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Chart(s) Of The Day: A Decade Of GDP Revisions

Tyler Durden's picture




 

What is the best word to describe GDP? One suggestion: changing.

Below we present select GDP data revisions over the past decade, from the initial release to the most recent, July 30 2014, nudging of historical GDP data.

First, the "old normal" ancient past:

 

Then, the Great Financial Crisis years:

 

And finally, the post-central planning period:

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

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Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:53 | 5022570 Dr. Engali
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We have been in a well hidden depression masked over by debt and government programs since 2000.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:05 | 5022628 Headbanger
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DJIA just broke below 50 DMA

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DJIA/charts?symb=DJIA&country...

C'mon 200!

Bonus points for the other really scary thing on that chart!

 

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:17 | 5022701 ebworthen
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MACD divergence?

Moving Average Convergence Divergence below its nine day Exponential Moving Average?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:19 | 5022723 Headbanger
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Much moar scary than that Grasshopper..

Use ruler.

Load moar ammo too.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:21 | 5022734 NotApplicable
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Next revision to occur right before the elections. Should be fun.

*checks popcorn supply*

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:30 | 5022764 Manthong
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It’s just a good thing our housing and mortgage market is looking great, MacDonald’s is expanding, Wal-Mart is trouncing the cheapo dollar stores insurgents, US networking products are enjoying the NSA boost, health care costs are declining, good US jobs are expanding, the Hispanic under-class immigrant invasion is under control and there is peace in our time.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:29 | 5022735 ebworthen
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Will I need dandruff shampoo?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 13:38 | 5023304 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Not with a super short buzz cut.

You can just use sandpaper.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:21 | 5022710 Save_America1st
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DOW bombing so far this morning....even the vacuum tube algo-bots aren't believing this bullshit GDP report.  They're circuits are starting to smoke:

DOES NOT COMPUTE....DOES NOT COMPUTE....DOES NOT COMPUTE....DOES NOT COMPUTE....error...error...errorrrrr

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6o881n35GU

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:57 | 5022577 Dr. Richard Head
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It depends upon what the meaning of what the word IS is. - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4XT-l-_3y0

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:59 | 5022588 spekulatn
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Life of Illusion.

 

Joe Walsh

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:58 | 5022592 firstdivision
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If there's a flash crash, that's a my bad.  Closed all my positions and cashing out.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:01 | 5022614 Nevsky
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To quote my former classmate from another life, when he got upset at my refusal to let him copy my work - 'You are just greedy'

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:58 | 5022594 Duffy
Duffy's picture

Sure, Day Tyler - next you'll tell me they've been fucking with the CPI.  You need to be more trusting, man.

 

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:03 | 5022632 Four chan
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joke domestic production number. jdp

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 10:59 | 5022600 Nevsky
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Since they changed the calculations, after which dismal -2.9% moved into -2.1%, the revision will be "milder".

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:00 | 5022602 ebworthen
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Look on the bright side, all that recovery has only cost $11+ Trillion in debt.

Joe Labologna of Deutschbank says +7%; I believe him because his forehead is so large.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:05 | 5022635 pods
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Heard it through the grapevine that Mr. Yellen tosses the GDP dice ON his forehead to estimate GDP.

pods

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 15:15 | 5023789 HoleInTheDonut
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Did you get down voted for saying "only $11 trillion", or was it from someone with a large forehead?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:00 | 5022608 Devotional
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Banco Espirito Santo will announce its earnings today. 3 billion euro loss estimate for the first 6 months of 2014. Bullish or Bearish? 

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:12 | 5022684 ebworthen
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Bullish of course - push comes to shove ECB will bail them out with public debt and public austerity.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:01 | 5022616 Stonedog
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I am sure after a few more revisions, it will be impossible to get a negative GDP print.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:01 | 5022620 pods
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Well those charts would look a whole lot worse if they actually corrected for all the rabid money printing going on.

GDP should be like shooting fish in a barrel.

Print+ understimate inflation due to printing= Nirvana.

pods

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:07 | 5022656 Rainman
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Penny Pritzker is secretary of Commerce and heir to the Hyatt fortune. She's a longtime Chicago political hack, close friend of the Obamas, tax avoider and a major bundler for the Dems. Holder is to Justice what Pritzker is to Commerce.

Now... tell me she won't give Barry the numbers he wants....the Chicago way !

                       http://www.nationaljournal.com/whitehouse/four-things-to-know-about-penny-pritzker-a-billionaire-and-obama-s-commerce-secretary-pick-20130306

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:09 | 5022662 smacker
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"What is the best word to describe GDP? One suggestion: changing."

 

I think a better word to describe GDP is RUBBISH.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:12 | 5022672 starman
starman's picture

"Grossly Delusional People" = Feds 

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:17 | 5022695 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

This is the same process that happened in 1929. The Fed with their easy monetary policy in the 1920s allowed stocks to generate a huge parabolic move exactly the same as what is happening today. Once the correction starts there's no stopping it.

Smart money is buying commodities real cheap here....Real cheap.

I feel its next to impossible to get deflation in a purely fiat monetary system. At any time the government can print money and mail checks to the population.

The bubble in the stock market is a symptom of the ongoing inflation. If that inflation ever starts to leak out of stocks and go into the commodity markets it's going to bring on stagflation just like the 70's.

Again the smart money is buying commodities.

 

Anyone else notice Dr COPPER?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:27 | 5022760 nakki
nakki's picture

Its all and I mean everything is one big circle jerk. When you can revise 90 years of data with the addition of "ideas" or you change the metric of how you gage inflation, or unemployment, what's the point. Its not as if everyone got smarter, and in many cases the PTB are all just spoiled children. We live in a mark to fantasy world, money is created out of thin air, and once again if the "Masters of the Universe" don't like the outcome just change the rules.

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:38 | 5022777 JR
JR's picture

 Who can believe a government that lies; that in the face of staggering unemployment and recession pockets around the country now trumpets literally boom-time figures?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:37 | 5022792 Spielbank
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Didnt know that they can change that long backwards - how often is a revision possible?

 

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:45 | 5022819 armageddon addahere
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I guess "hope and change" refers to the government's method of calculating statistics.

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