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Yellen Warns Of Small Cap Bubble

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In mid February Fed's Tarullo first opined on the "stretched valuations" in small and high-tech companies in the US - while careful not to label the entire market a bubble. It seems, given Janet Yellen's comments today, that this is the new meme...

  • *YELLEN SEES POCKETS OF POSSIBLE OVER-VALUATION IN SMALL CAPS
  • *YELLEN SAYS EQUITY MARKET VALUATIONS ARE IN HISTORICAL RANGES+

 

Remember - Don't fight the Fed!! Sell Small Caps!


Yellen repeats that stock values are in “historically normal ranges”

 

“There are pockets where we can potentially see mis-valuations,” Yellen said in response to questions after speech to Joint Economic Committee

 

Still, there’s no sign “we are obviously in bubble territory”

And then there's this:

  • Yellen: Can't Detect Asset Bubbles With Any Certainty

Perhaps the following 2 charts will help...

 

Nope, no bubble here...

 

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Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:26 | 4736123 Max Damage
Max Damage's picture

By historical ranges she means 1999 and 2007. 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:31 | 4736158 knukles
knukles's picture

I could tell them before I couuldn't

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:45 | 4736221 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

AMZN, NFLX, TSLA, CMG, SBUX are not in a bubble becuase of unique circumstances.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:57 | 4736266 max2205
max2205's picture

Vol is crazy on these. ...Tvix off 20%....what the what?!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:03 | 4736302 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

The most leveraged stocks are letting go.
Next comes the core.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:31 | 4736159 davinci7_gis
davinci7_gis's picture

"POSSIBLE OVER-VALUATION IN SMALL CAPS" 

I see a crowd forming at the exits..

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:58 | 4736268 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

Interesting how the Russell started selling off well before these "revelations" from Yellen.  Yeah, not a rigged market.  No insider information here, move along.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:45 | 4736167 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

"We need household growth to strengthen the economy.  Household growth will return when the economy strengthens." - A skilled/coached wordsmith, but makes it a practice to violate the law of non-contraction.  Any semi-intelligent person watching this is not fooled by the many words.  We're fucked.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:00 | 4736292 Doña K
Doña K's picture

Whoever, insults her with a comment like that, will pay the price. They are the world's mafia. period

Act accordingly. starve the beast. Let the banks and the hedge funds cannibalize each other. Grab your drink of choice and watch.

Just in case, stay away from the screen and keyboard so that you do not spill anything.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:39 | 4736425 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

*law of non-contradiction

 

stoopid spellcheckr on my fone 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:59 | 4736274 NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

cool - stock pics from Janet

wonder if she collects a promotion fee

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:04 | 4736305 drendebe10
drendebe10's picture

"There ain't nuthin uglier than an old white woman."  
Fred Sanford, Sanford and Son

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:00 | 4736284 saveUSsavers
saveUSsavers's picture

WSJ has trailg p/e of 100 ! That's not a bubble? BULLCRAP

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:26 | 4736124 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Frothy!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:51 | 4736245 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

Fama: But there are no bubbles?

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:26 | 4736125 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Mission Accomplished yet??

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:29 | 4736151 maskone909
maskone909's picture

brownie, yer doin one heck of a job.

cant wait to get its take on pinksheets, errrr large caps!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:33 | 4736129 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

I wonder if it was the 85x P/E that tipped her off? When she re-cranks 'QE' 100x P/E won't be far behind!

Looks like she's got the Nobel Prize for Economics in the bag!

Another bold accomplishment for gender diversity!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:27 | 4736131 Gamma735
Gamma735's picture

She just can not admit that the fed is in the business of creating bubbles and distorting markets to the advantage of a very elite few.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:46 | 4736458 Pairadimes
Pairadimes's picture

Yellen: "Rumors persist of an anus located somewhere on my posterior, but as of yet, I have been unable to locate it."

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:28 | 4736132 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It seems for right now the central planners are capable of smashing any asset class they wish without collapsing the system. Gold...Check...silver....... check.... Small caps..... check. Lets' see how they do with oil.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:32 | 4736168 maskone909
maskone909's picture

i think they can manipulate commodity prices to extremes because there is really no true economic output.  nobody is consuming, therefore they could probably even get away with oil too.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:39 | 4736193 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Oil is not like other commodities.  You burn every drop of it and it is gone.  Nothing else is like that.  You eat corn but you grow more.

And if they are manipulating it, they have manipulated it north of $100 most of this year.

Oil at $100 is a pervasive, global drain on everything.  EVERYTHING. 

Whatever happened to the abundance narrative?

 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:42 | 4736217 maskone909
maskone909's picture

good point.  i just think they yield more return from front running the mannipulation (short/long) rather than gaining from returns on delivery ect.. they get a free pass becasue there really isnt much of a consumer market and nobody to cry foul.  200 dollar oil? no prob!  just increase the snap card limits lol  does that make sense?

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:52 | 4736246 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

No. 

Oil is the one thing immune.  Consumption of it is not discretionary.  You HAVE to move food to grocery store shelves and it's only done one way, burning diesel. 

Here is a site where you can select China and look at their consumption ramp. 

http://mazamascience.com/OilExport/

Look at India, too.  They don't give a shit what the Fed does.  They burn it at faster and faster rates.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 13:40 | 4736653 stewie
stewie's picture

Wow, awesome link,. thanks.

You can really see the correlation between energy consumption & GDP.  Look at Japan.  Consumption flat since the mid 90s.  Europe, NAmerica, all down. 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:35 | 4736411 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The mantle of the earth is 90% oil.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:45 | 4736220 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

maskone909, spot on. Everything is paper: Oil, Wheat, Gold, Silver.  A financial system based on complete fantasy, totally malleable by an elite group of scumbags.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:33 | 4736171 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Notice they cannot do it all at once.
Whenever they try, the DXY gets hammered.
Yesterday being the exception that proves the rule.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:27 | 4736133 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Jump banker jump.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:08 | 4736322 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Please....modern bankers do not jump. They have someone push them. Or do something more interesting. Nail guns are passe. 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:27 | 4736135 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

I would argue that the mkts (pfft) have not traded on fundamentals for at least 5 years

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:29 | 4736148 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

She needs to be less specific on this kind of thing - and go back to Greenie's book of tricks by calling it 'irrational exuberance".

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:32 | 4736153 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'We're not in a bubble....but I wouldn't know a bubble if I saw one'......What a damn 3 ring clownshow!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:34 | 4736155 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

Listen this is all bullshit Janet, may I call you Janet?.....I thought everything was fixed in 2009 / 2010.....we were promised it was over.  Still 3-4 years later you are fucking with the markets....if everything was fixed stop intervening...just stop it right now and we will forgive you...if you don't raise interest rates right this second, at least admit it's not fixed, and that it never will be, and you have to keep interest rates low forever....and then we will also forgive you...if you do neither, then we will NEVER forgive you and you will regret this day when we stone you all for your transgressions against the people.......

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:32 | 4736161 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  Yellen must have stumbled on an article from Z/H whilst looking for a new looking for a new hair-stylist on the interwebs...

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:32 | 4736164 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

well what do ya know...

this lyin ass MoneyChanger cunt steps before her employees and mumbles meaningless bullshit and presto, chango, the phony paper prices of Gold and Silver fall off a fucking cliff....

yeah, pure coincidence driven by earth shaterring economic news/data....

complete fucking farce...

DEATH TO THE MONEYCHANGERS.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:41 | 4736214 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

And now these 'everyone on the edge of your seat' jawboning sessions are a daily event now.....we used to laugh at Castro and his weekly 1 hour mandatory national addresses.....he had nothing on these guys!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:34 | 4736179 locklimit
locklimit's picture

So does this mean new Dow highs on transfer of small cap money?  Seems that way

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:35 | 4736184 Pairadimes
Pairadimes's picture

*YELLEN SAYS EQUITY MARKET VALUATIONS ARE IN HYSTERICAL RANGES+

There, I fixed it.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:36 | 4736190 kurzdump
kurzdump's picture

Putins fault - send the nukes already.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:38 | 4736198 philosophers bone
philosophers bone's picture

Translation:  If you're in, get the fuck out.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:40 | 4736208 valley chick
valley chick's picture

Do any of these clowns asking questions of old yeller even understand what the hell is even going on?

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:46 | 4736226 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

It sure wouldn't appear so....after Paulsons blatant lying to them, and Bernank's serial perjury before them time after time, I guess they just keep going along with this Kangaroo Court bullshit for the sake of keeping their phoney-baloney jobs.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:51 | 4736244 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

It's that or 'suicide'.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:54 | 4736252 valley chick
valley chick's picture

What  committee is asking the questions of old yeller. I would like to look it up to see who sits on it.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:40 | 4736210 philosophers bone
philosophers bone's picture

Yellen offers further clarification:  Small Cap = <$100 Billion

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 13:04 | 4736511 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Small cap...yer on yer own. Large cap is TBTF.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:41 | 4736212 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

But if we didn't have a centrally-planned economy and traded with each other with barbarous relics, things could get too risky.

 

/SARC!!!!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:43 | 4736218 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

bitch said with a straight face..

"housing is affordable..."

i swear to Al Swearington, i getting close to pulling a "Travis" on one of these sociopaths....

FUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:29 | 4736394 slightlyskeptical
slightlyskeptical's picture

Housing is as affordable as it was in 2001 on a purely monthly payment basis, at least in the WPB, FL area. A drop in interest rates will make it so even at higher prices. Down payments and credit are the obstacles. In the end is will be deemed that housing investors on the first line actually ended up doing fairly well through it all. The interest collected in the end did cover most of the defaults. The holes that still remain are the result of over leverage and the fraudulent sale of derivatives.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:43 | 4736219 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

What's her 'historical price range' timeline.....Dot.com bubble era? Housing bubble era?

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:19 | 4736222 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

Yup! Fundamentals don't matter anymore. We are in uncharted waters (heading right towards the iceberg).

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:46 | 4736227 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

and now look at the Dow...

up 100 points on WHAT??????

did we get some new/great economic news???????

r we rich again????

did our manufacturing base re-appear????

r there 2 "paid for" cars in every garage?????

FUCK OFF....

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:49 | 4736236 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I can't even look at the shit anymore.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:53 | 4736249 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

i mean bro, where the fuck r we??????

u cant not look because there is no escaping the bullshit....

and mother fuckers still will not remove themselves to the greatest extent possible from the rigged, debt based currency system...

THIS COUNTRY AND ITS CITIZENS DESERVED THE FUCKING THEY R GETTING....

fucking serfs........

KILL A POLITICIAN...

DEATH TO THE MONEYCHANGERS...

 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:53 | 4736241 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"Yellen: Can't Detect Asset Bubbles With Any Certainty"

 

She never will.  Vested interest clouds her objectivity. 

Remember when Greenspan made his irrational exuberance speech?  The market tanked, until it realized he wasn't going to do anything aboutit.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:52 | 4736247 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

This women's voice makes my feel sick.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 16:08 | 4737162 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

The way she says "asset purchases" -

I would take water boarding over listening to her talk.

 

 

 

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:55 | 4736255 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Pressure builds, seams creak, signs are everywhere.

Now we just wait

for the big event.

 

bad haiku for worse future

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:05 | 4736314 Okienomics
Okienomics's picture

Haiku traditionally follows a 5-7-5 syllable pattern.  Consider....

 

Maistro, Bernanke,
Yellen now up to the plate
Whoosh!  Strike three, you're out!

or

The Chairman told us
We don't monetarize debt
and many more lies.

or

Justice delayed is
another reason for the
next revolution.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 11:59 | 4736276 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Yesterday, when Einhorn revealed Bernacke thought war had something to do with hyperinflation, I finally realized they really do not have the slightest inkling of what is happening or what could happen. I guess it just shows us the extent of their influence. They can make more money and buy stuff no one wants...and talk....that is it. Deep thinking is not what they do.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:01 | 4736298 Spungo
Spungo's picture

"historic normal" = ticker SPY being so insanely expensive that it pays 1.9% dividends? I have a deal for you. I'll sell you my shoe store for 1 million dollars and you'll earn a modest 19k per year on it. Deal? If you don't like it after a year, I'm sure you could sell it to someone else for more than 1 mil, right?

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:12 | 4736335 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

I could care less that she has no clue. Don't care that she is inflicting untold damage to the economy, future generations & free markets! The only thing that's important is that she is a women & that we are making big gains in gender diversity/sensitivity - even if it means destroying our way of life as we know it!  Change You Can Believe In!

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 12:42 | 4736437 bentaxle
bentaxle's picture

Does she really want her likely audience to think she's totally fucking ignorant? 

Someone needs to send her a bubble to remind the dumb bitch what one looks like.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 13:08 | 4736526 homiegot
homiegot's picture

These are the bubbles you're looking for. You can go about your business. Move along.

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 13:48 | 4736687 DOGGONE
DOGGONE's picture

Janet Yellen,
Why do you NEVER show inflation-adjusted asset price histories?

Real Homes, Real Dow
http://www.showrealhist.com/RHandRD.html

Shiller does, and he just won the Nobel in economics, and he co-authored with your Nobel-winner husband.
See the bottom of this page for inspiration ...
http://www.showrealhist.com/

Wed, 05/07/2014 - 15:04 | 4736980 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

TVIX has a huge lawsuit coming there way.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!