This Is How Putin's Advisor Sees The Ukraine Crisis Playing Out

Tyler Durden's picture

Vladimir Putin's chief "integration" advisor, Sergei Glazyev, has been regularly featured on these pages in the past (see Putin Advisor Threatens With Dumping US Treasurys, Abandoning Dollar If US Proceeds With Sanctions and Putin Advisor Proposes "Anti-Dollar Alliance" To Halt US Aggression Abroad for two examples). So now that the Ukraine situation has once again escalated, this time with both sides openly engaged in trade war and many suggesting all-out war just over the horizon, how does Putin's advisor see the Ukraine conflict playing out?

For the answer we go to Bloomberg:

Putin has sought to lure Ukraine and its more than 40 million people into the alliance to build a trading bloc to rival the EU. Yanukovych pursued closer ties with the customs union and pulled out of an association agreement with the EU before his ouster in February. His successor, President Petro Poroshenko, signed the free-trade accord with the 28-nation bloc in June.

 

Russia can’t go it alone against the U.S. and must create an “anti-war coalition” to check the “aggressor,” Glazyev said.

 

The point of a series of regional wars organized by the Americans, especially today’s catastrophe in Ukraine, centers on the U.S. securing control over all of north Eurasia” to bolster “its position against China,” Glazyev said. “That’s how the U.S. military and oligarchs are trying to maintain leadership in the global competition with China.”

 

The effort will backfire, said Glazyev, who spoke before a round of retaliatory steps announced by Russia yesterday banning food and agricultural products for one year from the U.S., the EU, Norway, Canada and Australia. The U.S.-led “economic war” against Russia will ricochet, leaving the EU to pay the steepest costs in the conflict, he said.

 

The trading bloc stands to lose about 1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion), an estimate he says includes the possible bankruptcy of several European banks and companies toppled after the cutoff in financial and economic ties. An energy crisis in Europe will bring a sharp spike in prices and a loss of competitiveness for European producers. Meanwhile, Turkish, Chinese and east Asian nations will fill the void left by the departure of their European rivals from the Russian market.

 

The fallout will cost 250 billion euros for Germany alone while pushing the three Baltic states to the brink of an “economic catastrophe,” he said. Lithuania and Latvia will lose the equivalent of half of their entire economic output, and the cost for Estonia will reach 50 percent more than its gross domestic product, Glazyev said.

Where does that leave Russia?

“Task no. 1 is to block those threats to economic security that are now coming from the U.S., neutralize them by reducing the dependence of our external economic activity on the mercy of American politicians, whose aggressiveness threatens the entire world,” he said.

Glazyev's conclusion:

To further insulate its economy, Russia should abandon the use of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, according to Glazyev. Russia, which international reserves are the world’s fifth-biggest, needs to diversify its holdings to include China’s yuan, India’s rupee and Brazil’s real.  “If a country aspires to reserve status for its currency, it should behave properly, and that isn’t the case today,” Glazyev said.

And this is how Putin sees the world. De-escalation? Good luck.

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Flybyknight's picture

You miss the point. I am sure Russia has its share of idiot expansionist nationalists but a great deal of progress had been made in including Russia as a world citizen. The US has imore than its share of these aggressive pricks and unfortunately they have the power at present and are promoting a course of action that could be disastrous. Aggressive US foreign policy has been characterised throughout the world for its lack of success and the same will happen in the Ukraine. Unless of course they see success as death destruction creation of failed states and the resulting "terroism" that we all need to be protected from 

trader1's picture

you miss the point.

and you actually think dugin is an idiot?

Dublinmick's picture

Sounds like another khazar fruitcake .... follow me I have this great new ideology yada yada yada.

Kina's picture

Instead of just posting links all the time how about opinion....there is too much of a thing when it becomes abuse of the site.

Kina's picture

Indeed those who continually just sprout hatred of Jews does this site no good and gives it the wrong reputation.

Hatred if it needs to exist should be finely targetted and not to condemn a whole ethinic, racial or religious group because of one 'sect' of it being pure bastards. There are 200 odd million Muslims in Indonesia who enjoy a peaceful harmonious life with the world, likewise Jewish persons and so on. The stupid 'war on terror' after 9/11 had the sole purpose of creating enemies of the state around the world, the attempt to euqate Arab with Muslim with Terrorist and so on....you get the picture....and reading some people here the plan worked pretty welll. FORTUNATELY it is only minority here who are pig ignorant in that respect.

omniversling's picture

True that, but I've seen repeated here over and over the distinction between those of the Jewish religion/race, and the political Zionists, who are not of the Jewish faith/religion/race/culture:

Sleazebag Sen. Joe Biden I'm a Zionist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZvypFPscP8 

btdt's picture

Good point. Call them Khazars instead of Jews.

fxchange's picture

Russia is deeply concerned about recent  U.S. air force drill in the state of Texas. It is so close to Mexico.

Kina's picture

If the plan of the US is to provoke Russia into the Ukriane in order to stoke a NATO/Europe US-proxy war then it is a suicide mission for all.

 

The US will gain nothing, and in the long run lose out. Such a thing will finally cost the US its reputation, allies and hegemony. The cost that would be born by Europe will be enough for all of them to dump the USA, and create the understanding of the need to work in harmony with countries like Russia.

 

A Russia NATO Ukraine US-Proxy war will be very very costly in all sorts of ways....and make populations and countries very sick of it very quickly.

 

PS: And nobody here in condemning the continaul waring tactic of the US believes Russia to be much better, or Putin to be a kind Uncle.

Bumbu Sauce's picture

Pestilence, famine, injustice, and war?

 

Did he lay it out in that order?

Perimetr's picture

Glazyev also says Ukraine will have 500,000 soldiers in its armed forces by the end of the year, which will be used to attack Crimea.

Meanwhile, The Russian Aggression Prevention Act is making its way through Congress.  Once passed, it will make Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova into "majlor non-NATO allies", allowing the US to send weapons and troops to Ukraine.  $200 million worth of weapons by the end of 2014.

The Russian Aggression Prevent Act also specifies that the US will level sanctions against any nation that recognizes Crimea as part of Russia.  This supports the extremist governmnet in Kiev, whose stated policy is to retake Crimea. The new Ukrainian defense minister has stated that he will have "a victory march in Sevastopol", where the Russian naval base is.

 

 

WhyWait's picture

The twist is that the Ukraine so-called "government" is probably going to collapse.  

See:  http://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraines-dystopian-descent-into-military-di...

As its economy and army collapse, the junta leaders grow ever more desperate for a war with Russia that will bring NATO/US direct intervention.  Putin is playing a very tight game, displaying amazing patience.  New and more outrageous provocations can be expected.

If all else fails, I would expect the Ukies to pull troops out of the battle for Donetsk and use them to launch a hopeless attack on Crimea.  Expect Russia to slap them down while US howls for war, but not pursue them.

The greatest danger moment may be when the Uke army collapses before an attack by the resistance forces, who then begin to pursue them to Kirkov, Dniepopetrovsk and on to Kiev.  The US will frame this as Russian aggression, much as they framed the collapse of the South Korean puppet army in 1950 as "Communist Aggression".

This time the world will be less quick to believe them.

JohninMK's picture

Like the UK, Crimea has a huge defensive advantage, a moat. There is no way Ukrainian forces would get across it. It is only possible with a full NATO assault and that is WW3.

Don't forget that Crimea is now part of Russia. If Ukraine attacks it is a declaration of war on Russia, so can expect a 'full' response from Russia that would include the destruction of every military asset in the whole of Ukraine. Probably remotely by air and long range weapons. Russia would not want to set foot in the country.

I doubt that the Militia, if they beat the Ukrainian Army, would venture far ourside their own territory apart from srecific revenge strikes. It is not in Russia's interests and Russia would probably not give them the fuel, it is a very long way to Kiev.

observer007's picture
NL: Open letter to President Putin

Dear Mr. President Putin,

Please accept our apologies on behalf of a great many people here in the Netherlands for our Government and our Media. The facts concerning MH17 are twisted to defame you and your country.

 

full letter:

http://homment.com/putinlett

Karaio's picture

There as I sign this agreement text? 

If there are, say. 

Congratulations! 

There's more, an interesting link to the Dutch: 

http://acloserlookonsyria.shoutwiki.com/wiki/List_of_MH17_airframe_parts

 

Grateful.

Herdee's picture

I don't think that the average working American was counting on foreign governments around the globe financing the deficits of The United States of America.You can temporarily print fiat paper currency in order to give the impression to the general public that everything's OK, but all those that are knowledgeable about economics know that the drunken party of Keynesianism eventually has to end.What happens is basically very simple reasoning.The global reserve currency that The United States enjoys must have the credibility and confidence that it deserves from the majority of the world's population.Just look around the globe and witness wars,primitive economic activities,violations of citizens basic rights.It's still called FASCISM.The competing economic blocks around the world shows the beginning of the end game for The Dollar.Is modern day Rome going to end shortly?No,but give it time,keep up on world events.You need to watch.Nobody ever thinks that anything different from our normal lives can ever happen here in North America,but major changes are happening as we speak.If you don't have a lot of time and could only choose a few  websites to do your own investigations of economics and global events then choose SilverDoctors and KingWorldNews and GlobalResearch.ca.Like Ron Paul and Larry King both say "knowledge is power and question more".Be an independant mindset and a world citizen not a "flag waving, country worshipping,blind fool."

Contrarian View's picture

This part of his statement:

The point of a series of regional wars organized by the Americans, especially today’s catastrophe in Ukraine, centers on the U.S. securing control over all of north Eurasia” to bolster “its position against China,” Glazyev said. “That’s how the U.S. military and oligarchs are trying to maintain leadership in the global competition with China.”

is pure, paranoid, mendacious propaganda of the traditional Stalinist and Hitlerian style. The desire to see those nations who became free of the Russian empire remiain free has nothing to do with "securing control over all of north Eurasia". And "US military and oligarchs" do not work together in a New World order strategy. Anyone can see that Glazyev is projecting from how things work under Putin's new fascism in his own country.

Once again, under the guise of seeming sophistricated, ZH has swallowed anti-American propaganda hook, line and sinker. It's fine to publish analysis of the economi warfare that Russia is waging against Obama's stupid sanctions and to take advantage of the weakness that Obama has inflicted on the US. But don't give any credence to their lies - that doesn't make you look worldly, just gullible.

therevolutionwas's picture

Zero Hedge has not swallowed anything.  BOTH SIDES have stupid governments.  The US is the aggressor here...THAT is the point.  And there is a ton of reasons besides this issue to be anti- American GOVERNMENT.  Hate the state.

rwe2late's picture

Contrarian

Apparently, you are either ignorant or deliberately obtuse to NATO expansionism, PNAC plans for economic control, and Pentagon policy of full spectrum dominance and containment aimed to PREVENT the rise (development) of any nation which MIGHT pose a potential threat to US dominance.

When Russia has hundreds of foreign military bases throughout the world, daily conducts assassinations and drone attacks, renditions and tortures suspects, and claims an "indispensible" right to do so, you can be sure to find us all at ZH condemning Russia for those things (except of course those "contrary").

 

here's more, perhaps too subtle for the obtuse

----------------------------------------

Mr Obama: It is. …..One thing I will say about China, though, is you also have to be pretty firm with them, because they will push as hard as they can until they meet resistance. They’re not sentimental, and they are not interested in abstractions. And so simple appeals to international norms are insufficient. There have to be mechanisms both to be tough with them when we think that they’re breaching international norms, …… And what is true for China then becomes an analogy for many of the other emerging markets.

And champions interventions when done by "indispensable" USA

Mr. Obama: Well, look, there’s no doubt that a robust, interventionist foreign policy on behalf of certain principles, ideals or international rules is not a tradition that most countries embrace. And in the 20th century and in the early stages of the 21st century, the United States continues to be the one indispensable power that is willing to spend blood and treasure on that.

http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/08/08/obama-continues-psyop-against-rus...

Mr. Obama: The United States will use military force, unilaterally if necessary, when our core interests demand it. International opinion matters, but America will never ask permission …

Mr. Obama: I believe in American exceptionalism with every fibre of my being.
 - Obama’s speech at the West Point military academy on 28 May 2014
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In repudiating international law and the rights of independent people and nations, the American president claims a divinity based on the might of his “indispensable nation”. It is a familiar message of imperial impunity, still always chilling to hear.

JohninMK's picture

The US is the biggest bully on the block, with the biggest stick, and don't forget it.

LongMarch's picture

You sir, is straight out wrong. The U.S does not torture suspects;it tortures folks.

 

Karaio's picture

So far have not figured out how the "Mordachais" of life receive $ to comment here and break serious conversations. 

The only one I could squeeze had already told me that college. 

Kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk! 

Bunch of morons beginners in Blog. 

Do not say who they are, do not tell whence it cometh, think we are all idiots. 

Generally these guys post huge bricks of text copied from elsewhere trying to break an interesting thought that is developing, is a classic anti-tactical blog is like sending a DDOS attack on a site. 

Not show the guy has no country of origin as the Slovak, Lithuanian and the others who comment here. 

People who live in the shadows, evil thing. 

These guys fuck them, I hope that most of the well can differentiate. 

hehe

Dublinmick's picture

"Bunch of morons beginners in Blog. "

It really does get old. I call it ziobonics, dumbing down the tone of a blog. The idea is make everyone seem as stupid as they are.

Karaio's picture

Dublimnimic: 

Are not so dumb but deserve the government they have. 

Always say, "Democracy" is a thing of "demo" (devil). 

Nothing like having a good dictatorship to put things on the bob. 

Of course this does not apply to Egypt, Turkey, the Persian Gulf countries, would be too. 

Kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk. 

ISIS killed few people for a while, when they come to Israel let me know, I'll be in a bunker. 

hehe.

TabakLover's picture

Putin need not fire a shot.  Just find a way to crash the SP 500 to 1000 and America will absolutely freak out (save the bears of course).  If he is not rounding up a super group of elite Russian computer hackers...he's missing the boat.

Clesthenes's picture

I’m sorry, but the US and China ARE NOT in competition with one another.

They are, in fact, cooperating in a policy to completely dispossess Americans of their property and rights, to reduce them to utter slavery, or even to exterminate them; at least that’s the story that emerges from testimony before a Congressional subcommittee.

You see, Congress gave Red China possession of the Panama Canal as collateral before China would finance federal debt by purchasing $1.27 trillion of US Treasuries (as of 2014 May).

Now, to liquidate that debt, the US Treasury will have to impose confiscatory taxes on following generations of Americans, or take their possessions and deliver such to Chinese “investors”.

To attempt either one will provoke widespread and violent reactions.  The US Treasury simple can’t do it.  So, who will?

You won‘t like this answer: when the Chinese took possession of the Canal, they immediately smuggled 150 Triad crime bosses into the US thru the Canal; and, they established an ALLIANCE among Mexican and Columbian drug cartels, Chinese Triads, Chinese communist party, the Red Army, US Congress, US DoJ, DEA among other criminals orgs.  Again, this was contained in testimony before the Congressional subcommittee: see my article, Anatomy of a General Plunder, part 2.

This ALLIANCE, you see, will serve as ideal tax-collectors sometime in the near future.  In other words, both the American criminal elite and the Chinese criminal elite have much to gain by suppressing Americans to extinction: both imagine it will allow them to keep their booty, and avoid accountability for what they have they have done.

If Americans are to survive, they will have to duplicate what American Founders did, and soon.

(Follow my other comments: click on my name, thanks.)

vyeung's picture

if my reading is correct, the missing piece from your above discussion is China's leasing of the mao era gold to the US in return for the most favored nation status. As the US reneged on their obligation due Sept 12 2001 via Sept 11, the contract clause for the gold lease kicked in. So they got the panama canal and they also got the JPM building across the Fed. The lease gold is also (rumored) to be secured by IRS fund streams in the event of default. The US has defaulted on the IRS stream also.

I'm somewhat doubtful on the complete picture from congresses testimony.

For one thing, they do not need to smuggle Triad king pins to the US. They have enough resource, $$$ and connections to enter at will. I know this for a fact!

Thus your conclusion that they are not in competition is flawed.

Clesthenes's picture

I'm not aware of "leasing mao era gold'; thanks for the tip.

You say, my "conclusion... is flawed".

Please... when considering testimony before a Congressional subcommitttee that China pilfered military secrets from the US; smuggled 150 Triad crime bosses into the US along with other actions harmful to our interests (individually and as a country) - all with complicity of the Department of Justice, Congress, the White House, FBI (among other), what other conclusion can we draw but that they cooperate with one another?

Dublinmick's picture

Are you saying that bubba is going to have to get off the couch, turn off american idol and put down his 32 ounce slurpy?

Clesthenes's picture

Actually, a little bit more...

vyeung's picture

right, block Russia with your sanctions. Now consider this, China makes a good 70-80% of global good and China is clearly a partner with Russia, so how is the US of A and the mofo's in the ECB effectively going to sanction Russia. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out the DC/ECB/Fed fascist are either suicidal or a larger power is at work here to get the Eastern nations to finish off the US hegemony as quick as possible. Sometimes, all this defies logic. I guess we will never know what the top of the food chain planners want.

Red Raspberry's picture

The top of the chain needs to eliminate 2/3s of the worlds population.

rwe2late's picture

AP reports:

The United States warned Russia on Friday that any further intervention in Ukraine, including under the pretense of delivering humanitarian aid, would be viewed as "an invasion of Ukraine."

The US knows how to spot a pretense of "humanitarian aid" from miles away.

Son of Loki's picture

I think Hagel needs to set up a few more dozen military bases around China's periphery before they figure out they're toast. Luckily, Chinese leaders seem to be asleep at the [military] wheel ... they're too busy buying houses overseas, building Ghost Cities at home, and filling their rivers with dead pigs and air with smog.

Mi Naem's picture

"This Is How Putin's Advisor Sees The Ukraine Crisis Playing Out"

On my first reading of the title here, I expected to see someone break an egg into a scalding hot skillet: 

"And this is Ukraine on the west's dreggs." 

Dublinmick's picture

Mean while business as usual.

http://richardedmondson.net/2014/08/09/the-fix-is-in-jewish-groups-get-9...

The Department of Homeland Security allocated to Jewish institutions $12 million, or 94 percent, of $13 million in funds for securing nonprofits.

The Jewish Federations of North America’s Washington office director, William Daroff, said Tuesday that the allocation made sense particularly in light of an intensification of threats on Jewish community targets in the United States and overseas.

“In the current environment there are threats to nonprofits and to Jewish institutions,” he told JTA, noting a swell of attacks on Jewish institutions in Europe in the wake of the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.

Read more

Jonesy's picture

If you have a minute, check out the questions and comments on this thread.  Just to give the uninititated an idea:

http://www.tripadvisor.com/ShowTopic-g312741-i979-k7689645-Jewish_day_to...

Jewish racists only want to hang out or learn their own history, in another person's country?  wassupwiddit?  The same assholes want us to embrace Mexicans here in the US, while cheering for racist Israel as they live in the US, all the while pretending to be just like you and me.   Better wake the fuck up, Goy.

 

Backwoods's picture

Granted that America isn't living up to its promise or its founder's vision.

 

However, anyone who thinks this derelict administration is aggressively pushing out American power in a mad lust of conquest and plunder is dreaming in color.  Obama and TPTB are running on autopilot, doing just enough foreign meddling to be able to plausibly claim they're still trying to secure America's interests while focusing their real efforts on putting cash and power in the hands of their domestic cronies.  Plus catching a few rounds of golf.

 

Also, the Russia love is really starting to wear thin.  I give credit to Putin for pursuing his personal and national interests, like a serious world leader, but let's not pretend he's anything less than a brutal dictator living a decadent lifestyle on the backs and blood of his people. 

MrSteve's picture

Sure the Czarist / Commies / Russians want a warm water port, but how exactly is Putin "luring" Ukrainians? With death and destruction? That's a page from Stalin's book of love!

therevolutionwas's picture

"a brutal dictator".....got some credible references on that?  And you are seeing something that is not there.  It's not "Russia love," it's disgust and shame for the US who has been the beacon of liberty in the past and now is a schoolyard bully with no other purpose than maintaining power over others. 

RMolineaux's picture

Wow!  Nine pages of comments.  ZH has grown exponentially, and Glazyev's opinion is much respected.  Hopefully, his ideas will be listened to by whatever non-neocons or non Brzezinski disciplesi might still be in the State Department. The Kiev army, taking a page out of the Zionist book, is destroying civilian housing in the Donbass - even using the same excuses!  Today, Germany offered to organize a humanitarian mission.  Europe is beginning to understand the economic risks of dancing to the US tune. 

Circle of DNA's picture

I think people who participate in discussions such as this one would most certainly enjoy these two videos:

1.

 

Who is Mr. Putin? by Mikhail Khazin

2.

Peter Hitchens 'Why I Like Vladimir Putin' at the University of Bristol

omniversling's picture

"New and more outrageous provocations can be expected."

Citing press conference given by Strelkov on 31/07/2014 reporting intel that Kiev may be preparing attacks on Donbask water treatment plants that could release enough chlorine to kill thousands.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e13SPFFIVkM

Boogity's picture

Hmmm... In the midst of all of the hubbub about Obama saving western civilization by bombing ISIS, I wonder if some preliminary "surprising" results from the MH17 crash investigation will start being reported in the next several days, probably buried on page 31, in the travel section in the Joo York Times, and discussed by the Brit dude Richard Quest on his 5 minute 2:15 AM segment "International Travel" slot on CNN.  

Of course Faux Noise will never mention mention "bad" MH17 information and will instead continue to bring retired lunatic Generals on to yell about ISIS, HAMAS, and Putin imminently attacking the Godly peace-loving USA.   And MSNBC will never mention it because they will endlessly be showing the Russian laser images of Obama eating a banana projected on the US Embassy with Al Sharpton yelling about racist Putin.

JohninMK's picture

No results for a while yet according to the Dutch, sometime in September, text and link below from last week. They seem to be concentrating on human remain recover first. Then when it is safer they will come back to recover the wreckage.

As the US and Russians seem reluctant to say what their military systems really show, it is probable that only the physical evidence on the ground will reveal what happened.

The million dollar question is whether there are fragments of cannon shells or SA-11/17 SAM or R60 AAM warheads or a combination in the wreckage?

 

Published August 06, 2014 Associated Press

The Dutch Safety Board says its preliminary report into the cause of the Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 disaster will likely not be released until sometime in September.

Flight 17 was shot down in eastern Ukraine on July 17, killing all 298 people on board, most of them Dutch. The Netherlands is leading an international investigation into the cause of the crash.

Safety Board spokesman Wim van der Weegen said Wednesday that normally under International Civil Aviation Organization rules, a preliminary report is published one month after a crash date. But in this case the difficulty in accessing the crash site amid fighting between Ukrainian forces and pro-Russian separatist rebels has pushed the timeframe back.

"It's a very complicated situation," he said.

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/08/06/dutch-safety-board-says-prelimin...

Kina's picture

My last pay check was $9.50 working 12 hours a day giving phone sex to add to my old age pension. My sisters Trannie friend has been averaging 15k for months giving head and selling penicilin and now and s/he works about 20 hours a week scrubbing scabs off penises. I can't believe how easy it was once I tried it out. This is what I do.