Do You Have A Plan B? "This Is Not A Consequence-Free Environment"

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Simon Black via Sovereign Man blog,

In August 1939, just days before Hitler’s invasion into southern Poland, General Wilhelm List walked the lines of his German 14th Army making final checks and inspections.

He must have thought it strange– between Army Group North and Army Group South, there were over one million German troops hovered on the Polish border. And they weren’t exactly hiding under rocks.

Everyone knew that the invasion was coming. Especially civilians in Poland.

They were surrounded by German forces on three sides. And on 23 August 1939, the Soviet Union signed a non-aggression pact, effectively acquiescing the fourth side.

It was obvious that the entire country was about to be turned into a war zone.

Yet seemingly unfazed by this prospect, well-to-do locals were on holiday at the seaside, or keeping cool up in the Carpathian mountains.

Sixty miles to the north of List’s 14th Army, people in Krakow were a enjoying warm summer days in Blonia Park and on the banks of the Vistula River near Wawel Castle.

It was as if they were completely oblivious to the enormity of the consequences about to befall them.

After all, the government and local papers were telling them to not worry. Poland had prepared some basic defenses, and their military commander Edward Rydz-?mig?y was supposed to be a strong general.

They had been told to be confident. So they were confident.

On the first of September, 1939, Hitler’s armies invaded. And despite suffering massive military losses, the Polish government spread all sorts of misinformation on the radio, telling its people about phony victories against the invading German hordes.

None of this was true. And within hours, a multi-year military occupation began that would turn people’s lives upside down.

Looking back, it’s like watching a cheesy horror flick where some idiot character obliviously walks into the dark room where the killer is lurking.

Human beings have a natural tendency to ignore obvious warning signs and take the path of least resistance. It’s a much simpler prospect to stick our heads in the sand than to acknowledge uncomfortable truths and risks.

There are plenty of those today.

Last year, the United States government took in $2.6 trillion in total tax revenue. Yet they spent $2.5 trillion just to cover mandatory spending (like Social Security) and interest on the DEBT.

Bear in mind that 10,000 people per day become eligible for Social Security benefits… and the debt gets bigger every year. They are growing much faster than the government’s tax revenue.

And it is an arithmetic certainty that they will soon fail to collect enough tax revenue to even cover mandatory entitlements and interest on the debt.

US economic growth ground to a halt in the first quarter of this year, and was later revised to be negative. And governments across the West are now so desperate for growth they’re counting prostitution and cocaine sales in their GDP figures.

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet to the point that, after subtracting its unrealized losses, there’s just $3.1 billion in equity to back over $4.3 trillion in assets.

That gives the Fed a margin of safety of just 0.07%… meaning the most important central bank in the world that issues the most widely used currency in the world is practically insolvent.

Look… there might not be any army groups encroached on the border. But the warning signs are just as clear as they were back in Poland in 1939. This is not a consequence free environment.

Unfortunately, most people are just as oblivious.

It may be days, weeks, months, or years before anything happens. But intelligent people don’t ignore the obvious risks to their livelihoods and their families.

Intelligent people have a Plan B. Intelligent people put on their seat belts.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
BLOTTO's picture

What is a “conspiracy theorist?

The pejorative “conspiracy theorist” is meant to demean and ridicule skeptics of official stories.

Most so-called “conspiracy theorists” are really skeptics, by definition. They’re skeptical of what the government tells them. They’re skeptical of the claim that drug companies are really only interested in helping humankind and have no desire to make money. They’re skeptical that food corporations are telling them the truth about what’s in their food. And they’re also skeptical of anything coming out of Washington D.C., regardless of which party happens to be in power at the time.

People who are not skeptics of “official stories” tend to be dull-minded. To believe everything these institutions tell you is a sign of mental retardation. To ask questions, on the other hand, is a sign of higher intelligence and wisdom.



Read more at 


hedgeless_horseman's picture



Item 8

Gain, store, and maintain the knowledge, skills, and special equipment that would enable you to do at least one third-world job.  If you are a dentist, doctor, farmer, cowboy, mechanic, miner, fisherman, lumberman, mason, blacksmith, whore house piano player, plumber, butcher, or similar, then you are already set.  If you are a derivatives trader, banker, realtor, healthcare administrator, politician, actuarial, benefits coordinator, DMV clerk, compliance officer, or similar, then get cracking.

NidStyles's picture

You forgot a few jobs, like trained security, educator of some sorts, hunter, linguist, etc... There are a lot of fields out there that people take for granted because the state provides the idea that only they can provide for those roles. 

Arius's picture

what about MBAs ???

dont you think an MBA degree will distinguish you from the others and be a valuable commodity?  an MBA can fit into all kind of businesses, or international least thats how i look at it...


Fish Gone Bad's picture

The MBAs will be needed for the re-education camps. 

ratpack1968's picture

MBA will have a new meaning....."Move those Bodies Asshole"

McMolotov's picture

I have a desk job but play a mean piano. I look forward to my future employment at the Gem Saloon.

g'kar's picture

I'll take the preacher with a brain tumor job.

anarcholeptic's picture

I'm an adult film star... I'm all set buddy

cossack55's picture

Learn to play the piano for those times when you are on the tetracycline.

MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

Based on the apparent supply of porn, I'd say the tradable value is decreasing all of the time.

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

All signs point to an inevitable climax in a hypornflationary peak.

IndyPat's picture

Fuck all those skills.

Give me a chemist.

pods's picture

Amerika is now the fat balding high school jock who still lives in that moment when he was the BMOC.


NidStyles's picture

You know I used to think those douches didn't exist, until I got  a part-time job at a sandwich shop and had to deal with one of them assholes... There is nothing respectable about living in the past, especially if it was 20 years ago.

Dublinmick's picture

If it were just a conspiracy theory we would not have found out about it.



A U.K. study has shown that those who believe everything is a conspiracy suffer from low I.Q. and a certain form of mental illness. Those who question everything have shown to possess a much higher I.Q. and are much more mentally stable.

When the conspiracy card is played for me it is the sine qua non that things need further investigation. It is used many times as a defection to mask the shallow intellectual depth of the user. Many times this is just a cliche to mask the user’s knowledge of complex subjects beyond his grasp. The conspiracy is often times born out by facts rendering it a truth and verifiable by things that were yet to be known.

I have noticed the term conspiracy is almost standard fare. It doesn’t seem to matter which type social media you engage in at any particular time. Many times people will refer to something they are unfamiliar with as a conspiracy as a reaction to deflect from their own intellectual inertia. To be honest those who have formed their world with values found in high school text books and the electronic media will be found mostly unreachable. If they have not spent decades reading books that were not on the New York Time’s best seller list and gravitated from there to alternative media with the advent of the internet, I have found you will simply be wasting your time attempting any type meaningful discussion. At this point they are like a separate species. It is easier to categorize than explore, much easier to believe than to know.

The times we are in remind me of Carlos Castaneda and the separate reality. To be frank our movers and shakers, the corporate web that buys our politicians do not want an informed electorate or citizenry. Semi illiterate masses that believe every foreign war is fought for freedom and the American way no matter who is attacked is much easier to govern. Unfortunately such a citizenry carries the seeds of it’s own destruction. We saw this in Germany but the spin in America varies somewhat as we believe in corporate fascism and a foreign controlled federal reserve as the be all and end all. It is democrat vs republican, conservative vs liberal 24/7 in a never ending ping pong match that goes nowhere while the country is continues to be looted.


The Borderline idiot will always see the world as some sort of gigantic conspiracy. They say the dumber you are the more conspiratorial things may seem, so in many cases the participants may be asked to step outside their intellectual comfort zone.

Generally speaking a conspiracy is a theory not substantiated by facts, not to be confused with a concept one disagrees with and worse yet one in which he is too unmotivated to explore for himself. Conspiracy unfortunately is an over used cliche many hide behind to mask their unfamiliarity with sometimes complex subjects or dodge a weighty issue they feel uncomfortable discussing. There are very few conspiracies, simply issues we may not yet be aware of.

A conspiracy is not a complicated issue, simply two or more people joining together in an effort to bring about a desired result. The attempt consciously or unconsciously to avoid and repress intellectual debate on some topics is of and itself a conspiracy in which some are even un-knowlingly engaged in with others, leading to the dumbing down of the top of the mushroom pile. There will always be a certain percentage of the audience who leave the fray when the “conspiracy” canard is tossed out.

We have a moral duty not to allow the intellectually inferior to label everything a conspiracy. Civil discourse and the search for truth hang in the balance. Those who would deny you information already consider themselves your master. It is a question of intellectual harmonics.

The old adage that truth is in the eye of the beholder comes to mind here. What seems apparent to one may seem complicated to another. Many times it is simply a case of what we might term intellectual harmonics. As we acquire knowledge and facts somethings appear as intrinsically needless to debate. For others further down the scale they seem perplexing and these intellects often insist upon a Fox News broadcast or link to justify their validity. Others who are forcefully confronted by facts they should have known lash out in in vindictive terms in a very unbecoming manner.

In modern day terminology I think it compares with examples of the slow learner holding back the class. Imagine yourself trying to explain to say a spider monkey that two and two equals four. Most of us have already accepted this as reality, however the spider monkey if he could even fathom what you were saying would view this as some gigantic conspiracy being thrust upon him.

For instance ‘cognitive dissonance’ is a psychological state where one is so consumed with one’s beliefs that even when faced with overwhelming evidence that not only goes against, but also effectively nullifies their beliefs, they cannot allow it or accept the new reality. Common folks with this kind of disorder usually end up in psychological counseling.

I have heard many use the term well that is just your opinion, everybody has one. It is obvious that such a person has little or no exposure to Logic 101. It is really quite simple, some may hold the view that 1 plus 1 equals 5, some may feel that 2 plus 2 equals 5, etc etc. However one may feel that 2 plus 3 equals 5. In this particular instance it is not an opinion it is a fact. This is what we are looking for.

Cathartes Aura's picture


The times we are in remind me of Carlos Castaneda and the separate reality.

apt connection - as I'm sure you're aware, "separate realities" is the ultimate Truth, as each human has their very own "perspective" to view "reality" through, no two exactly alike.

once this is realised, deeply, as Truth - then one is free to watch the conflicting realities continually collide, the frictions at work - from a safer, saner distance, acknowledged.

beware the Cosmic Giggle.   you will never be the same.

Dublinmick's picture

Hi Cathartes, hope you are doing well. A very apt description.

Cathartes Aura's picture

heya Mick - spring moving into summer, staying busy, love more time outside, working the spaces, tending. . .

sending you peace of mind, and hoping all goes well with you too. . . we endure.

Zadok's picture

Well stated, both of you. +1

Ghordius's picture

and so there is another old adage which I find relevant: everybody is entitled to their own opinions. though not to their own facts

personal reality is a mixture of opinion and facts. keep the two as clearly separated as possible, the recipy to avoid cognitive dissonance

thankfully, human brains can juggle several theories, several opinions and lots of possible facts... if trained to do so

Fish Gone Bad's picture

Many times this is just a cliche to mask the user’s knowledge of complex subjects beyond his grasp

That is a pretty good description of faith. 


TheReplacement's picture

Do you believe there is at least 10K tons of gold in the world?  Ever seen it?  Faith is everywhere.

Dublinmick's picture

Faith is not wanting to know what is true .... Nietzsche

StandardDeviant's picture

Being skeptical of what you are told by the government, or the media, or big corporations, or religious groups, or pretty much anyone who is trying to sell you something -- that's all well and good.

The part that's funny is that some of these self-styled "skeptics" then turn around and choose to believe in an even less probable narrative which they read on some random guy's blog, frequently involving Knights Templar and/or aliens.

Dublinmick's picture

Wait! Are you saying there are no aliens? :)


It is easier to believe than to know


StandardDeviant's picture

Whoa.  That is quite the site you have there, Dublinmick.  It's a particularly unusual example of the genre in that the grammar, spelling, and punctuation are impeccable.  I think I must invoke Poe's Law.

GoldenTool's picture

Have to agree that is awesome

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture


Wait! Are you saying there are no aliens?

Well the way I see it, it's exactly the same. There ain't no difference between a flying saucer and a time machine. People get so hung up on specifics, they miss out on seeing the whole thing.

"See? The more you drive, the less intelligent you are."
-- Miller

TheReplacement's picture

Who's to say the Knights Templar were not time travelling aliens from another dimension?

zaphod's picture

The only thing us peons can do is to continue to save and invest in constructs outside of the financial system (gold, land, lead, yes bitcoin, etc). 

DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+ 1

Yes, zaphod.

Save, don´t spend as often as possible.

One of We's picture

When you have to spend buy second hand/private party whenever you can.

NidStyles's picture

Not true in the least, you can also invest in yourself, which is far more important in the long run.

zaphod's picture

Fully agree, investing in yourself is one form of investing "outside the system" as long as you are a free individual.

StandardDeviant's picture

Short of a full-on "Mad Max, with zombies" scenario, short-term trading with a fraction of your assets is still viable.  Trend followers and option traders tend to do well from volatility, esp. on the downside.

edotabin's picture

Yes, the only winning move is not to play.

Urban Redneck's picture

Not playing or relying on a Plan B is not necessarily a viable strategy.

Seventy-some-odd years ago some of my extended family went with Plan A and they lived, some others didn't have a chance for any plan B or the option of not playing.

OceanX's picture infinity and beyond!

Jonas Parker's picture

And by "Plan B" I will assume you do not mean "Bitcoin"?

Relentless101's picture

That shit is utterly useless.

NidStyles's picture

Some people think they can extract electricity from thin air...

anarcholeptic's picture

John Galt is a character in Ayn Rand's novel Atlas Shrugged. Although he is not identified by name until the last third of the novel, he is the object of its often-repeated question "Who is John Galt?" and of the quest to discover the answer.

Ayn Rand Novels will not solve anything.... we are way too deep in this mess

Blano's picture

Pretty sure that was a rhetorical question on HH's part.

anarcholeptic's picture

John Galt is a character in Ayn Rand's novel Atlas Shrugged. Although he is not identified by name until the last third of the novel, he is the object of its often-repeated question "Who is John Galt?" and of the quest to discover the answer.

Ayn Rand Novels will not solve anything.... we are way too deep in this mess

Dublinmick's picture

In the early 1950s, Alan Greenspan began an association with the novelist and philosopher Ayn Rand.[44], also known as Alisa Rosenbaum.

She supported Israel in the Arab-Israeli War of 1973, describing the Israelis as "civilized men fighting savages".[74]

Mother Jones remarked that "Rand's particular genius has always been her ability to turn upside down traditional hierarchies and recast the wealthy, the talented, and the powerful as the oppressed".[167]

The Satanist Anton LaVey has acknowledged that his brand of Satanism was "just Ayn Rand’s philosophy with ceremony and ritual added."

Annie will fix you up


IndyPat's picture

Tesla thought you could get it from the earth...and make it free for everyone.

That's why he is now in the kook file.

Same as it ever was.

We seriously need about a dozen Teslas. But what we get are armies of Edisons.

Thus, we are obviously getting exactly what we deserve.