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Cows Versus Bulls

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In yet another example of central planners not comprehending the unintended consequences of their actions, Glenn Stevens - head of the Reserve Bank of Australia - commented last night on the curious lack of animal spirits holding back the global economic recovery. As Bloomberg's Richard Breslow notes though, of course, his argument is disingenuous at best since it is the actions (and consequences) of central banks crowding out other market participants and creating a culture of investors who moo (herd-like along with their yield-chasing, buyback purchasing, capex cutting peers) rather than roar... Central banks have turned investors from bulls to cows...

 

Glenn Stevens speech last night wasn’t the important monetary policy marker that it had been flagged to be, yet it was still telling in a "thou doth protest too much" fashion, Bloomberg’s Richard Breslow writes.

Stevens commented on what he thinks is a curious lack of animal spirits holding back global economic recovery. He focused on the limits to monetary policy and why the world needs entrepreneurial spirit to take hold.

Of course, Breslow blasts, his argument is disingenuous at best, especially when saying there are limits to monetary policy when rates are at/near zero.

Central Banks remain cautious of the fragile global economy; the monetary policy transmission mechanism isn’t working; and the multiplier is near zero while at the same time there is neither capacity nor will for fiscal action.

The absence of animal spirits isn’t surprising - it is a direct result of activist central bankers and sovereign wealth funds crowding out other market participants and creating a culture of investors who moo rather than roar

He also mentioned how eerily calm markets are in face of all the geo-political uncertainty, but it’s really just the same side of the coin, markets are relying on activist central banks who are in control:

Trouble/Turmoil... Ease... QE... Rinse and Repeat

*  *  *

And ever it shall be.. .and ever more cow-like investors will become (zombie cows perhaps).

 

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Tue, 07/22/2014 - 22:25 | 4991388 ramacers
ramacers's picture

ready the blade w/intrepitude.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 00:28 | 4991690 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

Steak Bernanke without the Yellen reduction sauce please. 

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 08:17 | 4992184 Muddy1
Muddy1's picture

for those of you without animal husbandry / animal scientist experience, let me explain, bulls (central bankers and sovereign's) screw cows (retail investors)

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 22:34 | 4991423 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Thank God for central planning.  This would be a disaster without it.  Staving off the inevitable collapse was pretty cool, but now we're hitting new all-time-highs in the market almost daily.  Doesn't get any better than this.

I haven't written Ben Bernanke a thank-you note in a while.  I think I'll send him another one tomorrow.  I'll CC Janet Yellen, too.

 

 

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 23:11 | 4991544 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

That's a good reminder, thanks.  It's been a while since I've sent them a note thanking them for saving the world and guaranteeing permanently rising markets.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 04:02 | 4991886 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

Bernanke put all prior Fed chairs to shame.

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 22:45 | 4991454 Fuku Ben
Tue, 07/22/2014 - 22:46 | 4991459 edifice
edifice's picture

Look, here's all you need to know: As long as the Fed pumps money into the market, stocks will go up. This is why DOW *will* hit 20k, before the collapse. All you have to do is buy, nothing else.

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 22:50 | 4991473 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Why in the fuck would anybody risk capital on a new idea that may or may not provide a lucrative return when the fed is practically guaranteeing a double digit return for doing nothing but BTFD?

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 04:00 | 4991884 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

And WTF is anyone paying to have their money managed? Basically a government fucking guarantee in the markets. Seems crazy to pay for management.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 07:15 | 4992040 o2sd
o2sd's picture

^this.

I guess some saps might think that a fund manager will be able to pull out before he cums.

 

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 23:07 | 4991526 Flagit
Flagit's picture

What ever happened to the Silver Bears with their cute lil' vids.

Hibernation till the sky falls?

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 00:38 | 4991706 Elvis the Pelvis
Elvis the Pelvis's picture

Now that silver shit the bed, their hiding their faces in shame.  Bitchez.

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 23:27 | 4991577 IndianaJohn
IndianaJohn's picture

Not much of a metaphor there with the Bull and the Cow. I'm in the Yearling's pasture now with Holstein  hefiers. You ought to see those girls run and kick-up.

Tue, 07/22/2014 - 23:37 | 4991601 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  The usdx is gaining, and high yielding short term (2 year) bonds are being sold.

  I think traders are starting to unwind the carry. The strong usd, should imply much higher levels in usd/jpy.

  It looks like(asian) traders are covering their short yen trades, which offsets usd strength. (essentially buying yen to square up)

   I'm not calling tops here. Just keep your eyes open or a giant "Tick" might jump on ya... ;-)

 Here's the usdx 5 hour chart.  http://i.imgur.com/gb8K1ah.png

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 00:27 | 4991685 Yamaha
Yamaha's picture

Listened to a JP Morgan Economist (aka clueless Jamie friend) talk about how rates are set to go up any time soon using the word "obviously" ....

When this SHTF rates on use treasuries could fall to negative in the panic to "safety" - and once again Kyle Bass will make a killing.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 00:37 | 4991704 Leveraged Algorithm
Leveraged Algorithm's picture

Yes - Bass will and watch the Trillions in derivatives explode as mention here on ZH. I was also in meeting all day with a large bank and true to form they did not discuss any potential risks in the market - it was described as 5-6th inning of the game for this market.

Nobody seems to even consider the central banks piling into equity markets - not just bonds. I am long ropes and pitchforks.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 03:22 | 4991850 catch edge ghost
catch edge ghost's picture

Once upon a time, the Humans were predators. Now they're parasites. Hopefully the Spacebrothers will come and purify the planet. Amen.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 10:07 | 4992607 edifice
edifice's picture

We would be defenseless against any species that could reach the edge of the spiral arm where we are located. Think about what is involved to travel that distance... Technologies we have only fantasized about in Star Trek.

What will we do? Shoot at them with crude nukes and projectile weapons? Heh heh heh...

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 03:50 | 4991879 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

The world is one large communist cesspool where we get the benefits but nobody wants to pay the bills.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 07:02 | 4992015 doctor10
doctor10's picture

meh....the 0.1% get the mine-we get the shaft

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 04:53 | 4991920 Rodders75
Rodders75's picture

WTF

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 05:35 | 4991936 planet psyop
planet psyop's picture

hang in there , everybody , just for the hell of it ...

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 07:05 | 4992020 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

This article was the equivalent of a decent comment.  But from there, an article?  Not much meat here.  Just stating a rather limited and already-known idea?

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 07:06 | 4992021 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

Dup.

Wed, 07/23/2014 - 08:10 | 4992162 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Sheeple!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!