This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Fed's Williams Admits "Soft Landings Never Happen... Be Wary Of Excessive Risk"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Fed's Williams and Fisher are talking this morning in an oddly frank (and concerning) manner...

  • WILLIAMS SAYS 'SOFT LANDINGS' IN MONETARY POLICY NEVER HAPPEN
  • WILLIAMS: FED NEEDS TO CONTINUE TO BE WARY OF EXCESSIVE RISK
  • Williams says our extraordinary policies could have adverse consequences down the road
  • Fisher must be wary of markets potential to overshoot

So, we have had Tarullo (Feb) and Yellen (May) warning of bubbles in small caps and credit and now Williams and Fisher sounding some alarms... Don't fight the Fed! (unless the Fed says 'sell') It seems the market is heeding the message in the short-term...

 

 

And then there's this:

  • *FISHER CONCERNED THERE’S ‘ALMOST NO VOLATILITY IN MARKETS’

 

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:44 | 4774141 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

fed's williams admits:  we are clueless apes on the eocnomy because none of us have ever worked a day in our lives outside of academia...

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:59 | 4774199 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Clueless apes getting fabulously rich.

 

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:05 | 4774218 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

What about the Greenspan Fed theory that it is better to clean up after a bubble than to address the bubble itself?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:15 | 4774246 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

I do remember Greenspan actually did say that.

 

What he probably meant however was that it was better for the ordinary citizens to clean up AFTER the bubble while the extraordinary citizens get to clean up DURING the bubble...

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:16 | 4774276 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

"It has now been 468 days since a market correction of 10 per cent or more, the fourth longest period on record" -SocGen

#winning!

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:53 | 4774457 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

They hope to crash the market and then buy back at pennies on the dollar.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 14:34 | 4774611 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

At what point is it a buy?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:13 | 4774263 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Sure but the price of rope will inflate like mad. 

Prediction:  Some day these guys will pay for new ropes with their lives and everything they own.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:02 | 4774205 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

They are clueless and/or they lie.  ZIRP (etc.) encourages malinvestment.

Liars and bad investments destroy capital and so the economy.

A sign of a bad economy is parasitical jobs.  *sigh*

http://goo.gl/z62cgf

***

The deck is stacked.  YOU should stack too.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:43 | 4774360 Relentless101
Relentless101's picture

A genius who places little value in what they don't know will forever and always be ignorant compared to the man who respects his intelectual limitations.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:44 | 4774145 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

No shit!  What a fucking genius!

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:48 | 4774153 CaptainSpaulding
CaptainSpaulding's picture

"Take your protein pills and put your helmet on"

    - David Bowie

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:48 | 4774161 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Then put your head between your legs and kiss your ass goodbye!

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:47 | 4774154 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

People are still front-running Fed idiocracy and taking profits...

no shit, thanks captain obvious.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:48 | 4774156 centerline
centerline's picture

So, let me see...  minor correction then blast off in equities.  Got it.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:49 | 4774157 ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

But ... but ... I thought they could print until ... what? ... doomsday?

I guess domesday has almost arrived.  

Is that why Goldman is building a new corporate fortress in Utah?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:10 | 4774244 agstacks
agstacks's picture

I wonder if they have a microwave link to the NSA closeby...hmmm

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:10 | 4774245 agstacks
agstacks's picture

I wonder if they have a microwave link to the NSA closeby...hmmm

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:10 | 4774247 agstacks
agstacks's picture

I wonder if they have a microwave link to the NSA closeby...hmmm

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:48 | 4774158 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

wow, that might take a whole .10 percent out of the NASDAQ for like 10 or 15 mins...

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:50 | 4774164 stinkhammer
stinkhammer's picture

these people are like chimpanzees with loaded handguns

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:16 | 4774275 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

That sounds like a party!  Really, that would be kind of fun.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:49 | 4774165 dracos_ghost
dracos_ghost's picture

Fisher & Williams in unison: "LOOK A SQUIRREL."

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:52 | 4774179 pound the vix
pound the vix's picture

Buy the dip

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:00 | 4774203 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Pssst.

$103.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:03 | 4774215 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Yes crude is $103. 

stagflation.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:06 | 4774221 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Abundance!

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:19 | 4774285 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

I'll offer up what I claim is a better estimate of oil impact on US GDP than you will find elsewhere.  Mostly because it is simple.

 

US net oil imports.  7 million bpd.  Price of imports is Brentish at $109.  That's 7 X 109 = $763 million per day leaving the US.

US GDP is 17.4 Trillion.  $763 million X 365 = 278 Billion per year leaving the country.

This is 1.6% of GDP.  A $10 change upward becomes 1.745% of GDP.  A drag.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:13 | 4774258 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

If this is "stagflation" then why aren't interest rates going up?

This isn't the 70's fonz...

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:17 | 4774278 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

well it's no growth coupled with inflation. however it won't be cured by rising rates. it will be cured by telling everyone growth is just around the corner and there is no inflation.

the key is getting all your money into yelp and linkedin while there is still time.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:46 | 4774401 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

THAT is an excellent, actionable, macro-level solution to the problem Fonz.  If we all just get on board with Yelp and Linked In, I think the economy's going to weather this storm just fine.  What about TWTR?  Is it time to buy the dip?

 

Also, I personally think the Treasury market's a great place to be right now - first, who WOULDN'T want to lend the esteemed folks in Washington more money to pursue their worthy programs?  And second, although the coupon sucks, I'm confident that as rates continue to decline (as the weather improves) the capital gains will more than compensate for the low interest income.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 12:55 | 4774185 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

looks like they are just testing the computers to make sure that they don't hit sell when an unforseen headline hits. Either that or they know we are so fucked they just want to be on record for having said so.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 14:58 | 4774683 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"You can't say we didn't warn you."

Market "participants" never look at things this way tho.
Always want someone to blame.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:03 | 4774213 ratpack1968
ratpack1968's picture

Who cares what they say or think?  Nothing makes sense anymore and one need only look at valuations and shitty fundamentals to know where all this is heading.  Playing the stock game now is like picking up nickels in front of a steam-roller.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:05 | 4774219 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Playing the _ game is like picking up nickels in front of a steamroller.

 

I know I know gold gold gold. operators are standing by.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:10 | 4774240 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

<-- what a chatterbox

<-- stfu williams

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:11 | 4774253 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

What?  Just because gross margin balances are 50% larger than 2008?  What could go wrong?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:25 | 4774312 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

The Fed Funds rate will have to go to 15% to soak up 5 yaers of QE.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:28 | 4774322 Tjeff1
Tjeff1's picture

New currency before that happens

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:35 | 4774353 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

Since so much is sitting in excess reserves at the banks why does it need to go that high?  Isn't this also one of the reasons rates are so low and inflation hasn't hit the full-retard level it should?  I mean we all know it's bad but the sheer amount of QE should have put us at $7 agalon gass and $5.50 milk by now right?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:27 | 4774321 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Off topic but take it for what it is worth, some odd coincidences or are they something else.

Abraham Lincoln was elected to Congress in 1846.

John F. Kennedy was elected to Congress in 1946.

Abraham Lincoln was elected President in 1860.

John F. Kennedy was elected President in 1960.

Both were particularly concerned with civil rights.

Both wives lost a child while living in the White House.

Both Presidents were shot on a Friday.

Both Presidents were shot in the head.

Now it gets really weird.

Lincoln's secretary was named Kennedy.

Kennedy's Secretary was named Lincoln.

Both were assassinated by Southerners.

Both were succeeded by Southerners named Johnson.

Andrew Johnson, who succeeded Lincoln, was born in 1808.

Lyndon Johnson, who succeeded Kennedy, was born in 1908.

John Wilkes Booth, who assassinated Lincoln, was born in 1839.

Lee Harvey Oswald, who assassinated Kennedy, was born in 1939.

Both assassins were known by their three names.

Both names are composed of fifteen letters.

Now hang on to your seat.

Lincoln was shot at the theater named "Ford."

Kennedy was shot in a car called "Lincoln" made by "Ford."

Booth and Oswald were assassinated before their trials.

And here's the "kicker":

A week before Lincoln was shot, he was in Monroe, Maryland.

A week before Kennedy was shot, he was with Marilyn Monroe.

AND...................

Lincoln was shot in a theater and the assassin ran to a warehouse...

Kennedy was shot from a warehouse and the assassin ran to a theater...

 

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:31 | 4774331 Tjeff1
Tjeff1's picture

And the real kicker.....Both were about to go against the bankers to bring them down.  Cycles repeat about every 100 years.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:40 | 4774377 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

Is the math of the universe random or systemic?

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 15:21 | 4774731 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Understand that the real owners are into ritual sacrifice. When you own the empire you can do it on a grand scale including the set up that no one would pick up on unless they understood this and what the owners believe in. You may think it is poppycock or susperstition but it ain't about you or me either or what we think now is it.

So with that in mind some basic numerology to give you an idea of the mindset. Whether you believe in numerology or not is not the point, it is to get an insight into the minds of inbred elites and the owners. The older and more inbred the groups/tribes and individuals get the crazier they get concerning this stuff.

1 = light, wisdom, ying

0 = dark, compassion, yang

They are root numbers, all numbers are born from 1 and 0

10 is balanced, 100 is unbalanced in favor of dark.

Truth is surpressed in 100 in favor of darkness along with a loss of wisdom through illusion usually.

100 is also the symbolic number of martyrdom for the Roman Catholic Church according to Saint Augustine of Hippo.

3 = sacrfice in numerology

5 = personfication of democracy, public power, mass appeal in numerology

15 = perfect 3 dimensional expression of 3 * 5 also not numerology 15 was the length of the cross Joshua aka Jesus was cruxified on.

Kennedy was also the first Roman Catholic President. He was carefully groomed along with the set up for sacrifice by the owners...

 

 

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:56 | 4774480 djsmps
djsmps's picture

This same little set of coincidences was all the rage in the 60's.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 14:13 | 4774548 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

And the same owners still are the head of the empire as today and still believe in the same numerology and symbolism...

 

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 14:38 | 4774615 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

My potatoes are round, your potatoes are....eeeewwww....what happened to your potatoes?!!

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 13:34 | 4774337 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

Markets could overshoot?!?

 It is what happen when you give a lighter and a pile of money to burn to the ethically challenged.

Mon, 05/19/2014 - 14:40 | 4774623 optimator
optimator's picture

The First disclaimer from the FED.  Now they can say, "we warned you, not our fault".

Tue, 05/20/2014 - 07:30 | 4776604 JenkinsLane
JenkinsLane's picture

If Fisher is concerned about the lack of volatility in the markets all he need do is call up Kevin Henry and tell him

to stop selling it - problem solved.

 

 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!