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The One Surprising City Where Home Prices Dropped In March

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If you said San Francisco, you are very wrong (as recently shown in "Bizarro Housing Bubble Spills Over Into "Overbid Madness"). No, according to the latest Case Shiller data, the one city (out of 20) where home prices dropped in March, somewhat inexplicably considering the ridiculous flipping of houses taking place in the ultra-luxury segment, was New York.

From Case Shiller:

New York was the only city to decline in the month of March. San Francisco posted the biggest gain of 2.4% with Seattle following at +1.9%. All 20 cities improved in March as compared to their February returns. Cleveland improved the most; it went from a decline of 1.6% in February to a gain of 1.5% in March. Cleveland and San Francisco posted their biggest returns since last June.

 

All 20 cities continued to record positive year-over-year returns. Thirteen of the 20 MSAs showed lower annual increases in March. Tampa showed the most deceleration – the city posted +13.4% year-over-year in February and +10.7% in March. Las Vegas and San Francisco, the only two cities to post annual gains of over 20%, also saw their rates decelerate; they gained 21.2% and 20.9%, respectively. The only six cities to show higher year-over-year returns in March were Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Miami, Minneapolis and New York.

So does this mean the oligarch bid is fading? Somehow we doubt it.

 

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Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:37 | 4798065 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

Tis but a scratch, just a flesh wound.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:41 | 4798081 Parabolic
Parabolic's picture

This is clearly weather-related.  No seriously, it might be...

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:31 | 4798238 PT
PT's picture

So I guess all the rich folks already have enough homes in New York.  I suppose you'll just have to wait for their rich kids to grow up.  Maybe they'll want to buy a place of their own some day.

As the wealth of the top 0.01% flows to the top 0.0001%, that might change something in the prices.

There wouldn't happen to be one or two "previously rich" retailers who are interested in down-sizing now, would there?  You know, desire for a "simpler life", the big places are "too much trouble to look after, especially in our retirement years" an' all? 

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:51 | 4798288 Yes We Can. But...
Yes We Can. But Lets Not.'s picture

Home price drop in NYC in March?  This is easily explained.  POTUS in March said he was worried about nuke detonation in Manhattan:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/obama-warns-russia-ukraine-adva...

Now, if the freakin' leader of the country comes out with that, would you want to plunk down say $2MM for an asset that, upon destruction and/or irradiation of the city would become worthless or at least fully illiquid?  No, you would not. 

I remember well that prior to 9/11 public officials - Clinton, Albright, Wm. Cohen - publicly warned that it was not a matter of if but when terrorists would strike the US.  They make these statements to warn but also to cover their asses.  And now Obama is doing the same.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 11:24 | 4798449 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

Very..."Bullish" the realtors say..."Better buy now or you'll be locked out of the market."

 

Gulp.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:39 | 4798068 Pig Circus
Pig Circus's picture

The DeCommie'o affect!

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:41 | 4798079 BandGap
BandGap's picture

If you can buy it there, you can buy it a-n-y-w-h-e-r-e, it's up to you New York, New York.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 12:00 | 4798620 Larry Dallas
Larry Dallas's picture

DeBlasio economics.

 

 

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:42 | 4798083 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

New Mayor taking effect. 

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:08 | 4798153 ltsgt1
ltsgt1's picture

I just heard it over the radio. 6 people shot and 2 stabbed since 10pm last night.

It's DeBlasio's time here in NYC.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:19 | 4798193 j0nx
j0nx's picture

I just don't understand this. There's laws there to prevent that? Didn't the criminals know this?? It just doesn't make sense...

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:35 | 4798258 PT
PT's picture

Maybe we need an information campaign, like T-shirts that say, "I don't have a gun and neither should you.  You'd better give it to the police!"

Maybe the criminals can't read.  We'd better tell them too.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 11:35 | 4798503 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

I remember the Dinkins era, but it seems most voters in New York City do not. They'll find out soon enough why this most Democrat of cities regularly fails to elect Democrat mayors.

Wed, 05/28/2014 - 21:08 | 4803845 j0nx
j0nx's picture

Even the non-democrats they elect are really just democrats. Bloomberg is about as liberal D as they come regardless of what party affiliation is next to his name. New Yorkers want D's, they just don't want to feel dirty by voting for one so guys like Bloomberg fill that role nicely.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:44 | 4798090 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

 

 

 

"House prices NEVER drop...." my realtor said.

 

It's Unpossible !

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:48 | 4798095 GeorgeHayduke
GeorgeHayduke's picture

Well, if I were forced to live in any of those cities, San Francisco would be my first choice too.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:52 | 4798108 Payne
Payne's picture

Housing is stagnant all over California.  Some areas with limited luxury property are getting high sales which skews the data upwards but all the other areas see lack of activity unless the price is dropped.  Most people will not drop the price at the beginning of summer so wait and see.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:55 | 4798116 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Japan purchase of real-estate in the 80's redux?

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 09:58 | 4798125 Atlantis Consigliore
Atlantis Consigliore's picture

Reeeeeel Estate Reeeeeeel Estate;

My drinking next door neighbor screeched at the cookouts over the weekend,

let me list your property dahling, i can move it for you.

no one listened to her, and we got her out quickly in the bag,

 

Reeeeel Estate,    wait till Chicago puts on that 1% income tax,

and you ll see the Flip of a lifetime as all the rats jump for the Burbs....

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:14 | 4798177 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

The more government interferes the worse things get.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:18 | 4798182 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

What the fuck is this country coming to if one can't make a good honest christian living flipping rat-infested brownstone slums onto unsuspecting idiots whose god-given right it is to qualify for credit if they can both breathe and lie? It's the fuckin' american way, dammit!

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:21 | 4798201 TalkToLind
TalkToLind's picture

Nothing more than pretty green graphs to lull the sheople to sleep with dreams of housing prices that rise to infinity.  Print baby print.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 10:31 | 4798244 Dr_D
Dr_D's picture

Clevelanders must be happy that the Browns drafted Johnny Football...

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 11:37 | 4798514 starman
starman's picture

Actually SFs median home price have been falling 25k per month since January.

The party is over hangover is on! 

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 11:48 | 4798568 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

When San Francisco and Seattle roll over, it's over.

A wave is not a river.  There is no industry and no middle-class.  We are getting the runners out of China and when that runs dry down we go and people will be stumbling stunned through the SOMA streets !!!

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 11:54 | 4798599 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

Finance jobs are disappearing like chocolate bars at a PMS convention for women.

Tue, 05/27/2014 - 12:50 | 4798792 junction
junction's picture

It could be that heavily regulated New York realtors are not boosting the actual selling prices of properties in reports they file, to avoid getting caught inflating sell prices and then getting hit with heavy government civil penalties for filing false reports.  Real estate sellers and salespeople can incentivize home buyers by making it seem that housing prices are going up, buy now before the price goes up even higher. 

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