyone's garden they'll start an uprising.  That is what they don't want.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:29 | 4677464 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

Michael Snyder forgot to mention another cause of food inflation.  The Fed's printing press!!  How much of this inflation is caused by the big squid banks buying futures in these commodity items because they have freshly printed dollars at their disposal?  Just like the propane spike this past winter, did those big banks use the propane they bought?  Or just trade the paper and make a fortune on the backs of "the little people".

Oh, and Happy Easter to all of my fellow ZHers!!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:32 | 4677474 Shad_ow
Shad_ow's picture

Happy Easter to you and all.  Let's enjoy it while we can.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:34 | 4677477 Latina Lover
Latina Lover's picture

How do you get rid of useless eaters? Start by cutting back the food supply.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:36 | 4677482 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Mid century projections, -4 being severe drought. 

Happy easter!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:40 | 4677609 chapaev's ghost
chapaev's ghost's picture

Real wealth is LAND, CATTLE, WATER, and FIREPOWER Everything else is a concept, an astraction, or a fantasy.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 12:41 | 4679812 unicorn
unicorn's picture

no my friend, without the seed you re dead, and the seeds dont belong to everyone anymore, they took out the open source licence and put monsanto, pioneer, syngenta, bayer or else (...) on it -  i m afraid.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:14 | 4677760 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

California may be under a drought, but let us not forget that water in CA and the West, is just another government program. A "5-year plan."

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 13:07 | 4679948 TheRedScourge
TheRedScourge's picture

I was going to guess "take away their EBT cards".

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:36 | 4677483 DoChenRollingBearing
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Happy Easter, indeed to all.  Let's count our blessings, at least while we still have them.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:52 | 4677509 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

And Happy 4/20.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:18 | 4677669 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

Happy Easter DoChen - I am counting my blessings, every day, and every day here seem to be fewer of them to count. I can't figure out where they are disappearing to. Seems like they just go poof. What a puzzler.

Hey - I've got an idea. I think I'll call Barak Obama and ask him if he knows anything about my disappearing blessings. I'll just bet that he does.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:28 | 4677687 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Those projected prices don't look so bad to me.  Here in Southern California we pay those prices today. 


Mon, 04/21/2014 - 06:53 | 4678906 PT
PT's picture

Oh it really doesn't matter. The fwee markits will sort it out.  Those high prices will encourage everyone to become farmers and then we will all grow more food.  Those who cannot afford land will borrow money and invest in special 50 x rehypothecated JP Goldmorgan triple leveraged synthetic desert reclamation CDOs and in 20 years they will have fertile land with well-managed farms on them and they will be rich.  Everywun wins!

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 13:11 | 4679955 TheRedScourge
TheRedScourge's picture

Time to invest in water rights, methinks.


Cue the countdown for how long until someone starts up such a company and calls it "Wetron".

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:51 | 4677507 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Bernanke's experiment will be looked at by the history books as one of the gravest mistakes ever taken by a policy maker, make no mistake about it.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:12 | 4677554 Ballin D
Ballin D's picture

Please. History books say that the New Deal fixed the great depression. If theres anything that we can be certain about, its that the powers that be will be writing our history however they want it to be read.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:22 | 4677568 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

No they don't.  It's a fact that the New Deal did nothing for GDP.  It's also a fact that WWII did nothing for GDP.  GDP rose in the early '50s due to technological advances and cheap oil.  Get to reading Ballin' D.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:34 | 4677593 Ballin D
Ballin D's picture

You can find books that read either way if you search hard enough but the history books I was taught from in every school I attended including private and public all teach itas the solution. I collected AP credit on all the highschool history classes I took so its a safe bet its graded that way nationally.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:24 | 4677772 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Indeed! Whenever it comes up for discussion, the Great-Man theory history is almost always parroted with regard to Lincoln, and Roosevelt.

AP courses. Now there is a genius carrot-and-stick approach. Tie more in depth discovery of the statist propganda to the notion of being "advanced." What better way to induce Stockholm Syndrome. My nephew recently went through AP History. He said his teacher would actually put the book down, and apply a more socratic approach. Probably the exception, rather than the rule.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 04:24 | 4678813 ugeane
ugeane's picture

well said, and very little of the money is going to make its way back into the system. money velocity is at 50 years low!


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:44 | 4677614 Village-idiot
Village-idiot's picture

They won't try to take away your garden; they'll force you to buy new seeds every year. That way the backyard production can be controlled.

GMOs with "death-genes" in them.

Think not? The European Economic Community has already banned the retail sale of thousands of hybrid varieties of vegetable seeds. The "reason" was, a hundred different varieties of garden peas aren't needed; only 10-12 varieties are necessary (and heritage varieties are not among them). It's only the numerous seed-exchange clubs in Britain that has allowed many varieties to exist now.

Watch for governments around the world to enact seed-saving bans. Colombia has already done it to farmers. Farmers can legally only plant approved varieties of crops now (Monsanto Law). Riots in rural areas by farmers have caused the government to (temporarily) back down.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:18 | 4677668 Joe A
Joe A's picture

Actually, the European Commission (EC) had a proposal in the making to limit the number of crops (and imposing big fines if you would violate this rule, even if you would have a small garden) but a big campaign by civil societies collected hundreds of thousands of signatures and the proposal was rejected by the EP. But the fight is not over yet because they will try again. The EC is intensively lobbied by big biotech, agribusiness and foodcompanies to introduce GMO, not to ban certain pesticides, etc. and the European Food Safety Authority (the European FDA) has a revolving door with biotech and foodcompanies. Most Europeans are against GMO and should stand firm against these agents of death.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:16 | 4677875 KickIce
KickIce's picture

Just curious what makes you think that?  Thus fsr the only thing thst has come close to causing a revolution is the NFL replacement refs.  IMO, the only thing that causes a revolt is if the FSA gets involved either by empty shelves at Wal Mart or a complete loss of EBT purchasing power.  Until then the government continues to act like the kudzu vine and I believe the raiding farmland and bins to be in the near future.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:10 | 4678002 BeansMcGreens
BeansMcGreens's picture

The US Army during both the so called Civil War and the Indian Wars defeated and controlled both Southerners and Native Americans (mainly women and children) by destroying their crops, not defeating them in a face to face fight. Both times most of the destroying went on during the Winter, knowing there would be no surplus or ability to quickly grow more.

Word to the wise: Learn about wild food sources such as daylilies, and acorns for flour and other plants of that sort, and if possible grow some disguised in your yard.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 04:16 | 4678784 Tengri Temujin
Tengri Temujin's picture

this video above is kind of long at twenty minutes watch the other videos below first they are much shorter and deal with the mesquite instead of the oak

This video is very mellow and slow but it shows the entire process of processing acorns done by Northern California Indians.  And even with all the bounty of California there were lean years when it is said the acorns were all that they had to eat, had it not been for the acorns they would of died. 

I love the way they process their acorn flour since it doesnt require boiling water nor does it require one to soak them in a running river for a loooong time to remove the bitter tannins.

You can survive with acorns, the oak is called the tree of life in Europe.  In ancient times there you can be sure this is what saved them also.  Definitely plant oak trees and cherish them. 

Another great staple tree I found out about is mesquite which is great in dry regions, the Arizona mesquite puts out great seed pods (if green can eat pods and peas insided since tree is part of pea family), the long dried pods sans the seeds (kind of like pea pods) can be picked off the tree and dried and ground up (remove the seeds if dry they are very hard and you need a hammer mill to be able to break them up, the pod husks have the carbohydrates and are sweet, the protein though is with the seeds) to make a powder that can be combined with water and eaten, it served the role of acorns for the Indians in the South. Also mesquite wood makes great firewood. Caution with picking seed pods off of the ground, they may be contaminated with a fungus, best off the tree.

The guy who did the video above was an anthropologist from Berkeley that did an entire series of videos about the Indians in the West and how they lived, ate etc.  Trying to track them down.

The acorns and mesquites you harvest at the right time of the year and you can keep them in storage for more than a year, so they will last till the next harvesting season, truly a great crop.  This way you have them planted in your yards with other fruit trees of course.  But remember they are a great source of carbohydrates and protein.  Also the illiterate mobs will be less likely to know about the high nutritional value of these trees.


Mon, 04/21/2014 - 07:15 | 4678933 BeansMcGreens
BeansMcGreens's picture

Tengri Temujin

Thanks very much for the information above. I can see that you are studying this out much more than myself. I will look through all of this as I hope others will as there will be a world of despair if the food system gives out. Here in North Carolina we go through hurricanes and snow/ice storms that knock out the power where I live for days on time, and the ability to get somewhere is closed off. It does not take long to see food disappear, even when one has some put away. Just wait till everyone is scrambling around for something to eat. All the guns in the world will not keep a pack of hungry people out of your yard if they know you have food. Even the greastest American to live Crazy Horse had to surrender to his death because of the hunger of his people, As well as General Robert E Lee asked for food for his men at the surrender of his army, which Grant graciously gave.. It all comes down to food.

As a side note, a gentleman refugee from Laos got me onto growing and eating, and planting intermixing native plants around the yard. This was a few years back and even then he said most people would not recognize the food from the ornamentals. Though only in this country for about fifthteen years, he was a storehouse of information.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 09:01 | 4679100 Tengri Temujin
Tengri Temujin's picture

No Thank you McGreen, I like you am interested in finding reliable long term natural food alternatives that can keep someone going throughout the year.  These are two of the best alternatives to flour that I have found.  I mean this stuff can seriously keep someone alive for a year till the next harvest.  The nice thing about the mesquite is you dont have to do the long prep with the acorns since they dont have tannins.  If you ever find out more of the videos from that Berkeley guy let me know.  In the first link I put that guys channel but in there here is the link to the acorn video.

I think having a bunch of these trees and a good garden is a great starting point.  The acorns and mesquite seed pods you can gather and put in storage in barrels as backup for the year.  If you don't use them you can feed them to deer and other wildlife (even your own animals) which brings them to your property, and that is good for hunting. They are also low maintenance crops that also act as firewood should you need it.  Imagine if you have a couple of barrels of these things buried in the ground somewhere on your property.  You can have enough food to last you for a year to keep you alive.  By that time most of the people that were not prepared, the vast majority will probably already be dead from starvation.  Of course the smart thing to do is have bags of flour, rice, oats, etc. and also have a property where you have water from a well or a creek running nearby you can access.  Society can break down for many reasons, from natural disasters, to epidemics, to wars etc.


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:15 | 4677427 Ol Man
Ol Man's picture

Double by the end of next year, me thinks...

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:24 | 4677677 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

You mean this year, right?

What about inflation or death of the US$?

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:14 | 4677430 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

This is an example of how you can have inflation and deflation at the same time, or as it has been scientifically coined, barflation.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:20 | 4677442 booboo
booboo's picture

Buy now or forever be priced out of the market.


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:23 | 4677455 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

Inflation in the things you need, deflation in the things you own - including your labor (at least when measured in fiats).

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:09 | 4677752 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Eh no...  it's only an example of how prices can increase (doesn't really mention price decreases for anything).  Needless to say, the money supply cannot both expand and contract at the same time.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:14 | 4677431 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Not to worry, everyone will be making more money in the new eCONomic recovery.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:16 | 4677435 Newsboy
Newsboy's picture

I'm still long subsistence farming.


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:17 | 4677437 DavidC
DavidC's picture

But there is NO inflation and even if there is it's only 2%.



Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:23 | 4677452 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

You are just looking at this wrong. With chained CPI we will simply substitute saw dust for food and everything will be fine.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:27 | 4677466 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Let them eat sawdust.

- Lagarde, 2015

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:37 | 4677484 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

There's good fiber in sawdust!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:00 | 4677530 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

Don't forget the plastic rice!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:24 | 4677573 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

And that was years ago.  I bet the poor in Chinese are still eating it too.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:27 | 4677899 KickIce
KickIce's picture

And you better have a hand saw around as you might not be able to afford to run a power or chain saw.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:23 | 4677456 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Right?  haha.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:20 | 4677444 bankonzhongguo
bankonzhongguo's picture

Rich or poor. Young or old. Smart or dumb.

Start a "Liberty Garden."

If you feel jazzy build a cold frame for winter.

Invest in some decent non-GMO heirloom seeds and save your seeds form your harvest.

Get your kids involved.

You will remember what real food actually tastes like, eat cleaner and save some money too.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:56 | 4677520 greatbeard
greatbeard's picture

>> non-GMO heirloom seeds

Is there such a thing as GMO heirloom seeds?

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:08 | 4677548 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

The looms of Monsatan's heirs spin the seeds of evil.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:11 | 4677553 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Monsanto is working on it. How's your garden GB? Last I read you were killing it by growing it. I'm starting my first and hope to one day be as audacious a gardener as you and others here.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:18 | 4677881 greatbeard
greatbeard's picture

Garden and orchard are going gangbusters.  There is a definate learning curve but the challenge is what keeps it fun.  Good dirt, water and sun can make anyone look good. 

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:26 | 4677445 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

Prices under the pressure of changes in supply and demand can be a lot like a carnival ride. By this I mean fast and abrupt swings can take place and often we see prices go to unimaginable extremes.

It would be better to say changes in "supply or demand", because we should highlight and fully realize the market works best when at least one side of the equation remains somewhat stable. It will be interesting to see how certain foods that are in short supply will react. More on this subject in the article below.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:33 | 4677470 SDShack
SDShack's picture

Gas prices rising now, food prices rising this summer, and then the big one hits this fall... double digit HC premium hikes for everyone courtesy of 0zer0care destroyed risk pools. Plus the potential for 50 million people losing their Employer Sponsored HC. The great recession that has never stopped since 2008 will be on full display this winter with a Holiday Season retailer wipeout. There will be no other way for the lamestream media to spin the disaster that is coming other than to report it as benign as possible, like a "Double Dip Recession". They really need either a major foreign war, or domestic distraction like revolution (Bundy Ranch Nevada) to distract the masses from what is coming.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:39 | 4677487 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Very grim, yet very plausible.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:32 | 4677472 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

The modern food system, especially in the "developed" world, is propped by petroleium.

Without petroleum it doesn't get tilled, planted, irrigated, harvested, transported, or processed and delivered.

Most major cities in the U.S. have a 3-4 day supply on shelves and in warehouses.

House of cards.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:35 | 4677479 SDShack
SDShack's picture

The real house of cards is the EBT card. Take that away and you will have revolution immediately.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 22:17 | 4678494 10mm
10mm's picture

No revolution by EBT users.  It's not in them. Robbery, theft of property, looting will commence. 

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:27 | 4677579 Village-idiot
Village-idiot's picture

No farming without petroleum products? So how did farmers grow crops before diesel and gasoline? How did they deal with insect pests? Without chemical fertilizers and all those other inputs into today's agri-business. Cheap labour!

Labour is becoming cheaper every day; oil more expensive. You do the really simple math on that one.

Predictions are, farms will get smaller as fuel gets more expensive (no matter what all the TV pundits say). As labour gets cheaper people will move back to the land and will work for room-and-board.

Better start digging up those perfect lawns and apply the same inputs into food production. Start this year; do not put it off. Plant spuds for freedom.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:04 | 4677987 samsara
samsara's picture

What a simple and rhetorical comment.

I don't think you have ever grown any of your food.

Suburbia? You mean the ones with the 10 years of Chemlawn residue on their lawns?

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:59 | 4677973 samsara
samsara's picture

Great post. THAT is the bottom line.

That and unreal expectations. Expectations that have only been conditioned to within my lifetime(60+).

Expectations of having Strawberries in October or Asparagus in August.

Food flown in overnight from South America.

Those expectations were fostered by Petroleum(and because of it, cheap cheap cheap global shipping).

Remember if it goes faster than 30mph-ish 98% chance it is powered by petroleum.

Folks in the future in the US may only see strawberries in June.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:34 | 4677475 Cattender
Cattender's picture

it's climate change.. and it's Agenda 21 and the NWO and they think it's their job to cull the herd. KEEP A HOLD ON YOUR GUNS AND AMMO!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:33 | 4677476 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

futures, yeah right. like the corn futures scare a couple years ago. stop helping the maggot speculators snyder.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:35 | 4677480 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Broccoli? Oh yeah, there's a staple of the amurkin diet. lololololol

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:47 | 4677498 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

But what about the burrito-wrap trees, doritos berries and the cheetos bushes?   - 'Murikan ecologist 

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:30 | 4677584 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

I 'worked' for Cutco for about two weeks in the summer between my junior and senior years in high school (couldn't stand the business model of raping the pockets of everyone you know (to be fair, they are good knives)). In one of the orientation sessions, I sat next to a friendly black dude who turned to me during lunch time and offered:

"Chee-toes, dawg? Chee-toes?"

Will never forget that.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:44 | 4677493 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

Why will food prices rise at a time when the US birth rate is below the replacement level? One cannot forecast a seven year trend based on a one year drought and a pig disease. That is very bad science.

The obvious reason is that the banks will be creating inflation at a rate expected to be almost 10%/year ... do the math.

There is no other reason. The bankers plan to make the US dollar half as valuable 7 years from now... and that I believe. But then everything else will be twice as expensive as well.

What we need is a new system not controlled by global bankers.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:50 | 4677505 Winston of Oceania
Winston of Oceania's picture

Food prices started rising when the contracts were financialized and traded as futures.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:22 | 4677570 Seeking Aphids
Seeking Aphids's picture

Yes I can see no way to pay off the debt other than devaluation of the $US and inflation.  In this context the run up in stock valuations is not so impressive...

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 19:45 | 4677701 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

It has been a long time since we could have paid off the debt with our labor.

Now they only care about enslaving the people to pay the interest, on revolving debt, with their labor.

Inflation is not the answer. It has never been and never will be. Inflation simply makes debt-slavery permanent... until the debt is foregiven or defaulted and written off.

Banks make money on the payment of interest, not on the repayment of principle.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:45 | 4677494 yochananmichael
yochananmichael's picture

lets have a government program called the "Affordible Food Act"

exchanges will be set up where poor people can shop for food at subsidized prices, while others who work for a living will be forced out of going to the supermarkets and bodegas that they have a relationship with . the latter will pay "a litle more" to subsidize the poor, and a government food panel led by the FLOTUS will determine what food we can purchase and at what volumes.

 the MSM will call any of the opponents racist, sexist homophobes who are pro hunger and that it was originally a Republican idea.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:49 | 4677497 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

We are already half way there with EBT and SNAP. But I do not blame the people. I blame the global financial dictators who are picking winners and losers.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 06:49 | 4678898 whoisonfirst
whoisonfirst's picture

"If you like your grocer you can keep your grocer"

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 06:49 | 4678900 whoisonfirst
whoisonfirst's picture

"If you like your grocer you can keep your grocer"

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:43 | 4677495 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

Amerikans are too fucking fat . Time to starve the fuckers

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:50 | 4677506 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

I blame GMO and sugar, not broccoli.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 22:24 | 4678505 10mm
10mm's picture

To fuckin fat. How about just fuckin plain fuckin ignorant and in love with tee-vee


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:48 | 4677503 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Bankers are considered good eating in my part of town.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:52 | 4677508 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  Calories are finite... Money printing, not so much.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:52 | 4677510 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

Good thing the price of gas keeps going down to offset this.  Otherwise, how could people afford the important things in life like Air Jordans?

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:53 | 4677512 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Grow, make & trade food.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 19:46 | 4678216 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

You must be a terrorist (sarc off).

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 13:58 | 4677526 SMC
SMC's picture

Please consider the Open Source Seed Initiative for your seed:

"This Open Source Seed pledge is intended to ensure your freedom to use the seed contained herein in any way you choose, and to make sure those freedoms are enjoyed by all subsequent users. By opening this packet, you pledge that you will not restrict others’ use of these seeds and their derivatives by patents, licenses, or any other means. You pledge that if you transfer these seeds or their derivatives they will also be accompanied by this pledge."

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:46 | 4677948 samsara
samsara's picture

Give you a plus on that. VERY important.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:04 | 4677538 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Ready For The Price Of Food To More Than Double By The End Of This Decade?

  Is this a trick question?

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:04 | 4677539 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Mrs. Atomizer is not happy. We rarely go out to eat. She'll yell, "god dam shit". I just push the grocery cart behind and remind her of the Bernanke put. Oh by the way honey, do you now understand the USD debasement under government subsides? Tell that clerk to fuck off when asking if you have a rewards card. The proper answer is to use the corporate rewards account. Don’t sign up! Let them drown themselves into debt. There is always a new Revco business model on the horizon.. HAHHAHAHA


Mrs. Atomizer is one of those Food Channel cooks. She is pissing and moaning over the recent hike in food costs.


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:10 | 4677551 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 @  Atomizer That was an awesome comment .

 You've been on my like list from day(1).  Happy Easter (my-friend) :-D

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:18 | 4677562 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Both of you guys are on my list.  Happy Easter.  Live large.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:48 | 4677619 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Happy Easter to both of you. I don't know what the list is? Old ZH school captcha member. DCRB knows how hard core my wife can be. The above story happened this morning. Christ, I was blogging at about 2ish.. The next thing I know, foot noises within the house and an explosion of a female voice about getting off the computer and get to bed. I love her and she loves me. :P

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:32 | 4677918 samsara
samsara's picture

Happy Easter to the folks I always read. Atomizer Above and the other replies below me.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:04 | 4677540 socalbeach
socalbeach's picture

"I'm sick of hearing complaints from the masses about the high price of food. Insects are a perfectly acceptable form of nutrition and calories."

- overheard at a recent gathering of elites.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:25 | 4677683 Emergency Ward
Emergency Ward's picture

---- Let them eat roaches.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:07 | 4677547 toady
toady's picture

The wife finally woke up to this stuff when she figured out we're doing $300 a week for food instead of the usual $200. I've been telling her for years, but it never clicked.

This will be our 4th year under cultivation.I'm hoping to can enough to be off the grocery store grid this winter. No cow, so we still need milk, and we don't have avocados or the other California stuff listed above, so we pick up some of those every once in a while to break up the monotony.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:29 | 4677582 Uber Vandal
Uber Vandal's picture

A sad thing too is the pursuit of the perfect lawn also destroys perfectly edible food sources, such as dandelions, and other weeds.


Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:26 | 4677895 samsara
samsara's picture

The worst part is that if you look at the majority of yards, you will hardly see any flowers for bees. Lawns without a single weed at the same time not a.wild flower.for bees.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:13 | 4678010 laboratorymike
laboratorymike's picture

The Ms. and I have been able to get away with pulling edible weeds and berries from park grounds; actually, there's a few dozen doing this. Once we get out of school (couple months) and get a house, we're going to plant fruit trees and get some chickens (natural pest control); unless you want a grass sports field a perfect lawn is not a necessity, neighbors' opinions be damned.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 01:01 | 4678698 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

The fenced garden proper is now 24'x36'-ish and less than a third of the cultivation.  I moved and re-planted three cherry trees all between 12' and 15' in height that should begin to give yield in another year or two...

Various heirloom tomatoes and peppers were planted in cans and trays indoors and sunned in available natural light sitting on low level heating pads to promote root growth starting in mid February.  They will go into the ground in a week or two as the night temperatures moderate.

Chives, onion, wild garlic, chicory, basil, lovage, swiss chard, fuzzy mint, dandelion, etc.: good healthy salad.

Lavender, sage, rosemary, tyme, french tarragon...

Turnip, parsnip, carrot, scorzonero, jerusalem artichoke, green peas, black-eyed peas, scarlet runner beans, lupini, zuccini, cucumber, winter squash...

Elderberry, blackberry, strawberry, wineberry, and blueberry* ( damned deer are being a specific pain with the blueberries...)  

I would rather find a spot with a few acres more land and move most of it.   Ultimate objective is a third to two acres of well stocked fishpond(s).

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:33 | 4677592 moneybots
moneybots's picture

I remember a few years ago there was supposed to be a food crisis coming.  It turned out to be mostly centered around rice.  Suddenly there was a rice panic locally, but it seemed to subside shortly after it began.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 14:39 | 4677604 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

I remember that - the price of rice quadrupled for a while. 20lb bag went to 40-50 bucks.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:06 | 4677748 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

You're not old enough to remember 1973-74, when even the supermarkets were urging consumers NOT to buy sugar at those prices...

A whole generation or more has grown up never saving any money, never worrying about the security of their jobs, maxing out credit and borrowing for houses and consumables.

They won't know what hit em!

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:03 | 4677628 RichardParker
RichardParker's picture

porcine epidemic diarrhea...  Article forgot to mention congessional epidemic diarrhea that we are also afflicted with as well.

Cotton is another one.  Go to Walmart, Target, JC Penny, or Sears (it doesn't matter) and try to buy some cheap 100% cotton undershirts, underwear or bed sheets.  Amazing how much the prices for those things has gone up over the past few years or so.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:01 | 4677638 Gusher
Gusher's picture

The sky is falling...the sky is falling.   Sorry guys but this one wasn't worth posting. 

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:08 | 4677656 toady
toady's picture

Yeah, I saw this one in the MSM a couple days ago, so its probably all lies.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:14 | 4678016 laboratorymike
laboratorymike's picture

The rising prices are true, the attributed cause, less so.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:06 | 4677645 moneybots
moneybots's picture
  • Tomatoes likely to rise 22 to 45 cents to a possible $2.84 per pound.

So what happens if the drought does not end any time soon?


Latest talk has been of an El Nino, which tends to bring above average rain.


"Scientist Lynn Ingram, who has studied the climate history of the state of California extensively, told CBS News that we could potentially be facing "a century-long megadrought" in California."

Or maybe not.  Scientists couldn't get their global warming models right, so such a potentiality could well be a false alarm.

Rainfall varies wildly from year to year.  In Los Angles we had the second highest rain year on record several years ago, to be followed by the then lowest rain year on record a few years later.  When i moved out here in the late 70's, Lorne Greene was appearing in ads promoting water conservation during the then current drought.

In May we got a big tropical storm, which is out of season and the next winter was rainy. Drought over.

Another year that we had low rainfall, it rained a lot a the end of the season, which became known as the March miracle.

Inversely, one year we seemed to have about normal rainfall for the rain year, then from early January, it never rained for the rest of the rainy season.

California has a huge population, thus the problem up till now has been more that of water management, than of precipitation.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:12 | 4677661 toady
toady's picture

Tomato are probably the easiest plants to grow,and even just a few will keep you in tomatoes all summer.

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 01:51 | 4678746 slvrizgold
slvrizgold's picture

No. Actually there are plants that grow even easier! ;)

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 15:12 | 4677664 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"Down in Brazil (one of the leading exporters of food in the world), the drought has gotten so bad that 142 cities were rationing water at one point earlier this year."


I thought global warming was supposed to put more moisture in the atmosphere.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:20 | 4678024 laboratorymike
laboratorymike's picture

If we're going into "climate change," the thought is that putting more energy into the climate system can have unpredictable results. Some areas get less rain, others more, and if the ice caps melt it will make some areas colder even though other areas are warmer (by screwing with ocean currents). The problem with global warming, to me, is that a phenomenon that can be anything can also be nothing.

It's like saying "We don't really know what all can happen, but if something bad happens it's definitely global warming, but if something good happens it's because of smart policy decisions."

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:03 | 4677742 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

No price inflation here, folks!  Poodle grooming has never been cheaper...

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:38 | 4677803 fencejumper
fencejumper's picture

I grow a lot of vegetables which I consume almost year-round here in southern OR, and my 3 apple trees produce bounteous crops. My largest, and growing, food expense is fish, chicken, beef, lamb, of which I eat less than most people, and always grass fed/local/organic/hormone free, etc. Biggest problem this year is water. The reservoir many of us get our irrigation water from is the lowest it has been in many years and the snow pack, which normally steadily replenishes the reservoir well into the summer, is pitifully shallow. Good luck everyone.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:56 | 4678117 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

"Hi there, FJ. Bath House here. Say, your have nice apple trees....and sooo many folks are hungry. I am afraid my SWAT guys are going to have to take your farm, and your little dog, too."

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 16:42 | 4677811 TheMeatTrapper
TheMeatTrapper's picture

As a matter of fact, I AM ready for the price of food to double. Or even quadruple. 

Learn To Trap Your Food

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 17:57 | 4677970 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Once taxes are 40%, Food 40%, ..20% chance of revolution.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:21 | 4678030 laboratorymike
laboratorymike's picture

I've read that 85% is the survival tipping point, i.e. chance of social collapse goes to 100%.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 18:55 | 4678114 Magooo
Magooo's picture

Expensive energy = end of growth.  Plain and simple

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 19:11 | 4678155 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

Totally ready. Went to the country, growing food, dreaming of goatburgers.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 20:58 | 4678362 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Hunting bisons soon.  You can practically stand right beside them.

Sun, 04/20/2014 - 21:26 | 4678408 fedupwhiteguy
fedupwhiteguy's picture

I'm looking forward to escaping the rat race and get back to gardening the homestead. Away from the restless horde of course.

Have a safe 4/20 bitchez!

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 01:13 | 4678713 evernewecon
evernewecon's picture





The Food Court Wars episode 

with Mayobird/Hickory NC concluded

with a local grower of varied organic

produce apparently linking up.


That's one path out from

under the food channel monopolizers

and independence from GMOs that 

many feel should be tested 

much more.












Mon, 04/21/2014 - 04:14 | 4678807 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

Thank god for Pink slime

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 04:24 | 4678815 ugeane
ugeane's picture

Interesting how food price is going up but measure of money velocity is at 50 years low!


Mon, 04/21/2014 - 05:36 | 4678860 kurt
kurt's picture

Padding for the Drought Long Grift

They want run-away commodity prices to lend an air of legitimacy.

Do and "Enron" on water prices

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 06:55 | 4678907 esum
esum's picture

what if something does happen?  In recent years, global food reserves have dipped to extremely low levels, and a single major global event (war, pandemic, terror attack, planetary natural disaster, etc. CREMATORIUMS SOUNDS LIKE A SOUND INVESTMENT

Mon, 04/21/2014 - 13:07 | 4679943 TheRedScourge
TheRedScourge's picture


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