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10Y Yield Breaks Below 2.50%

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"They" said it couldn't happen.. but the Max Pain trade continues...10Y 2.4982%

 

 

 

But "they" can't all be wrong, right?

 

 

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Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:58 | 4762350 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Oh fuck..

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:00 | 4762363 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Pithy....but effective.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:22 | 4762701 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Somebody tell me..

At what time does an insanely low UST rate change from Fed/.gov manipulation for their own benefit to a condition where no one is willing to pay much for depreciating garbage that cannot even be composted.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:58 | 4762351 pods
pods's picture

NIRP FTW.

Dog food for all pensioners!

pods

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:00 | 4762365 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Quick everyone run towards the burning house!!!!!!

HURRY!!!!! (running around in circles screaming)

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:49 | 4762580 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

This is nothing compared to the hysteria when it dipped below 2%.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:04 | 4762384 tradebot
tradebot's picture

know any good catfood recipes?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:07 | 4762393 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

supposedly you can eat kitty litter too....and tree bark.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:08 | 4762401 THX 1178
THX 1178's picture

and bugs. Remember that TED talk where the academic recommends we eat bugs in order to be more sustainable?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:15 | 4762433 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

Pretty sure he went to have some filet mignon and then hopped into his supercharged Escalade after his speech though.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:17 | 4762444 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Think about this for a moment. Last year at this time we watched the 10yr rise through 2.5% and we all thought the world was going to end. Exactly 1 year later we watch the 10yr fall below 2.5% and we all think the world is going to end. The only thing that has been consistent in all this is the stock market going higher.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:21 | 4762460 negative rates
negative rates's picture

It closed below 2.5% last july, so first it dropped, then it rose, now it dropped again, and it aint even july yet, moreless the EOW.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:26 | 4762477 Jr. Mintz
Jr. Mintz's picture

Yeah, what happened to all the FUD about the Fed going bankrupt if it had to pay out 3% on 10yr?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:50 | 4762583 intric8
intric8's picture

they were doing a pretty good job of delaying the end of the world, until nuland started handing out cookies to 'neo nazis' in ukraine

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 12:11 | 4762872 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

...and the speed of light.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:18 | 4762446 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Dentist wanted to know why my teeth were in such bad shape, I told him the old man used to come home with a lot of wild game and we bit down some buckshot. He says with a couple more crowns, you could probably just live off of buckshot. 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:52 | 4762590 NotAMathWhiz
NotAMathWhiz's picture

+1 for bringing back memories of my early days spitting buckshot back onto the plate.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 14:06 | 4763348 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Are you guys eating people or something?  I could see having to spit back bird shot, but buck shot is an entirely different ballgame (and should be taken care of during the butchering process, aside from being illegal to use on deer in most jurisdictions).

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 12:09 | 4762866 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Gritty Kitty!!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:08 | 4762399 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

How about a good stray cat recipe? They go good with a little szechuan.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:10 | 4762411 fonzannoon
Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:32 | 4762505 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Yes! 18 today! I'm more excited than a crack whore with a full set of teeth and a twenty dollar bill.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:10 | 4762413 pods
pods's picture

My favorite is Kung Pao Kitty.

pods

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:59 | 4762357 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

Oh wow. Who cares?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:59 | 4762358 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

Very Japanesque. 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:59 | 4762359 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

bedankt België

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:01 | 4762370 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

We are going lower bitchez!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:01 | 4762371 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Where is "Boston"? Boston please come out and take a bow. 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:20 | 4762454 Boston
Boston's picture

Thank you!

Today, I will treat myself to a Starbucks short coffee for $1.72 tax included. I hate wasting money at that place, but this calls for a celebration.

Btw, my portfolio was 65% long Treasuries before yesterday. I lightened up to about 55% by 5pm yesterday, thinking there would be at least some sort of bounce in yields so that I could buy back in. Oops!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:33 | 4762516 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Nice call.

Getting yields down near record lows again is the only way they will be able to jump start a falling housing market. My friends mortgage company in Seattle recently packed it in after decades in business. They couldnt qualify anyone and lending was drying up due to the unaffordabilty issues documented so well here at ZH.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:58 | 4762619 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

One of my college friends was a high flying real estate agent. When he stopped by last weekend, he had been drinking and was driving an 8 year old minivan. He's doing lawn mower repair out of his 3 car garage while trying to sell his McMansion that's been on the market for 11 months. He can't sell his Sea Ray either nor afford to put gas in it. This is the same guy who gave me a raft of shit for being a member of ZH.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:03 | 4762638 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I don't believe yields dropping this time will spark real estate. Real estate is fucked.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:11 | 4762663 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Come on fonz, ya gotta believe!

(I think you're right, btw)

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:16 | 4762677 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I think we are watching the big break between the 1% and the next 9% and the rest of the 90% right now. The 1% will roll right along. There will be some jockeying around with the next 9% as machines take over etc. The rest of the 90% are toast. So the majority of housing is done. I don't care how low rates go. It's like trying to start a fire in the rain with two of Barney Frank's dildo's

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:14 | 4762674 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

Maybe you should drop by and tell your RE buddy about a recent ZH article claiming the mower repair sector is DOOMED,

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:26 | 4762715 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

Why kick somebody when they're down? I made the same sort of mistakes but 20 years earlier. He wanted to borrow my wheel puller and a torque wrench so he isn't going to get very far doing lawn mower repair either. At least his wife is a RN. (I ended up fixing the mower for him myself just to make sure I got my tools back.)

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:02 | 4762375 First There Is ...
First There Is A Mountain's picture

A little too obvious attempt to jumpstart housing?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:04 | 4762382 Gaius Frakkin' ...
Gaius Frakkin' Baltar's picture

Making a statement to Russia I think.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:06 | 4762389 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

Maybe the Wall Street jagoffs with actual brains realized that QE hasn't been reduced at all. All a big lie to manipulate the markets again.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:06 | 4762390 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Backs up to fire, ass feels a tinge of momentary warmth, front still frozen. Damn I thought they said there was more BTUs in the AAA rated stuff.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:08 | 4762392 DarthVaderMentor
DarthVaderMentor's picture

Wait till someone finally figures out and "Tweets" that the private buyer in "Belgium" is really the US Government.......

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:34 | 4762511 viahj
viahj's picture

could be China buying up Russia's offloading and hiding it like they did through Lonaon until ZH caught wind of it and exposed that front.  China has vested interest in maintaining the UST for a while longer.  until they don't....  if it is indeed the Fed, then the wheels are off and sparks are flying! but I think Denniger is probably correct on this one.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:20 | 4762669 DarthVaderMentor
DarthVaderMentor's picture

Denninger? As a public persona, he has a long history of being mathematically correct and "book smart" logical, but his timing of the market and his political skills have always sucked big time and cost many of his followers because he doesn't understand people, political manipulation and market sentiment. Once he's on a tear, regardless of whether he's right or wrong, he won't listen to others and he's like an elephant in a china shop. Barry Ritholtz is about the same, yet a little more "professorially" condescending......

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 14:21 | 4763429 Renfield
Renfield's picture

Someone yesterday suggested the private buyer was Israel. I don't know anything about the market to judge whether that's true or not, but it was said so I'll repeat it here in case anyone can tell me at least if that's completely absurd.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:09 | 4762402 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Let the scramble for "high quality" paper begin...

/s

 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:44 | 4762556 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

And then, when the scramblers figure out that bonds bought at these bubble prices aren't so safe after all, where will they find safety then?  In PMs!  I will be prepared.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:09 | 4762406 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  WTF?  Someone forgot to take the chains off the fire escape door!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:19 | 4762449 SnobGobbler
SnobGobbler's picture

...cue Great White... (please, no pyro indoors, pleeeeze)

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:10 | 4762412 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

Don't worry, sheeple.  The FED has your backs.

Market recovery this afternoon.

BULLISH!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:11 | 4762416 youngman
youngman's picture

I am going to put all my money in a savings account....you get paid a lot of interest...0000000.000001% a year....that is good right...

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:16 | 4762430 DarthVaderMentor
DarthVaderMentor's picture

The game now is not about return on capital but PRESERVATION OF CAPITAL........#wearebrokebitchez

 

Don't forget the FDIC limit......you're going to need it, bro......

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:18 | 4762445 greatbeard
greatbeard's picture

>> .0000000.000001% a year....that is good right...

Well that does beat the fuck out of the returns on gold for the last few years.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:23 | 4762467 negative rates
negative rates's picture

It's good for you, not so good for the banks.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:17 | 4762440 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Russy gettin clocked again shocker never coulda seen that coming given what's happened in the last couple of weeks. 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 10:19 | 4762450 SWCroaker
SWCroaker's picture

Pulling the batteries from smoke detectors is one thing; reprogramming them to play "Don't Worry, Be Happy!" instead of an alarm is just going too far...

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 12:53 | 4763062 The Econ Ideal
The Econ Ideal's picture

There were plenty calling for 2.4 (or less) as the bottom end of a widening trading range for the 10y. Trading price action and taking out the shorts below 2.6 who erroneously thought that was going to hold as the bottom of the range. 

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