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Empire Fed Soars To 4-Year Highs But Outlook Collapses Most In 3 Years To 13-Month Lows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The exuberant reaction in stocks at the Empire Fed's 3rd beat in a row soaring to its highest since April 2010 is perhaps missing a much more critical point - looking forward, survey respondents are their least positive about future business conditions in 13 months. This is the biggest MoM drop in over 3 years with a big drop in new orders expected along with less employees (the worst in 2014) and notably lower capex.

 

 

But then there's this - the future...

 

with the employment outlook worst in 2014

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:45 | 4958546 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Paging Cognative Dissonance, please pick up the nearest white phone...

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:47 | 4958548 PlusTic
PlusTic's picture

bad hard data, but no worries the fake survey data will always beat expectations...endless farce!

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:47 | 4958550 youngman
youngman's picture

They all must have sold thier condo in NYC to some Chinese...so of course they are happy....

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:49 | 4958553 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

I am convinced the DOW will go to 20k by August 2015.  

On sheer stupidity alone.

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:55 | 4958578 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Why so conservative on your outlook?

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:49 | 4958557 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Federal tax revenues continue to run at a record pace (in inflation-adjusted dollars) in fiscal 2014, as the federal government’s total receipts for the fiscal year closed June at an unprecedented **$2,258,565,000,000 **according to the Monthly Treasury Statement.

http://fms.treas.gov/mts/mts0614.pdf

So basically the Parasite which is the US government is sucking the life blood right out of the economy...Awesome, we need 8 more years of the same people for sure.

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:55 | 4958577 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

But still ran a $366,000,000,000 deficit -

 

 

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:49 | 4958559 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Long lies.

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:50 | 4958561 madbraz
madbraz's picture

A "survey" conducted by the NY FED...enough said

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 09:31 | 4958686 I am more equal...
I am more equal than others's picture

 

 

Sir vey to Oi vey

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:50 | 4958562 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

weeee.....make the numbers bigger uncle empire

 

weeeeeee!!!

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:53 | 4958573 Gief Gold Plox
Gief Gold Plox's picture

To Infinity ... and beyond!

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:52 | 4958567 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Meh. Who cares about outlook? All I see are sunny skies and skittle shitting unicorns thanks to the all powerful BernakenYellenStein. Taste the rainbow bitchez!

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:55 | 4958584 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

you forgot a dick in every pussy...

a ebt card for every fuckin BODY that breathes...

moar free shit and disability for fucking everyone that chooses....

and shit-licking dumbed down asinine web sites that dumb down the already dumbed down....

ZH excluded....and a few others (roll credits)

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 08:56 | 4958585 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

The economic recovery that the media and talking heads have been bantering around does not exist and is just a myth. A manipulated stock market distorted by recent economic policy hides and mask the real truth, in many ways it is ground zero in the war to convince us all is well.

The American people and Main Street will tell you they are far from convinced that it is smooth sailing ahead. Huge weakness in the economy has been shown by numbers that barely get by even after record amounts of stimulus. Fact is if QE or the massive government deficit spending that props up our economy is removed it will fold like a cheap umbrella.

Recent changes in how the GDP is figured , which boosted growth thus reducing the debt to growth ratio, and attempts to spin poor numbers regarding employment have been met with skepticism. More on this subject in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/10/myth-of-economic-recovery.html

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 09:05 | 4958615 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

If it weren't for artificial credit creation, ZIRP, and cheap money our investments wouldn't be held hostage by highly leveraged players who follow these inane and meaningless government statistics...

Tue, 07/15/2014 - 09:20 | 4958659 SoDamnMad
SoDamnMad's picture

I wonder if the Empire Survey queried anyone other than those in lower Manhattan. They are already anticipating their year-end-bonuses/

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