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Fed's Key Inflation Indicator Hits 19-Month High

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Forget PPI (it's "cyclical"); ignore CPI (it's "noisy"); dismiss all the recent PMIs showing input prices surging and output prices dropping - that is the message the Fed is feeding the world over its 'inflation' concerns. However, the one indicator that the Fed really focuses on (or has said it does until now) - the PCE Deflator - just surged to 1.8% - its highest since October 2012 and nearing the Fed's 2% mandate-stumping level. Ignore that Janet!

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:50 | 4897193 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

This is just "noise" everything is under control. /sarc

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:12 | 4897266 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

janet will just jam this down her huge pie hole, like she does with everything else.  god, i hate that fat, confused pig.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 11:50 | 4898026 BeerMe
BeerMe's picture

Stay calm.  All is under control.  Go back to your desk please.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:52 | 4897198 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

There is no wage inflation. So the only thing these price increases will cause is the consumer to tap out at a faster rate and send the economy further into the abyss. There is not a lot of time left to buy the 3X SPY index etf.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:53 | 4897200 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Yellen is an academic with no understanding of the real world, has never held down a proper job and, exceedingly annoyingly, starts every sentence with the word "So,..".

And it's that last one that that annoys me about her the most!

DavidC

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:59 | 4897222 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

So it sounds like you aren't a fan?

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:59 | 4897224 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I think we should update this chart daily. It's just awesome.

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DB+Basic+Chart&t=6m

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:59 | 4897225 andybee33
andybee33's picture

"starts every sentence with the word "So,.."."

It's because it rhymes with "low" (as in "low inflation").  They've resorted to trying to brainwash us with 3rd rate holiday entertainer tactics. :)

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:00 | 4897226 andybee33
andybee33's picture

.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:54 | 4897204 LMLP
LMLP's picture

Double tap Janet! You're done, cya.... in your face!

Behind the curve by much? Hands tied by not taking the pain much?

Keep your powder dry for the coming USD trend.... #youaresofuckedJanet

 

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:54 | 4897205 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

did her hard drive crash also?

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:56 | 4897214 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

she's not under "investigation" yet...

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:55 | 4897211 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

WOW! so... in the last 5 years... the total inflation was 5 to 6%... take 7% to make sure...

ehe...

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:56 | 4897212 bullet
bullet's picture

and bonds RALLY...

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:01 | 4897229 madbraz
madbraz's picture

consumption expenditures were half of what the wall street thieves expected (0.2% vs 0.4%) - hard to get to the 2nd quarter fairy tale GDP growth they want when the consumer doesn't play dumb and spend.  also, if PCE deflator "surged to 1.8%" (what is this, CNBC?) then it is still considerably lower than the break-even inflation rate projected by the 5 year note and TIPS (2.04%).

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:57 | 4897216 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Someone lower the Internet, please. All I hear is noise !!!

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:59 | 4897219 RiskyBidness
RiskyBidness's picture

So.......BTFD!

 

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 08:58 | 4897220 RiskyBidness
RiskyBidness's picture

So.......BTFD!

 

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:19 | 4897285 MountainsRoam
MountainsRoam's picture

There is only a dip once or twice a month, a trader can go broke with that strategy..

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:01 | 4897231 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

There is no US economic statistic that cannot be fixed with a spreadsheet.  Paul Craig Roberts on Q1 GDP:

A final number for real US GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 was released today. The number is not the 2.6% growth rate predicted by the know-nothing economists in January of this year. The number is a decline in GDP of -2.9 percent.

The negative growth rate of -2.9 percent is itself an understatement. This number was achieved by deflating nominal GDP with an understated measure of inflation. During the Clinton regime, the Boskin Commission rigged the inflation measure in order to cheat Social Security recipients out of their cost-of-living adjustments. Anyone who purchases food, fuel, or anything knows that inflation is much higher than the officially reported number.

It is possible that the drop in first quarter real GDP is three times the official number.

http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2014/06/25/new-recession-new-world-devoi...

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:02 | 4897234 yogibear
yogibear's picture

If the US dollar could crash the Fed could meet their real yearly  inflation target.

In the mean time they'll say it's noise and say inflation is tame.

Only time the Federal Reserve's hand is forced and when their are riots in the street when people can't afford food anymore.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:04 | 4897242 SanfordandSon
SanfordandSon's picture

No worries. Now we have what some would argue the most powerful person in the country - The Federal Reserve Chairnanny.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:22 | 4897296 razorthin
razorthin's picture

Looks more like a Chairtranny.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:33 | 4897337 SilvertonguedAngel
SilvertonguedAngel's picture

Or maybe a charitytotherichwithyourmoneygranny

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:05 | 4897245 fzrkid
fzrkid's picture

Just another chart that doesnt mean anything.. Everything will be fine until 1 day its not.. The Trillion $$ question remains what that trigger may be.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:09 | 4897258 madcows
madcows's picture

I thought the FED liked inflation at 2.0%  Are you telling me this is still a deflationary environment, and the FED must continue to print?

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:09 | 4897259 valley chick
valley chick's picture

But...but..but...Bullard just said on faux business to throw out quarter 1 and look FORWARD!  Just can't make this shit up!

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:11 | 4897264 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Benanke used to start most of his answers to questions with "so" too. It's just a continuation of his policy

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:20 | 4897287 Calculus99
Calculus99's picture

It's not even 'noise', just a little static on the record.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:34 | 4897356 More_sellers_th...
More_sellers_than_buyers's picture

Wait ...what?  Can't be.  I remember a certain person make the following comment in regards to inflation. When Pelley asked Bernanke what degree of confidence he had in his ability to control inflation, the Fed chairman responded, "one hundred percent."

Well spank my ass and call me stupid.  Central planning doesn't work? Fuck these ivory tower academics.   Throw them all in the gulag.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:43 | 4897403 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The only noise I hear is the crisp of my caviar on toast before I head back onto the polo pitch.

Thu, 06/26/2014 - 09:54 | 4897460 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

A great time to make a move before the next false flag attack.

Buy gold and silver at historic lows today.

You'll be sorry.

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