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Initial Claims Plunge To Lowest Since May 2007

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"Mission Accomplished"... At 297k this is the lowest initial claims print since May 2007 (beating expectations of 318k by the most in 8 months). This rebound jump lower in claims reflects on many of the most recent indicators bouncing back from weather-effects but the question is its sustainability - and extrapolatibility (which we are sure is a word being used by the sell-side strategists expecting 4% GDP growth in Q2). Total benefits dropped 9k to 2.67 million - the lowest since Dec 2007. All things considered - America is fixed... so why are bond yields collapsing and GDP so piss-poor? Just like Japanese GDP however, good news appears to be bad news as the US equity market did not flinch on this record-setting jobs print.

 

 

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Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:47 | 4762058 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

Once the labor participation rate is zero, then unemployment will be zero.

BULLISH!  (I mean, bullshit)

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:49 | 4762069 The Phu
The Phu's picture

Great... and gold just got jackhammered in the a-hole with a pogo stick... Thank you "new normal!"

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:59 | 4762106 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Weather related.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:18 | 4762164 MeMadMax
MeMadMax's picture

Starting to run out of "actual people" that have "actual jobs"....

 

>_>

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:00 | 4762110 Tabarnaque
Tabarnaque's picture

At one point they will loose their ability to play these little dirty tricks. Be right and sit tight. Look at the big picture and don't let rigged background noise disturb your focus.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:07 | 4762132 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Since nobody still works, who's left to layoff?

 

 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:13 | 4762153 Tabarnaque
Tabarnaque's picture

Obozo is left to lay off...

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:31 | 4762214 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Will the last person working please turn off the lights?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:50 | 4762062 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Losing a 29.5 hr/wk job does not qualify you for unemployment.

 

How's that workforce participation rate coming along? I'm guessing new lows there.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:55 | 4762089 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

I think you're right but unemployment rules vary from state to state as far as I know.

Anybody got a list of unemployment comp rules for all states?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:53 | 4762082 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

well something moved the markets at 8:30.....

 

Whatever happened to that place over there by russia, what was it called, the Jewkraine or something....?  Glad thats fixed....

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:56 | 4762093 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

So ... the recession's over, right?  Just wanna be sure.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:06 | 4762128 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

If this really is good news, then the Ponzi Munchkin should throw away her printing machine.  Won't hold my breath on that one.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:57 | 4762096 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Damn, the bullshit is getting deep.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 08:59 | 4762105 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

And the dollar still climbing. Luckily we are a strong dollar people.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:00 | 4762108 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

This just proves that doing nothing, ie conservatism, works.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:00 | 4762112 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

How do we reconcile the April jobs report that showed 288,000 jobs being created and 806,000 people dropping from the work force with economic reality?  My take on the recent jobs report is that as spring comes upon us ever optimistic and more desperate Americans are being pushed into making a decision as to whether to leave the work force or take a lower paying job that is often part time.

Yes, people are busy scurrying around, but it should be clarified not at a fast pace. The question then arises as to how this will spill over to economic policy. More on this subject in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/05/reconciling-april-jobs-report-wit...

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:01 | 4762117 Bloody Muppet
Bloody Muppet's picture

Maybe why my viewing figures are down. I host the breakfast show on cable aimed at unemployed people.


I'm on between 2 and 4 in the afternoon.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:03 | 4762124 Tabarnaque
Tabarnaque's picture

I guess that people are too busy working so that explain why they didn't spend so much at Wal-Mart...!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:34 | 4762229 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

I thought a reduction in selling volume of 4X sized thongs at WalMart was a good thing, No?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:08 | 4762136 IREN Colorado
IREN Colorado's picture

Clearly it is time to raise taxes again. We have to take advantage of this bonanza!

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:19 | 4762166 JiminGA
JiminGA's picture

"lowest initial claims print since May 2007".  You can't leave a job you don't have.  But look at the bright side....as more and more leave the workforce we will have fewer and fewer unemployment claims.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:19 | 4762167 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Clearly, there must be hundreds of thousands of Americans dropping out of the workforce each month and disappearing by illegally crossing the border and taking low paying jobs away from Mexicans...

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:21 | 4762697 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Hmmm, we should go over there and soak those expats with their tax obligations.  Who do they think they are?   Fat cats?

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 09:23 | 4762178 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

initial claims is one of the worst indicators.  it is only useful at the moment the trend changes.    only the very first time 'initial claims surge' to a 1.5x std dev will it be useful.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 11:07 | 4762651 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

Don't need your stinking jobs...don't need your stinking payroll taxes...don't need your stinking fake stock market...

I'll just do what I can, here on the sidelines. Watching this fake economy implode from within.

Don't even bother trying the old 'patriotism' crap, I have no intention of ever participating in this clown show again.

The only taxes I'll ever pay are the property tax on my house, and the pennies added onto a few consumer goods. Otherwise, it's all 'pre-owned', and tax-free.

And I'll keep scooping up cheap gold and silver, and stashing it. I'll do my 'off-market selling' and pocket the whole amount, with no 'cut' for the taxman.

Yes America, I am the new face of American exceptionalism. Now fuck off.

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 12:48 | 4763055 kenezen
kenezen's picture

Who under a $million still, besides Federal Government workers are happy? 

Thu, 05/15/2014 - 12:49 | 4763060 BeerMe
BeerMe's picture

poor suckers

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