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A Petro-Sectarian Map Of The Middle East

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Because when it comes down to it (as we explained here), all that matters is the resources...

 

Reprinted with permission of Columbia University Gulf2000 Project (www.gulf2000.columbia.edu)

As JPMorgan's Michael Cembalest notes,

Oil and gas deposits often lie close to sectarian fault lines in the Middle East (Kurdistan and Basra in Iraq; Shi’ite areas in Eastern Saudi Arabia; Kuwait), which is why oil markets are sensitive to sectarian violence.

 

In Iraq, oil deposits in the South near Basra are well-defended, and account for 75% of Iraqi production volumes. Exports from the North near Kirkuk are low after pipeline attacks earlier this year.

 

The region was seized last week by Kurdish fighters (Peshmerga), but pipeline repairs are required in areas outside Kurdish control.

 

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Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:49 | 4870181 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

This spreading democracy around the world thingy is a bitch. Don't these people know we are just trying to bomb them into freedom?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:51 | 4870198 Da Yooper
Da Yooper's picture

It's just a bunch of religous  mobs

 

trying to rule

 

After all

 

isn't "democracy" basically mob rule?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:59 | 4870222 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

"Desert" seems to be a pretty popular religion.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:02 | 4870231 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

More of the faith coming to large parts of the US south-west, from what I hear.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:29 | 4870360 ZerOhead
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With Iraq set to be divided into threesies per the Cheney/Biden 2006 plan the Persian Gulf is only one Shiite inspired coup against the Saudi Royal Family away from becoming fully "Persian".

Very very bullish for BP and Exxon... plus with gas at $10+/gallon... extremely green and climate-friendly too.

Thanks Barry.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:55 | 4870556 Flakmeister
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You give Barry far too much credit for this shit show...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 20:01 | 4871690 CrashisOptimistic
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I'm no Obama fan, but this ain't his fault.

It's not Bush's fault, either.

It doesn't have to be anyone's fault.  The oil could not last forever and the time has come.

Whoever is in charge is going to be blamed, but there's no point in it.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 23:05 | 4872242 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Exactly....

Throw in the worst drought in 60 years in Syria, long standing religious differences and what do you really expect...

The US tried for coup d'main in 2003 and that blew up, but like it or not, game theory says that was the move to make. The US went for win and didn't get it and it does not look like a win is likely now...

Make no mistake, the shit that is going on in Iraq would be starting the moment Saddam left the scene, naturally or otherwise. As for Syria, just look up Hama, that is all you need to know really...

And to anybody considering junking, the US always winning has been a large part of your current prosperity. And that is the game that is played in the petro-world...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:00 | 4870227 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Baku, bitches

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:03 | 4870236 Ozy_mandias
Ozy_mandias's picture

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:08 | 4870282 sgt_doom
Wed, 06/18/2014 - 23:01 | 4872243 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

Yes, that is a fantastic article.  It's the first theory I've read yet that 1) fits the facts we've heard and 2) makes any damn sense.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:50 | 4870528 post turtle saver
post turtle saver's picture

the spice must flow

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:49 | 4870187 Four chan
Four chan's picture

if we pump enough out, maybe the whole area will simply cave in and solve the worlds problem.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:06 | 4870254 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Lemme lay out what a hypester will say:

 

Look at that map!!  Look at all that area that DOESN'T flow that 75% of production!

It's just begging to be drilled!!!!!

(Except that they've had 70 years to pick where the oil is and drill there, and they already did)

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:53 | 4870826 Matt
Matt's picture

The map seems to also be missing all the off-shore gas fields around Palestine/Israel and Cyprus.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:49 | 4870189 teslaberry
teslaberry's picture

look at that little orange colored shit on the left hand of the map.

ITS ALL ORANGES FAULT. 300 MILLION GREEN COLOR FOLKS OF VARIOUS SECTS BUT IT'S THE ORANGE COLOR FAULT!

KILL THE ORGANGES!!!!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:57 | 4870214 CH1
CH1's picture

Channeling the Nazi trolls are we?

(Good sarcasm.)

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:00 | 4870228 cougar_w
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Why would you want to kill the orangutangs?

The world gets more crazy every day.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:09 | 4870277 CrashisOptimistic
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BTW folks, see that little black slash semi vertical along Saudi's east coast?

That is the GOD of all oil fields, Ghawar.

It's doing 4 million bpd, by itself.  Maybe 5.  That one field is more than the total US shale production from all shale deposits.

(And it's dying)

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:27 | 4870380 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

A bit dated now but still an interesting read:

http://www.newcolonist.com/ghawar.html

It's never a matter of if, only when.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:23 | 4870676 potato
potato's picture

The article is from 2001. Did it dieded yet?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 16:23 | 4870965 smacker
smacker's picture

Not yet. But Matt Simmons - before his sudden death - reckoned the water cut in Ghawar was running at more than 50% several years ago. That is bad news and very indicative that it's peaked.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:04 | 4870599 Joe Tierney
Joe Tierney's picture

"Why would you want to kill the orangutangs?"

 

Well, because, their BUTTS are really, really uglaaaay!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:51 | 4870818 Chewybunny
Chewybunny's picture

That's baboons, and they reside in the great Jungles of D.C.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:12 | 4870302 Duffy
Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:46 | 4870794 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Hate to break it to you, but that ain't a strawman...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:50 | 4870809 Chewybunny
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Everyone knows those Oranges sacrificed the new born babes of Purples to their heathen God so they can gain magic powers to control the world. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:57 | 4870217 ziggy59
ziggy59's picture

Remember, we wouldnt be there if Iraq had only brocolli instead of Texas Tea..

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:59 | 4870221 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

Off topic, but it looks like Al Gore is trolling for cash again:

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-turning-point-new-hope-for...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:57 | 4870570 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Lookie!  A troll!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 16:16 | 4870938 Matt
Matt's picture

We're going to reduce CO2! and by reduce, I mean increase, but hide it away over in China by burning coal to make semiconductor rooftop solar panels that will have negative EROEI. We will finance it with subsidies, while simultaneously destroying the utlility companies. Then, we will use rare earth batteries to store the intermittant energy, thus making the system cost more at even greater energy losses.

Mansion-dwelling jetsetter disingenously fighting against carbon emissions. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:59 | 4870223 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

So the Kurds have a lot of oil.

Now I get it.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:00 | 4870587 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yeah, but only ~10% of the total Iraqi endowment, some of those fields are *old*.... 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:04 | 4870240 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

This may be the umpteenth time I've posted this. However, it's always worthy of a re-post.

http://www.oilempire.us/new-map.html

Blood borders
How a better Middle East would look
By Ralph Peters
Armed Forces Journal - June 2006

Maps included.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:06 | 4870261 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

If I were Russia Id change the tax code to make sure every Russian Christian had at least 4 kids, then build a wall from the caspian sea to the Black sea and include all of Georgia and Azerbaijan

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:11 | 4870295 Duffy
Duffy's picture

Nothing in the eastern mediterranean though, eh?  No finds that likely foreshadow conflict and the desire to build a new pipeline to Europe while preventing one from Iran through Iraq and Syria, eh?

Is that right?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 08:31 | 4872975 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Remind of what the current production from those fields is...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:11 | 4870300 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Don't forget water.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:35 | 4870419 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

1. Last ruler/country standing that owns or controls the majority of Precious Resources (oil, gas, water, arable land, gold...), wins.

2. Organized religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich, and keeps them working and dying for them.  That's why they invented saints and heroes:  to set an example for other sheeple.  (And medals and vanity titles are a lot cheaper than titles with real assets and land.)

3. Hence, you will notice that the ethnic, national and religious boundaries will vary according to 1 and 2 above.  (Same as it ever was)^3.

Questions?  "Here all week. Try the salad bar".

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:45 | 4870499 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

Its lucky those Arabs are too busy fightning each other to form an Arab Union/USME to share their resources and combine their respective military and economic strength. Lucky for anyone that didn't want to join the club anyway...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:58 | 4870564 Duffy
Duffy's picture

I think in 20 years when the wars are being fought over water and arable land, we'll look back with nostalgia on th epoch of combination Salafist and CIA/Mossad engendered terror, false flags, and war mongering...

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 16:42 | 4871030 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Try 10 years.
*********
The only answer, men, is to Fold Space and travel to the stars.....

 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:05 | 4870608 luckylogger
luckylogger's picture

Why can't they simplify this map a little bit. Good guys and bad guys. That way we don't have to keep all these goofy names straight, 

Good guys are the ones that peacefully give us our oil and and understand that they can have the sand, but the oil is ours that part is non-negotiable.

Another idea might be to put a great big fema camp there and put them all in it. along with lots all of homeland securities bullets.

Out in the desert of course, not by our oil......

There are lots of solutions if barry would think outside the box.....

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:08 | 4870618 Joe Tierney
Joe Tierney's picture

The Neocon Times of Texas, Wyoming et al asks in today's Edition:

 

"Why did God put oil under the ground of BAD people?"

 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 23:06 | 4872268 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

\rimshot....

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:40 | 4870759 pakled
pakled's picture

Follow the money = follow the resources

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 17:46 | 4871209 FiatFapper
FiatFapper's picture

Baku must be the most important location on planet Earth!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 17:54 | 4871231 FiatFapper
FiatFapper's picture

Watch for the AA's - Azerbaijan and Algeria; the first because of Baku and Algeria which has the purest of the black gold on the planet.

Algeria has the lowest levels of sulphate condensate so refineries get more ROI. They've already liberated Libya, so it's easy to transfer 'democracy' to Algeria if oil prices go too high.

Also why the French are in CAR...protecting the refineries.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 21:51 | 4872011 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Inside Info, Plan for Destabilization waiting in the wings in 2007?

Romney In 2007 Predicts What Is Happening In Iraq With Specifics

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W_t-YCnZKg8

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!