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Payrolls Watch: July Challenger Job Layoffs Surge Most In Over 2 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With the world waiting for tomorrow's "most important data of the year" payrolls report as their signal to BTFD or follow Yellen Capital's recommendation and "sell," we thought it perhaps of note that this morning's Challenger jobs data was extremely weak. Layoffs in July surged 49% (the most since May 2012) to 46,887. This is the 2nd most layoffs in 11 months. The heaviest layoffs were in the Western region and also most concentrated in the auto industry.

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:19 | 5030010 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Roaring Back into bankruptcy

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:26 | 5030030 knukles
knukles's picture

Say it ain't so Bo....

 

There's nothing fixed with any economy anywhere on the whole planet, people.
All Sound and Light Shows

latoffs concentrated in the west and autos.... Tesla.... nah couldn't be....  the 0.1% need their fucked up toys

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:29 | 5030058 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

La la la la la la la .... I can't hear you, 'cos .gov told me that GDP is up 4% and therfore everything must be ok!

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:31 | 5030063 Richard Chesler
Richard Chesler's picture

Obozocare working as planned.

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:37 | 5030091 Cliff Claven Cheers
Cliff Claven Cheers's picture

I love lay offs, keeps me busy collecting from all the dead beats that were to dumb to save for a rainy day.  I love to let them know how dumb they are too, makes me feel powerful.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:44 | 5030123 espirit
espirit's picture

The layoffs will continue until everyone is employed.

Bizarro World at it's finest.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:52 | 5030161 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

"Robust," is the word I'm looking for.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:50 | 5030481 666
666's picture

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't automakers usually lay off people around this time so the factories can retool for the new model year?

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:02 | 5030219 NoPension
NoPension's picture

47,000 more peeps who now have time to do something enjoyable. You know, like curl up with a good book, spend time with the kids, plant a garden. Well, the garden might be a necessary .

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:17 | 5030301 lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

the layoffs will continue at the international bank that i work at (and from what my american born friends tell me, most of the other international banks)  until everyone from india is employed.

one of my mentors was at a big bank, realized that, reduced the % and (i got shit canned first), got shit canned.  % went up.

thank you department of labor.  i know.  unemployment is down.  love those numbers.  can't wait to see how great the job market is tomorrow.

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:37 | 5030090 negative rates
negative rates's picture

They can tell you anything.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:43 | 5030116 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

"layoffs concentrated in the west and autos.... Tesla.... nah couldn't be....  the 0.1% need their fucked up toys"

I stopped at a light next to a Tesla earlier this week.  Asian guy, sunglasses, clearly thought his shit smells like roses.  He gunned it.  I was driving a Jeep, thinking of all the wasted electrons.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:44 | 5030122 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

Exactly what happens when you give sub prime 50,000 cars to people that cant afford. They have so many cars built that will never sell no way the shit doesn't hit the fan

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:19 | 5030011 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

need something to lift a market that's 3% off its all-time highs - a round of bad news on fundamentals is just what the Dr. ordered

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:24 | 5030038 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

A war?

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:27 | 5030052 Escrava Isaura
Escrava Isaura's picture

icanhasbailout,

There's NO market. It's all Jews printing money… Remember?

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:22 | 5030024 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

This is the last big one fellas. Enjoy it. They have done everything they can to get UST's out of everyone's cold dead hands. They thought they had everyone when they announced they may stem redemptions from bond funds, hoping everyone would sell. Now they went with the 4% gdp growth with a side of wages rising. That got them to 2.55%. They will probably go with 280k tomorrow to see if we can get above 2.65%. When it fails and we start the next drift down we break through 2.4% in earnest. From there it gets rough.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:26 | 5030040 Escrava Isaura
Escrava Isaura's picture

Your headline won't do for the big one. You get do better than that.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:36 | 5030087 nightshiftsucks
nightshiftsucks's picture

Well Escrapa why don't you go drop some more acid and stay away from the keyboard.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:14 | 5030287 Escrava Isaura
Escrava Isaura's picture

Don't do acid, sorry... but having some 1997 Pinot Noir, from California.

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 00:41 | 5031312 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

you should try some 2012 vintage California wines

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:25 | 5030041 knukles
knukles's picture

Oh I love bonditos...
Just think of all the shorts and fails that will absolutley sky-rocket if there's another drop in rates.

Mmmmm Mmmmm Good.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:44 | 5030120 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Well, technically speaking "that's another bull market being shorted" actually.  So absolutely...treasuries could rally dramatically here. 

I definitely don't think 1% on the thirty year is out of the question.  "But that was so last year."   The year gold dropped 40% give or take.

Silver still has a long way to go to get back to 50 bucks an ounce...a level it hit in...1978.

"Those are some real expensive cars."  And even more ridiculously expensive oil.  Same is true for lumber, steel, aluminum, tin, brass, bagels, coffee, Big Macs, clothes, internet access, etc...etc...

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:09 | 5030260 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Fonz, perhaps the play was for them to create a scenario in which they could unwind?  people will only believe negative unemployment for so long...  280k market rallies and bonds go the other way.  180 market tanks and bonds tank... JMHO

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:10 | 5030261 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

I dunno, looks like a decent chance to push the rate above 2.65.  But who the fuck knows - red or black?  It's all a big damn casino.  I'm just pissed at Yellen Capital right now - Janet told me Price-Equity ratios were looking favorable and look at what happened today - we're all the way back to where we were at the end of May!  What kind of Financial Advisor sets you back a month and a half on your portfolio? 

 

I don't know what to think, if things don't turn around tomorrow I may just have to drop Yellen Capital, get out of this market and go full-time into the 3 card monte game down on the street corner - that one guy seems to do pretty well...

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 21:05 | 5030574 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Gator, I think you are spot on. I think the fed is going to eventually raise rates, if only to try to get velocity finally moving. That is why they are trying so hard to create the false narrative that thigs are awesome. I think they are very very boxed in. Raising rates could backfire and rates could implode downward when the actual raising of rates takes down equities. It won't take much to get grandma out of the market and back into a CD.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:23 | 5030034 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

When is the market ever down on employment report Friday? Good number = waaaaay up, bad number = free crack pipes for everyone, it's party time!

Back to the border issue, meanwhile. Left carefully tracking Ingraham, Hewitt, Erickson, Drudge over opposition to border security bill:

http://mediaequalizer.com/brian-maloney/2014/07/progressives-boehner-sur...

 

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:49 | 5030142 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

Free crack damn government spending my tax money again huh? What about the hookers

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:04 | 5030227 NoPension
NoPension's picture

I'm da Mayor. Suk ma dik.
Marion Barry

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:15 | 5030283 Debeachesand Je...
Debeachesand Jerseyshores's picture

Good question????

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:21 | 5030338 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Right, it's almost like goosing the pot.  Spin up the bad news, get some sell offs, have your HFT buy at the lower price, buy a govt lobbyist to manipulate a favorable NFP number, and then get out for the first tee at 12:45pm.  Peace of cake.

The only question: do they want a GOOD number or a BAD one?  Becuase we might be about to learn just how big the "Yellen put" will be.

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:28 | 5030053 autofixer
autofixer's picture

So does this "bad news" mean the DOW will soar +300 tomorrow?

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:31 | 5030065 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

+400 ... need to blow a little sunshine up their skirts.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:33 | 5030069 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

+600 and extra fawning all over Tesla and that Musky dude.

Don't forget a screaming comeback for camera-on-a-stick! Don't miss a moment of the action on CNBC tomorrow.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:10 | 5030269 lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

nope.  buy the fcking all time high.  buy every dip.  every dip means that people were twice as wrong, and the entire media will be pitching it tomorrow.  any dip means +2x the next day.  yellen has your back, and if not, they will bring bernacke back.

i'm not kidding.  STOCKS ONLY GO UP!!!  enjoy the ride.  upside and profits growth is still not priced in.

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:32 | 5030067 dobermangang
dobermangang's picture

OT: What could possibly go wrong here???

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/breaking-news/emory-healthcare-to-treat-ebo...

Bringing Ebola to America.  WTF?

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:33 | 5030077 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Hard Pivot!!!

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:50 | 5030151 espirit
espirit's picture

Might have to do this to keep the dollah sucking air.  Since Putin isn't buying our inflation, it's coming home to roost boys.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:35 | 5030082 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Hey, layoffs increase corporate profits!

Forward!

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:38 | 5030100 Cliff Claven Cheers
Cliff Claven Cheers's picture

Lowers tax revenue also so that is good for savers since the Gov needs to then borrow more money.  Pluses all the way around.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 05:28 | 5031653 damicol
damicol's picture

Fuck yes,

Now if only they stopped wasting cash on such crap as parts and inventory and R&D and all the other fucking useless shit and  used it to lever dividends we would be getting somewhere

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:37 | 5030097 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

time for another printer cartridge

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:39 | 5030101 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

With the world waiting for . . tomorrow's trip to the bathroom.

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:41 | 5030112 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Where's MDB when you need him?  This is clearly a screaming buy opportunity.  To the moon, Alice: To the Moon!

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 19:52 | 5030157 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

This whole thing is insane. Gotta wonder with all markets down today. Where is the money. Ill be happy to have a deposit of that phony fiat money put into my account. Debt free and loving it!

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:11 | 5030273 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

What's wrong with you American people, you're suppose to embrace proletariat views. 

/sarc

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:20 | 5030322 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

That's for the Obama suckers not us free thinking country loving americans

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:18 | 5030305 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Imagine if Faber is right lol

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:21 | 5030315 lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

oh - i forgot - layoffs are GOOD for the economy.  means people have more time to shop and surf and spend money they don't have on made in china junk they don't need.  and since, there is no money to be made by corporations large or small, cost cutting by eliminating employees is another +.  because if you can't make money besides bailouts - why bother to employee anybody

 

 

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 20:37 | 5030423 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

nasdaq e-mini 100 futures up .37 percent. gotta love it--the guys are working late, pumping on low volume after today's defeat….

Thu, 07/31/2014 - 21:08 | 5030590 dutchTender
dutchTender's picture

this is clearly bullish news ... i.e no rate hike ... i.e btfd

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:13 | 5031923 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

 Creating jobs in a mature market should be required to pass a certain "taste" test. It should be pointed out that while America is creating jobs it is costing a huge amount. I'm referring to the massive government deficit which I feel is the fuel driving our still rather weak growth. Is it sustainable, and just as important are these the right kind of jobs and will they last?

When a job that falls outside the description of government worker fails to make economic sense it becomes a form of working welfare with the taxpayer picking up the tab. We as a country and as a society have paid dearly for each unsustainable job created through government incentives and partnerships, because of the nature of many of these jobs we might even call them temporary. More on this subject in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/04/creating-real-jobs-remains-proble...

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