"Massive Change Is Upon Us" - The Three 'E's

Tyler Durden's picture

"It is fair to say that this particular constellation of issues, problems if you will, has never been faced before at these levels. Never," warns Chris Martenson (of The Crash Course) but what does he mean when he says "Great change is upon us." This brief condensed look at The Three 'E's of - Economy, Energy, and Environment are all one needs to understand the current situation is anything but a sustainable status quo (no matter how reassured by record high stock prices the general public may be).

 

 

So, what do I mean when I say, “Massive change is upon us…”? Well, here’s where we need to burrow into the three “E”s, which is where we’ll spend the rest of our time in the Crash Course.

 

The first “E” is the Economy, which is the lens through which the Crash Course looks at everything. Within the Economy, there are four primary areas of concern: Exponential money, the first-ever collapse of a global credit binge, an aging population, and a national failure to save. If it isn’t clear to you what these mean, don’t worry; we’ll be discussing each of these in detail.

The next “E” is Energy, and there we will discuss what Peak Oil implies for an economic system that is based on continual expansion. This topic is important enough that I should dedicate the entire Crash Course to it, but I can’t, and I won’t.

And finally, the third “E”, the Environment, will be exerting its own unknowable but certainly significant economic burdens, due to shrinking resources and other systemic pressures, at the same time that the other two “E”s will be clamoring for your money and attention.

The story that I am going to weave for you cuts across all three “E”s and will make the claim that our monetary system is badly out of step with reality and will suffer severe instability and possibly collapse as a result.

It is fair to say that this particular constellation of issues, problems if you will, has never been faced before at these levels.

Never.

Whether you find this terrifying or exhilarating is simply a matter of your mindset. One key towards easing your mind is being armed with accurate and detailed information. That is what the Crash Course will deliver.

When viewed individually, each one of the sub-areas on each of the “E”s could entirely consume your entire attention. I am going to make the claim that these problems are so intertwined that they cannot be solved in isolation. All three “E”s will need to be considered at the same time.

How are they linked? By something very powerful that we desperately need to understand a lot better. Please join me for Chapter 3: Exponential Growth.

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El Vaquero's picture

I've said it many times before:  The only way to maintain the status quo is through fraud now that we have seen the end of real growth. 

max2205's picture

 

 

I got 3 F's for you all

 

Fuck me

Fuck them

Fuck us all

 

....................../´¯/) 

....................,/¯../ 

.................../..../ 

............./´¯/'...'/´¯¯`·¸ 

........../'/.../..../......./¨¯\ 

........('(...´...´.... ¯~/'...') 

.........\.................'...../ 

..........''...\.......... _.·´ 

............\..............( 

..............\.............\...

 

 

BuddyEffed's picture

Your train of thought seems to follow a similar vein as found in this ICP song.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gs6shIbQnxg&feature=kp;

Not for the weak or easily offended.  Parental permission recommended for those under 18.

But I'm sure the lyrics will strike a chord with some here.  Kind of funny in a satiric kind of way.

BuddyEffed's picture

Several years ago I was an original suggester here that the Martenson and Tverberg materials be featured as guest posts.   The Tylers even went so far to include the JHK stuff but me thinks he is just a tad over the top.  Hey who the front door down voted me?

Elliott Eldrich's picture

And here I was wondering whatever happened to "Tourette's Guy." Apparently he started a rap career. Good for him.

BuddyEffed's picture

You must have been the one up arrow me thinks.  BTW, I am very familiar with that Rouge River bridge mentioned in the Lyrics, crossing it 4 to 6 times a week from infancy to mid childhood.  Freakin river even caught fire once as Marathon, Ford, etc are on its banks.

presk_eel_pundit's picture

You're thinking of the Cuyahoga River in Cleveland, Buddy, not the Rouge.

 

http://www.ohiohistorycentral.org/w/Cuyahoga_River_Fire?rec=1642

BuddyEffed's picture

No, you stand corrected. The Rouge River did burn with flames 50 feet in the air.

http://www.environmentalcouncil.org/priorities/article.php?x=264

Da Yooper's picture

I've said it many times before:  The only way to maintain the status quo is through fraud now that we have seen the end of real growth.

 

The sheeple STILL dont have a clue & if or when they WTFU

 

The first thing they will say is

IF only someone had told me

 

They deserve what fate awaits them

Arbeit_Macht_Frei's picture

If anyone enjoys socialist baiting like I do head over to this Marxists blog and leave some libertarian hospitality. I think he'll like it. http://iphidaimos-thenewsinshorts.blogspot.co.uk

Nexus789's picture

Libertarian nonsense as none of it makes any sense.

espirit's picture

We've created fire that will never burn out - so I guess that solves future energy needs.

If we're not here, we won't need it.

WillyGroper's picture

This fire will destroy the "Bodies" of evidence.

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

"The next 20 years will be different than the last 20 years." - Martensen

The next 20 years are always different than the last 20 years. - Kirk

SuperRay's picture

The next 10 years will be reeaaaalllyyy different than any 10 year period in the history of the world - Ray

SuperRay's picture

BTW, are things slow there, Tyler?  If anybody on this site hasn't already seen the Crash Course, they shouldn't be allowed to up or down vote, or even post!!  

Seer's picture

You've got a point.  Although, I don't see that Tyler(s) have made this a requirement.

But anyway... I say that no one who is promotes change ought to be able to do so until they've gotten an education on the exponential function.  Those that don't want any change ought to just bury their head in the sand...

Toxicosis's picture

Exponents, who needs exponents, as long as I've got my endless supply of Doritos and cherry coke, and can watch new episodes of Honey Boo-Boo every week exponents can go to hell.  Unless they're tasty, then send some of those exponents my way, because I bet we have an endless supply of those like everything else too.

RafterManFMJ's picture

Remember: no matter where you go... there you are. - Buckaroo Banzai

cro_maat's picture

We all go down the rabbit hole looking for the rabbit only to find that we are the rabbit.

Hopefully before they make rabbit stew.

SuperRay's picture

Forget Ray. You've got SuperRay! ;-)

messymerry's picture

Doh Ray!,,, Me Fa So...

;-D

August's picture

'Tis a consummation devoutly to be wished.

Whether we get the boot stamping on a human face forever, or something better than that, either course will lead to many premature human deaths. 

Still, perhaps, if we pray very, very hard, and offer him as many virgins as he wants, Ray Kurzweil will have mercy upon us.

CrashisOptimistic's picture

1690 looked more or less like 1670 for the vast majority of the population of the world.  1770 looked like 1750 too.  1820 and 1840 were the same too.

 

SuperRay's picture

Duh. 1863 looked a helluva lot different than 1853...

Seer's picture

"for the vast majority of the population of the world"

I'd hope that people get it that part of "conversing" is actually reading/listening to what someone says before jumping with both feet into one's mouth...

SuperRay's picture

Well, gee, let's see. I guess way back then, the vast majority of the population of the world wasn't economically interdependent, so the relevance of the analogy to anything happening today escapes me. Thanks for your condescending, and equally irrelevant, attempt to educate me.

Seer's picture

Nice attmept to try and hide your logical failure.   As for attempts to "educate," well, it's quite apparent that you have no real investments in it...

NidStyles's picture

Really? Economic revolutions make people less dependent. That is why government gets worse as we go along. 

Toxicosis's picture

Actually no it wouldn't have.  There was not an exceptional change in available technology.  There was only horse and buggy and steam train.  There was nary indoor plumbing available and no electrical grid.  Life was still quite slower paced and most people were rural not urban.  The industrial era was churning along but nothing of anything spectacular altered the majority in their standard of living.

How old are you, say about 20?  Learn some history, soon enough you'll need it.

Totentänzerlied's picture

Late 1800s to early 1970s: The gravy train was plowing along level ground, full steam ahead.

Early 1970s to mid-2000s: The gravy train reached a slight positive grade, and had some engine and mechanical problems but we were assured everything was fixed and things seemed kind of okay.

Since then: The gravy train engine is stalling, anything combustible in the traincars is being burned as fuel, the load has doubled, and the grade has increased dramatically, repairs are impossible, it's bailing wire and duct tape.

You can't get off the train, if you're very lucky you can change cars, but (ruining my metaphor) you don't know when any given car will detach.

What does it look like when a car detaches? It looks like Greece, Detroit, Egypt, or Libya.

are we there yet's picture

This time is different. We have a simi-black, simi-american, to guide us.

Kprime's picture

well, at least we can take comfort that our leader leans toward the bottom of the bell curve.  He may be a dumb monkey but he has a lot of practice tossing shit.

knukles's picture

Actually, Goldman is saying that the next 4 quarters growth will be in excess of 9%, so it'll all be Ok for a while.

Back to work, serfs

Seer's picture

But, but... that's like the bar-owner claiming certain hours to be "happy hours."  For whom?  GS might very well be correct in that they'll see 9% growth for their "specialness."

NoPension's picture

Free beer tomorrow...

.....so, here is my question.. Do I/ we prepare, or party like it's 1999?

Is ignorance bliss? Maybeeeee, it is better to not see it coming.???

How smart am I now.

Damn, this sucks. I'm glad I'm on the downslope. It's been a good ride.

Seer's picture

You know, this is why I don't condemn those who "appear" to not be doing anything.  The saying (paraphrasing) "Do not judge another unless you walk a mile in their shoes" seems like good advice.  And then there's the Serenity Prayer to consider...  As I've come to see things there is really little one can or should try to do to do about things that are outside of one's control.

As for myself, I like to "know."  I'm a curious kind of person...  And, there's an element of challenge to it all, in keeping "sane" when you come to know more about what's really going on: one can turn it all into like being on drugs (which I do not do), kind of a state in which you're the only drugged-up one in a crowd- kind of an upside down reversal of the actual situation (gives others the benefit of the doubt while challenging you to your own sense of sanity).

Does it make any sense?  Do I care? (it's a question that I apply to myself ABOUT myself!)

knukles's picture

I got a hunch that you and I have already shared part of our experience, strength and hope together even though we've never met.

Zoomorph's picture

Meh. Economics is superficial, it doesn't address the underlying psychological, moral and philosophical issues. Without addressing the bigger picture, it's like we're trying to solve a puzzle that's missing half the pieces.

CrashisOptimistic's picture

Psychology, morality and philosophy are not only not the bigger picture, they are not in the picture at all.  They are at most dust that gathered on the top edge of the picture.

The picture is oil.

Totentänzerlied's picture

Hardly. You cannot address humanity's consummate failure to accomplish anything of note in the realms of familial, community, societal, political, economic, national organization since the Ag Revolution without invoking psychology, ethics, and philosophy (along with physics, economics, anthropology, sociology, and so on).

The picture is energy, but the reason the energy picture (and the economic, political, scientific, etc.) looks how it does is a different issue. There is nothing about crude oil that dictates that humans had to waste virtually every barrel of it we have ever pumped, and do so without so much as a single contingency plan or even one significant turn-key backup (whether you are a fan of nuclear or not, it satisfies this criterion) or parallel alternative (we went all-in... then doubled down). To belabor the obvious point, nothing about petroleum decided that humans must drive cars, live in suburbs, use gas/diesel ICEs to power almost all transport, use petroleum products in nearly every part of their lives, and breed and consume to the (very much volatile and) momentary limit such that even a slight "marginal" disruption in crude supply would wreak enormous havoc.

Abdridged version: "we can, but should we?" is a not a question about energy (but it really should be).

NoPension's picture

I've heard it said, " put a horse in a stall full of oats, and he'll eat himself to death" .
Methinks the people animal is not much different,eh?

NihilistZero's picture

Human society must change and adjust, but the idea that it wil END when the oil runs out makes no sense. Sure the ponzi has to end, but as you stated nuclear done right is an option.  We, ve got a huge fusion reactor that won't burn out for a few billion years we're constantly working to harness more effectively.  I get that oil's portable joules are second to none, but I see know reason we can't live without it as a species.

Seer's picture

Yes, see the Catton video above.