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Singapore Takes More Steps To Becoming Global Gold Hub

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Singapore - Asia’s Growing Gold Hub

Silver for immediate delivery rose 0.5% to $20.50 an ounce in London. Platinum added 0.3% to $1,472 an ounce. Palladium rose 0.4% to $874.20 an ounce. It remains near the 13-year high of $889.75 reached on July 17.

Gold has moved higher in London this morning after gold in Singapore traded sideways overnight. Futures trading volume has picked up from yesterday’s very low volumes and is just 13% below the average for the past 100 days for this time of day, according to Bloomberg data.

Gold breached the 100 day moving average at $1,301 and closed below the 50 day moving average at $1,294 yesterday. Options expiration and geopolitical tension should support gold at the 200 day moving average at $1,286/oz (see chart).


Gold in U.S. Dollars - 50, 100, 200 SMAs (Thomson Reuters)

Gold was badly impacted by what appears to be high frequency trading (HFT) or programme trading again yesterday with another bout of concentrated selling on two occasions. First, when Asian markets commenced trading and then just as U.S. stock markets started the trading day.

It is estimated that $1 billion worth of gold futures were sold in a matter of seconds yesterday at the U.S. open. The fact that gold remains resilient and only saw marginal losses suggested there are eager buyers at these levels.

Gold may remain in lock down near the $1,300 level into the Comex August gold futures options expiration on Monday. Sharp price falls in the days immediately before expiration have been a common occurrence in the gold and silver markets in recent years.


Zero Hedge

This appears to be happening again as seen in the ongoing unusual trading activity. Yesterday, and in recent weeks, gold has been frequently hammered lower by unknown, large financial entities selling futures contracts in a very sudden and concentrated manner.

Gold and silver are likely to be pinned to these levels until after expiration - providing there is no major breaking news or geopolitical event that rears its head and propels prices higher.

As gold moves East, western institutions are gradually losing their grip on the precious metals markets. The advent of new gold exchanges with physical gold settlement such as the new gold exchanges in Dubai, Shanghai and of course Singapore (more below) will make price discovery more efficient and render price manipulation more difficult. The physical market and the natural forces of supply and demand will likely soon overcome the paper and digital gold markets.

Worries over tougher sanctions on Russia and their potential impact on a fragile London property market and UK and Eurozone growth and the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are leading to some safe haven demand.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten oil supplies from key oil producing regions which should also support gold. As will Israel’s invasion and bombing of Gaza - and the resultant death of hundreds of innocent civilians.

After expiration on Monday, we expect prices to move up in August. However, two weeks of losses have resulted in short term technical damage that may take a few days to recover from.

Silver's outperformance of gold this week has taken the gold: silver ratio -- the number of silver ounces needed to buy an ounce of gold -- to its lowest since late late February at 62.25 today. In May it reached a 3-1/2 year high of 67.6 as silver lagged gold.

Silver looks even more bullish than gold from a long term technical perspective.

It is on the verge of a potential breakout from its two year consolidation triangle. A weekly close above $22.00 resistance would be important and could lead to an additional 15% run-up towards the $24.20 level. This is the next level of resistance and where the 100-week moving average is. Above that, next levels of resistance are at the $27 and $28 level.

The New York Times ran an op-ed piece today by British Conservative backbencher Kwasi Kwarteng, suggesting that China could someday peg its currency to gold, as Britain did in 1821.

"China has the reserves to do this, and it could have the political will, if the dollar proved to be unreliable as a store of value in the future," he says. "Having expanded its manufacturing base and captured international markets, China may well find a world hooked on its products. It could eventually — in, say, 20 years — peg the renminbi to gold, considering it preferable to the dollar as a store of value, because of its permanence and longevity. With a balanced budget and a gold-backed currency, China’s economy could be even more formidable than it is today. Such a move would truly mark its return as the “Middle Kingdom.”

Hard as it may be to contemplate today, this scenario would, in many ways, be a more secure basis for an international monetary regime system than the system of floating exchange rates that Nixon inadvertently created in 1971, one that forever overturned the Bretton Woods order."

It is an interesting article and it is interesting that it was published in The NY Times as it is a newspaper that has traditionally been quite hostile towards gold.

Some form of quasi gold standard in China is something we have written about since 2005 and it seems more likely by the year.

The world turns slowly ... and then very fast ...

Singapore’s Drive To Become Global Gold Hub Continues
Singapore's plans to become a gold and precious metals hub took a key step forward on Thursday.

Metalor Singapore – a newly created refinery in the Metalor Group – was added to the London Bullion Market Association’s (LBMA) good delivery list.

“Metalor Singapore has also passed the LBMA’s exhaustive testing procedures, under which its gold bars were examined and assayed by independent referees, and its own assaying capabilities were tested,” Metalor said.

The refiner is located in Singapore City. Its primary sources of gold are scrap materials sourced from the jewellery sectors and its refined gold output is in the form of large gold bars for industry and institutional buyers.

Last month Metalor Technologies opened its refining plant in Tuas, Singapore. The facility offers a complete range of refining services, from evaluation of scrap to bullion production and is estimated to have a production capacity of up to 150 tonnes a year.

Speaking at the official opening, Singapore’s Senior Minister of State for Trade and Industry Lee Yi Shyan said the gold industry will contribute significantly to Singapore’s economy. He said that it should create half a billion dollars (US$0.5 billion) extra value to the economy and generate 1,000 good professional, managerial, executive and technical jobs by 2020.

Hubert Angleys, CEO of Metalor Technologies, said: "We want to grow with the Asian market; that is the reason we wanted to be there. We are located in the middle of the two largest gold consumer markets, China and India”.

“We want to take advantage of this geographic location and certainly we are looking forward to getting metal from these two countries but also exporting, through our Singapore customers, metal to these two countries."

Singapore already a banking, financial and wealth management hub in Asia is ramping up its bid to become a center for gold trading that will rival London.

Leading investment experts such as Jim Rogers, Jim Sinclair and Marc Faber have extolled the virtues of owning physical coins and bars in Singapore.

“Individuals are making a mistake if they’re holding all their assets in one country.…I still have the majority of my gold in Switzerland, but I am already moving gold to Asia,” Faber recently said (see Gold bullion stored in Singapore is safest - Marc Faber).

Just three weeks ago, the Southeast Asian city-state unveiled plans to launch a physically deliverable gold contract in September to meet strong demand from Asia – home to the world's biggest gold buyers.

The Singapore Exchange is launching a new gold contract which will be the world's first wholesale 25 kilo bar gold contract and will be made up of a series of six daily contracts.

"This gold contract is a plan two years in the making. The reason is that we have seen a trend of gold moving from West to East and there is actually no market place for market players to buy gold at a wholesale level," Albert Cheng, managing director, Far East at the World Gold Council, told CNBC.

The launch of the gold contract on the Singapore Exchange is supported by the World Gold Council, Singapore Bullion Market Association and four banks that include JP Morgan and Asia-focused bank Standard Chartered.

The launch of a gold contract in Singapore will bring centralized trading and clearing of physically cleared gold and could provide a price benchmark for gold trading in Asia.

At a whopping 25 kilos, the gold bar in this contract is double the size of a typical London Good Delivery gold bar which is around 12 kilobars or 400 ounces. At today’s prices each gold bar would be worth over $1 million.

Singapore is clearly targeting HNW, UHNW and family office gold buyers, not to mention institutional buyers with this contract.

At the moment the benchmark price for gold, known as the London "fix" is set daily in London at times that both fall after the close of Asian markets. Asia still mostly relies on this fixing for the buying and selling of bullion in volume. The London fix is currently under scrutiny for manipulation and is likely to taken over by the CME and Thomson Reuters as the silver fix was.

"This contract is meant for the Asian market," said the World Gold Council's Cheng, explaining why the contract will only be open for trade for three hours each day.

"There is a robust London market, and that comes in later in the day. But in Asian hours – there is no morning market for wholesale trade. Having a structure means the wholesaler can contribute to the market, which then becomes more transparent," he said.

Asia is the largest buyer of gold and one of the largest producers, so price discovery in Singapore makes increasing sense. Also, given growing demand for gold comes from within Asia it makes sense to have benchmark pricing within the region.

In 2010, Singapore set up a high-security storage facility called the Singapore Freeport that subleases storage space to storage providers. Two years ago, the government scrapped a sales tax for investment-grade gold and in the past year banks have set up gold vaults.

The other trend Singapore is trying to take advantage of the growing wealth in the region. Research firm Wealth Insight expects the country to overtake Switzerland as the world's biggest hub of offshore wealth by 2020.

Singapore is already a hub for financial services and wealth management, so it makes sense that it wants to make itself a benchmark for gold trading and storage in Asia.

Singapore is becoming an emerging precious metals hub and a key player in the global bullion market. Against the very uncertain global macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, prudent private individuals and institutions are moving their physical bullion to one of the safest jurisdictions in the world. Read the Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Singapore Here

 

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Sun, 07/27/2014 - 10:02 | 5009454 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

I have a friend whose relative lives in Singapore.......

10 grand a month for a little apartment.

I mean....teeny.

FUCK THAT.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 02:40 | 5009055 hedgiex
hedgiex's picture

Take note that this is a 714 sq mile island with a pop of about 5.5 m only in SE Asia with a US naval base.  It is surrounded by vast SE Asia nations in term of land, people and hard resources.

It is not a given that SE Asia is unconditionally a US ally. They are at best all hedging from lessons learnt of US foreign policy in south America and Middle East. It has also a catalyst for instability in that it is the neighbourhood of Emerging China with masked economic hegemonic ambition over this space with combined demographics, resources and talents equal to China. (Look at China pushing the envelope in South China Sea).

This space is not short of crony captitalist governments oppressive of its own people. US has not radically changed in working through these governments and side line the people. (look at Thanliand)

It is the young working class that really matters in this region. They are more educated, connected and savvy in the global internet age that now have the valves to China without being pushovers by an impotent US Pivot. They too have no delusions that China is anymore benign.

Factor all these in your geopolitical risk analysis before you get duped by Western Media propaganda and the Banksters to shift your Gold. This is not Switzerland.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 01:43 | 5008998 Kina
Kina's picture

Germany will never ever ever get their gold back.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 09:19 | 5009375 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Certainly not of they join the eastern block.  Not that the US would be shameless enough to extort like this after already failing to deliver.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 01:41 | 5008996 Kina
Kina's picture

Singapore too sterile for me.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 08:17 | 5009283 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Not sure I would like it if I went back, for that reason.

Same goes for Switzerland, too antiseptic, like being in a hospital.OK

for short family visits.

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 22:16 | 5008621 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Don't bring more than one pack of cigarettes in or you will pay around $40 duty.  I smoke American Spirits but HKG where I was spending the week has none so coming in through SNG, I had to bring in my own.  Glad I did the research.  If I can't get those I just rip the filters off a Dunhill Red.  I would not mind a good Gauloise or something but the Phillip Morris cartel has done its work and SE Asia is bereft.  

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:32 | 5008125 directaction
directaction's picture

I really dig Singapore. I've flown there dozens of times, each time for two weeks, or thereabouts.

There is one minor and annoying problem, however. Twenty years ago one could get around and tear it up there for hardly any money. For example a taxi from one end of the city to the other was about five bucks US$ and one could easily score a wild night on the town for another fifty bucks US, including dinner. Now those freewheeling days are gone. Ya gotta bring a boatload of cash and an empty credit card ... but it's still a very groovy place to hang out. 

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:41 | 5008149 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

And....sports one of the best airports in the world super clean marble everywhere and orchids growing all over.

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:30 | 5008116 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

It's going to die slowly and then suddenly. Immediate or weekly deliveries, if you can find it.

  

 

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 16:15 | 5007846 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Until one can get bullion by ton delivered it is all the same derivative  scam. Wake me when countries are buying in the hundreds of tons...physical.

Until then we are dealing in gold reserve banking and the 'supply' of 'gold' is being met with paper. The bullion banks are just using their central bank backing with their unlimited currency to suppress the gold price.

Unless we are dealing with a 'physical delivery only' market gold will not see it's correct price.

Ask your local billionaire if he can get all the gold he wants....didn't think so.

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 20:22 | 5008377 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

Your exactly right.  Even when Germany agreed on installments for it's gold, the first one wasn't a full amount and the gold was melted down and not even marked as it was supposed to be for Germany.  Meaning that gold is in short short supply and it's being artificially kept low in order to hide that the paper assets are worth shit.

 

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 17:41 | 5007880 Emergency Ward
Emergency Ward's picture

Which weighs more, a ton of gold or an ton of paper gold?

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 09:38 | 5009412 aka_ces
aka_ces's picture

Paper covers rock.  But not on this one!

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:32 | 5008130 Debeachesand Je...
Debeachesand Jerseyshores's picture

What is worth more,a ton of Gold or a ton of shitpaper gold??????

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:28 | 5008120 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Carefull with that because "a pound of gold is lighter than a pound of paper", and "an ounce of gold is heavier than an ounce of paper."

As precious metals are under the Troy system instead of avoirdupois system

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troy_ounce

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 15:53 | 5007792 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

cane or not to cane

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 13:16 | 5007366 get-sum
get-sum's picture

I freaking loved that place, give a left nut to return for a while...

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 16:08 | 5007826 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea....I'd move there in a heartbeat.

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 21:44 | 5008548 Bay Area Guy
Bay Area Guy's picture

Singapore for the food, Malaysia for the scenery.

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 10:08 | 5009469 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Been to Malaysia. 6 weeks in country. The scenery was nice. Visit Penang. The Cameron Highlands. Stay away from Terreneganu - the whole east coast. Very Islamic, and they frown on tourists.

West coast is better. Fascinating country.

HK is OK. My boots were on that ground for 10 days or so. Kowloon's a hoot. More shopping than ever there. If you are a one-language person, you'll leave feeling stupid. Ordinary to find people that are fluent in 6 or more languages.

Check out the Mandarin Oriental on Sunday - it's "Maid's Day"

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 18:36 | 5008140 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Sorry, not Taiwan.

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 13:11 | 5007360 NoTTD
NoTTD's picture

JPM is in on this, and we're supposed to trust it for fair price discovery?

Sat, 07/26/2014 - 12:18 | 5007233 markar
markar's picture

Wake me when  Comex gets shut down

Sun, 07/27/2014 - 08:01 | 5009263 Motorhead
Motorhead's picture

Yeah, no shit!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!