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July Payrolls: 209K, Below Estimate; Unemployment Rate Rises To 6.2%; Wage Growth Below Estimate

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If today's market desperately needed some bad news, it got it moments ago when the July payrolls printed at 209K, below the 230K expected, and far below the June upward revised 298K (was 288K). Of note is that this is the 6th month in a row of 200K+ job gains, the longst since 1998 . Away from the establishment survey, the household survey showed an even worse print, with just 131K job growth in July, down from 407K in June, so if any algos are scrambling to convince themselves that the data was horrible, look at this. But is the momentum slowing enough to force the Fed to push QE back? The unemployment rate rose modestly from 6.1% to 6.2%, beating expectations of an unchanged print driven by a decline in the people out of the labor force from 92.1 million to 92.0 million while the labor force participation rate rose by a tiny 0.1% to 62.9%.

The labor force charts: the people "out of it" declined by 119K to 92,001, while the LFP rate rose modestly from 62.8% to 62.9%. Fewer people retiring?

Full-time jobs rebounded modestly, rising by 285K in July following June's 523K collapse, even as part-time jobs continued rising, increasing by 52K in July, after +799K in June.

And perhaps the most imporant chart: average hourly earnings, rose just 2.0%, following a downwar revision to June's 2.0% to 1.9%, below the 2.2% expected. So much for those soaring labor costs.

 

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Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:38 | 5031986 Shocker
Shocker's picture

Still in a Recovery....

Layoff / Closing List: http://www.dailyjobcuts.com
-

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:41 | 5031997 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Look it's a good number overall. I mean over 200k is impresive and it shows we still may track near 3% gdp. Based on that, you just gotta be buying stocks here.

But, there is some softness in the report and wage growth is muted and some other things were soft. Based on that, you just gotta be buying bonds here.

Stocks and bonds. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:43 | 5032007 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Yup Fonz.....let the shit-show go on.....it must go on...it HAS to go on....

until it doesn't

Trapped in a corner.

Nothing else TO do....but fiat fiat FIAT baby!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:49 | 5032033 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

I'm out of stocks, except for a few miners and the SDS I bought last week at 25.  Still expecting the Fed to shape employment and inflation data around a policy of rising interest rates, and stocks going down, bonds up, until eventually bonds sell off with resumption of the PM bull.  All transpiring over the next year or so.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:51 | 5032046 power steering
power steering's picture

BREAKING: Secretary of State Lurch announces that he has convinced Israel to give Hamas 72 hours to re-arm.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:02 | 5032083 pods
pods's picture

That is Lurch giving a secret signal to CONgress that the IOF is running low on free munitions.

Duh.

pods

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:17 | 5032105 power steering
power steering's picture

The 72 hour cease fire lasted 90 minutes. I believe this calls for the Nobel Peace Prize

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:19 | 5032149 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Nobel pizza delivery.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:07 | 5032107 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

So the CIA spied on the Senate.  No big deal, they DID say they are sorry.

But Christianity is funny like that.  Saying sorry is good, but to be forgiven, one must REPENT.   Sincere penitence and remorse.

Bottom line, you can't apologize for doing something, and then keep doing it!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:12 | 5032120 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

The Muslims don't even do that. Its all for Allah, lies, murder and all. Abrogation I believe they call it.

As with most ideologies, it is understood you must break a few eggs to make a good omelette.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:14 | 5032135 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

With QE going bye-bye bad news may take it's rightful place now as, 'bad-news.'

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:06 | 5032091 power steering
power steering's picture

Obama created 2 new jobs today........Sasha and Melia must make their beds

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:48 | 5032268 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"Secretary of State Lurch announces that he has brokered a 72-hour cease fire so that the U.S. can re-arm Israel" -  Fixed it for you.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:49 | 5032038 USisCorrupt
USisCorrupt's picture

And that's the best LIE they could come up with? It must be getting real bad now.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:44 | 5032011 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Oh puhleeeze fonz..

What part of yesterday was a 90% down day don't you get?

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:46 | 5032021 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Headbanger, I understand your sentiment in wanting to fight this market. I just hope you see the complete and incredible pristine irony in your screen name and avatar.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:47 | 5032024 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

And the mini-pukes on gold continue...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:17 | 5032143 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Fuck you fonz !

You're telling the mooks here "based on that buy stocks"

Based on WHAT you fucking bankster asshole?

 

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:22 | 5032169 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

You might want to replace the batteries in your sarcasm detector.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:25 | 5032181 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Well excuuuuuse me sir. First off my sarcasm seems to go over your head.

In any event, allow me to retort...

In all your stupid charts that you constantly post that have nothing to do with anything you seem to constantly miss this one

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SPY+Basic+Chart&t=5y

If you hate this market so much and the banksters involved, have you ever considered the thought of ceasing to play in their casino?

Nah...keep banging that head...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:31 | 5032205 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

So you admit it that you're a shit ball bankster now!

Thank you !

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:35 | 5032218 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Ooooo!  Ooooo!  Can I be a shitball bankster, too?  I do the same thing fonz does!  Pick me!  Pick me!

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:39 | 5032235 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

You own a nailgun? You qualify.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:38 | 5032229 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

To the effect that I am involved in the markets? It took you until now to figure that out? I just figured out your vocation, detective, right?

Anyway if I am a shitball bankster then has it occurred to you that you are a muppet retard? Don't reply all mad immediately. Just let that hamster wheel digest that a bit. 

Once you are firmly out of the markets for a year or so and the hypocrisy of your comments dies down I promise to let your criticisms sting a bit. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:35 | 5032221 PT
PT's picture

He was being sarcastic.  I thought you would have noticed.  Or are you being sarcastic too?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:39 | 5032233 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

His lack of sarcasm and understanding of sarcasm just makes his avatar more and more precious.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:49 | 5032271 PT
PT's picture

It can be a problem here. 

Welcome to Zero Hedge.  Warning:  From time to time, Newbies and Old Timers may say exactly the same thing but the Newb is being serious and the Old Timer is either being sarcastic or his name is MillionDollarBonus_.

But I still don't understand Headbanger not getting it.  Unless he was also being sarcastic or he has been replaced by his son or has been abducted by aliens.  Or perhaps I don't pay enough attention to who says what and shouldn't make that call.  I'm so confused.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:15 | 5032137 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Its the participants that make the market. You know its broken corrupt and ultimately is being used for nefarious purposes but yet stay in. What do you really expect? Are you just another potential innocent victim that never saw it coming or are you part of the problem?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:18 | 5032145 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Both

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:43 | 5032246 pods
pods's picture

That is a good, honest answer.

WE are all the problem with all of this. We hate the rent seeking but if inflation is 8% a year nobody is gonna take that in the cornhole year after year like that without trying to make back the inflation skim.  Gold is a good place to dump FRNs but that is not workable day to day unless you want your LCS guy to roll his eyes at you daily as you go between PMs and fiat. (you lose his take both ways too)

Then there is the debt angle. We have the power to stop all of this by avoiding debt.

But game theory posits that if we all avoid, the one who doesn't and uses debt will gain the most from being leveraged. So everyone racks up the debt.

So we are fucked on that one too.

Just no good answers until something goes boom. But then again, most people see nothing wrong with this system (as opposed to say in Orwell's 1984) so they will gladly fall for the next debt backed banker owned currency that comes along.

Ugh, man I hate fucking knowing this shit.  Where the hell is Cipher with that GD Blue Pill?

pods

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:50 | 5032279 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

All I can figure is you have to get yourself physically to a place where you can lower your overhead as much as possible and maxamize income as much as possible. Avoid debt as much as possble and own real goods. Teach your kids as best you can and sorround yourself with good people.

Nobody has any power to change where this is going on a larger level so all you can do is minimize it to it's most basic personal level and act accordingly. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:05 | 5032340 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

The family and I are looking at moving to Texas (from California) for this very reason.  We already have some family and friends out there and there is a job waiting for me there for the asking.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:20 | 5032402 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Once you take the Red Pill there is no turning back. You are going into the Rabbit Hole.

 

Now you can fight that if you'd like. You only will slow down the process. It is wasted energy.

 

Nobody ever promised that the Truth would be comfortable. In fact learning the Truth will be Hell for most.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 12:37 | 5033281 pods
pods's picture

Oh I have been digging for quite some time, passed Alice a long time ago.  Actually went through the whole anger, depression, hope, etc.  Everyone does.

pods

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:49 | 5032277 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

And therein lies the problem. We think we can play it down the middle. Yes, we are all complicit in some way as we carry dollars in our pockets, but surely you must see that these "markets" are the primary lever that is being used to extract people's wealth. When we buy stocks or bonds or even borrow money, we are empowering them to rule over us. The reason the markets are as high as they are is because realistically no one can get out without bringing it all down, and ultimately there is now no place left to go. Imagine if all this money that has been "invested" in the markets was actually invested in real businesses. All this talk about how the "rich" are controlling things yet it is the investor who is putting this wealth into a black hole that the big boys control. It is the investors who have abandoned main street for the lure of easy money that wall street promises. Put your money where your mouth is. Start a small business and hire someone. Find a small business that is strapped for cash and loan them the money instead of forcing them to go to the BANK. There is a difference between investing and gambling. Investing takes work, the gambler simply places bets with the casino, owned by the mob. AS Hillary says though, "what difference does it make", right?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:35 | 5032430 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

It is the investors who have abandoned main street for the lure of easy money that wall street promises. Put your money where your mouth is. Start a small business and hire someone. Find a small business that is strapped for cash and loan them the money instead of forcing them to go to the BANK. There is a difference between investing and gambling. Investing takes work, the gambler simply places bets with the casino, owned by the mob.

 

Well I have a problem with that currently. If I were to invest into Main Street then the people whom I invest in still support the Beast.

 

The best bet is to remove your participation completely. Withdraw. Place your Capital in Gold and minimize your footprint.

 

THEN AFTER IT COLLAPSES then you put your Capital into the ruins to rebuild it. You become the Banker...AN HONEST BANKER. (I know that seems to be an oxymoron today. But it was not always that way.)

 

So you do not act fraudulently as the Bankers before you have.

 

If the Beast is not killed then it will still rule, diminished of power. But power is relative.

 

Starve the Beast first. Then after it has died its deserved death then rebuild from the ashes. The Beast must die for any hope of recovery to manifest.

 

The Bankers, the psychopaths who created this, must be killed. They must face the Blade. That is only just.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:15 | 5032382 PT
PT's picture

Fonz explained himself a few years ago and I thought he did it quite well.  Unfortunately I can not find the exact wording, either through internet search or on my computer, as I did save it at the time as evidence that I am not the only crazy one.  Perhaps it is written on my broken computer.

Basically, he said that he felt like he was the driver of a car with no brakes, going very fast down a steep hill with while the passengers yell, "Faster, faster" and pedestrians asking if they can jump on board.

Given that I cannot find the reference to this claim, I will allow Fonz to tell me if my memory is faulty.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:23 | 5032408 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Pretty much and thanks for remembering. At some point with every person I interact with I dispense the advice I gave above. The bottom line is the system is forcing people into the markets through zirp. The amazingly disturbing beauty of it is the ability to shape people's minds into thinking they are a willing participant. But either way I try to explain things as I see them. That's about all one can do.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:49 | 5032013 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Where can I git me sum dem dare stawks and bawnds ?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:49 | 5032034 replaceme
replaceme's picture

I gawt lawts I'd sell you, just let me milk the last little bit out of 'em first...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:55 | 5032051 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Is it just me......or does this feel like 1986?

 

Bad question....cause a lot of you probably even born yet....and we didn't know how to print money back then.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:03 | 5032092 pods
pods's picture

86?

Damn, back then I was finger- banging old Mary Jane Rottencrotch through her perty pink panties.

pods

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:14 | 5032134 sleigher
sleigher's picture

I was thinking more like '84 but that's probably just me...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:23 | 5032171 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

It was 'mid-80's' anyway and as a purchasing agent for a Fortune 50 company at the time, inflation was kicking prices so fast that before the ink dried on a PO the price was going up and we were making change-orders like crazy.  It was not fun.  So yeah - this does kind of feel like the eve of the mid-80's redux.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:47 | 5032027 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@fonz

 

LOL.  Is that a that a cut and paste from LaVorgne?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:51 | 5032049 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Cursive I have concluded that the less I think, the better off I am. I lost my gold in an unfortunate accident like everyone else a long time ago. I have some other forms of insurance, should I wake up in a very different world tomorrow. But between now and then it's all fart jokes for me ( I will probably continue the fart jokes even then). I will leave the deep thought and analysis to others from here on out. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:54 | 5032056 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

We're in the same place Fonz.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:58 | 5032067 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I figured as much. May as well just enjoy the ride, right?. There's no getting off this boat now.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:01 | 5032072 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Exactly. Life's to short to do otherwise.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:18 | 5032148 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

And possibly preparing to get harder and shorter. It is possible to live for today and plan for the future (as unknown as it is), it just isn't easy. Almost bipolar.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:05 | 5032095 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@fonz

You know I enjoy your deep analysis or you fart jokes equally. Yeah, I agree that these are surreal times. Sure enough, the worm will turn and reality will come rushing back with a vengeance. Manage your skull and your friendships is my best advice for "insurance". You have an open seat at my table, just no cropdusting here, please.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:09 | 5032113 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

LOL i appreciate the invite and promise to work on my manners.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:07 | 5032106 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

I thought I was the only sap holding miners still (not just for PMs, but all those rare earths too).

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:48 | 5032030 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

channeling MDB

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:51 | 5032048 Obchelli
Obchelli's picture

They just got number exactly where stock market wanted it.... Must be stupid to beleive

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:02 | 5032329 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"Just make sure they're the right ones.  Don't just buy any old thing.  Know what I mean?  By something SPECIAL.  

 

TREAT YOURSELF!"

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:17 | 5032389 mademesmile
mademesmile's picture

Stocks and bonds.

 

But it's so simple. All I have to do is divine from what I know of you: are you the sort of man who would put the poison into his own goblet or his enemy's? Now, a clever man would put the poison into his own goblet, because he would know that only a great fool would reach for what he was given. I am not a great fool, so I can clearly not choose the wine in front of you. But you must have known I was not a great fool, you would have counted on it, so I can clearly not choose the wine in front of me.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:40 | 5032390 mademesmile
mademesmile's picture

so good, it had to be repeated.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:42 | 5032003 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

...and by "Recovery", you actually mean the patient is dead on the table, and medics are feverishly pounding his dead chest, injecting the corpse with Morphine, and simultaneously calling the time of death and thinking up ways to blame/hide/cover up the death....

Metaphorically speaking....

 

Right?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:57 | 5032062 doctor10
doctor10's picture

Unfortunately there's enough trash  here for the Deatheaters to continue contigency war plans

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:05 | 5032098 QEternity
QEternity's picture

Lose 500k full time jobs, gain 700k PT jobs

Hey guys look! The economy gained 200k jobs this month! Hooray recovery!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:30 | 5032198 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Spiking the ball boss!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:51 | 5032286 tempo
tempo's picture

Its free!!!, no borders, no questions, free health care, EBT card, housing, clothes,. Notice offered to criminal uneducated illegals only. Notice to citizens you will house and support 2 illegals under penalty of criminal jail time and forfeiture of all assets to LaRoza.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:41 | 5031991 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It brings a happy tear to my eye knowing we have 209,000 new part time college edumacated burger flippers in the world. Joyous days we live in.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:41 | 5032001 ekm1
ekm1's picture

That's what Central Command ordered:

 

209,000

 

Next: Stocks and Bonds will move as ordered also.

Kids who play video games at NSA will make sure order is catered precisely as central command desires it

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:42 | 5032006 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

At least they qualify for Obamacare, an Obamaphone,an Obamamortgage, and Obamasnap.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:48 | 5032031 MeMongo
MeMongo's picture

209....drop the zero....9-2=7...well at least Lagauard seems to have ben on to something! :-)

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:17 | 5032057 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Number 7......now serving number 7.

 

If you're going to do an occult ritual........make sure something happens man!

 

If you have too.....fake it! Otherwise people are going to be wondering what the hell that crazy crap was all about.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:11 | 5032119 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Look how well the Central Command is doing!  Look back at the peak years during Bush II and you see plus 350k months followed by plus 170k months....

But not this group.  Forward and upward!

Seriously, where is the normal variability we have had every year since the 1980's?  These numbers look more manufactured every month.

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:20 | 5032157 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Random number generation between a narrowly defined limits.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:42 | 5032004 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Yes.....but where's the beef?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:45 | 5032015 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Dead as Clara Peller Cog....

And speaking of her....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U80ebi4AKgs

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:54 | 5032055 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Is that Yellen Gellin' in front?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:47 | 5032026 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Beef? Beef is yesterday's menu. Now we're serving the new beef. Complete with ammonia, sawdust, and various other unknowns. Try it, you'll like it. He likes it....... Hey Mikey.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:19 | 5032152 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

That's old school. Here's where it's at today.

www.beyondmeat.com

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:28 | 5032191 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Sure looks good.  Gotta get some Kentucky elk burger!  The best there is.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:21 | 5032164 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Can you say..Soylent...?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:45 | 5032017 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

LOL

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:52 | 5032050 youngman
youngman's picture

Its to bad that Fast Food shops are not doing to well right now....

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:40 | 5031992 jay28elle
jay28elle's picture

Oh, how convenient...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:41 | 5032000 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The market's neurosis is increasingly showing. Man the life boats. Central bankers and corporate CEO's first.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:50 | 5032035 what's that smell
what's that smell's picture

note to tyler and zhedge....

every time you run the "deer-in-the-headlights" graphic, the stock market bottoms and a new leg of the bull commences.

it's a more predictable contrarian indicator than prechter over at elliott wave or the fabulous gartman.

BTFD!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:59 | 5032071 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yes, the wealthy are only "job creators" when they actually spend their money.  They missed their chance and will have to bailout some bond holders and banks (again).

 

"Winning"

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:35 | 5032219 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

The wealthy, as it is with those borrowing, only spend or borrow when there is an opportunity to earn income that exceeds risk. Does anyone here see income potential outside of the casino?

As a small businessman, I am not rich, but I do have savings and you can bet I have been setting on them and spending sparingly. But I did just spent 40K yesterday (and subsequently killed the market) on more equipment (capex) after much soul searching. its just plain scarey to let go of much in these markets, unless its not your money or you just don't give a fuck.

You can't blame the fisherman for leaving his boat in dock, if there are no fish biting. Yes it is a self fulfilling circle of doom. Government is not going to create jobs or stimulate the economy with dumping cash on it, as it will only grow more corruption. There is only one thing that can save us, outside of simply not spending what we don't have, and that is an actual hope in the future, the one thing that our government has done everything in their power to kill (hope and change not withstanding). This confidence is not going to come principally from words but from actions, and every action they have taken has only demonstrated the futility in actual productive behavior. When people can actually see and experience reward in work, in doing a good job, in making something, rather than placing a bet or buying crony influence or just simply demanding and taking what is not yours, we might have a chance...maybe.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:08 | 5032349 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

oldwood, some of the best you have posted on ZH, thanks

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:44 | 5032002 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

McDonald's meat contamination scare caused them to slow burger flipper hiring this month.  Equities are invited to a short squeeze pump fest hosted by Kev' and his seraglio of NYU trainees.   They are not going home for the weekend until they make a few bear assholes bloody. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:44 | 5032014 d edwards
d edwards's picture

This flood of f-ing illegals should really help unemployment. sarc

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:07 | 5032109 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

McDonald's meat contamination scare

 

Watch it.....the last time I brought up McDonald's I caught all kinds of hell for that.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:02 | 5032082 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Place your bets.  Think I'll add to my ASM position today, as it's been good to me so far this year.  The Fed is going to crash stocks and blame politicians in my book.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:43 | 5032009 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

It was a given that futures would come off their lows. that said, I wouldn't be surprised if we went either up or down today.

Amazing watching the breathless CNBC discussion about the end of the world with one down day.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:43 | 5032010 Cursive
Cursive's picture

This problem definitely has "QE" written all over it.  Or should I say underwritten?

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:46 | 5032018 junction
junction's picture

"These plunderers of the world [the Romans -- subtitute Americans now], after exhausting the land by their devastations, are rifling the ocean: stimulated by avarice, if their enemy be rich; by ambition, if poor; unsatiated by the East and by the West: the only people who behold wealth and indigence with equal avidity. To ravage, to slaughter, to usurp under false titles, they call empire; and where they make a desert, they call it peace." - Calgacus, a contemporary of the Roman historian Tacitus.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:47 | 5032025 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Janet will be getting to work on that NFP disappointment by raising QE levels at Jackson Hole. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:48 | 5032028 RiskyBidness
RiskyBidness's picture

Futures are up on this bullshit!!  These numbers just validate that 4% GDP is impossible.  We are fucked!!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:56 | 5032059 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@Risky Bidness

Yeah, but QE4/QE4eva will save stawkz!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:48 | 5032029 PlusTic
PlusTic's picture

June'14 was cycle peak for payrolls, it's all downhill from there...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:50 | 5032037 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

If today's market desperately needed some bad news, it got it moments ago...

In order words, Bullish!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:51 | 5032042 esum
esum's picture

gas and oil both dropped.... wtf?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:50 | 5032043 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

And now back to our regularly scheduled MARKET MANIPULATION......

 

h/t to Kevin Henry et. al.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:57 | 5032060 esum
esum's picture

summertime..... and the livin is easy..... (in the hamptons)....

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:57 | 5032061 youngman
youngman's picture

and the cease fire In Gaza lasted just a few hours....and we still have the Ukraine...BSE ....Argentina default..or is it....Ebola baby...life is good...

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:57 | 5032064 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

What happened to all those wealthy "job creators"?!?!?

 

/s

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:31 | 5032202 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

They're in hiding from the coming ebola zombie apocolypse.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:57 | 5032065 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Goldilocks economy, Goldilocks market:  We’re not quite out of the woods, but the bears have removed their sheep costumes.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:59 | 5032066 ekm1
ekm1's picture

The battle to control computers where money is created continues unabatted.

 

Bank Lobby accepts no new members, no new oligarchs.

 

Bullets through heads will fly soon, very unfortunately.

 

Those who control those computers are the ones who control the country.

 

Watch out for bullets and dead executives on streets, very unfortunaly, if bank lobby doesn't surrender or share power with other oligarchs who are not members of the 'money printing club'.

 

That is my prediction

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:01 | 5032078 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

You remain an optimist I see.  They will fill the FEMA camps first.  That is my prediction.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:03 | 5032089 ekm1
ekm1's picture

That assumes that elite is unified and monolithic.

That occurs only when winning portion of oligarchs has eliminated all other competing oligarchs financially or physically.

 

That has to happen first.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:20 | 5032159 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

ekm if I was an oligarch and you were an oligarch and we for some reason had a difference of opinion I would buy you a yach filled with some hookers and I am pretty sure we could come to some agreement that manages to keep us both filthy rich and happy. If it means a bunch of minions somewhere else has to suffer, so be it. 

Something tells me they will work things out amicably between themselves.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:23 | 5032172 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Yeaaa. But oligarchs view is worldwide view.

Putin, Jinping and Khamenei are disagreeing.

 

Don't discount the possibility of russians or even saudis sending professional killers to USA to eliminate few stubborn heads

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:32 | 5032209 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

I'd lay odds they're here already and waiting assignment instructions.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 08:59 | 5032073 schooltruth
schooltruth's picture

What's really amazing is the way when weakness is spotted in a BLS jobs report - ie, labor force participation - it magically starts going in the other direction.

 

I use traffic around major metro centers at 1pm on a weekday as my jobs market indicator.  Too much traffic out there in the middle of the day to believe these reports, unless, everyone is now a fashion blogger working from their car.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:25 | 5032410 Badabing
Badabing's picture

"I use traffic around major metro centers at 1pm on a weekday as my jobs market indicator. "
Just heading to the other part time job.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:02 | 5032080 ptoemmes
ptoemmes's picture

It coudla been worse....at least most of the 10,000 high paying techies who have been involuntarily retired probably became baristas - or self employedd app writers.

No offence to baristas or app writers.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:02 | 5032084 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

so let me fucking get this straight.

 

this morning, i wake up at around 5:55 am eastern, and i see dow futures r down 115, s&p down 13, and im thinking, hey maybe, just maybe, we will see another 1 and a half percent down day.

 

then we get as shitty of a jobs report as we can get, fucking 90,000 less jobs than last month ( if u fucking believe these bullshit numbers to begin with) and what does this fucking market do? it fucking wipes away all fucking losses on the futures just like that.

 

209,000 jobs is horrendous,its very scary times we live in how this is considered a decent number by most fucking douchebags in msm.

 

if this is considered fucking good, i do not want to know what bad looks like.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:17 | 5032142 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

Bad news is good news.

Bad job numbers mean that the Fed will keep pushing the QE heroin: Bullish.

Good numbers would have implied that rates will rise sooner than later: Bearish.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:20 | 5032158 laomei
laomei's picture

market's probably decided it's already priced-in for negative numbers.  seeing anything above 0 is better than expectations.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:02 | 5032323 ptoemmes
ptoemmes's picture

You're waking up too early.  I can't experience the first bi-polar swing until maybe 8:30AM ET - after my drugs have kicked in.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:05 | 5032088 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Don't worry, Steve LIESman will explain it so all the people less smarter than he is will understand it.   Steve, you're my hero!

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:09 | 5032112 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

Employment costs surge ... yesterday:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-31/risk-employment-costs-surge-whe...

... but job growth is down.

If there is a catch 22, then this is at least a catch "66".

I guess supply and demand mean nothing. Thank you MS. FED and O'bummer.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:10 | 5032114 Da chief
Da chief's picture

Under the continued framework that The Nikei will lead equities lower as per the 2007 crash Kong has it that USD has topped out here as of this morning ( prior to U.S data ) and that The Nikkei has now made a "Pin bar" on the weekly suggesting it's the top of "wave 2" before heading decidely lower.

More detail and expansion on how Japan and USD/JPY is essentially all anyone needs to be following to get an idea of where we go next:

http://forexkong.com/2014/08/01/usd-topping-out-nikkei-weekly-pin-bar/

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:11 | 5032117 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

The term "the new normal" has not been used much as of late, but going forward it may be about to return. Many investors and the public at large may be about to realize that central banks can only do so much through printing money and lowering interest rates. Both these actions carry with them some very strong and nasty side effects.

Markets have become very distorted as money has flowed into risky assets in search of higher yields. It could be we are about to see the markets morph into a "realizing market", one that grinds slowly downward. Another possibility is that at some point the wisdom of buying every pullback changes and the market simply drops like a stone. More on what the future might hold in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/06/realistic-expectations-for-econom...

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:12 | 5032122 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Wall St needs MOAR LAYOFFS!!!!11111

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:12 | 5032123 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

CNBC is like that reality TV show "Jackass" except without a midget.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:18 | 5032147 Hindenburg...Oh Man
Hindenburg...Oh Man's picture

Just because CNBC and all the financial talking heads have decreed bad news = good news based on the employment data and the reaction of the futures market, don't be surprised if shitty news = shitty day on the market. I personally think they are a little too smug about the comeback this AM...bad news is bad news lately I think. 

 

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:29 | 5032193 Australian Economist
Australian Economist's picture

US economy adds 209,000 jobs in July

The US economy added 209,000 jobs in July adding to optimism that the US economy is roaring once more.

At least the BBC is fair, balanced and impartial.

 

ROARING! Time to buy stawks

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:28 | 5032196 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Quicker, more illegals and H1bs, that will fix the problem.

- Obama, the Senate and Congress.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:34 | 5032217 adr
adr's picture

SO guy A loses his $60k a year job and is forced to take two part time jobs which together make him $30k. To the statistician, this is two jobs created.

If 30 million people lose their jobs and have to take multiple part time jobs, you can have greater than 60 million new jobs show up in the numbers. While great for showing job growth, the real story is one not to write home about. Someone getting a new job after losing one is not increasing employment, just replacing it.

The labor numbers are complete bullshit, even running with the BS figure total jobs may have hit a record number, that doesn't mean there are 139 million actual people holding them. The labor force participation rate does not point to any employment gains. It is impossible for more people to be employed if the percentage of people with a job goes down.

The simplicity of the real statistics has to be masked with layer after layer of absolute BS so that nobody can tell what is really going on. For if the truth was really known it would be pretty hard to justify gains in stocks.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:45 | 5032258 ekm1
ekm1's picture

brilliant

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 12:33 | 5033247 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Something close to that is what has happened to me starting about 7 years ago or so.  But the real beginning was 9-11.  It has been rocky since then even though we were blessed with some really good financial years.  Bottom line is though that I came back to the Lord.  Back in a way only adversity could make me come back: on my knees with tears in my eyes and complete collapse of confidence in 'the game.'  It was my epiphany.  Miraculous things began to happen for us, quickly, at that time.  And have continued to this day.  I tell you, my friends, if we want to avert WW III, if we want to restore our country, if we want peace and prosperity for America, we best be getting on our knees in humble supplication and tell God He comes first.  It is the ONLY way this travil will be avoided - the ONLY way.  Trust me.  I've seen it with my own experience.  Do it. 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:37 | 5032224 Temerity Trader
Temerity Trader's picture

Well, ZH perma-bears, if we have really reached peak everything through mindless Fed money creation, we are about to see some serious downside.  The greater fools theory breaks down with loss of HOPE that the Fed will fix it all; the party is over and rearranging the deck chairs won’t help anymore. With their failure to create good jobs after $4.5T in money printing, we slide downhill in every category from here. A housing bust of biblical proportions starting in the SFO area is coming, as tech companies and Silicon Valley end their 40 year run.  The next Detroit.

The Fed will desperately try to jawbone the markets higher, but any attempt to reverse policy will show they have failed and most everything now depends 99% on their money creation.  More panic stock selling, and we spiral down, this time for good.

 

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:38 | 5032228 Not Goldman Sachs
Not Goldman Sachs's picture

Still some "slack" in the job market....slack in the rope maybe.

Keep printing

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:02 | 5032328 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Slacker market or loafing market?

http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_TGQ7rGL-Q

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:54 | 5032290 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Steve Liesman looked puzzled 

 

http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000297794

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:54 | 5032295 A82EBA
A82EBA's picture

They keep doing the same thing and we keep expecting different results

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 09:58 | 5032305 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

And of course the next article needs to focus on the breakdown of those jobs added.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:02 | 5032319 Burticus
Burticus's picture

The propaganda-free chart just updated by Honest Injun John Williams of Shadowstats shows a gradually increasing 23% unemployment rate.

http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:08 | 5032350 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

What's this about "wage growth estimates"?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 10:47 | 5032497 PirateOfBaltimore
PirateOfBaltimore's picture

Recovery summer x.0 bitchez.

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 11:34 | 5032769 redd_green
redd_green's picture

Unemployment 6.2%?   On what planet?

Fri, 08/01/2014 - 11:36 | 5032797 Jano
Jano's picture

if they would applay the EU methodology for unemployment stat, to evaluate the US, then US would have at least 20%.

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