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Caterpillar Asia Sales Crater By 30% - Company Reports Weakest Stretch Of Global Demand Since Lehman Collapse

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The chart below, showing CAT latest monthly retail sales for the month of May and broken down by region as well as consolidated for the entire world, paints a vastly different picture than that presented by the company's stock price.

The highlights: US retail sales, up 14% in May, were a modest increase from the 12% increase in April. However, the bounce is from a base of a -16% tumble reported a year ago. Still, the US was the only bright spot on a very dreary landscape as the rest of the world continues to slide. In fact, while both the EAME and Latin America region posted their third consecutive month of 20%+ declines (-22% for EAME, -23% for Latin America), it was Asia (read China) where CAT sales have createred, and the -30% plunge in annual retail sales means Chinese demand for industrial equipment is the weakest it has been since the Lehman collapse.

Consolidated, CAT retail sales for the entire world declined by 12%, virutally unchanged from last month's 13% drop, which was the biggest also since Lehman, and represents 18 continuous months of declining annual sales.

So why does CAT stock continue to reach for all time highs? One word explanation: buybacks.

 

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Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:55 | 4873676 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Beating expectations ALL the way down.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:02 | 4873716 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Quick everybody!  Max out your HELOC to build a new in ground pool!

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:06 | 4873732 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

They, CAT that is, is crawling all over India, helping build Humant Hills called, get this oxymoron.... Apart-ment Communities"....Hah!

Anyways, They have a ton of lease-financed machines out there, tens of thousands....and in India, defaulters have to watch for their knee caps....

They are doing well here. Even GM is doing well in India....

tch.....

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:24 | 4873811 gh0atrider
gh0atrider's picture

Real world construction does not matter.  We are living in a virtual world and gh0at is a virtual girl.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:01 | 4873960 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

They are down because the CHINESE are MAKING their OWN machines.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:06 | 4873982 headhunt
headhunt's picture

Nothing as profitable as reverse engineering.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 14:18 | 4874593 RobertC
RobertC's picture

Ding Ding Ding!!!  GE will soon feel the same regarding thier X-Ray divsion...

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 05:46 | 4877219 thisisjustarand...
thisisjustarandomusernameicreatedforzerohedge's picture

does saying "since Lehman Collapse" instead of just 2010 (lol I thought it was 2008?) make it more bearsh? increase ad revenue by 10%? turn SP future down a few points?

 

I wonder  how many times "since Lehman Collapse" has been used in an article this year :P seems like you're trying to convince us of something.... not sure what it is.....

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 05:47 | 4877220 thisisjustarand...
thisisjustarandomusernameicreatedforzerohedge's picture

and already have a surplus to boot

if the rate stayed the same because they aren't were depreciated then i'd stop buying CAT too lol

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:09 | 4874300 venturen
venturen's picture

I think Russia is about to place a Big Order....NOT!

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:34 | 4873859 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

Just another sign of the slow, but sure collapse to a smaller energy, less Ponzi oriented economy.

There will still be the blowoff top to come.....as the Global Utopians do everything in their power including debasing every currency known to man to keep interest payments on the mountain of debt from exploding and to keep the money printing needed to fill the gaping deflation hole that is widening still.  Which of course....is fueling inflation on every thing needed to survive.  Which is killing purchasing power.  Which of course is feeding the slow down.

Death spiral.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:00 | 4873954 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

digg-ity....diggitty.....bury this economy....how long till SHTF.....I have 50 on lets play this game for 

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:36 | 4874100 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

The same thing may be happening at Cummins (CMI).  Usually if Caterpillar is having issues the rest are also.

 

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:57 | 4873682 The Merovingian
The Merovingian's picture

If you dug a hole to China ... oh wait, never mind.  

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:57 | 4873684 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

Guess those shovel ready jobs are still on the back burner.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:57 | 4873690 bubblemania
bubblemania's picture

Bullish!

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:58 | 4873692 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Reverse engineering and cheap Chinese knockoffs are a bitch aren't they CAT? 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:58 | 4873695 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Big Bullish Signal for Algos and of course for Yellen´s Brain

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:25 | 4873812 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Yellen would call this unfortunate drop "noise". It after all, really doesn't effect the boyz, now does it...

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 10:59 | 4873696 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

whatever you do don't hide out in bonds for the next ten years. the fed sez that would be bad, mkay? [/sarc]

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:00 | 4873702 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Is Caterpillar blaming it on the weather in Asia?  Or the pollution smog is so thick in China that no one can see well enough to drive? Maybe sales to clear debris in Ukraine and Iraq will make up the difference and more?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:01 | 4873706 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

CAT got into installing computers and GPS units in their heavy machinery.  I'm sure China doesn't want the NSA tracking every move made by CAT equipment...

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:02 | 4873712 LMLP
LMLP's picture

How about they reversed engineered all their stuff and make em locally for half the price?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:07 | 4873740 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

The chinese couldn't design or make anything that wouldn't explode, leak, break half way to its first expected service interval. Those squinty eyed idiots struggle to make a decent kettle.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:29 | 4874075 Penniless Spectator
Penniless Spectator's picture

To paraphrase Wilco, where would we be without wistfull thinking

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:02 | 4873714 gdiamond22
gdiamond22's picture

That's just 'noise'

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:03 | 4873719 highly debtful
highly debtful's picture

I hope they don't do recalls in the heavy equipment business, because that would be adding insult to injury.

Imagine Caterpillar being forced to call back some ten thousand bulldozers.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:04 | 4873721 SmilinJoeFizzion
SmilinJoeFizzion's picture

They need to come up with a clever marketing idea- Like the Chevy Volt

 

Perhaps an electric powered bulldozer for some green dickhead to build his solar powered treehouse in Vermont

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:00 | 4873958 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Did you miss their sly transition into a fashion Icon?

http://www.shopcaterpillar.com/

One of the biggest stores on one of the most expensive streets in Bangalore is a CAT fashion outlet.

insane world...

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:10 | 4873725 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

This is truly horrific b/c CAT has been touting their Asian Growth story for months/years.

Bearish as hell for Peoria, Illinois, my hometown.  If CAT pulls back significantly in Central Illinois, some prime farmland is going to come up on the block and right quick.  

Peoria would become a little Detroit virtually overnight.  It is barely hanging on.  Peoria is not quite rust belt but has more or less been in a recessionary permafrost since the 1980's.  Typical midwest city ... the downtown imploded in the 1970's and the whites moved North; while the blacks continued to breed undeterred (much of their income is state welfare anyway, so what's the worry?) and have overrun most of the city.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:11 | 4873759 LMLP
LMLP's picture

First bids the best bid

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:20 | 4873793 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

With the US Gov bailing out the Ukraine don't expect any Gov help in your local any time soon.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:05 | 4873728 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Craterpillar

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 12:47 | 4874159 Emergency Ward
Emergency Ward's picture

Obama's 2009 visit to a CAT factory was the kiss of death.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:07 | 4873736 Postal
Postal's picture

What could possibly go wrong? /sarc

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:07 | 4873738 Cangaroo.TNT
Cangaroo.TNT's picture

I needs to gets me one of dem front end loaderz to help me pick up smorz CAT stocks.  Buying wit boat hands ain't fas enuf.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:09 | 4873742 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Have they tried offering 0% for 7 or 8 years yet?

Have they re-defined themselves an automobile company or leveraged a nice little bankrupt one and started shoving that inventory onto dealership lots all over North America yet?

Talk to ME, CAT: I will fix everything.  Guaranteed.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:09 | 4873743 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

You could get a huge spike in steel prices.

Iron ore is one thing (collapsed in price last year) but getting actual processed steel is not cheap.

With coal prices having collapsed and now was with Russia...US Navy heading to Argentina as Italy's "debt collector"...that's a lot of raw material suddenly off the market.

The French have already reopened the steel mill in Youngstown, OH. That thing is gigantic.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:16 | 4873774 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Didn't know USN was still using coal fired boilers DV ;-)

Oh, and the Argentina play? See Santandar's role, key.... Italy, Spain and Argentina.....

LaRouche PAC website has a great article on it.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:15 | 4873764 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

OVER BUILT AND OVER PRICED.

Does not fit todays buy them cheap & throw them away society.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:14 | 4873765 syntaxterror
syntaxterror's picture

This has to be bullish. Once the world cup is over, pent up demand will sent CAT thru the roof.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:15 | 4873770 walküre
walküre's picture

Are the Chinese flooding the market with their counterfeit copies of CATs?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:16 | 4873775 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

No. They just build affordable models which do the job...just.

 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:19 | 4873790 walküre
walküre's picture

But they're taking market share is my point. That should be considered. AA results are more telling.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:50 | 4873804 dobermangang
dobermangang's picture

The problem is the Chinese stopped building "ghost cities". 

Lots and lots and lots of empty houses in China too.

http://online.wsj.com/articles/more-than-1-in-5-homes-in-chinese-cities-...

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:07 | 4874282 walküre
walküre's picture

The biggest CAT sales are for mining equipment. One look at Copper prices is all you need.

Gold is taking off, finally.

The beginning of the end, finally.

Wealth is piling into the only thing they know to hold value during and after the reset.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:17 | 4873778 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

should be good for another couple bux in CAT, higher probabilty of more buybacks, that's all that really matters...?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:20 | 4873799 NotAMathWhiz
NotAMathWhiz's picture

Don't worry, they will pick up again when we all need front loaders to carry enough dollars to the store to buy a carton of milk.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:27 | 4873826 dobermangang
dobermangang's picture

I'm bullish on those double wheel wheelbarrows.  It will be the new functional wallet.

https://www.google.com/search?q=double+wheel+wheelbarrow&source=lnms&tbm...

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:26 | 4873818 atomp
atomp's picture

Cat sales crater... but, Volvo sales have been going up.

Don't panic, Cat sales will pick up with The BTFWWIII, US Gov. is the only entity that can "afford" their gear.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:08 | 4874289 Emergency Ward
Emergency Ward's picture

I see it, lots of "reconstruction programs" in Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq, Yemen, Pakistan, and half the continent of Africa.  The invasions and interventions pay for themselves.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:28 | 4873827 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   The  Baltic Dry is down Year To Date: -61.92%

   The Shanghai down Year To Date: -3.71%

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:25 | 4874376 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Go long China, right?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:31 | 4873840 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The central bankers saw short term benefits for banks as a reason to destroy CATs customer base and create materials shortages.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:33 | 4873851 Its_the_economy...
Its_the_economy_stupid's picture

time to go long CAT (remember, its the new normal)

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:37 | 4873861 JRobby
JRobby's picture

The growth where you would need heavy machinery has been in Asia. Why would they buy American at this point?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:35 | 4873862 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

CAT down $.79 as I type ... market is as oblivious as a tweaker in a snow storm.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:36 | 4873869 praps
praps's picture

What proportion of total sales is retail sales?

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:42 | 4873900 Z_End
Z_End's picture

If CAT would just come up with this for real it would solve their problems!

http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/images/manamplifier/powerLoader03.jpg

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 11:43 | 4873907 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

this too, is bullish

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:07 | 4874283 venturen
venturen's picture

Did the stock jump by 20%? The IMport-Export Bank should give them negative interests loans! How can the .001% compete...using the failed banking system? 

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 13:09 | 4874295 venturen
venturen's picture

They need to build drone version that can bulldoze protesters across the world from remote terminal in DC!

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 14:24 | 4874615 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

They'll need bulldozers and backhoes to clean up the millions of bodies in the middle east when ISIS is done moving into town.

 

Barry is long CAT.  You should be long CAT too.

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 22:09 | 4876483 Magooo
Magooo's picture

Maybe they need to add .com to their handle.... that should raise the share price

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