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Goldman Issues "Kiss Of Death": USA 81% Likely To Reach World Cup Knockouts

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Forget Maradonna's "Hand Of God", and Luis Suarez' "Jaws Of Doom"; Goldman Sachs just issued their latest set of updated predictions for the FIFA World Cup and unleashed a "kiss of death" on USA. The bank (whose win rate on predictions so far has been a lowly 30%) forecast the odds of USA making it to the 2nd Round (the knockout stage) is 81.6% (with Portugal a lowly 5.3% likely). Given the variance of results so far, we hope they are right; but their odds seem a little long (and they have Belgium beating USA in the next round).

 

With 8 games left, here are Goldman's 1st round predictions (black)

 

And the odds of each nation reaching the 2nd stage... USA 81.6%!

 

And the full tournament prediction...

 

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

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Wed, 06/25/2014 - 18:54 | 4895622 The man with po...
The man with pointy horns's picture

USA team... Stolpered bitchez!

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:24 | 4895716 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I'll be watching the game at noon (US ET) tomorrow!

 

 

Tylers might want to go back and take a look at Goldman's FIRST predictions to see how GS did (their model) when the World Cup is over.  Of course, there is a LOT of luck and variation in soccer games (England is OUT, Brazil only managed a tie w/ Mexico, USA blew their lead vs. Portugal w/ just seconds to go, etc.).

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:48 | 4895800 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

Goldman has Germany at 99.9% chance of making it to the second round. I am not sure GS actually understands the FIFA points system, because that's a rather hard and huge math error to make.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 20:15 | 4895870 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Goldman has Germany at 99.9% chance of making it to the second round...that's a rather hard and huge math error to make.

You are correct, should be 100%. Germany obliterates USA tomorrow bitchez. 

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 20:34 | 4895943 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Agree.  Not rooting for Germany but I see a 3-1 win by them.

The U.S. defense was pretty sloppy against Portugal.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 23:19 | 4896559 jez
jez's picture

The US will need far more than 22 boots on the ground if they want to win.

 

Off topic, what is going on with these poncy pink bootees being worn by various World Cup prima donnas? Couldn't they at least pretend to be grown-up? I mean, impressionable youngsters are watching in their millions.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:16 | 4897273 eurogold
eurogold's picture

Can't wait for the match to start ! Here in Germany at 18:00 CET.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 18:58 | 4895636 tenpanhandle
tenpanhandle's picture

Of course Belgium beats USA.  If USA wins, Belgium stops buying US bonds therefore winning not allowed.  This is one Goldman Sucks has inside on.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:06 | 4895669 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

USA: "My word is my bond.....therefore my word is worth nothing."

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:16 | 4895697 max2205
max2205's picture

Why isn't Barry making bracket picks

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:21 | 4895708 Reaper
Reaper's picture

Barry wants to replace the goals with basketball nets so he can pick winners

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 21:53 | 4896255 Rootin' for Putin
Rootin' for Putin's picture

He is, ISIS vs Iraq is 1-0 at halftime.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 23:13 | 4896544 jez
jez's picture

I predict a penalty shootout there.

 

Well, a shootout anyway.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:00 | 4895641 Sun and Moon
Sun and Moon's picture

FIFA? World Cup? What are they talking about?

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:07 | 4895671 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

FIFA is the political arm of ISIS and they get the World Cup once they finish conquering the whole world, at least I think so. They'll have to beat Goldman to get the cup though.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:29 | 4895733 One eyed man
One eyed man's picture

If Goldman is involved, you know it must be closely connected to evil in some way.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:09 | 4895677 starman
starman's picture

USA to win world cup? yeah right, there goes a pig flying.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:13 | 4895685 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

He can't help it he has walrus teeth.If the Ghana cheques clear, it's goodnight USA.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:13 | 4895687 TN Jed
TN Jed's picture

They need to STFU.  Sport is one of the few places where we should be able to ignore them.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:15 | 4895694 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

If there's a dollar to be made from this, you know Goldman Sacks will be fucking someone out of it.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:20 | 4895707 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

I'm rooting for Hanibal Lector.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 19:21 | 4895709 newdamage
newdamage's picture

And the odds of no team scoring 'nil' in any of the remaining games are apparently 100%? They do know this is soccer, right?

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 20:37 | 4895960 onearmedlove
onearmedlove's picture

Betfair is dealing at around 78% so they aren't far off.  

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 20:42 | 4895980 BringOnTheAsteroid
BringOnTheAsteroid's picture

Why are these cunts issuing soccer tips?

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 20:50 | 4896013 infinity8
infinity8's picture

Who fucking cares?

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 21:30 | 4896148 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

what a gay sport... mommy he kicked me in the shin! waaaaaa!!! (obligatory rolling around on the field for 60- 90 seconds)

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 06:21 | 4896978 zerocash
zerocash's picture

They don't wear helmets and shoulder , groin and knee pads like the pampered kids in American Football so if one is kicked it does really hurt.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 22:10 | 4896328 logicalman
logicalman's picture

If Belgium can buy up US financial crap at the rate they've been going lately, maybe they can throw a match for good measure.

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 22:23 | 4896366 Mauricio6401
Mauricio6401's picture

Chile will win the World Cup.     I just know it.  They will play the final to Netherland.   I will take the day off and run in time square with my red tshirt.  

Wed, 06/25/2014 - 23:38 | 4896610 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Is that you, Simon?

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 02:03 | 4896807 trader1
trader1's picture

i think a russian win tonight over algeria will make the first group of 16 matches exciting (germany v russia).

 

then of course, goldman has it wrong thinking brazil will beat germany in the semifinals.

 

final: germany v netherlands

 

the last time was in 1974, with germany winning.  

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 02:26 | 4896835 adonisdemilo
adonisdemilo's picture

Note to muppets, er clients; c'mon guys place your bets, we'll be very happy to take the other side of any bet based on our "research".

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 02:31 | 4896841 wintermute
wintermute's picture

Belgium can beat the USA any day ... 

...  in sovereign debt stacking.

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