Santelli Introduces Subprime 2.0

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In his first major speech since The White House got their 'flexible' man in to manage the GSEs, Mel Watt outlined his strategic plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Predicated on the maintenance of liquidity, competition, and resilience of the national housing finance market, Watt's remarkably blind to the past proposal will, as CNBC's Rick Santelli warns, create Subprime 2.0. Easing lending standards, not lowering limits, and raising the possibility of principal reduction seems to do anything but reduce taxpayer risk and merely creates more perverse incentives. Santelli steams, as the orthodox monetary policy channel of the last 30 years continues to be pumped ever higher, "immense fiscal and monetary stimulus has gotten us nowhere." As we suspect Rich might have concluded... Watt the fuck!? "if you believe any of this, you have to be crazy after what we've been through."

Santelli and Alhambra's Jeff Snider explain how monetary policy uses housing as its funnel...

"the piggy bank becomes this faux appreciation that gets funneled in a house that becomes an ATM on the "wealth effect"

 

"The major economic orthodoxy is aggregate demand. The way you fill demand is through credit and debt.

 

So the primary channel, and all the orthodox literature agrees, for aggregate demand in this framework is through housing.

 

For the last 20, 30, 40 years the monetary policy of this country and around the world really has been dedicated to using housing as a way to increase economic growth... but it's incredibly inefficient.

 

That's what we've seen with bubbles, that's what we've seen with asset inflation and prices... the fact that it takes an immense credit production capacity to create even just a little bit of economic wealth."

 

And then Santelli goes off on Mel Watt's plan... starting at 1:50...

As former FHFA boss Ed DeMarco warned, "do not confuse weakening underwriting standards & underpricing risk with helping people or promoting market efficiency" - it seems Mel Watt doesn't give a shit... Santelli screams to Congress - welcome to Subprime 2!


As Santelli concludes...

"if you believe any of this, you have to be crazy after what we've been through."

Of course - as we noted here - is this what's coming next to the US?

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Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:52 | 4759759 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

Of course, Hedge Funds need an easy market to dump into!

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:10 | 4759835 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

Subprime 2.0 is contained.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:13 | 4759848 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Mr. Ben Dover, avergae  merikan needs to stock up on moar KY.

Be better prepared next time with moar lube 'cause it's gonna hurt moar some peeples say.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:29 | 4759897 eatthebanksters
eatthebanksters's picture

Ultimately this will not end well...the can is wearing out.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:34 | 4759917 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

'Reform' is the new smoking.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 19:03 | 4760959 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Reform = re-inflating the real estate bubble... Merkans need MOAR cheap credit... 

 

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:36 | 4759925 Salah
Salah's picture

Actually it will work for a while; transiting Jupiter is in America's 8th house of debt/credit, while Saturn has just entered the US 12th House of self-undoing.  Both will be out by mid to late 2015, and the crash will be apparent by 2016.  Along with the complete "nervous breakdown" of the US Democrat Party (another chart of their own).

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 15:04 | 4760020 SquirrelButtDan
SquirrelButtDan's picture

I understood what you wrote, but haven't looked at those kinds of charts lately. ;)

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:11 | 4759837 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

"Watt the fuck say?"

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:52 | 4759760 Harbanger
Harbanger's picture

Bring back Subpwime Barney Fwank.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:23 | 4759884 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

Is he top or bottom?

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 15:33 | 4760181 remain calm
remain calm's picture

I dont play his game but I got to imagine bottom.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 19:04 | 4760965 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Squeal like a pig Barney!!!

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:55 | 4759770 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Insanity- Doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:01 | 4759800 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

How to stage a financial coup and gut a country:  Do the same harmful thing over and over in the expectation of achieving the same desired result.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:02 | 4759802 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

"immense fiscal and monetary stimulus has gotten us nowhere."

Regardless of all other perspectives, it is astonishing that anyone can contort their thinking and somehow dismiss this.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:56 | 4759778 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Even with all his drawbacks and obvious conflicts of interest, I'm still glad Rick's out there saying this stuff.  

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:57 | 4759784 youngman
youngman's picture

Well the banks just want all the fees involved...it does not matter if you can pay it back.....like student loans...and the Politicians can buy votes with this...the lowlifes can get a loan..and walk on it...its free Obama money baby....they deserve it..just ask them

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:16 | 4759857 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Bnaks are not on the hook for it so hand out OPM to anyone who can Fog a mirror...and then some.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:59 | 4759791 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Load up every crevice of the economy with debt. It's the Federal Reserve bankster's plan. Infinite debt.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:13 | 4759843 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

How else does one create the backstop for a global currency?

"We owe it to ourselves."

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 13:59 | 4759792 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

"...allow more leverage, essentially, into MBS [Mortgage Backed Securities] trading."

BINGO!

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:14 | 4759852 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I think you mean "quality collateral" creation.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:00 | 4759795 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Here comes $500K mortgages for a household with $200K in student loans and $100K annual income.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 15:55 | 4760288 corporatewhore
corporatewhore's picture

exactly.  the student loans will not be counted in your back end ratios in order to qualify you or only a percent thereof in order to be able to manipulate qualification.

this is the end game manipulation to try and get the economy moving.  even those foreclosed in the past, bankrupt in the past will have it overlooked.  final debasement

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:00 | 4759798 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Maybe Obomb-ma should include another bullet point on his youth financial education list. Not only do you 'need' health insurance, you 'need' a mortgage....

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:01 | 4759801 booboo
booboo's picture

Let them eat OSB

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:02 | 4759803 stinkhammer
stinkhammer's picture

suck a dick Barry!

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:14 | 4759849 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

That would be pleasurable for him. You might be better off telling him to eat a vagina. he would find that repulsive.... especially if it's a wookie's.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:03 | 4759804 Relentless101
Relentless101's picture

Some one buy that guy a drink or 2. Fucking preach. Too bad no actually watches CNBC.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:07 | 4759824 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

And for those that do, I bet the only time they turn the volume up is when Rick is ranting.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:04 | 4759810 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I hope they loosen lending standards up. The sooner they do the sooner this shit falls apart. With the amount of reserve sitting on balance sheets inflation will really get interesting when the fractional reserve system gets cranked up again.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:06 | 4759821 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Couldn't agree more.  Open up the damn faucets.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:09 | 4759832 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Well, other than "fall apart" equaling WWIII, I'm with ya.

Then there's that pesky martial law stuff.

I wonder, if martial law is declared, will they have to stop evictions while we're all "sheltering in place?"

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:12 | 4759841 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

There's no stopping it. It's best to meet our destiny head on than to prolong the agony.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:16 | 4759858 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

You've got kids too, I take it.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:25 | 4759890 viahj
viahj's picture

but no jobs

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:31 | 4759909 SanfordandSon
SanfordandSon's picture

Think they have already demonstrated what they will do to those who shelter in place:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tpAZObNZfI

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:44 | 4759944 Rockfish
Rockfish's picture

Yea! I say bring on sub prime so i can off load the remaining properties I own. Nothing brings out the know it alls like free money.  What was that qualifier  , oh yea " fog a mirror get a loan" 

Sell into a upward trend. 

 

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:05 | 4759813 khakuda
khakuda's picture

To anyone who thought it was the free markets and not the government that caused the last bubble, please note.

Certainly this time it will end better when people start intentionally taking out loans they can't repay again.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 15:55 | 4760290 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

The fun part is in doing the replay of the last crash, instead of doing something so old fashioned as drastically ramping the Fed Funds rate like they did back in 2006 in order to induce the variable rate crash domino, now all they have to do is slow down/stop QE.  It's literally the exact same fucking playbook in every other way.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:05 | 4759816 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

We've had a short lull in monetary destruction, including the Fed "tapering".  However, this idiot Mel Watt is giving us the first signal in Obama Stimulus 2.0.   Wait until Chicago and, for that matter, the entire state of Illinois defaults on its bonds or pension obligations.  I think Chicago is close to junk bond status.  Brown in California has just released a "good times" budget with huge deficits and balloon payments on State pensions on the horizon.  Los Angeles is only a short time away from collapse as well.  Sometime in this decade 2/3rds or more of the city budget will go to pensions and free medical for all these "servants".  The rest goes to illegals, soon to be citizens at the hands of the Democrat Socialist party and its whores in the other party.  Street repair -- forget it.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:05 | 4759818 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

CONgress and reform?

Rick, they want to create another bubble.

They don't give a damn about the economy or their constituency, just their benefactors.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:07 | 4759826 OC Sure
OC Sure's picture

 

 

 

Say it Rick, say it. You're almost there...

"immense fiscal and monetary stimulus has gotten us nowhere"

Translation:

Immense fiscal and monetary stimulus is counterfeiting and theft only benefits the thief!

A rose is a rose...

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:17 | 4759842 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

I don't see a fucking thing wrong with principal reductions. 

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:20 | 4759870 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The banks don't care as much about principal reductions as they do interest rate adjustments. Sure we will be magnanimous and knock $10,000 off your $200,000 loan just so long as we keep the rate at 6% we are all good.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:15 | 4759854 Puncher75
Puncher75's picture

I don't know when this insanity ends, I just know it ends VERY, VERY, VERY, badly.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:17 | 4759859 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Oh Crap! France says we only have 500 days left to prevent climate chaos:

 

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/french-foreign-minister-500-days-avoid-climate-chaos_792736.html

 

I hope you all have your affairs in order.

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:23 | 4759883 twh99
twh99's picture

How long will it take this time til the bubble pops?

 

Wed, 05/14/2014 - 14:25 | 4759889 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Is it just me or is it an abnormally slow news day?

I like this post about Santelli and Housing Bubble 2.0, but things seem quiet, too quiet.

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