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WTF Chart Of The Day: "Holy $340 Billion In Quarter-End Window Dressing, Batman"
If there ever was any question as to what the purpose of the Fed's Reverse Repo liquidity facility was, or is (and considering we already explained it before in Fed Soaks Up Record $200 Billion In Year End Excess Liquidity and Month-End Window Dressing Sends Fed Reverse Repo Usage To $208 Billion: Second Highest Ever), the amount of reverse repos issued by the Fed to make banks appear healthier than they are and to cure whatever "high quality collateral" shortfalls banks are now chronically experiencing, should slam the door shut on any future debate just what the motive behind the Reverse Repo is.
Behold: a record $340 billion in reverse repos submitted by the world's financial institutions with the Federal Reserve, an increase of $200 billion overnight, and amounting to a record $3.5 billion on average among the 97 operations participants. Considering this is a clear quarterly event, it goes without saying that all the reverse repo is, is a quarter-end window dressing mechanism underwritten by Mr. Chairmanwoman itself.
That there was some $200 billion in excess reserve liquidity as of yesterday's market close (which today was handed over to the Fed in exchange for one day rental of Treasurys), or that banks actually have a third of a trillion gaping shortfall in collateral, hardly needs discussion.
Expect total reverse repo usage tomorrow to plunge by at least $150 billion as the banks will have fooled their regulator, which also happens to be the Fed, that they are safe and sound. Rinse, repeat, until the entire financial system collapses once again and people will ask "how anyone could have possibly foreseen this."
As we said last time:
So step aside any sophisticated claims that the Fed's reverse repo is a means to extract liquidity when the time to raise rates finally comes: all this latest "tool" in the Fed's arsenal is, is nothing more than a Fed-mandated and endorsed mechanism with which the banks can fool regulators and investors that they are in a far healthier condition than they really are.
And judging by the humiliating episode involving Bank of America's made up numbers that punked the Fed into believing America's most insolvent TBTF bank was healthy enough to give be billions to investors, one of the parties most "confused" by what the RRP does, is the Fed itself.
Q.E.D.
Source: NY Fed
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Delivery process?
Free markets, bitchez.
Janet: 'call me irresponsible. ....'
Ya, right. The WTF of the day is Nov Soy. Off a cliff...
It’s just a good thing the whole f'n system is not rigged and is not an illusion.
How come we never hear about this shit on the 6:00 news, or 60 minutes?
Nevermind ...
Honest Ben did a 60 Minutes interview. They said he saved the world.
I am dense and too lazy to think through this problem on my own.
Why would banks rather have the T bill than the cash?
The talk is of quality collateral. I understand you can't get yourself some quick repo cash without collateral, but what is meant in this context by "collateral shortage".
If you have cash, why do you exchange that liquidity for a liquidity generating instrument. Shouldn't his cancel out?
Can someone please explain this to dumb 'ol me in layman's terms that someone who has never been involved in this industry would understand? Is it the process of transforming reserves into loanable cash?
Me want to know too
my excess holdings amounting to 1 billion federal reserve notes (formerly known as dollars) constitute an obligation of the insolvent federal reserve
hard to use them as collateral for a 10 billion "dollar" loan of more federal reserve notes
but if I swap them overnight for 1 billion in treasurys, those treasurys are an obligation of the us
full faith and credit etc
that is, of the taxpayers and their offspring who have not served their nation by droning or being droned or IED'd or concussed or whatever
those treasurys are great collateral
I borrow 10 billion "dollars" against the 1 billion in the in-swapped treasurys
then I report that I have 10 billion "dollars" on hand for my quarterly reporting needs
then I pay back the 10 billion, plus a nickel for the overnight fees, and then swap the treasurys for my original fedresnotes, and I'm all square
costs me a nickel, but hey -- I get to report 10 billion on my quarterly.
and that just makes good business sense. both for me and for my shareholders.
hugs,
corporate accounting, inc.
This is how a six-year-old plays checkers.
Night of the Zombies...
At least this quarter was a marked change from the last two!
...it was lots bigger...
this, coupled with tomorrow being tuesday and since tuesday ends in "y", means stocks should be up 1-2% tomorrow as all this collateral gets dumped back to the fed and put to work in risk. no wonder USD/JPY has been dropping. expect a massive move lower for the yen overnight and then promptly at 9:30am tomorrow.
2008 on steroids?
Could we please see some historic data tylers?
There is no historic data. This Repo window facility was just opened by the Fed last year.
The REPO market has been around for a while (1917 if I remember correctly), let's see the cumulative "market" for 2008/2009.
Is this an EKG for an increasingly healthy heartbeat or the begining of another heart attack?
You'd be comparing apples and oranges. There is no counterparty risk doing it with the Fed, or so the conversation goes. Besides, you'd have to be borrowing some other bank's "collateral" to shore yours up. Doing it with the Fed is "clean" becuase the Fed can do whatever they want with their balance sheet- nobody's looking over their shoulder, asking questions.
And this is a REVERSE repo window. It was opened last year. No historic data to compare it against.
Doing it with the Fed is "clean" becuase the Fed can do whatever they want with their balance sheet" - Therein lies the rub, full faith and credit motherfuckers. The fact that banks are going to the Fed for this tells me the PDs stink of desparation. They had better sacrifice one of their own soon in order to "keep the faith" as it were. Surprised it hasn't happened yet.
IF the FED were not conducting RRPs the borrow would rocket into the close of the quarter.
IMHO, that borrow rate would imply a market interest rate of sorts; and it would be much higher than it is now. -It would also mean that some participants seeking to dress the quarterlies would get caught short anyway as all offers might not be accepted: a pack cull would ensue, likely in concert with CDS and VIX volatilities. Of course the naked short would be employed as in '08 for maximum constriction and to set up hostile FDIC managed 'dispositions' in the wake of collapse...
I also wonder if the fails to deliver are a distinct and growing tail problem following these RRPs..
^-----^-------^--------------------------------------
Why would we want to ring-fence public deposits? Re-instate Glass-Stegall? But we'll be less competitive.. Will the system be weaker? You're asking the wrong questions. Just buy the high. Clearly reason hasn't made you any richer.
We'd be pretty competitive when everyone else collapses and we don't. Oh well, looks like we'll just collapse too.
Riggidness - the state of rigging in a nation's economy
Please, make this insanity stop...
Please...
DavidC
Hope they rip this fucker 5% this week!
Have no doubt, they will. With 2 1/2 months equivalent liquidity coming into the market tomorrow you can make more than beer money in 1 day's "work".
How many times do you guys have to hear this: It's not the banks that have a 340 bln need, it's the mmkt funds and securities lenders who need to DUMP CASH on the fed and TAKE collateral because the dealers/banks have cut their books back for qtr end.
I can guarantee you it's not "cash"...
digital 1s and 0s then. does that help you understand more clearly?
Gee really, and what's the collateral, phony FRN's? Big deal.
Thank you good sir. That is all I needed.
"How many times do you guys have to hear this: It's not the banks that have a 340 bln need, it's the mmkt funds and securities leanders who need to DUMP CASH on the fed and TAKE collateral because the dealers/banks have cut their books back for qtr end."
Hmm.. OK. -I'd like to udnerstand your views on this more fully...
1. WHY would the mmkt funds and securities lenders wait until the end of the quarter to buy Trsrys?
2a. WHY would the mmkt funds and securities LENDERS go to the fed if they are BUYING?
2b. ...OR, are they NOT BUYING, just BORROWING?
2c. IF borrowing and NOT buying: WHY?
3. WHY would the dealers/banks cut their books for qtr end?
1) because on every other day of the month we lend the funds into the overnight Eurodollar deposit mkt. the borrowers of my funds (predominantly foreign bank branches in the U.S.)pay me between 8 and 10 bps. They in turn flip the funds to the fed and collect 25 bps. Good business to be in from the first of the month to the second last day of the month but it swells your balance sheet. So on the last day of the month/qtr you let everything roll off so your ratios fall into compliance.
1a) the reason the fund and sec lenders wait until qtr should now be obvious...why would I take collateral at 5bps when the banks will pay me 8 - 10bps daily...with me so far?
2) the funds/sec lenders are not "buying" anything. They are putting their liquidity (I got scolded for calling it "cash" before ) out to the fed and collecting an interest rate (the net effect is the same as a certificate of deposit with slightly different logistics). Forget about the collateral because it just round trips from the fed acct to mine and back again.
3) The dealers role in this is the same as commercial bank...pass through arbitrage. Let's say Goldi takes in 200mm of agency discount notes from a hedgie in the first of the month, and gives him cash less the perfunctory 2% haircut. What the hedgie does with that is immaterial other than it closes out on the last of the month. Every day of that month Goldi is going to repo that collateral back out to a Mkt fund or sec lender at 12 or 15 bps so he's not funding the trade with his own capital. This is why the dealers have gobs of collateral to repo from the first of the month/qtr until the last. When month/qtr end comes they want to show a low leverage balance sheet so they unwind everything .
So now it's month/qtr end and the cash cows (Fidelity, Vanguard, JP Asset Mgmt, Dreyfus, etc) have significantly fewer counter parties for either overnight repo (dealers) or Eurodollar time deposits (mainly foreign banks but also some of the US majors) to invest their liquidity with. The fed becomes to counterparty of last resort to Hoover up the excess liquidity.
Hope this helps you too Sheep dog
It's all Bullshit!!!
it's all bullshit!!!
would it be cheaper for the FED to reverse repo american's credit cards every month?
just for fun, i say, let's argue about taxing the rich or the free shit crowd for awhile....you know, the important stuff.
It's all Bullshit!!!
$200 billion in excess liquidity laying around.....holy shit we're gonna need a BIG fuckin sponge!!
And an even BIGGER SPONGE for the $4 trillion plus on the Fed’s balance sheet.
If the cash liquidity is being drained from the banksta mafia cartel, why the fuck is market going up huh?
Because the market is open for trading.
Friday it won't go up. or down
for a few reasons - but a big one being - there is your 'hyperinflation'. this time it is different. 'things' most people need to exist are only going up 10% a year (oh sure, fed doesn't say so, but they are). but russell 2000 is up almost 50% in two years. it's that simple.
'cash paper dollars' aren't on the street. bernake did not make that mistake. digital zeros are all the rage, and only people with brokerage accounts can access them.
hence. hyperinflation in stocks (and high end goods, homes, art). not PM's yet, because that's squashed.
it keeps getting bigger and bigger
Come on people anyone with half a brain knows that as soon as they went to extend and pretend and mark to fantasy it was all a ponzi . With the stock in 2000 at least there was a glimmer of hope in the future. When GAAP is now considered legit and non GAAP becomes more and more the norm, its just a matter of time before it all goes south again, and power is even more concentrated. Probably one more bubble after that, and then......
Something is amiss that they don't want made public...................................
Something amiss....yea like the entire financial/economic system actually collapsed already years ago, and the elite ass hats just aren't ready for Armageddon yet.
The Elites are the ones with the most to lose in a reset.
No One who is winning kicks over the boardgame.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kbdcOKVwE78
Of course it goes up. Since the market is complete BS and has increased in value so do all of the operations that need to keep the market going up. It only begins to end when the value of stocks in the world exceed the amount of wealth in the world by 3x.
"... Mr. Chairmanwoman itself. ..."
Funny Tylers!!!!
"He's a woman???? Jumping Josephine dear God have mercy!!!"
Alan Greenspan
Is this going to print the 5% growth for Q2 they're looking for and desperately need? Expect to be fooled massively when they announce Q2 numbers.
-2.9% Q1 contraction and yet they're still pumping North of 2% yoy growth annualized. How can that be possible unless there's some financial magic in the works which is of course net neutral in the real world but allows the mofos to print a healthy growth rate for the statists.
$340 billion? That's a lot of lipstick, even for a pig this ugly.
Sorry, but there is still something I don't see clearly. Can someone answer this please?
If the banks have excess reserves of $340b then why do they need to exchange that for an overnight Treasury that is says it is worth $340 billion?
Is the key point that the banks need a "security" on the books as an account for some form of collateral because the $340b is already loaned out? If it is not already loaned out then why do they need the collateral on the books? If they need the collateral on the books because it is already loaned out, then how do they have any excess reserves?
Regarding rehypothecation, do they need the collateral on the books because they have loaned against their excess reserves several times more then they actually are and that is where the multiple-counterparty risk comes into play but at least the collateral gives the illusion that the loans are covered?
Or, is what they are after just the "interest," in the form of more insta-credit, because they need more excess reserves which they will receive for holding the treasury overnight?
Some kind of insane bankster shell game going on, they're only fooling themselves.
Thanks. True that.
"If the banks have excess reserves of $340b then why do they need to exchange that for an overnight Treasury that is says it is worth $340 billion?"
You only ask that question because You still want to believe what You have been told; -and You have been told that the Banks have $340b in excess reserves. ( &, uh, by the way; the FED is still paying 6% on those supposed excess reserves presently. )
The simple answer is that the excess reserves do not exist and are merely an accounting fiction designed to distribute emergency funding to the Banks.
Now, IF the excess reserves are a fiction; what makes anyone think that the collateral is really changing hands in any legitimate matter and that the RRPs are not themselves a further accounting fiction designed to meet the purported regulatory requirements that stay FDIC seizure of the Banks in question?
For that matter: does the damned collateral -TREASURY DEBT- really exist as anything more than an accounting fiction required to disguise the monetization of political promises and the proping of a variety of insolvent institutions and funds via further successive accounting contrivances/rehypothecations ?
"Behold: a record $340 billion in reverse repos submitted by the world's financial institutions"
Isn't everything a record, now?
Record records. (or is it peak records?) Whatever... BTFATHR
the fed is helping the banks to perpetrate a fraud upon regulators and shareholders who don't give a damn anyway. Interesting. Seems like a lot of wasted effort. Just take another bonus and call it a day.
Everything is so delicate right now,especially for European Banks.Why do you think they are "tip-toeing" through the cold water with Russia.If the U.S. goes to the next set of sanctions they'll wipe out any hope of a recovery and Russia will cement the Eurasian Trade Accord.Every step that's taken where country around the globe stops trading with the U.S. Dollar spells the word DOOM for The Fed and their corrupt political elites.Who in gods' name has any faith in Washington politicians?They're all a bunch of assholes,all of 'em.
Nothing like some quarter end window dressing, eh Janet?
Holy crap. I wonder if it is possible to get to class at UCLA during marshall law.
Yes, certainly, under marshall law additional debt will be not only available but mandatory.
Friends, just for the record it's "martial" law-you know like martial arts. just sayin'
"Mr. Chairmanwoman itself" - That actually made me laugh.
Regardless of what you name it the "Federal Reserve Nightmare" or the "Yellen conundrum", the box Ben Bernanke made when he painted both himself and the Federal Reserve in a corner remains. Bernanke has by passing the chairmanship to Yellen escaped from the QE trap but left the rest of us fully in its grasp.
With a policy of loose and cheap money and an inflation target of just 2% the Federal Reserve continues to please those gambling that not fighting the Fed guarantees profits. As many Americans are forced to pay higher food, gasoline, and health insurance premiums, I wish someone would let the Fed know we are already there. Any thought that inflation is not higher has come from the false illusion brought from lower payments on things like auto loans and mortgages, this is a one off and will not continue. More on this subject in the article below.
http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/06/exit-strategy-from-qe-remains-elu...