"London Fix" Gold Rigging By Bullion Bank Exposed In Class Action Lawsuit: The Complete Charts

Tyler Durden's picture

Some interesting news crossed the tape late afternoon yesterday when it was reported that the silver bullion banks (Deutsche Bank, Bank of Nova Scotia and HSBC) were sued for manipulating the silver fix in a class-action lawsuit. However, a closer look reveals that the plaintff in the lawsuit, J. Scott Nicholson, has a recurring bone to pick with the banks as this is certainly not his first lawsuit alleging precious metals rigging, and as such we are convinced it will be tossed out shortly, along with every other lawsuit alleging a manipulated precious metals market since discovery could lead to some very unpleasant revelations about the primary source of gold and silver rigging: the central banks themselves, alongside the BIS.

Instead, we uncovered something that was missed several few weeks earlier: a far more informative and detailed class action lawsuit filed by Edward Derksen on July 9, 2014 against the London gold fix member banks: Bank of Nova Scotia, Barclays, Deutsche, HSBC and SocGen (profiled here in From Rothschild To Koch Industries: Meet The People Who "Fix" The Price Of Gold).

Recall from "How Gold Price Is Manipulated During The "London Fix"" that this was one of the first conspiracy theories about gold manipulation to end with a bank, and following the official revelation (as opposed to merely on the pages of fringe blogs) that over 100 years the price of gold was consistently manipulated during the London fix (and during every other period as well but that is a revelation for a different time) the very process of the Gold and Silver Fix itself was finally ended (only to be replaced with a comparable process run by the very same people who manipulated gold and silver from Rothschild's London office on St. Swithin’s Lane for decades.

The short and sweet summary of the lawsuit:

"Plaintiff alleges that from approximately January 1, 2004 to the present, Defendants manipulate the prices of gold and gold derivatives contracts on their own and combined, conspired, and agreed with one another and unnamed co-conspirators to manipulate the prices of gold and gold derivatives contracts. This agreement was intended to permit each Defendant individually and all Defendants collectively to reap profits from their foreknowledge of price movements in the gold market."

Nothing new there, but while the allegations in the lawsuit are well-known to frequent (and all other) readers of Zero Hedge, we recommend reading the full filing as it explains in clear English just what the fixing process worked.

Perhaps what is more interesting are the abnormalities in the price of gold as highlighted by Derksen, which clearly show the critical role the daily fix has in the manipulation of the price of gold, both in a downward and upward direction: whichever suits the London Fix member banks.

Here are some of the highlights:

The following chart of average intraday gold price shows the same strong relationship between the physical gold and the COMEX gold futures markets.

Anomalous price movements during the fixing window that are highly suggestive of manipulation - like those on June 28, 2012 - can be witnessed on numerous days, where prices near the 3 p.m. London Fix spike, either upward or downward, and then retreat in the opposite direction as the price is “fixed”. Five trading days are analyzed below as illustrative of the overall trend during the Class Period. On February 1, 2013, there was a dramatic drop in price from nearly $1678 to below $1665, contemporaneous with the beginning of the London Fix. The price began recovering during the London Fix and continued  afterwards. This movement around the fixing window is highly anomalous and suggestive of manipulation because it tends to show that the market ultimately discounted to some degree the pricing information that occurred during the London Fix.

On January 4, 2012, there was anomalous price movement before the beginning of the PM Fix call, this time in an upward direction. The gold price rose from below $1599 to more than $1614 within the half hour before the beginning of the call, only to surrender most of these gains within the half hour following the call. This movement around the fixing window (steep rise just before the call, with a clear reversal that begins at the very beginning of the call) is highly anomalous and suggestive of manipulation because it tends to show that the market ultimately discounted to some degree the pricing information that occurred during the London Fix.

On May 21, 2013, the gold price declined significantly in the 25 minutes prior to the call only to recovery briskly once the call ended. This movement around the fixing window is highly anomalous and suggestive of manipulation because it tends to show that the market ultimately discounted to some degree the pricing information that occurred during the Fix

The punchline:

If the five previous examples of anomalous volatility around the London Fix mere statistical outliers and not evidence of manipulation, then it would be expected that this volatility would disappear when looking at an average of all the trading days during the class period. To the contrary, the price manipulation actually becomes clearer when viewed over the past fifteen years. The chart below shows the change in physical gold prices if each trading day for the period from 1998 through 2013 were averaged together. The dramatic changes in price followed by swift reversals at the time of the AM and PM London Fix in this chart demonstrate that the phenomenon is not coincidental statistical noise occurring on only a few cherry-picked dates, but rather is a clear trend that cannot be explained by chance.

And the logical continuation:

The table below illustrates that price moves of statistically anomalous size during the London Fix occurred with great frequency. If these London Fix price moves were the result of natural market forces, it would be expected that those price moves would be either maintained or reversed with the same statistical regularity as any other price move observed during the trading day. If it were manipulation that caused the London Fix price moves, these moves would
be reversed with greater frequency than expected because the manipulators must reverse their trade in order to book a profit and because legitimate market factors would ultimately cause some degree of discounting of the pricing information from the London Fix. Sure enough, statistically anomalous price reversals after the London Fix, of the price changes during the London Fix, occurred with enough regularity to indicate manipulative activity.


The chart below demonstrates from 1998-2013 the rate of “forecast error” – a square of the difference between predicted market moves based on econometrics and the market’s actual moves. These forecast errors hit a massive peak during the brief period that is encompassed by the 3 p.m. London Fix. Appendix B contains charts of forecast errors broken down by year. This is contrary to what should occur in a market free of manipulation.

Ok, gold was manipulated. But it must have been manipulated up as well as down, so in effect the two would offset each other right?


Although the London Fix was associated with both manipulative and abnormal increases and decreases in gold prices, the London Fix appears, in the aggregate, to have had a net negative effect overall on the price of gold throughout the Class Period. This can be demonstrated by examining the price of gold during the part of the trading day closest to the London Fixes. Gold is traded 24 hours a day. The trading day for gold can be broken up into three equal eight-hour periods, the “Fixing Period” from 8:00-16:00 London Time in which both the AM and PM London Fixes occur, the “Pre-Fix Period” from 0:00-8:00 and the “Post Fix Period” from 16:00-24:00 London time. If the volatility surrounding the London Fix was purely random and not the result of manipulation, there would be no significant difference over time between the period containing the London Fixes (8:00-16:00) and the Pre-Fix and Post-Fix periods.

However, as the chart below demonstrates, gold prices during the Fixing Period (8:00-16:00) moved consistently lower over time when compared to price activity during Pre-Fix and Post-Fix portions of the trading day. This trading pattern is consistent with manipulation and cannot be explained by random variation.

Why do it?

As shown above, the manipulation detailed herein both artificially inflated and artificially suppressed the price of gold, injuring both long and short holders of gold futures and options contracts. To the extent the aggregate trend has been to suppress prices,this has resulted in (as of the last available “This Month in Gold Futures Market” Report from the CFTC44) an extraordinarily positive result for Commercial Traders in gold futures contracts (who held between 352,500 and 381,200 short futures contracts, as opposed to merely 140,900 to 145,100 long futures contracts in the same period. This heavy weight toward shorting gold futures contracts means a net drop in gold prices would be extremely lucrative for commercial traders. “Commercial” Traders are entities, such as Defendants, that use futures or options for hedging purposes, as opposed to “non-commercial” entities that do not own the underlying asset or its financial equivalent and hold only derivatives contracts.

Most importantly, it is no longer just some tinfoil goldbug making manipulation allegations: the very head of Germany's BaFIN regulator agrees:

Plaintiff did not discover, and could not have reasonably discovered through the exercise of reasonable diligence, the wrongdoing discussed in this complaint, until, at the very earliest, January 2014, when Defendant DB withdrew from the fixing after interviews with Bafin, Germany’s financial regulator.


Before the DB departure was announced and Bafin’s president revealed the seriousness of the allegations, Plaintiff could not have stated facts plausibly stating the conspiracy to manipulate the price of gold and gold derivatives.


The activity Defendants undertook was of a self-concealing nature. The London Fix teleconference is not publicly-accessible. The information Defendants received from their clients about the demand for purchases and sales of gold before and during the teleconference were not publicly-accessible. Without these pieces of information, Plaintiff would not be able to discern market dislocation or the existence of spoof trades.

In summary, the lawsuit's conclusions are as follows:

The price activity surrounding the London Fixes is indicative of manipulation and not natural market forces for the following reasons:

a. Around the period of the London Fix calls, gold prices experience anomalous volatility in price.

b. This volatility is present not on isolated trading days but manifests even more clearly when averaged across years of trade data.

c. The anomalous price changes during the call were not maintained afterwards, but in fact were in some part reversed with an unusual frequency and to an
anomalous degree.

d. The anomalous price moves occurred during peaks in trading volume, when the market should be at its most efficient.

e. The pricing anomalies strengthened in intensity over time, demonstrating that they are not an inevitable result of an innocent fixing process.

f. There were upward and downward manipulations over a period of years, price activity surrounding the London Fix periods had a net negative effect on gold
prices in comparison to other periods. This tends to indicate that artificial forces were acting on the market during those periods.

g. Trading activity during immediately after the beginning of the London Fix was highly predictive of activity during the rest of the call, and of the final London Fix price, suggesting that manipulative traders were moving the prices of gold based on information gleaned for the London Fix calls.

h. The price activity surrounding the London Fixes is not typical of the price activity one would expect to attend a regularly scheduled announcement of
news material to the gold market.

i. The anomalous price activity in the gold market is not mirrored by other precious metals or broader market indices, further eliminating innocent
explanations and supporting a conclusion that manipulation occurred.

There is much more in the full lawsuit which can be read in its entirety below. The complete chart data is showin in Appendix A and B.

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Seasmoke's picture

This is the evil work of the motherfucking Tribe. 

max2205's picture

He got Corizined.....HFT'd....and QE'd

knukles's picture

Talking about gold.... are things heating up in Gaza again?
More rocket launches...

Yeah yeah yeah, I know.  I'm just the messenger, here.


TheReplacement's picture

Why do I care what happens in Gaza?  What interest of mine is there?

nmewn's picture

Kinda of where I'm at.

I'm more interested in the SW and how many have died by the hand of "governments policy" there.

But oh look, moar squrriels!!! ;-)

Elvis the Pelvis's picture

There's no hope for gold.  The name of the game is deflation.  Bitchez.

GetZeeGold's picture



This just in......Germany still doesn't have it's gold.....and Fort Knox has been declared a haz-mat zone.

JohnnyBriefcase's picture

Didn't germany recently decide that they were totally cool with not getting their gold back?

7.62x54r's picture

Merkel knows the gold has been sold out from under Germany.

She is just putting on a happy face so they can pretend the gold is still there. It's either that, or have the Bundeswehr train a nailgun brigade.

Pinto Currency's picture



The discussion about the Gold Fixing is a distraction.

The central issue is that they are not trading gold but 100:1 paper leverage vs gold - gold from nothing.

The markets are following the NY and London prices despite the fact that it is virtual gold.

Shanghai, Singapore, Moscow, Dubai are probably going to become the real phsycial gold price reference points of the future.

Bendromeda Strain's picture

There's no hope for spam. The name of the game is disdain. TROLLz

hobopants's picture


Can you please tell our government to adopt that line of thinking? Thanks.

umdesch4's picture

Your tax dollars hard at work.

Xandrino's picture

your tax dollars at work


ah Umdesch4 beat me to it...Jinx!

ghostofgo's picture

You don't mind paying for evil?

logicalman's picture

I bet a lot of people hadn't even heard of Franz Joseph, but the results of his death were noticable to a very large number of people shortly afterwards.

Hard to know what to ignore, even if all you care about is yourself.

TheSecondLaw's picture

Good point.   Very myopic to go "well I've got no interests there so it won't affect me".

PiratePiggy's picture

He got walrus gumboot ?  ...He got joo-joo eyeball?  and He got Ono sideboard?


philipat's picture

"The Fix" was very appropriately named but is just a small part of the process of Gold price manipulation, where the sale of naked paper shorts on Comex at thinly-trded times of night by "Not-for-profit" traders is the main culprit. I suspect that "Discovery" could become the most important aspect of this Action.

I do wonder:

  1. Why has a similar statistical analysis of Comex activity been undertaken? What possible alternative explanation could there be for dumping thousands of futures contracts at illiquid times of day/night which guarantee the lowest possible return?
  2. Why has nobody gone after CFTC's price-fixing "Investigation" materials under FOI? Remember, CFTC did NOT state that there was no mnaipulation, just that there was no evidence of illegal activity. If the CB's were the "Client" they would of course be above the law and so not behaving "Illegally". What we call manipulation is also known to the CB's as "Monetary Policy".
TahoeBilly2012's picture

Now add in the wash rigging...geesh who's say Bank A doesn't just do a fixed wash sale with Bank B and cut a check for the difference out the back door, plus fee of course. The wash sale issue is huge. How on earth can they ever be sure who is selling to or buying from who, could be all sorts of off shore trading accounts, many doing huge wash sales.

Downtoolong's picture


Same for oil, gas and every major commodity too.

Urban Redneck's picture

Every trade has two sides and every position has two trades (unless one is stacking for eternity).

7.62x54r's picture

Look up "wash trade".

A trade only has two sides when it isn't a bullshit trade. Wash trading is how Amschel Rothshild broke England after Waterloo.

AllWorkedUp's picture

Let's face it. There is no rule of law when it comes to gold or silver. Anything that is a threat to the fiat Ponzi scheme like honest money will be kept down without regard to law. Might as well pay regulators to protect the criminal banksters...OH WAIT, WE DO!!

If any of you guys are goldholders, goldbugs or pm investors, this is a great forum to hang out, share ideas, or just make friends. Nothing required, just your ideas and input.


RafterManFMJ's picture

Dunno just read an article that said The Pilgrim Society was behind the manipulation of silver.

Here's the thing - if someone has you on the ground and is kicking your face in, are you really thinking about who employed him?

Fun to speculate on the Evil Manipulator's identities, but the time is better spent prepping and stacking.

knukles's picture

Listen up and listen good, but wasn't that John Wayne's finagellin' about, Rafterman?
I dunno, Joker.


Oh fuck, nevermind... I'm off to watch Glovkin beat the crap outta Geale

knukles's picture

Animal Mother: "Hey Jungle Bunny, thank God for the sickle cell."

Beautiful description of Joesph Campbell's take on the myths Kubrick embodied in the film. 
(BTW as you might remember, Animal later goes along to save Pvt Snowball's ass....)


fuu's picture

There is an interesting analysis of Kubrick and gold in the Shining. Let me see if I can find it.


Aha: http://www.collativelearning.com/the%20shining%20-%20chap%2015.html


The video is better though.

Yen Cross's picture

 I looked it up Knuks/  When is Originality coming back?  / I lik Quenton terrintino (sp)

dvfco's picture

Or, in the immortal words of Ms. Mona Lisa Vito:

"Imagine you're a deer. You're prancing along, you get thirsty, you spot a little brook, you put your little deer lips down to the cool clear water... BAM! A fuckin bullet rips off part of your head! Your brains are laying on the ground in little bloody pieces! Now I ask ya. Would you give a fuck what kind of pants the son of a bitch who shot you was wearing? "

TheReplacement's picture

Don't aim for the head either.  It is a small and it can move even when the rest of the body is still.

Da Yooper's picture

Watch this lawsuit fade from view when the bankers buy them out with a non dis-closer agreement & they still get to rigg & manipulate to their Satanist  hearts content

The low life's doing this are scum pure scum

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Actually, even more basic than that... If we've known this stuff for so long, then why the fuck are we still talking like horny teenagers whenever gold or silver goes up?

Hell, even Tyler gets a woody when he can report the temporary rise of PM. I, on the other hand (thumb and 4 fingers), have been calling 'Bullshit' and saying ad nauseum that we're in a Sideways Market, and will remain so until TPTB decide otherwise.

/ Shall I type slower, so the slow readers can keep up? /s

Bendromeda Strain's picture

The PTB will decide otherwise when the decision is made for them. Nixon, the Rothschilds leaving the Pool, bullion ETF creation, naked sales and QE are all responses to spinning plate revolutions decreasing and wobble increasing.

7.62x54r's picture

Stacking is not about profit taking.

It's about being able to stand aside and say "Damned, I'll bet that hurt" once this slow train wreck concludes.

Peter Pan's picture

Manipulating the price of gold up and down is of course not acceptable but if the price of gold is being continuously suppressed that is far worse and the central problem.

Then again, the total suppression of interest rates is an even greater crime against the free market and the resolution of the problems facing all economies.

mt paul's picture

wait till ya get a taste

of them negative interest rates ...

illyia's picture

This is, again, why I read ZH.

Thanks, Tylers!

ThirteenthFloor's picture

Yes. Great Article, top to bottom.  Thanks.

agent default's picture

Ok so they will get fined something like  I don't know... Does $50 sound enough or is it too harsh?

bentaxle's picture

The amount of any fine is irrelevant as they will be able to print what they need, rather than have to mine what they need.

ThirteenthFloor's picture

I think BaFin (German Financial Supervisory Authority) removed Deutsche Bank's seat at the UK silver desk.  That does cost them some money, and helps get dirt out of the Fix.

Furthermore, BaFin is taking audit of the damage to all German institutions and private investors in prec. metal.  I think they are accessing damage.