This Is How Putin's Advisor Sees The Ukraine Crisis Playing Out

Tyler Durden's picture

Vladimir Putin's chief "integration" advisor, Sergei Glazyev, has been regularly featured on these pages in the past (see Putin Advisor Threatens With Dumping US Treasurys, Abandoning Dollar If US Proceeds With Sanctions and Putin Advisor Proposes "Anti-Dollar Alliance" To Halt US Aggression Abroad for two examples). So now that the Ukraine situation has once again escalated, this time with both sides openly engaged in trade war and many suggesting all-out war just over the horizon, how does Putin's advisor see the Ukraine conflict playing out?

For the answer we go to Bloomberg:

Putin has sought to lure Ukraine and its more than 40 million people into the alliance to build a trading bloc to rival the EU. Yanukovych pursued closer ties with the customs union and pulled out of an association agreement with the EU before his ouster in February. His successor, President Petro Poroshenko, signed the free-trade accord with the 28-nation bloc in June.

 

Russia can’t go it alone against the U.S. and must create an “anti-war coalition” to check the “aggressor,” Glazyev said.

 

The point of a series of regional wars organized by the Americans, especially today’s catastrophe in Ukraine, centers on the U.S. securing control over all of north Eurasia” to bolster “its position against China,” Glazyev said. “That’s how the U.S. military and oligarchs are trying to maintain leadership in the global competition with China.”

 

The effort will backfire, said Glazyev, who spoke before a round of retaliatory steps announced by Russia yesterday banning food and agricultural products for one year from the U.S., the EU, Norway, Canada and Australia. The U.S.-led “economic war” against Russia will ricochet, leaving the EU to pay the steepest costs in the conflict, he said.

 

The trading bloc stands to lose about 1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion), an estimate he says includes the possible bankruptcy of several European banks and companies toppled after the cutoff in financial and economic ties. An energy crisis in Europe will bring a sharp spike in prices and a loss of competitiveness for European producers. Meanwhile, Turkish, Chinese and east Asian nations will fill the void left by the departure of their European rivals from the Russian market.

 

The fallout will cost 250 billion euros for Germany alone while pushing the three Baltic states to the brink of an “economic catastrophe,” he said. Lithuania and Latvia will lose the equivalent of half of their entire economic output, and the cost for Estonia will reach 50 percent more than its gross domestic product, Glazyev said.

Where does that leave Russia?

“Task no. 1 is to block those threats to economic security that are now coming from the U.S., neutralize them by reducing the dependence of our external economic activity on the mercy of American politicians, whose aggressiveness threatens the entire world,” he said.

Glazyev's conclusion:

To further insulate its economy, Russia should abandon the use of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, according to Glazyev. Russia, which international reserves are the world’s fifth-biggest, needs to diversify its holdings to include China’s yuan, India’s rupee and Brazil’s real.  “If a country aspires to reserve status for its currency, it should behave properly, and that isn’t the case today,” Glazyev said.

And this is how Putin sees the world. De-escalation? Good luck.

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ajax's picture

 

 

"If nuking Japan was alright to save lives faced with a possibility of bloody land invasion"

OH PUHLEEZE!! Japan was nuked TWICE in the summer of 1945. WWII was already over for all intents and purposes.There was NO possibility of any fucking land invasion.

 

 

JuliaS's picture

The reason Japan and not Germany got bombed was that Russkies beat us to Berlin by 3 months before the multi-billion dollar (in 1940's money) Manhattan Project was finished.

The reason 2 bombs were dropped, not 1, 5 or 20 had nothing to do with the surrender ultimatum. There were simply 2 bombs physically built. From the get go, the scientists wanted to use enriched uranium which was plentiful in raw form but needed refinement. It took over 3 years to collect enough of it using all available resources in America. Higher potency, but more rare plutonium bomb was commissioned as a backup, in case they didn't collect enough primary fuel.

... yet with all the effot, both bombs still weren't ready when needed. By the time the last scews went into little boy and fat man, Stalin, Churchill and Roosevelt were already done carving up Germany and shipping out their war trophies.

The war was over, but the battle of oportunity continued. US was allowed to pound decimated Japan while Britain cleaned up Middle East, and Russia advanced South-East as far as Korea.

We say: "War didn't end with Hitler. It ended with Japan." Well, in that case, it didn't end with Japan either. Russia kept "fighting" for 2 whole weeks after Mamoru Shigemitsu signed the documents aboard USS Missouri.

Hitler was a boogeyman who needed to be kept alive just a little while longer. That suicide almost messed up our plan, but in hindsight, who cares! We got to write our own history books anyway.

omniversling's picture

Japan was planning to send 'fire balloons' into the jetstream above the Pacific to bomb the US mainland. Littleboy and Fatman were the 'disproportional response' technique that the Israelis have learned so well. Since 311 Japan is having the last laff.

The decision to glasspark Hiroshima and Nagasaki was also to demonstrate to the rest of the world that the US was the baddest Mutha on the planet (having already firebombed Japan's civillian populations mercilessly), and to oneup Britain's Dresden show. Being the baddest MF on the planet paved the way for 900 bases worldwide and Global Reserve Currency. The treasury however is now empty, and like other empires before, this usually signifies the endgame. What will wounded beast do in it's death-throes, with the planet's largest weapons cache? A final Sampson Option endgame? Moar moar 'shock and awe'? 

The devolution will not be able to be televised.

drdolittle's picture

If we can control all the energy sources in that region we can stay on top for awhile. Resource wars!

jballz's picture

Ungrateful commies. We have them a free and democratic coup with a shitload of IMF money and they want to side with these Ed snowden loving elected fucks in Moscow?

Put the iron curtain back up we don't need this shit.

Gorod-Geroy Xerson's picture

How about the next false flag with something along the lines of:  "Vella Gulf sunk of the coast of Sochi.  Obama: We must act to rid the world of evil..." 

Ariadne's picture

Complete bullshit. Sergei Glazyev is the Russian Jay Carney. 

Quus Ant's picture

He agrees with American strategists.

The Project for the New America Century

"Elements of US Army Europe should be redeployed to Southeast Europe, while a permanent unit should be based in the Persian Gulf region."

 

Yes, Bullshit.  From sea to shining sea.

Ariadne's picture

I'm not informing you what I was and what I did, I am telling you what I am as it affects your future if you don't get smart right NOW.

Quus Ant's picture

"Come with me if you want to live....." -Felix the Cat

 

disabledvet's picture

Perrty much. And "Israel Attacks !"stands out too.

Looks like there's a STORM a brewin!

Duffy Duck's picture

Jay Carney is the Russian Jay Carney.

Son of Captain Nemo's picture

If a country aspires to reserve status for its currency, it should behave properly, and that isn’t the case today,” Glazyev said.

The most important statement from his speech and the only one that matters most!

Why won't the U.S. learn from it's mistakes and just rebuild it's currency status the way the Russians did after the fall of the U.S.S.R.?

Problem solved!

Coletrane's picture

Blinded by their own power and cannot fathom the thought that they might be wrong

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

It's not what the Deep State (The Shadow Government, The Power Behind The Throne) wants.

Like the damn Borg, they only know Total World Control, via Full Spectrum Domination.  By ANY and ALL means necessary.  They will NOT stop, until they are stopped.

The good news is... that they can be stopped, because their numbers are small (<2%) and they are, by necessity of these number, so highly leveraged in their power and wealth.  They use the amplifying effect of the Media, the Fed/Finance, and Politics to retain power over the 98%.  And NO demographic group (even the 'Chosen/self-Chosen People') may not be represented in the Halls of Power & Influence by more than their statistically fair share -- if real checks & balances are to be kept.

The bad news is... that you've got to discard all the distorted notions they taught you at Sunday School or Public School.  Forget "Turning the other cheek", forget "unconditional love".  They've morphed into pretexts/cover for "Unconditional Aid" and "Asymmetric Aid".  It's high time for "Quid Pro Quo":  Value for Value, and Reciprocity for Reciprocity, or all bets are off.

Son of Captain Nemo's picture

"Forget "Turning the other cheek", forget "unconditional love".  They've morphed into pretexts/cover for "Unconditional Aid" and "Asymmetric Aid".  It's high time for "Quid Pro Quo":  Value for Value, and Reciprocity for Reciprocity, or all bets are off."

"."

Kirk

Rules to live by if you not only want to succeed but more importantly earn and retain the respect of your business associates long term!


Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Not sure I understand you, so allow me to reframe my position on sound, long-term and personal and business relationships.

I learned and believe that:

   - Trust, Respect and Loyalty are earned.

   - Quid pro Quo (value for value, this for that)

   - Reciprocity (You want a mosque in our country, and practice you faith openly?  Fine, we'll build a Church in yours, and practice our faith in yours.)

   - Nothing wrong with being Liked.  But it is better to be Trusted and Respected than Liked.  W/o those two, the Liking or Love won't last anyway.

   - Being matters more than Having.  You can lose your Stuff (disaster, health, theft), but they can't steal your Character.

   - Practice Courtesy and good Manners, and demand the same, but don't confuse them with genuine Kindness.

   - Truth is like Salt, Lies are like Pepper, and Libido-love is like Sugar.  You need them all, but too much of any is bad for you.

   - Add Value and Equity to the bank account of all relationships.  You need to put funds in, to take them out or earn an ROI.  A friend or partner is as a friend or partner does.

   - There are many forms of Courage:  Physical courage, Financial courage, Emotional courage, Civil courage.  Learn to be proficient and fit in all forms.  Few people are.

That's enough for today.  It's Friday night on the West Coast.  Happy Hour!  Now... where's Mrs Kirk with that drink and two-lips that she promised?  (Two-lips for tulips.  Example of Quid Pro Quo).

omniversling's picture

Thnx Kirk, enjoy yr posts... Jim Beam up...

tumblemore's picture

"Why won't the U.S. learn from it's mistakes and just rebuild it's currency status"

 

The banking mafia want their economic cake in China (because they make more money that way) but at the same time want their military cake in America. The only way to have both is to effectively force the rest of the world to pay tribute to fund the military which is what the reserve currency and petrodollar provides - tribute.

 


ptoemmes's picture

In Gallup Poll, The Biggest Threat To World Peace Is...America?

https://prod01-cdn01.cdn.firstlook.org/wp-uploads/sites/1/2014/08/iraq11...

Taken from the slightly out of thread context from here

https://firstlook.org/theintercept/2014/08/08/us-bombing-iraq-redundant-...

disabledvet's picture

More like "America's friends"...closely followed by "the Americans."

WE DIDN'T START THIS THING PILGRIM BUT WE SURE AS HECK ARE GONNA END IT!

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Yup, like I said... It comes down to who get "there" first: DOLLAR'S END-RUN vs. DOLLAR-ENDS RUN!

A. Russia leads the charge to de-Dollarize and dethrone the USD from its GRC Eagle's Nest - before the US Neo/Zio-cons "attack" Russia, or...

B. If the US Neo/Zio-cons can prevent the EU from pivoting toward Asia and away from the Anglo-American Alliance, using Russia as The Patsy/Villain.

Fiat Currency & Debt, Gas, Oil, Trade, the MIC and regional politics are the means to America's Big Game of global control and their NWO.  Strategic Planning might go on in DC, but Strategic Intent goes on in NY and Tel Aviv. 

The Five Eyes (US, UK, Canada, Australia, NZ) are all synched up, and serve only One Master.  We know where the British Bulldog stands.  The French are schizo: pro-US and pro-EU, which is not always the same.  The Germans are trying to be adult about it, but only with limited success with their High-Wire act.  Eventually even Mutti will have to come down to earth and make concrete decisions as to what's best for Germany and the EU:  Be America's house-dog or Germany's Shepherd.

q99x2's picture

Dude, task number 1 was not to commit treason against your own country by sending all the manufacturing to fucking China in the first place. Now the world has to find a way to arrest all these dumb fucks before they destroy everything.

Calling George Bush Sr. You are going down in history as a whack job even before you are dead M'Fer.

Monty Burns's picture

I don't think these people were/are dumb fucks at all.  They knew exactly what they were doing and why.  That's not to say they won't totally fuck everything up.....

Snake's picture

It all has to be understood in a much broader geopolitical context: delinking, decolonization, dewesternization (and the effort to re colon/westen/link).

See: Mignolo, Maldonado Torres, Rivera Cusicanqui et al on BRICS, MINT and Latin America.

http://criticallegalthinking.com/2012/05/02/delinking-decoloniality-dewe...

 http://criticallegalthinking.com/2012/03/21/neither-capitalism-nor-commu...

 http://www.decolonialtranslation.com/english/maldonado-on-the-colonialit...

 http://books.google.com.ar/books?id=Ghah5S3usnsC&pg=PA508&lpg=PA508&dq=r...

 

 

The Phallic Crusader's picture

Putin, from where I'm standing, and whatever his faults, continues to be the only adult in the room.

barre-de-rire's picture

i knew i should have take the blue pill.

elegance's picture

Newsflash: Russia is corrupted basket case country, way more than USSA (although USSA is catching up quickly). But GRU agent Durden wouldn't want to write that, would he... 

DeliciousSteak's picture

Russia is just taking its first steps after waking up from a drunken slumber. A bit hazy and confused but if allowed will regain its vigor. The question is what kind of Russia will then emerge? Americans and eastern Europeans don't seem too interested in finding out.

potato's picture

Russia is a bigger police state than USSA. Alexa statistics betray that the vast majority of ZH visitors live in the USSA and therefore have likely never lived in a second-world country. The Russian oligarchs are no different than the American ones, and every victory for Russia, or for USSA, is a victory for unaccountable business interests. 

Putin and Obama don"t give two shits about freedom, income inequality, or anything else. Putin is far from the Savior on the White Horse messiah figure many here judge him to be.

Idaho potato head's picture

Obviously you have never been to Russian or any of the former USSR
, for example Kazakhstan, financial freedom there leaves the US in the dust,plus the food is much healthier, even fast food.
BTW financial freedom is freedom period!

Duffy Duck's picture

kazakh women are super hot and slutty.

Ward no. 6's picture

weird about the rebbe schneerson having an honor day...

 

messystateofaffairs's picture

I judge people by their actions, not their words, most particularly politicians. Putins actions and measured temperence speaks for itself, Obama is a destructive Zionist autobot cloaked in the type of cheap charm that only works on the most dumbed down of individuals.

IndianaJohn's picture

potato, -- don't be such a sour grapes. The jew tribe had the blood and wealth of Russia to feast on for 70 years. Because of their hubris, the final wealth of the world slipped from their grasp. Without bloodshed too, so give an earnest prayer of thanksgiving for that, and accept your losses.

bid the soldiers shoot's picture

"Russia is a bigger police state than USSA"

Don't you see?  It has to be. Russia is fighting the CIA which has a budget of $50 billion a year.  

That requires more of a police state than the USA has because the FSB's budget is just a fraction of the US's.

flapdoodle's picture

I disagree - more money means more police state, not less. No money for the State results in a laissez-faire, libertarian society. Laws without the technical and logistical means to enforce them are meaningless. The money provides the technical and logistical means...

bid the soldiers shoot's picture

I suppose you are right.

more money means more police state, 

And the US is the biggest police state. The CIA, FBI, NSA all have their own budgets. And are not under the same constraints as the FSB is  --  to be very visable.

The FSB lets everyone know it will knock heads together. Their reputation is part of their effectiveness.

The FBI will shoot you in the back seven times. And no charges will be filed. The US MSM will carry the story a day or two and then the 'memory hole'.

Like you said, the more money, the more police state.


SofaPapa's picture

While I agree that Russia is much weaker than the US and that their corruption is at least as bad, if not worse, it is ironically that very weakness which leads to a greater trust of Russia.  Russia does not have the capacity for causing world trouble that the US does.  If they had the capacity, would they use it?  Probably.  But because they don't (and they know it), they are in the position of needing to put forth a more defensive and "ally against the greater evil" approach.  Thus the Russians are more trustworthy in the current geopolitical context than are the US.

computer_america's picture

Don't you guys see the signs of our time? Like every empire going down and USA is going faaaaast.

Looks like the more advanced the technology faster and faster empires rise and fall.

swmnguy's picture

Interestingly, someone here in a post the other day referenced Sir John Glubb's treatise, "The Fate of Empires."  Glubb posited that Empires tend to last about 10 generations.  They don't always fall in obvious ways, or they turn into something else, but that roughly 250 year period pretty much captures the arc of foundation, ascent, and decline. 

espirit's picture

Are we there yet?

The welfare state is pretty much the final nail in the decadence coffin.

(I'm still waiting on nationalized healthcare, tho')

ajax's picture

 

 

The welfare state or unbridled plutocracy?? Which is it espirit?

Hobo Sapien's picture

"Glubb examined eleven empires over a timespan of almost 3,000 years, from Assyria to the British Empire, and found that each followed an astoundingly similar path of growth and decline.

He found that empires have a lifespan of about ten human generations, two hundred and fifty years, and that changing technology and methods of warfare do not affect this life expectancy.

Glubb also found that empires were remarkably consistent in their growth and decline, moving through six readily identifiable stages, which he called the Age(s) of Pioneers, Conquest, Commerce, Affluence, Intellect and Decadence.

About the USA, Glubb wrote: “The United States arose suddenly as a new nation, and its period of pioneering was spent in the conquest of a vast continent, not an ancient empire. Yet the subsequent life history of the United States has followed the standard pattern … the periods of the pioneers, of commerce, of affluence, of intellectualism and of decadence.”

"

“As the nation declines in power and wealth, a universal pessimism gradually pervades the people, and itself hastens the decline … Frivolity is the frequent companion of pessimism … The resemblance between declining nations in this respect is truly surprising … The Roman mob, as we have seen, demanded free meals and public games … Gladiatorial shows, chariot races and athletic events were their passion. In the Byzantine Empire, the rivalries of the Greens and the Blues in the hippodrome attained the importance of a major crisis … The heroes of declining nations are always the same – the athlete, the singer or the actor.”

http://www.the-spearhead.com/2010/01/14/john-bagot-glubb/

Good Stuff. Click that link.

ajax's picture

 

 

And Oscar Wilde said:

"America is the only country that went from barbarism to decadence without civilization in between." 

IronForge's picture

Considering the Regime Changes and the Drone strikes, I think the "Barbarism" is still alive.

Can we consider this a "Barbarism and Decadence" kind of a Decline?

Hobo Sapien's picture

I'd argue that Bieberism is decadence. Oh, sorry.

bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

All thats going to happen now is a greater push for the US-EU trade agreement that stalled.
Now the US has leverage with the EU, sign the agreement or suffer DOOM.
I thought that Russians were good at chess?