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Draghi Disappointment Fears Spike: FX Volatility Surges To 30-Month Highs
While US equity implied volatility has been flat to slightly higher in the last week (as stocks have soared), FX volatility has remained near record lows... until today. Ahead of Draghi's big day tomorrow, EURUSD implied volatility has spiked from around 5 to over 17 - its highest since Dec 2011 - as investor anxiety over Draghi disappointing mixes with a record high short position in EUR FX Futures... it seems more than a few are concerned that Draghi's promise is more hope than reality.
Chart: Bloomberg
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This time, I really fucking mean it!!!
Everyone buying EURUSD strangles I assume.
everyone keep repeating....draghi apple split, draghi apple split............its all that matters for global equities right now
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Off Topic, but...
Did NASD break?!?!?!?
No access to trade server
james rickards implied that the ECB is indirectly printing by means of buying treasuries and swaping for euros. hence Belgium treasury buying spree. they will need it, afterall they never re-capped their banks and rumor has it deutschebank is in trouble
This is a very interesting theory..."betting on no recovery USA to create Major Depression Europe" so interest rates collapse.
Of course "and then what?" becomes the question. If Italy is actually attacked or invaded...there is no one there to defend them.
"Scorched Earth."
none of this will change anything
Correct
Draghi will do what the Fed tells him to do.
You mean Goldman Sachs. "Sure wouldn't want to be Israel right now."
They're being sold out for friggin beads and seashells.
Unlike the American Ponzi Munchkin, Draghi has the recent European election results to contend with.
i havent laughed that hard in weeks. draghi worried about election results? too funny. the elected are just puppets for the unelected banker overlords.
It would appear that the significant weakness in the euro about the third week in May, could be related to significant S&P strength since the third week of May?
Mario has his own printer???
I smell a bond short covering spreeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.........
and yet VIX hangs out near all time lows
I think I saw Draghi last night... I was whistling pass the graveyard on my midnight stroll before the London markets opened.
Draghi will do too little too late, and the usd is overbought on the daily chart. My guess is any spikes down in the euro will be quickly faded, and the usd will sell off along with dropping bond yields. I might have to short usd/jpy here in the next day or so.