A Petro-Sectarian Map Of The Middle East

Tyler Durden's picture

Because when it comes down to it (as we explained here), all that matters is the resources...

 

Reprinted with permission of Columbia University Gulf2000 Project (www.gulf2000.columbia.edu)

As JPMorgan's Michael Cembalest notes,

Oil and gas deposits often lie close to sectarian fault lines in the Middle East (Kurdistan and Basra in Iraq; Shi’ite areas in Eastern Saudi Arabia; Kuwait), which is why oil markets are sensitive to sectarian violence.

 

In Iraq, oil deposits in the South near Basra are well-defended, and account for 75% of Iraqi production volumes. Exports from the North near Kirkuk are low after pipeline attacks earlier this year.

 

The region was seized last week by Kurdish fighters (Peshmerga), but pipeline repairs are required in areas outside Kurdish control.

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Dr. Engali's picture

This spreading democracy around the world thingy is a bitch. Don't these people know we are just trying to bomb them into freedom?

Da Yooper's picture

It's just a bunch of religous  mobs

 

trying to rule

 

After all

 

isn't "democracy" basically mob rule?

NotApplicable's picture

"Desert" seems to be a pretty popular religion.

cougar_w's picture

More of the faith coming to large parts of the US south-west, from what I hear.

ZerOhead's picture

With Iraq set to be divided into threesies per the Cheney/Biden 2006 plan the Persian Gulf is only one Shiite inspired coup against the Saudi Royal Family away from becoming fully "Persian".

Very very bullish for BP and Exxon... plus with gas at $10+/gallon... extremely green and climate-friendly too.

Thanks Barry.

Flakmeister's picture

You give Barry far too much credit for this shit show...

CrashisOptimistic's picture

I'm no Obama fan, but this ain't his fault.

It's not Bush's fault, either.

It doesn't have to be anyone's fault.  The oil could not last forever and the time has come.

Whoever is in charge is going to be blamed, but there's no point in it.

Flakmeister's picture

Exactly....

Throw in the worst drought in 60 years in Syria, long standing religious differences and what do you really expect...

The US tried for coup d'main in 2003 and that blew up, but like it or not, game theory says that was the move to make. The US went for win and didn't get it and it does not look like a win is likely now...

Make no mistake, the shit that is going on in Iraq would be starting the moment Saddam left the scene, naturally or otherwise. As for Syria, just look up Hama, that is all you need to know really...

And to anybody considering junking, the US always winning has been a large part of your current prosperity. And that is the game that is played in the petro-world...

swmnguy's picture

Yes, that is a fantastic article.  It's the first theory I've read yet that 1) fits the facts we've heard and 2) makes any damn sense.

Four chan's picture

if we pump enough out, maybe the whole area will simply cave in and solve the worlds problem.

CrashisOptimistic's picture

Lemme lay out what a hypester will say:

 

Look at that map!!  Look at all that area that DOESN'T flow that 75% of production!

It's just begging to be drilled!!!!!

(Except that they've had 70 years to pick where the oil is and drill there, and they already did)

Matt's picture

The map seems to also be missing all the off-shore gas fields around Palestine/Israel and Cyprus.

teslaberry's picture

look at that little orange colored shit on the left hand of the map.

ITS ALL ORANGES FAULT. 300 MILLION GREEN COLOR FOLKS OF VARIOUS SECTS BUT IT'S THE ORANGE COLOR FAULT!

KILL THE ORGANGES!!!!

CH1's picture

Channeling the Nazi trolls are we?

(Good sarcasm.)

cougar_w's picture

Why would you want to kill the orangutangs?

The world gets more crazy every day.

CrashisOptimistic's picture

BTW folks, see that little black slash semi vertical along Saudi's east coast?

That is the GOD of all oil fields, Ghawar.

It's doing 4 million bpd, by itself.  Maybe 5.  That one field is more than the total US shale production from all shale deposits.

(And it's dying)

cougar_w's picture

A bit dated now but still an interesting read:

http://www.newcolonist.com/ghawar.html

It's never a matter of if, only when.

potato's picture

The article is from 2001. Did it dieded yet?

smacker's picture

Not yet. But Matt Simmons - before his sudden death - reckoned the water cut in Ghawar was running at more than 50% several years ago. That is bad news and very indicative that it's peaked.

Joe Tierney's picture

"Why would you want to kill the orangutangs?"

 

Well, because, their BUTTS are really, really uglaaaay!

Chewybunny's picture

That's baboons, and they reside in the great Jungles of D.C.

Flakmeister's picture

Hate to break it to you, but that ain't a strawman...

Chewybunny's picture

Everyone knows those Oranges sacrificed the new born babes of Purples to their heathen God so they can gain magic powers to control the world. 

ziggy59's picture

Remember, we wouldnt be there if Iraq had only brocolli instead of Texas Tea..

kchrisc's picture

Off topic, but it looks like Al Gore is trolling for cash again:

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-turning-point-new-hope-for...

Matt's picture

We're going to reduce CO2! and by reduce, I mean increase, but hide it away over in China by burning coal to make semiconductor rooftop solar panels that will have negative EROEI. We will finance it with subsidies, while simultaneously destroying the utlility companies. Then, we will use rare earth batteries to store the intermittant energy, thus making the system cost more at even greater energy losses.

Mansion-dwelling jetsetter disingenously fighting against carbon emissions. 

cougar_w's picture

So the Kurds have a lot of oil.

Now I get it.

Flakmeister's picture

Yeah, but only ~10% of the total Iraqi endowment, some of those fields are *old*.... 

Tsar Pointless's picture

This may be the umpteenth time I've posted this. However, it's always worthy of a re-post.

http://www.oilempire.us/new-map.html

Blood borders
How a better Middle East would look
By Ralph Peters
Armed Forces Journal - June 2006

Maps included.

SmittyinLA's picture

If I were Russia Id change the tax code to make sure every Russian Christian had at least 4 kids, then build a wall from the caspian sea to the Black sea and include all of Georgia and Azerbaijan

Duffy's picture

Nothing in the eastern mediterranean though, eh?  No finds that likely foreshadow conflict and the desire to build a new pipeline to Europe while preventing one from Iran through Iraq and Syria, eh?

Is that right?

Flakmeister's picture

Remind of what the current production from those fields is...

disabledvet's picture

Don't forget water.

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

1. Last ruler/country standing that owns or controls the majority of Precious Resources (oil, gas, water, arable land, gold...), wins.

2. Organized religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich, and keeps them working and dying for them.  That's why they invented saints and heroes:  to set an example for other sheeple.  (And medals and vanity titles are a lot cheaper than titles with real assets and land.)

3. Hence, you will notice that the ethnic, national and religious boundaries will vary according to 1 and 2 above.  (Same as it ever was)^3.

Questions?  "Here all week. Try the salad bar".

RadioactiveRant's picture

Its lucky those Arabs are too busy fightning each other to form an Arab Union/USME to share their resources and combine their respective military and economic strength. Lucky for anyone that didn't want to join the club anyway...

Duffy's picture

I think in 20 years when the wars are being fought over water and arable land, we'll look back with nostalgia on th epoch of combination Salafist and CIA/Mossad engendered terror, false flags, and war mongering...

lakecity55's picture

Try 10 years.
*********
The only answer, men, is to Fold Space and travel to the stars.....

 

luckylogger's picture

Why can't they simplify this map a little bit. Good guys and bad guys. That way we don't have to keep all these goofy names straight, 

Good guys are the ones that peacefully give us our oil and and understand that they can have the sand, but the oil is ours that part is non-negotiable.

Another idea might be to put a great big fema camp there and put them all in it. along with lots all of homeland securities bullets.

Out in the desert of course, not by our oil......

There are lots of solutions if barry would think outside the box.....

Joe Tierney's picture

The Neocon Times of Texas, Wyoming et al asks in today's Edition:

 

"Why did God put oil under the ground of BAD people?"

 

pakled's picture

Follow the money = follow the resources

FiatFapper's picture

Baku must be the most important location on planet Earth!

FiatFapper's picture

Watch for the AA's - Azerbaijan and Algeria; the first because of Baku and Algeria which has the purest of the black gold on the planet.

Algeria has the lowest levels of sulphate condensate so refineries get more ROI. They've already liberated Libya, so it's easy to transfer 'democracy' to Algeria if oil prices go too high.

Also why the French are in CAR...protecting the refineries.