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LOCO IPO Soars To Insane 20x EBITDA Multiple

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The "fear of missing out" (on the next Chipotle) is strong with this one as El Pollo Loco (LOCO) IPO'd at $15 on Friday, opened at $19 and today explodes to almost $33 at a mind-numbing ~20x EBITDA (market cap over $1.2 billion on a $53 million EBITDA)... crazy chicken indeed...

 

 

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Mon, 07/28/2014 - 10:58 | 5012586 Four chan
Four chan's picture

that blue meth is money maker.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:03 | 5012614 Gaius Frakkin' ...
Gaius Frakkin' Baltar's picture

OMG chicken!!! What an amazing invention! I can't wait to buy some!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:05 | 5012623 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Clearly, Tyler doesn't understand how complicated it is to boil a damn chicken.

They've got the patent right?  Right?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:22 | 5012727 ilion
ilion's picture

If a company without any assets can go to 5 billion then LOCO can probably jump as high as 5 trillion.

It will probably happen by close of trade this Friday! Go LOCO and than you Yellen!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:13 | 5013045 power steering
power steering's picture

And what happened to Koo Koo Roo Chicken?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:16 | 5013070 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

At least $5 trillion, if not quadrillions. Why not? Money is free.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:19 | 5013083 PT
PT's picture

Damn!  I should have incorporated.  I, too, have no earnings!  Then again, surely that wouldn't matter these days  ... everyone get yiz a PT IPO! ...

Seems like only a year or two ago when Max Keiser was telling everyone, "A banking licence only costs five hundred bucks and it is a licence to legally steal money!  If you're unemployed then you should get a banking licence!" 

Now if you're unemployed, you should incorporate and offer an IPO.  Or maybe that would be a good complement to your newly minted banking licence.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:20 | 5013092 PT
PT's picture

Instead of "work for the dole" programs we could have "incorporate and IPO for the dole" programs ...

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:24 | 5012745 fx
fx's picture

Yes, they got the patents for free courtesy of Saint Elon Musk. His holiness and sole saviour of our planet has invented elctricity powered chicken that roast themselves slowly while still alive. Absolutely amazing stuff. I think anyone should buy moar of the stock. don't be chicken!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:07 | 5013013 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Do they come with a bell that goes off that says "I'm done"?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:14 | 5013056 power steering
power steering's picture

Should I cover my CYNK short?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:14 | 5012678 MeMongo
MeMongo's picture

There's only 1 fast food Co. That deserves this kind of attention!

In n Out........!

Double Double...bitchez

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:34 | 5012811 bpj
bpj's picture

Habit Burger is what happens when an In-n-Out burger goes to college.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:18 | 5013079 power steering
power steering's picture

Why do they wait for you to order before they cook it? They see 10 cars in line and they only have 2 things on the menu! 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 13:50 | 5013452 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

Gustaf Fring for President!

 

We need a business man, not a fucking lawyer.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 10:59 | 5012589 pods
pods's picture

The Crazy Chicken?

I have a great idea for a Mascot.  It involves a sock.

pods

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:04 | 5012615 mayhem_korner
Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:12 | 5012660 BandGap
BandGap's picture

One of their slogans - "Go cluck yourself!"

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:01 | 5012602 Iriestx
Iriestx's picture

It's the new Chipolte.  This shit is going to be $700 a share by September.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:30 | 5012792 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

So, "In and Out" strategy then.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:09 | 5013025 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

People are strange
When you're a stranger

Faces look ugly when you're alone.

Women seem wicked
Everything wanted...

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 13:53 | 5013471 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

Not bad buddy....not bad....I think this one is says it all.....

"alright man, alright.....I dont know about you man but I'm going to get my KICKS before the WHOLE SHIT-HOUSE GOES UP IN FLAMES....ALRIGHT!!"

 

American Prayer- J.M. (must own album!)

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:19 | 5013081 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

It's nothing new, they've existed in so cal since the 80's at least. The problem I see is with this IPO their food will probably go downhill fast.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:25 | 5013122 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Ditto in AZ. I remember when they expanded into Phoenix. Unimpressed. Yet another chicken joint.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:04 | 5012603 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Buy muther fuckers! Buy! Yellen to start printing coupons that will be peddled through Groupon for enchilada Tuesdays!

The Pollo isn't so Loco when the La Pucha Loca has your back!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:06 | 5012607 Rainman
Rainman's picture

They didn't get that LOCO symbol for nuthin'

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:11 | 5012611 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Hmmmmm..... where have I seen this before? Well we do have a new wave of immigrants to help support future sales. 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:07 | 5012631 HUGE_Gamma
HUGE_Gamma's picture

Anyone that actually has been into one knows this is certainly not the next Chipotle. In California El Pollo Loco is known as a shit.. It has to be the nastiest fast food chain in the country.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:09 | 5012644 Iriestx
Iriestx's picture

Chipolte is $0.15 worth of beans and rice slopped into a tortilla that they sell to you for $8.  What's the difference?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:15 | 5012681 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

About 19 billion in market cap.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:19 | 5012712 Iriestx
Iriestx's picture

The harder they fall.  I can better mexican at an authentic joint in dozens of places around Denver for a quarter of the price of Chipolte.  Why people go there is beyond me.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 13:54 | 5013484 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

and ALL THEIR SHIT IS COLD TO BOOT!

who eats a cold burrito (except the day after hungover?)

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:09 | 5012642 nakki
nakki's picture

Always loved Pollo Loco, much better than McDonald's version of Mexican, but that ramp is just plain crazy. Still doesn't have the market cap of CYNK.

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:10 | 5012646 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

"Keep fucking that chicken!"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X7XbukdoGmM

 

"Did you see the size of that chicken?!"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=11rsHQ15gE0&feature=youtu.be&t=3m18s

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:10 | 5012647 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

They can thank Obama for providing them with about 5 million new customers arriving daily. 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:11 | 5012651 wonderatitall
wonderatitall's picture

the jooooooooooooooos are behind it.... or bush or christie, maybe some education camps eh democrats. damn it must be a struggle being so damn smart. mine struggle

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:18 | 5012709 MeMongo
MeMongo's picture

Well Mr Wonder, I don't know about Bush and Christie, but your former assumption is a very safe one indeed. You see whenever theres shenanigans afoot it is a safe assumption that if one flips a rock they will usually find one hiding under it!:-)

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:13 | 5013033 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

actually, who do you think made alot of shekels from underwriting this POS IPO, and then giving their "best" clients an allocation at par so they could flip it in this bullshit "market" ... the jooooos!

 ding ding ding... you win a free dreidel for the Holidays!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:15 | 5012687 deerhunter
deerhunter's picture

chipotle food is  a joke. My daughter likes to eat there.  Food is always lukewarm,, way over priced and your typical meat and beans joint.  Wow you can get your beans and meat in a bowl with real "guacomole"  WOW.  What a joke

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:18 | 5012700 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

Animal spirits alive and thriving thanks to the Fed.

Hopefully the animal doesn't take a giant #2 before one realizes that Loco has had SSEVEN straight years of losses.

#btfdkids

Greater fool theory is what makes the USA the giant ponzi scheme fewer and fewer kleptocrats get to enjoy.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:59 | 5013261 PT
PT's picture

Bankruptcy and unemployment is for quitters.  Winners borrow and IPO!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:33 | 5012723 SMC
SMC's picture

Insane.

Time to close my brokerage account. The only way to ensure that someone else is left "holding the bag" in this Looney Tunes allegedly "free" market.

...

30 minutes of hold, conversation and sales pitch.... = account closed.

What a nice feeling.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:52 | 5012918 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

just out of curiousity, what were their main points in the sales pitch and rebuttals, etc?

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:50 | 5013220 SMC
SMC's picture

Not exact wording but along the lines of:

Market is going up! <- Well past the top for sane investors.

How will you achieve your investment goals? <- Work our farm.

You have never used your margin, would you consider keeping the account without the ability to use margin? <- No, margin was strictly for options.

A lot of pleasantries, not a bad experience - no account termination fee either - got a confirmation number and that was that.

Overall, no complaints from my end.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 14:02 | 5013534 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

Good work SMC......today, tomorrow, etc.....it will seem like a mistake but you are wise, it's a coming-coming!"

"Sun shines.....people forget.......girl smiles........people forget.......FORGET THEIR HIDING behind the emience front"

 

Truly, a put on!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:28 | 5012756 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

LOCO ???

If you don't get the joke, you're the joke; the Greater Fools Greater Fool.

BTW, I hear you can still get some TWTRQ really cheap.

 

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:27 | 5012772 starman
starman's picture

Now that's "LOCO"!

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:28 | 5012776 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Unbelievable.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:33 | 5012799 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Holy Guacamole, Batman!  Putting in all my life-savings.  This is a SURE bet, how could you go wrong?... People gotta eat...

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:33 | 5012801 potato
potato's picture

This shit is getting OBSCENE

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:35 | 5012824 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

It's going to the moon - rumor has it that El Pollo Loco CURES Ebola...

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:40 | 5012856 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

GARP

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:45 | 5012882 aztrader
aztrader's picture

The smucks think this is another Chipolte and it's not.  We have them here in Arizona and i wonder if they get their chickens from Mexico.....Very little meat and not that appetizing.  When I saw them going public, I thought it was brilliant timing after Chipoltes blowout earnings.  Too bad they are nothing more then a KFC with baked chicken. 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:53 | 5012925 mattgallis
mattgallis's picture

They have some nice 1,500 calories burritos.

 

 

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 11:52 | 5012927 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Well its not like there's anybody else selling chicken like products.....

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:00 | 5012967 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

the name of the game is to stay away from dogshit plays like this

 

there are other things to trade that don't get pushed around by 2-3 banks - yes, that includes you GS and you too JPM

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:04 | 5012980 ted41776
ted41776's picture

guess i won't be eating there again... nothing like cutting corners and squeezing profits when it comes to food. chinese chicken anyone? el polio loco will be using these lyrics in their commercials real soon:

"Chickity China the Chinese chicken
You have a drumstick and your brain stops tickin'"

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:07 | 5012996 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

I'm long LOCO but prefer chipotle, bad mexican food at 65 times earnings, wake me up when this is over...lol

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:13 | 5013052 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

At least The Crazy Chicken is actually a good place to eat, unlike Chipotle with their bullshit rice burritos.

Mon, 07/28/2014 - 12:41 | 5013181 adr
adr's picture

How to double your money in 24hrs.

Fucking pathetic. 

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