The Polar Vortex Is Back... In The Middle Of July

Tyler Durden's picture

While every single economist and "straight to CNBC" pundit was quick to blast the atrocious economic performance in Q1 as solely due to the "harsh weather", what has emerged in various retail earnings reports so far in Q2 is that, drumroll, they lied. In fact, as one after another "stunned" retailer admits, the depressed spending observed during Q1 continued, if not deteriorated even further, in the second quarter. Which means only one thing, the same thing we said back in January: as a result of Obamacare, the declining credit impulse resulting from the Fed's tapering, and a ongoing contraction in global trade as the world slides back into recession, the US economy is on the verge of stalling and may well enter into a tailspin if one or more exogenous events take place in a centrally-planned world that is priced to perfection.

To be sure, one of the potential scapegoats we highlighted previously was the replacement of the polar vortex with what we dubbed the "solar vortex", ala El Nino, which as we further reported, has already been blamed in advance by the Bank of Japan for a spending collapse set to take place in the second half of 2014, the year when the Japanese economy now almost certainly re-enters recession.

But just to make sure that the abysmal Q1 GDP which has now spilled over into Q2 and will likely see the US economy growing in the mid-2% range, has a sufficiently broad "excuse" in the third quarter of the year, here comes - in the middle of July - the polar vortex 2.0.  As WaPo reports, "However you choose to refer to the looming weather pattern, unseasonably chilly air is headed for parts of the northern and northeastern U.S at the height of summer early next week."

(, adapted by CWG)

Bearing a haunting resemblance to January’s brutally cold weather pattern, a deep pool of cool air from the Gulf of Alaska will plunge into the Great Lakes early next week and then ooze towards the East Coast.

6-10 day outlook from National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center

The atmospheric impact will not be nearly as dramatic, but still temperatures are forecast to be roughly 10 to as much as 30 degrees below average.

Temperature anomalies (or difference from normal) Tuesday midday from European model (

This means that in parts of the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest getting dealt the chilliest air, highs in this region could well get stuck in the 50s and 60s – especially where there is considerable cloud cover.

GFS model forecast highs Tuesday (


And focusing on next week specifically, "Wednesday morning’s lows may drop into the  40s over a large part of the central U.S."

 GFS model forecast lows Wednesday morning (


Highs may struggle to reach 80 in D.C. next Tuesday and Wednesday with widespread lows in the 50s (even 40s in the mountains).

GFS model 7-day forecast (

More from WaPo:

What’s behind this unusual winter weather pattern primed for the dog days of summer?  A lot of it is simply chance (randomness), but Weather Underground’s meteorologist Jeff Masters says Japan’s typhoon Neoguri is playing a role in the pattern’s evolving configuration:

….the large and powerful nature of this storm has set in motion a chain-reaction set of events that will dramatically alter the path of the jet stream and affect weather patterns across the entire Northern Hemisphere next week. Neoguri will cause an acceleration of the North Pacific jet stream, causing a large amount of warm, moist tropical air to push over the North Pacific. This will amplify a trough low pressure over Alaska, causing a ripple effect in the jet stream over western North America, where a strong ridge of high pressure will develop, and over the Midwestern U.S., where a strong trough of low pressure will form.

What amazes me most about the pattern is not so much the forecast temperatures, but the uncanny similarities in the weather patterns over North America seen in both the heart of winter and heart of summer. All of the same features (refer to the map at the top of this post)  apparent in January are on the map in mid-July: low pressure over the Aleutians (blue shading), a large hot ridge (yellow and red shading) over the western U.S., the huge cold low or vortex over the Great Lakes (blue and green shading), and then the ridge over northeast Canada (yellow and red shading).


It’s not at all clear what this means or what, if anything, it portends.  Weather patterns cycling through a certain circulation regime can repeat (and we’ve seen this pattern multiple times since November-December), but with El Nino forecast to develop, the global configuration of weather systems is likely to change.

So the question is: just how profound of an adverse impact on Q3 GDP (because remember: weather anomalies are never additive to GDP; only wars can do that in a Keynesian world) will the second, summertime coming of polar vortex have on the US economy? Judging by the laughable farce that the economic profession has devolved to, desperately seeking to "explain away" any deviation from a priced to perfection growth rate, if only that of the Fed's balance sheet, not to mention why its forecasts are always wrong we are likely to find out very soon.

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Dublinmick's picture

Thanks TYler lets get it rolling! :)





How this subject is obscured in most forms of media gives us an idea of how serious the subject really is. 

Just because Algore was an idiot does not negate obvious global warming and more precisely climate change. Yes Al and his mob do want a carbon tax which can do absolutely nothing to stop it. Man made warming is only about 1% of the problem. The entire universe is heating up and that includes the core of the earth. You may see at times ice buildup up on the poles however the ocean is becoming warmer and eating away the ice pack from down below. It is more obvious in the Arctic but happening in Antarctica also as glaciers feed into the sea miles under the ocean. That is why we have rising sea levels. And yes they are rising, Norfolk Virginia is close to collapse as high tides now cover the roads, same in south Florida.

In fact many scientists conclude the nuclear testing around the world has caused further cracks in the earth mantle allowing lava to move closer to the surface on land and under the oceans which is accelerating the heating of the planet.
Watch out for the zombies, most of them think nothing is happening

It came from beneath the sea!
The results are based on 4.5 million measurements made by a laser instrument mounted on NASA’s now defunct ICESat satellite between 2003 and 2008, which mapped the thickness of most floating ice shelves around Antarctica. The results:

    •    Of 54 ice shelves mapped, 20 are being melted by warm ocean currents, most of those in West Antarctica.
    •    In all cases the inland glaciers that flow down to the coast and feed into these thinning ice shelves have accelerated, draining more ice into the sea and contributing to sea-level rise.

Miami Going Under The Waves And Nobody Will Offer A Reason

Core samples, tide gauge readings, and, most recently, satellite measurements tell us that over the past century, the Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) has risen by 4 to 8 inches (10 to 20 centimeters). However, the annual rate of rise over the past 20 years has been 0.13 inches (3.2 millimeters) a year, roughly twice the average speed of the preceding 80 years.

ccslri Climate Change, Climate Change, Video, Climate Change Norfolk Va, Global Sea Level,Norfolk, Norfolk Va, Norfolk Va Sea Level, Norfolk Virginia Climate Change, Norfolk Virginia Sea Level, Norfolk Virginia Sea Level Rise, Norfolk-Virginia, Sea Level Rise,Green News

Sea level has already risen about 8 inches along Florida’s coast and is having profound effects, according to the letter. “Because Florida is so densely populated,” the letter states, “it is estimated 40 percent of the population and housing units at risk from sea level rise in the nation are here, in the state of Florida.”
Mass methane release appears to be picking up speed by the day in the Arctic as well as countless other locations around the globe.
Dane Wigington

The atmospheric methane graphic below, released yesterday, should be a stark wake up call for any that understand the ramifications.
There should be enough information here a child could understand.

Russia is not building up forces in the arctic because it is more difficult to reach, far from it, the ice is melting and they wish to be in a position to exploit the almost unlimited minerals of the area. The shipping lanes are also enlarging where passage is possible almost year round.

It would be much warmer now if not for the core of the earth heating up. The unprecedented level of volcanos going off lately emit debri into the atmosphere which acts as a cooling agent. That in effect could cause a mini ice age. It is more complicated than people realize. They claim Yellowstone could throw out enough to blacken the skies over a large part of America. But there are many super volcanos which could do the same. Laach See in Germany, the Plegian Fields in Italy, Popo in Mexico, Rainier etc.
The ice age and giving the lie to Algore that so many want could be a possibility.

Are you saying the Germans and Russians are in on it also?
AWI geographer Frank Gunther, who investigates the causes of the coastal breakdown in Eastern Siberia together with German and Russian colleagues, and who has published his findings in two scientific articles.

In these studies, he and his team evaluated high resolution air and satellite photos from 1951 to 2012 as well as measurements of the past four years. In addition, the researchers surveyed four coastal sections along the Laptev Sea (see map) and on the island of Muostakh.

I am saying the ocean rising and threatening Florida, Norfolk Virgina and many other places. I am not seeing any explanation for that here. All I see yammering and bullshit and comments that do not address the issue and try to dodge what most people can see with their own eyes.
102, 697 people relocated off Kiribati due to ..... you guessed it, rising oceans that are covering the island.
The Maldives 325,00 leaving. This is not that hard Bocephus
The Miami spring tide that floods streets which used to be secure is getting worse and worse every year whether it rains or not.Poor Moses had to grab a bug out bag.

With the numerous and extraordinary astrological events taking place in April, the oft-predicted destiny of HUGE Earth changes can no longer be denied. It is now a matter of when , not if. The simple physics that undergird the political, economic and social spheres of life now dictate that real planetary transformation is on the way.

Surely the spate of earthquakes and volcanoes has reflected the renewed will of Mother Earth to start rocking’ and rollin’. There has never been such a concentration of major earthquakes as we have already seen this year. The Ring of Fire in particular has awakened from its slumber. And there is every indication, according numerous volcanologists and seismologists around the world, that such seismic and volcanic activity will only intensify.

As the current Solar Maximum continues to unfold, such earth movements are all but guaranteed. Unfortunately, few within the scientific establishment have acknowledged the true correlations between solar activity and cataclysmic earth movements. Perhaps 2014 will remove all remaining doubt as the anticipated earth cataclysms begin in earnest. Simply put, Mother Earth will be heard, and not just paid lip service as is so often done on the annual April 22nd EARTH DAY.

Regardless of what the immediate future holds in store for the world, April 2014 is set to release a variety of astrological triggers having far-reaching ramifications and great consequences. Even an armchair astrologer can plainly see the celestial setup which will generate corresponding events everywhere across the planet, not just throughout the entire Middle East, the Ukraine, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, Thailand, Myanmar, the Central African Republic, Sudan, Libya, Chad, etc., which we see on the evening news.
Of course, the Global Economic and Financial Control Matrix is especially vulnerable to the predicted calamities throughout that and other interconnected realms. This is where the raw financial and economics physics graphically illustrate fast approaching breaking points. The blatant suppression of the price of gold is a stark example of where the market controllers can no longer maintain the false illusion of order. All the forces of the marketplace

— both real and artificially fabricated — are now working at cross purposes with such intensity that “the man behind the curtain” will be exposed once and for all."

Of course their global climate convention will propose more drastic controls, cap and trade, carbon tax etc. That is the game. Down deep they love climate change and realize there is nothing they can do about it. However like I said earlier, it doesn't mean climate change is not happening. It only takes the ability to read to see this.
If they were serious about it, cars made in Germany that get 200 MPG would be sold in America. They cannot however so how serious are they really? No they are only serious about control.

None of this however explains why islanders are having to move due to rising oceans. This is not political, arbitrary or debateable. The water is washing over their feet.
There is a certain percentage that will deny anything if it affects their portfolio, perception of political reality or the programmed neuron pathways that were developed in grammar school. I am becoming convinced that if Algore stated crack and meth were not good for you, a certain amount of Americans and posters here woiuld immediately begin smoking it.

But then, these “friends” of science are flat-out refusniks when it comes to global warming science; they deny the Earth is warming, they deny modern temperatures are spiking upward, they deny carbon dioxide is the main driver of global warming, they deny sea level rise is a problem, they deny deny deny. Perusing their website is fascinating; it could be used as a wiki set up specifically to collect all the ridiculous long-debunked anti-science denial claptrap in one place. I mean, c’mon, they even promote Christopher Monckton with a straight face!

None of this is terribly surprising, though, seeing as how they’re funded by—can you guess? Can you?—the fossil fuel industry.

North Carolina's outer banks beaten eaten away by rising seas and climate change. So much so the state has banned talking about it

154 million acres of grazing land threatened by drought on the Snake River Plain.

The Oklahoma dust bowl. Inhofe says climate change is not real, so the dust bowl may not be real either.

Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard ( – The proportion of polar bear females around the Arctic islands of Svalbard who gave birth to cubs crashed to just 10% in 2014, according to a small scientific survey of the animals. It follows a series of warm years and poor sea ice.

The Barents Sea population of a few thousand polar bears is one of the biggest in the world. But global warming is rapidly reducing the extent of sea ice on which the bears hunt seals, their main food.

New_Meat's picture

even more settled science ;-)

knukles's picture

Synopsys:  Fuck Al Gore and the Global Warming he Invented

Manthong's picture

So is this much more recent NOAA data all BS?


Computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high...
Global warming computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high with 2.1million square miles more than is usual for time of year

Government Data Show USA in Decade-Long Cooling...  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s most accurate, up-to-date temperature data confirm the United States has been cooling for at least the past decade. The NOAA temperature data are driving a stake through the heart of alarmists claiming accelerating global warming. No longer will global warming alarmists be able to hide behind thinly veiled excuses to doctor the U.S. temperature record. Now, thanks to the USCRN, the data are what the data are. Expect global warming alarmists, now and for the foreseeable future, to howl in desperation claiming the USCRN temperature data are irrelevant. Of course, to global warming alarmists, all real-world data are irrelevant

nmewn's picture

Most models are dingbats ;-)

BKbroiler's picture

what has emerged in various retail earnings reports so far in Q2 is that, drumroll, they lied.

The sarcastic memes just keep coming... "drumroll, they lied" is a new classic, +1

mjcOH1's picture

" You may see at times ice buildup up on the poles however the ocean is becoming warmer and eating away the ice pack from down below."



Warmer than normal?  That's global warming!  Colder than normal?   That's global warming too!   Wetter than warming.   Dryer than warming.    Completely guessed warming.

Any excuse serves a tyrant.  

Any data suits a ideologue

dogbreath's picture

Dublinmick =  Flakzuki

BiggerInJapan's picture

Another of those climate change mabo jambo...

$> sarcasm off

$> learn Spanish or Portuguese and move to Argentina Brazil... OMFG!


redd_green's picture

Don't forget:

- not enough fish in the ocean?  Global warming.

- Too many jellyfish in the ocean? Global warming.

- Eaten up by cancer from pesticides and factory farming? Global warming.

and it goes on and on ...

Skateboarder's picture

Breaking news: Man's imagination runs wild!

nmewn's picture doubt.

"The Miami spring tide that floods streets which used to be secure is getting worse and worse every year whether it rains or not."

Let that little glittering jewel of colossal ignorance sink in for a minute. I lived in Homestead when I was kid almost fifty years ago, its a feature, not an aberration.

AlaricBalth's picture

Homestead? Your little league football team at Homestead AFB kicked my ass when I quarterbacked our South Miami team almost 46 years ago. One kid actually tried to gouge my eye out after one of many sacks. I'm still looking for that little sucker.

nmewn's picture

It wasn't me, you can't prove it!!!

(I was too busy blaming the falling coconuts for the broken windshields instead of my

Small world ;-)

Osmium's picture

"Some scientists have suggested the Antarctic ice increase may itself be caused by global warming."



nmewn's picture

Its a treasure trove of glittering jewels isn't it?

AlaricBalth's picture

Al Gore has made about $100 million since leaving office by talking his book and getting his cronies in DC to fund his personal projects, while at the same time constantly jetting around the world leaving a carbon footprint that makes the smog in Beijing seem like a light mist.

Fourteen green-tech firms in which Gore invested received or directly benefited from more than $2.5 billion in loans, grants and tax breaks, part of President Obama’s historic push to seed a U.S. renewable-energy industry with public money.

Manthong's picture

LOL.. but I think even one Algore fart makes the smog in Beijing seem like a light mist.

junction's picture

In a 2001 Secrets Of The Dead documentary series episode, one scientist links the drop in worldwide temperature in 535 A.D. (caused by a superplinian eruption on Krakatau) to an outbreak of plague in Byzantium that severely weakened the eastern Roman Empire and changed world history. Hundreds of thousands died in and around Byzantium at the time of Justinian.   Cold and rainy weather promotes the spread of the plague.  Which do you prefer, global warming or a return of massive plague outbreaks?  Well, Mr. Gore, speak up!  


Secrets Of The Dead (S01E01) Catastrophe! PBS.15May2001

01:09:09,778 --> 01:09:15,282

01:09:15,350 --> 01:09:20,021
        WHAT HAPPENS IS        

01:09:20,088 --> 01:09:23,290
        AT TEMPERATURES        

01:09:23,358 --> 01:09:25,559

01:09:25,627 --> 01:09:29,496

01:09:29,564 --> 01:09:33,233

01:09:33,301 --> 01:09:34,434
        WITH THE FECES.        

01:09:36,138 --> 01:09:39,606

01:09:39,675 --> 01:09:41,809
          AND THERE IS         

01:09:41,877 --> 01:09:46,080

01:09:54,222 --> 01:09:55,589
          IN COLORADO          

01:09:55,657 --> 01:09:58,993

01:09:59,061 --> 01:10:01,595
     OF CLIMATE RECORDS         

01:10:01,663 --> 01:10:04,631

01:10:04,700 --> 01:10:08,368

01:10:08,436 --> 01:10:11,772

redd_green's picture


01:10:08,436 --> 01:10:11,772


what's wrong with plague?   Reduced unemployment and all.

Miffed Microbiologist's picture

After all that ill gotten gains it stands to reason he'd be pretty pissed off he couldn't get a happy ending after his massage.


DaddyO's picture

Seems to me he did just that, got bent out of shape and had a run in with the masseuse and she sued him for harassment.

I think the term was crazed sex poodle...



redd_green's picture

Not only his personal projects. Big banks and hedge funds aching to get their hands on all that carbon tax money are funding his little propaganda machine as well.

ugmug's picture

I live in Buffalo, NY and you'd think we would have more sense than to believe all the global warming fairytales..... Think again!

This place is neck deep in liberal stupidity and all the local news outlets, including the Buffalo News, preach that all snow shovels will eventually become a historical relic useful only in shoveling out the bugs in the La Brea tar pits of unshaven liberal woman.

junction's picture

The Warren Buffet owned Buffalo News where staff are barred from making personal calls even on their own cell phones, according to an earlier posting here.  What a two-faced lowlife Buffet is.

Tall Tom's picture

Another fuckin' Arizona State University Lesbian...


It is just like their former Governor and DHS Head Janet Napalitano.


The Sun bakes people's brains out there. She is fuckin' Brain Damaged.


Thren the men are asked to shave their entire bodies from the neck down for 10 weeks... for "Extra Credit"


She probably looks at the women's armpits and gets really wet in the crotch while doing it. Someone has to grade it.


They need to fire that perverted thing.

Da Yooper's picture

Let me see if I have this right




are now blaming a shitty economy ( given to us by obama & his bankers ) 


on the weather


Next you are going to tell me Al Ga-Whore invented the internet.

knukles's picture

He invented man made global warming, which he claims to have not invented, the lie of which was unmasked by the Internet, which he calims to have invented


fxrxexexdxoxmx's picture

All Gore never invented anything. But thanks to his family's ownership of Occidental Petroleum he got into the right school and blew the right fraternity brothers to get into politics. 

Redneck Hippy's picture

"many scientists conclude the nuclear testing around the world has caused further cracks in the earth mantle allowing lava to move closer to the surface on land and under the oceans which is accelerating the heating of the planet."

I saw that movie too.  Scary as shit.  But I can't remember how it ended.

CCanuck's picture

 Many scientists conlude....

Best guess science so convincing...the muppets love it.

Manthong's picture

“But I can't remember how it ended.”

The people were all enslaved by despotic elites and then it all sank to the bottom of the ocean.

Jlasoon's picture

This damn post is longer than the original text posted by Tyler.

That must be 123,567 typed words per minute. Took 2 minutes to post.

Lore's picture

Actually, that's PRECISELY what you do -- COPIOUSLY.

konputa's picture

Fuck you mick.  Neither does anyone else in Fight Club. Dick head.

Ness.'s picture

How many times a day do you c/p that same shit?  OCD.  Whatever.  Even though I don't know you, if you were sitting next to me right now!? I got a feeling I'd punch you in the throat.  

<No links provided in this post>

Edit - that post was intended for the mick

Yen Cross's picture

 U-fuk-in?  mick-dub-lin.

NoDebt's picture

OK, two comments:

1.  Typed all that into your browser in under 4 minutes, huh, mister "I've been here since almost May"?

2.  Get your own fucking blog.

AlaricBalth's picture

His own blog is from where dublinsmick reposted this from.

Don't click the link though, it will only encourage him.

NoDebt's picture

In that case I owe him an apology.  I am sorry for telling you to get your own fucking blog, dublinsmick.

I amend my second comment with the following:  stop posting your fucking blog on somebody else's blog.

Dublinmick's picture

"Get your own fucking blog."


I have one asshole, this fight club, put on your chin strap