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The Polar Vortex Is Back... In The Middle Of July
While every single economist and "straight to CNBC" pundit was quick to blast the atrocious economic performance in Q1 as solely due to the "harsh weather", what has emerged in various retail earnings reports so far in Q2 is that, drumroll, they lied. In fact, as one after another "stunned" retailer admits, the depressed spending observed during Q1 continued, if not deteriorated even further, in the second quarter. Which means only one thing, the same thing we said back in January: as a result of Obamacare, the declining credit impulse resulting from the Fed's tapering, and a ongoing contraction in global trade as the world slides back into recession, the US economy is on the verge of stalling and may well enter into a tailspin if one or more exogenous events take place in a centrally-planned world that is priced to perfection.
To be sure, one of the potential scapegoats we highlighted previously was the replacement of the polar vortex with what we dubbed the "solar vortex", ala El Nino, which as we further reported, has already been blamed in advance by the Bank of Japan for a spending collapse set to take place in the second half of 2014, the year when the Japanese economy now almost certainly re-enters recession.
But just to make sure that the abysmal Q1 GDP which has now spilled over into Q2 and will likely see the US economy growing in the mid-2% range, has a sufficiently broad "excuse" in the third quarter of the year, here comes - in the middle of July - the polar vortex 2.0. As WaPo reports, "However you choose to refer to the looming weather pattern, unseasonably chilly air is headed for parts of the northern and northeastern U.S at the height of summer early next week."
Bearing a haunting resemblance to January’s brutally cold weather pattern, a deep pool of cool air from the Gulf of Alaska will plunge into the Great Lakes early next week and then ooze towards the East Coast.
The atmospheric impact will not be nearly as dramatic, but still temperatures are forecast to be roughly 10 to as much as 30 degrees below average.
This means that in parts of the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest getting dealt the chilliest air, highs in this region could well get stuck in the 50s and 60s – especially where there is considerable cloud cover.
And focusing on next week specifically, "Wednesday morning’s lows may drop into the 40s over a large part of the central U.S."
Highs may struggle to reach 80 in D.C. next Tuesday and Wednesday with widespread lows in the 50s (even 40s in the mountains).
More from WaPo:
What’s behind this unusual winter weather pattern primed for the dog days of summer? A lot of it is simply chance (randomness), but Weather Underground’s meteorologist Jeff Masters says Japan’s typhoon Neoguri is playing a role in the pattern’s evolving configuration:
….the large and powerful nature of this storm has set in motion a chain-reaction set of events that will dramatically alter the path of the jet stream and affect weather patterns across the entire Northern Hemisphere next week. Neoguri will cause an acceleration of the North Pacific jet stream, causing a large amount of warm, moist tropical air to push over the North Pacific. This will amplify a trough low pressure over Alaska, causing a ripple effect in the jet stream over western North America, where a strong ridge of high pressure will develop, and over the Midwestern U.S., where a strong trough of low pressure will form.
What amazes me most about the pattern is not so much the forecast temperatures, but the uncanny similarities in the weather patterns over North America seen in both the heart of winter and heart of summer. All of the same features (refer to the map at the top of this post) apparent in January are on the map in mid-July: low pressure over the Aleutians (blue shading), a large hot ridge (yellow and red shading) over the western U.S., the huge cold low or vortex over the Great Lakes (blue and green shading), and then the ridge over northeast Canada (yellow and red shading).
It’s not at all clear what this means or what, if anything, it portends. Weather patterns cycling through a certain circulation regime can repeat (and we’ve seen this pattern multiple times since November-December), but with El Nino forecast to develop, the global configuration of weather systems is likely to change.
So the question is: just how profound of an adverse impact on Q3 GDP (because remember: weather anomalies are never additive to GDP; only wars can do that in a Keynesian world) will the second, summertime coming of polar vortex have on the US economy? Judging by the laughable farce that the economic profession has devolved to, desperately seeking to "explain away" any deviation from a priced to perfection growth rate, if only that of the Fed's balance sheet, not to mention why its forecasts are always wrong we are likely to find out very soon.
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Go back to Ireland and butt-fuck your mates, you're a clueless consumer of scientific bullshit artfully arranged to get more grant funding.
"Go back to Ireland and butt-fuck your mates, you're a clueless consumer of scientific bullshit artfully arranged to get more grant funding. "
That is a hell of a thing for you to say to me.
You have got to be kidding me, the link was deleted .............
https://dublinsmick.wordpress.com/2014/07/03/climate-change-is-one-of-th...
Gee...I wonder why....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anwy2MPT5RE
No it wasn't deleted, on refresh, must have been the stasi
global warminggggg...clap clap clap clap clap....globallllll warrrrmmmmmiiinnggg....clap clap clap clap clap.
save the penguins!!!!!
We're all gona die from drowning due to global warming clap clap clap clap clap.
Raise the taxes. Reign in business. We're all gona fucking drowwwwnnnn from melting ice caps.
Geoengineering
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geoengineering
Climate engineering
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_engineering
~//~
lies lies lies yeah
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTg7gIBvhcE (3:13)
that's why they switched the name from global warming to climate change so either way it goes they win. it's called hedging, which we at zh are against in all forms.
I hate to tell these stupid fucks, but global warming started 15,000 to 20,000 years ago.
Roll with it bitchez!
Now, bring that polar vortex further South we don't mind.
Hell yeah! My A/C bill has been peaked these past few months!
They found a bunch of dinosaur tracks in Alaska.
http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140710/dinosaur-tracks-denali-sh...
This is actually not good news
I do recall the last time a summer here in the Northeast was this cool, Hurricanes Andrew (FL, AR) and Bob (Carolinas, New England) happened.
hurricanes are good for the economy [/sarc]
Good for Animal Planet & Discovery Channel ratings Buzz. ® Idiocracy 1.5 ©
Fortunately, global warming is still at work at Yellowstone <sarc>
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/hot-spot-yellowstone-road-melts-closi...
"The ever-changing thermal geology of Yellowstone National Park has created a hot spot that melted an asphalt road and closed access to popular geysers and other attractions at the height of tourist season, officials said Thursday."
That is because it is cooling, it is all so simple, Algore was just funning us. In fact trotting him out to explain a very complicated process is one of the finest bait and switches the Zoman empire has ever put across.
What does it mean????
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OQSNhk5ICTI
I am going up with you on that one.
1. Global warming causes the ocean to rise
2. Global cooling causes the oceans to rise
This is an I. Q. test
Answer: The Chicago Messiah will lower the level of the seas.
HE ALREADY SAID HE WAS GONNA DO THAT
And voila. My coastal villa is still high and dry.
Oh and your disturbance in the farce:
Darth Soros determined that the last "it was the weather" schtick worked like a charm...so he decided to make it happen (Sith are funny that way) in July.
Does anyone here besides GOLDILOCKS know about geoengineering?
http://www.zengardner.com/attention-californians-geoengineering-concerned/
Follow the link to Dane Wigington's site. The Mt. Shasta folks have taken up the issue to their county BoS.
If you do not understand that "weather control" has financial aspects up the WAZOO, look up and watch "WHY IN THE WORLD ARE THEY SPRAYING".
I live in CA, subjected to this "geoengineering" (thank you, CoFR, for the euphemism) for many years.
WAKE UP!!
LOL...chemtrails. Here's your real problem:
Warming due to receding ice age causes global warming.
Global warming makes your pot plants grow 4X the normal rate.
You smoke 4X the dubage.
Then you look up and see vapor airplane trails and think that someone is spraying stuff at 50,000 feet.
Mystery solved.
@BobTheSlob 21:09 YESSIR! Trolling right along....
LOL...BobTheSlobTroll. Dissing Chemtrail boobs since 2014.
Yeah I understand that Alananda but I can't put too much information in one post without withering attack. :)
who are you, the standin troll for Flakzuki
Explaining geo-engineering to folks who don't understand weather is like explaining the federal reserve to statists. Sure it is a complicated subject with a lot of variables to pin down, but with some basic observation it becomes a little easier. Also many people would rather ignore something they don't understand and I don't expect this site to be much different except I consider many of you to be my spiritual elders. I am not a finance guy but more of a geo-political type. One thing I do know is that the weather has been insane the last several years, I believe the fedgov is fucking with it to see how they can control it. What this article talks about might be a symptom of attempted oligarch control over basic weather systems or it might not. Yet I am suspicious.
If the fedgov could control the weather, would they?
Do a search for "airforce weather as a force multiplier"
ps this is my first post. so hello friends, neighbors and trolls!
and thanks Alananda for mentioning the taboo word.
Most welcome, Alvin -- good to have a rational reply for once. Check out www.geoengineeringwatch.org for one of the best portals to one of the deepest rabbit holes I myself have encountered in the past several years! On the web, you can also find a wonderfully informative seminar hosted by the Council of Foreign Relations ("Unilateral Geoengineering") that will assist you in warding off the trolly comments you might receive as you do your research.
Here's where the deepest rabbit hole is: Betwix your ears.
Actually, the weather in the SE has been MASSIVELY TAME for the past 10 years. In fact, the early 2000s we saw more hurricanes in a year than we've seen in the last decade. Weather is a local thing. Go analyze some chem trails and get back with us later. If we can put a fucking man on the moon, assuredly we can analyze chem trails.
"who are you, the standin troll for Flakzuki"
No grasshopper, I am here to help you
Lets start with human 101
http://www.ratical.org/many_worlds/6Nations/6nations1.html#part1a
Dublinmick...the man who wrote too much...always a tsunami of text with every effing post.
BobTheSlob
Why so vemhent, I did not claim to be God's chosen poeople?
You've claimed nothing! Perhaps that's the problem!
As the old sayings says, "Only 1/10th of the iceberg is above water."
And only 1/10 of the Hindenberg was below flames. Go figure.
Excuse me Bob? My burp was so fucking LOUD the walls went " Yellowstone".
Anyways, I pulled this 10 guage Mossberg out of my shed, to recondition...
It's all thermodynamics on a global scale, but the underlying physics doesn't change:
When you add energy to the system (as the capture of solar radiation does, due to increased CO2 and Methane levels), you get more perturbation, i.e. volatility, before the next equilibrium is reached. IOW, expect more extremes in temperatures and precipitation on a local/regional level.
Of course you'll get all kinds of faux-statistics from numb-nuts who barely made it through high school math, as they cherry-pick this or that data point, in an attempt to support their preset position against global warming.
Unpopular but totally effective solution: Kill off 5 billion humanoids.
Unpopular but totally effective solution: Kill off 5 billion humanoids.
The funny part Kirk, is that is precisely the only realistic "solution" to the non-problem. And the leftists LOVE IT! Why wouldn't they? They loved Germany in 1939, Soviet Union in 1917, and Mao's decade long extermination. They love abortion and anything else that kills life on this planet.
"The funny part Kirk, is that is precisely the only realistic "solution" to the non-problem. And the leftists LOVE IT! Why wouldn't they? They loved Germany in 1939, Soviet Union in 1917, and Mao's decade long extermination. They love abortion and anything else that kills life on this planet."
Bob the slob I was wrong about you. You are redeemable with some training.
Preset position...preset position. Oh, Oh the science is in right? So therefore if your skeptical, gosh even though there's no reason to be, you have a preset position. Got it.
"Unpopular but totally effective solution: Kill off 5 billion humanoids". OK, you first. We're right behind you. Ready set go...
Sorry if I omitted the 'sarc' tag. I thought it was obvious. But seriously, IF one were to pursue this god/devil-like avenue, then Darwinistic interests (evolution of the species) suggests that the top of the food-chain would survive, with the trolls and 'Neanderthals' (IQ<100) getting whacked first. IF that course were taken, that is.
In all seriousness... even though I'm probably in the Top 5%, I may not be certain of my chances, but tend to be bullish about them. And if I do snuff it (because the sum of my material and intellectual assets may be deemed inadequate/unworthy), oh well, I've had a good long run. Hope to get 'reincarnated' in some god's/starship captain's Holodeck. Cheers.
This article sure brought out the troops! Or the anti-folks. Best I can recommend for those who would like to know. Do your own research and watch the skies overhead. Make up your own mind. Take action, if you can. The folks around and about Mt. Shasta, inundated by chemtrailing, are! (See geoengineeringwatch.org).
http://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/
Recommendation to gain credibility:
Chem trails happen EVERY FUCKING DAY EVERYWHERE.
Go take a sample. Rent John travolta's jet if you must. Once it is analyzed, publish the details. Otherwise you just sound like a loon.
@BobTheSlob 21:55
I congratulate you on your endurance on this thread, BTS. I realize the link below may seem repetitious to you, you so knowledgeable and assured. Perhaps others will follow the link to learn more than your trolly comments offer.
In fact, you do not assert a fact anywhere near actual experience. "Chem trails happen EVERY FUCKING DAY EVERYWHERE." They do not. Even those that have the resources to pollute the upper atmosphere and do WHATEVER do not have the need, or capability, to make "chem trails happen every fucking day everywhere". They do it often enough, though, to cause those of us who have become aware great concern.
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2014/07/08/american-people-targeted-by-weap...
They haven't occured in western WA in the last 5 or 6 days. Same amount of planes, no trails. We didn't have trails when I was a kid. So aside from the possible military and corporate control and power motive, what is different?
A cold.front.in the.summer makes for.great spec fishing off the beach!
This is great news.
And there we have it! Precedent! If it's an old fisherman's tale it's real wisdom!
Best explanation I have seen. .......... comments
http://dublinsmickdotcom.wordpress.com/2014/04/14/mother-shipton-when-th...
Here's the best explanation:
It's called WEATHER!
Not really a "Polar Vortex" (gotta love it when the MSM locks into a "buzzword"!)...more like a cold, deep low pressure area.
Where is Ms. Flakmeister?
god forbid is there more than one globull warming chemtrail loonies that frequent this spot?
Flak is selling igloos in the Northern Hemisphere.
Researcher ‘has a problem’ with attributing West Antarctic Ice Sheet ‘collapse’ to human activity | Watts Up With That?
Can we get a partial refund from Al Gore?!
People we have a Sayanim problem here much more serious than you think. LOL
Thanks for the heads up. I am heading to Alaska to open a surf shop.
Our star rules our weather. Next biggest influencers are volcanos but the daily influence is still our Sun. The sun has cycles so we have weather cycles. That's it.
this is the weather pattern which brings zero humidity strong winds and high temperatures, and wildfires to SoCal. while the people in the upper midwest might be flummozed that the blooms have dropped off their tomatoes, several million folks will be in harms way in LA. such an event could be bigger than any earthquake. god i hope not
From Minnesota - garden is coming along fine - we have 100 tomato plants. I'm delighted by this July polar vortex as we haven't used AC yet.
'First off, I DID apologize for that comment. It was uncalled-for and factually incorrect.
Second, you don't want a piece of me. I could beat you with body shots alone. I don't even need to touch your pretty face."
Say what?
Bad for NG prices :(
It is very obvious what this means....
Industrial production is directly corrolated with electricity production.....
This means negative electricity production which means less industrial production which means 3 quarters of negative GDP which means recession in about 3 years when they decide it was.....
Of course all caused by weather, non of it by the fact that the working poor can only afford gasoline and turkey hotdogs..........
Wow, most sock-puppet filled thread EVAR!!!!!1!1!11!1! Average account age per post was less than six months.
Great bio N/A
I usually read alot and say little...
Dammit, Global Warming you are killing the planet. Oops, I mean climate change. And for all you Republicans, weather is not climate!
Sound familiar. I do not know how these evangelical AGW supporters live with themselves. It is nothing but a religion to them. In a world of moral relativism, the environment has become their religion.
And for you slow-witted ZH'ers or those who have taken too liberally of libations this evening, the first sentence was meant to be satire.
End the Fed!!!
"Extremism in defense of liberty is no vice."
Declare Lurch, personna non grata
I wonder if Polar Vortex II is the sister of a forecast heatwave in Britain over the next two weeks:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/487186/British-weather-heatwave-Bri...
HAARP?