Nigeria Declares "State Of Emergency" As Study Finds West African Ebola Virus Is Previously Undetected "New Strain"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following the WHO's warnings, (the ironically named) Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan has declared a "state of emergency" over the Ebola outbreak that is rapidly escalating in his nation. This comes on the heels of a US medical journal study that finds, as Reuters reports, the Ebola virus that is ravagaing West Africa was not imported from Central Africa but caused by a "new strain" of the disease - raising the specter of further regional epidemics.

 

Ebola is endemic to Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, South Sudan and Gabon, and scientists initially believed that Central Africa's Zaire strain of the virus was responsible for the outbreak. However, as Reuters reports,

Using analysis of blood samples from infected patients, however, researchers determined that while the Guinean form of the Ebola virus (EBOV) showed a 97 percent similarity to the Zaire strain, the disease was not introduced from Central Africa.

 

"This study demonstrates the emergence of a new EBOV strain in Guinea," wrote the group of more than 30 doctors and scientists, who published their preliminary findings on the website of the New England Journal of Medicine.

 

...

 

"It is possible that EBOV has circulated undetected in this region for some time. The emergence of the virus in Guinea highlights the risk of EBOV outbreaks in the whole West African subregion," the report continued.

 

"What is clear to us from the study is that the virus wasn't brought in from the outside, that it is indigenous," said Tarik Jasarevic, a spokesman for the WHO, which was not involved in authoring the study.

The awful conclusion:

"It means there were possibly outbreaks in the past that were just not detected," he said.

*  *  *

Nigerian President Jonathan has declared a national state of emergency...

As an example of the concern, banker sin Nigeria are now wearing gloves to serve customers...

*  *  *

CDC Director Frieden explains his fear about Lagos, Nigeria...

*  *  *
But President Obama said it would be ok?

0
Your rating: None
 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:28 | 5066108 0b1knob
0b1knob's picture

< Don't worry everything is going according to plan.

< Don't worry everything is going according to plan.  The plan is Agenda 21 however.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:29 | 5066121 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

So this explains the sudden VIX Slam / ES Ramp that started at 13:00

BULLISH

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:46 | 5066261 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

fortunately, all americans will be in Health Camps soon. for their own safety.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:57 | 5066350 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

FEMA camps standing by.

3 billion rounds of ammo.....also standing by.  Even the Post Office is ready to go....errr.....postal.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:23 | 5066553 Badabing
Fri, 08/08/2014 - 15:19 | 5066882 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

I do agree that it needs to be contained at the source, if it is not be become or be used as the vehicle/weapon for the Great Culling.   Hence, contain it IN Africa. 

Note also that (a) Nature/Evolution will do what it wants and needs to do, and (b) Ebola is Self-Limiting:  like any fire, when it runs out of fuel, it does down. Deal with it.  Be PRACTICAL, not a Samaritan Ideologue: do what you have to do, not what you want to do.

Perspective:  Let's see this in context of other major causes of death every year:  Cancer, Flu, Heart Attack, Stroke, Murders, Car accidents, other Tropical Diseases, HIV/AIDS.  Do a PARETO, to help keep perspective.  More science & common sense of risk management, and less sensationalism, PR and politics please.

 

p.s. All major powers and their Big Pharma "friends" (at the 'Umbrella Corporation') can always keep a flotilla of Container Ships a few miles offshore in Africa.  That way, they stay local, but at a safe distance, and have all the space and gear they need to do their R & D.  Plus a quick way to get more "samples" to observe/test.

pps. If some tens or even hundreds of millions were to die, is that REALLY that "catastrophic" from the global perspective -- given that, as a Species, we are way too successful and have already over-populated the planet?  Were it not for modern medicine and technology, there would be half as many people on the planet -- and thus half as many competing for space and resources with each other and with the animal kingdom.  Sorry, but I do NOT subscribe to the perverted Christian notion of "having" to "save" or even help the countless masses at the bottom of the food chain.  It might be good for bankers (profits), politicians (votes) and clergy (market share), but does not fly with me.  When their alleged "Creator" stops being an Absentee Creator/Father/Landlord, then I might consider more obliged to look after these... creatures.  And rather than worry about some mythical "Man in the Sky" -- unless he has a fancy and powerful spaceship -- I could not give a crap about such "Fairy tales for adults".  Fairy Tales, that are "useful" for the Elite in positions of power.  It's just us chickens down here, and there is No Fate, but the one we make.  Peddle your snake oil elsewhere.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:59 | 5066364 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

The Reuters article linked was released back in April.  Does this stuff mutate on a dime or what?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:10 | 5066462 redpill
redpill's picture

That was the original theory, but from what I've read it's been refuted: http://epidemic.bio.ed.ac.uk/ebolavirus_phylogeny

 

"It seems that removing these intergenic regions results in the Guinea outbreak sequences falling quite firmly within the diversity of Zaire ebolavirus."


Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:11 | 5066465 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

It gets opportunnities to mutate when it hits patients with multiple viral infections (Ebola + influenza or Ebola + common cold).     Right now?  Infection base is low.   When the number of infected crosses a million you'll probably see some really interesting mutations.   [like say Ebola with a 20% mortality (much lower) that spreads like the measles or something weird like that]

Putting it into perspective .... Spanish flu of 1918 had a 3% mortality rate.   And it killed 50,000,000 over the course of a couple of years. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:19 | 5066531 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Exactly. And this is why ebola getting into Lagos was such a huge fucking deal.

It's out of control now in all kinds of ways.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 15:01 | 5066804 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

These people have not been quarantined yet. If it is moderately infectious as it appears, there is no stopping it now.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 17:25 | 5067576 msmith9962
msmith9962's picture

Fuck!  So your saying this thing has 20 million people to practice mutating into the ultimate killing machine?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 17:53 | 5067685 free_as_in_beer
free_as_in_beer's picture

So did SARS.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 18:15 | 5067764 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

Exactly, the threat of mutations is getting closer and closer and when it happens it's another ball game.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 19:19 | 5068031 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

mutations don't necessarily = worse. since the goal is living, a succesful mutation could easily mean a less deadly variation so that it can live longer by passing it on to more people. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 20:44 | 5068386 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

Not entirely the case. The "most successful" sequence of mutations might be a sequence that prolongs and maximises the infectious phase. So maybe a "better fit" sequence of mutations would see a longer subclinical phase, or at least far milder initial symptoms, with an increased ability for aerosol spread (which has already been demonstrated to occur in the past). Of course, the other "problem" for any pathogen is the Host Response. Too slow a development might allow time for cellular and humoral immunity to develop, so there's the impetus for a faster progression (unless the organism can inhibit the immune response, along the lines of e.g. HIV)

We'll probably see how Ebola adapts to us soon enoough as the case count rises. The inexorable evolutionary advantage of a 3% error rate in transcription per replication cycle means adaptation will occur and with the amplification provided by simple replication, "more successful" progeny will preferentially replicate. For the virus, host death or the ability to mount an effective immune response usually means curtains (although I note a single study indicating that live (i.e. fully infectious) ebola has been recovered from the semen of a male survivor, 42 days post infection . . . .), so maybe we'll see the development of a "persistent" carrier state amongst survivors - an "Ebola Typhoid Mary" scenario.

All hypothesis of course, but interesting for those of us "in the business".

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:19 | 5066534 junction
junction's picture

You mean barbed wire surrounded Fusion Detention Centers with guard towers staffed by former TSA agents, unemployed at their airport security jobs after most air traffic was grounded to prevent the spread of Ebola virus.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:38 | 5066664 Suisse
Suisse's picture

Don't be silly, they'd get paid leave indefinitely. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:49 | 5066296 pods
pods's picture

I am not sure if I have Ebola or if it was just the Hot Pocket I had last night.

pods

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:57 | 5066359 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

What do you think gives the pink slime inside your Hot Pocket that pink color ?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 15:55 | 5067144 ajax
ajax's picture

 

 

bush meat burger and fruit bat dessert please

 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:59 | 5066365 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

well, did you die and re-incarnate as a root beer dispenser, or a cherry slurpee machine?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:02 | 5066386 pods
pods's picture

Did ya ever catch toilet paper on fire?

HaaaaaaaT Pock-et.

pods

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:12 | 5066481 Jumbotron
Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:22 | 5066548 pods
pods's picture

Ahhh, the rise of "competitive eating."

 And I beheld when he had opened the Sixth Seal and lo, the Earth Shook due to Amerikans infatuation with gluttony and fame.

pods

 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:27 | 5066577 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

LOL !!

+1000 Revelations

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:00 | 5066380 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Government always needs to remind us why we "need" it

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:06 | 5066429 Mr Pink
Mr Pink's picture

Is that you, Jim Gaffigan?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:24 | 5066561 pods
pods's picture

You gonna eat that or do you want me to just throw it against the back of the toilet for you now?

pods

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:16 | 5066504 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

"What are you gonna shit? HOT POCKET!"

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:57 | 5066790 HamRove
HamRove's picture

Death Pockets!!

Have you tried the hot pocket, hot pocket....it's a hot pocket stuffed with a hot pocket. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:11 | 5066475 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

What did these clowns take the exact same script as "OUTBREAK".  Geez no originality whatso ever

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:41 | 5066135 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

New strain?  Never would have guessed. 

I guess the fact that it's fucking AIRBORNE should have been a god-damned clue to these folks.  

Let's call it ... Ebola Motaba

Spine or Miffed (hell any ZH doctor's opinion solicited) .... your thoughts on this one?

Worst case:

Imagine an Ebola + Influenza patient later this winter. They're most likely dead men/women walking but perfect breeding grounds for BILLIONS of interactions between ebola and the flu. And this could happen to thousands of people. Results?

Ebola virus with a much hardier protein coat. / Flu virus that induces hemorrhagic fever symptoms

Or .... Ebola + Rhinovirus.

Ebola that is as contagious as the common cold. With as many variants.

Or how about??

•Hemorrhagic Herpes
•Hemorrhagic Chlaymidia
•Hemorrhagic Measles

Now before ANYONE says "Oh this shit will never happen" .... some thoughts

•In any given infected patient there are billions (10^9) of virii of potentially different types.
•Thousands of people infected : Quadrillions of interactions (10^12 interactions)
•Millions of people infected: Quintillions of interactions (10^15 interactions)

Sure the odds could get ultra remote, but with that many interactions statistically it becomes likely.

How RNA viruses exchange their genetic material

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11732610
Chapter 43Viral Genetics

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK8439/

Recombination

Recombination involves the exchange of genetic material between two related viruses during coinfection of a host cell.

Recombination of Viral Genome

http://www.hhmi.org/biointeractive/recombination-viral-genome
When two different strains of influenza infect a single cell, their genetic material can mix freely, resulting in a new third strain of influenza.

Box 3 | Recombination and viral emergence

http://www.nature.com/nrmicro/journal/v9/n8/box/nrmicro2614_BX3.html
For most RNA viruses, cross-species transmission is the most common way for a virus to enter a new host. Recombination could assist in this process because it enables viruses to explore a greater proportion of the sequence space than is accessible by mutation at any one time, thereby increasing the likelihood of finding a genetic configuration that facilitates host adaptation. Notably, many recently emerged human diseases are caused by RNA viruses that display active recombination or reassortment.

RNA viral types

Same Order

•Filoviruses - Ebola, Marburg
•Rhabdoviridae - Rabies
•Paramyxoviridae—includes Measles virus, Mumps virus, Nipah virus, Hendra virus

Same Group : Group V—negative-sense ssRNA viruses [all of the above]

Orthomyxoviridae—includes Influenza viruses

•Hanta virus
•Lassa virus
Other RNA types

•Rota virus - Nearly every child in the world has been infected with rotavirus at least once by the age of five
•Picornaviridae—includes Poliovirus, the common cold virus (Rhinovirus), Hepatitis A virus

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:40 | 5066208 Lost Word
Lost Word's picture

New strain? US Military Bio-Lab in West Africa:

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2014/08/the-us-military-and-ebola-o...

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:49 | 5066292 cossack55
cossack55's picture

"The Last Gasp"     Great book. Was somewhat dated until about a month ago.  About a buck on Amazon.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:01 | 5066382 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

"The Cobra Event"

The death scene in the opening chapter of this book is as scary a thing as I have ever read from any horror novel.  But it's based on real symptoms.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Cobra-Event-Richard-Preston/dp/0679457143/ref=...

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 18:00 | 5067711 Kassandra
Kassandra's picture

I picked that book up about a week ago. Now I feel like I am seeing the movie first. May read it anyway this weekend.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:56 | 5066343 DIgnified
DIgnified's picture

THey new it was a new strain in April (or before): http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2014/04/study-growing-guinea-...

 

Then theres the problem of having a "vaccine: waiting in the wings.  Vaccines arent buckshots.  Cant jus hit a bunch.  It has to be targeted to work.  If its a "new" strain and "new" vaccine, MAPP Pharma is really, really fast. 

 

This is a realease, either intentionally or inadvertently. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:21 | 5066537 reload
reload's picture

One of their researchers was interviewed on BBC radio today. He stated very clearly that they had been working on vaccine for `Weaponised Ebola`....or what they thought a weaponised Ebola might be like,`just in case`. They were not working on one for any of the documented strains of Ebola already known to exist in the wild. He said also that this is why confidence that it will work can not be 100%, but said that for patients with a choice between giving it a go or taking their chances with Ebola it was an easy descision. This is a TINY company, less than 10 employees, the interviewer said they had been unable to talk to the CEO `who seems very elusive` 

I wonder if the researcher said a bit too much in the way of fact by mistake?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 18:38 | 5067856 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Sounds fishy to me.

There are no (that I am aware of) efforts to weaponized virus. It's too hard and there are no battlefield uses for it. There are easier ways to deliver a virus to a civilian population than trying to put it into a weapon. Like, sleeze into a water treatment plant and add it into an injector, or spray it around at an one-air market, or a school ground.

So nothing the guy says makes any sense.

Also the government would not work with a 10-man company working on a treatment for some mythical "weaponized" ebola;  you have to be deep into the M/IC already to get a contract like that. And if you do get the contract you don't talk about it ever to anyone. You do, your contract is pulled and just maybe you have "an accident" shortly after.

Probably the guy is a fake, or if not then is just talking up his company stock, or something.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 15:19 | 5066885 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

Actually in March they proved that it was in the MRU at least as far back as 2006 (the oldest Lassa test specimens on hand).

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 15:50 | 5067105 Jugdish787
Jugdish787's picture

Serious question here...I have a really hard time believing this is some grand plan to kill a billion people.  If I was an elite, ultra power guy, with dreams of getting the population down to 500 million, why mess around with the optics?  If I was hell bent on this plan, why take the chance of releasing my pathogen in the shithole of africa?  What if it actually ends up being contained...then what?  Why the show?  If you are going to kill billions of people why would you really care "how it looks"?  Why not go for the gold and release in NYC and blame ISIS?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 18:45 | 5067879 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

And even then, a virus like this does have the kill rate to accomplish the stated goal. No, this is just nature fucking with us. Again.

To your thought experiment about a big wig sociopath wanting to cull the herd, I wonder what would even be the point of the effort? They don't really care how many people there are in the world. Power resides at the top, moves around in the top, and stays in the top. If you are already at the top you know all this and frankly do not care what happens below the top. The rest of us down here like to think the guys up there care about us even enough to kill us, but they just don't.

We simply do not exist except maybe as consumers, and then only in the aggregate as targets for marketing and propaganda, and then only if we have disposable income.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 17:27 | 5067583 rwe2late
rwe2late's picture

Lost Word

Yes indeed,

US Bio-warfare researchers are there

The research program, occurring in Sierra Leone, the Republic of Guinea, and Liberia—said to be the epicenter of the 2014 Ebola outbreak—has the announced purpose, among others, of detecting the future use of fever-viruses as bioweapons.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/what-are-us-biological-warfare-researchers-...

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:42 | 5066214 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

If it were completely airborne wouldn't the infection rate be FAR higher than it is?   However, perhaps it's airborne on a low-level, explaining how all the health workers in close contact with the infection, yet wearing all the protective clothing and gear, have come down with it.   There's definitely something different going on.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 13:56 | 5066299 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

There's airborne and airborne .... fomites and droplets.  Look up the R Naught (R0) term and it can help understand the spread of an epidemic. 

Also here are some values I collected.  [And yes I freely admit that I have done a LOT of crash course reading on microbiology in the last week.  ]

Values of R0 of well-known infectious diseases

 

Disease                   Transmission                                   R0

Measles                   Airborne                                         12–18

Pertussis                  Airborne droplet                              12–17

Diphtheria                Saliva                                             6–7

Smallpox                 Airborne droplet                               5–7

Polio                       Fecal-oral route                               5–7

Rubella                   Airborne droplet                               5–7

Mumps                   Airborne droplet                               4–7

HIV/AIDS                Sexual contact                                  2–5

SARS                     Airborne droplet                                2–5

Influenza(1918)       Airborne droplet                                2–3

Ebola *old*            Bodily Fluids                                      1–4 

Ebola *2014*          Airborne Droplet (???)                        ???

 

 

Watched the movie Contagion last night and supposedly that one was a flu with encephalitis symptoms and a 25-30% mortality rate with an R0 of 2 in the first wave.  Then it jumped up after it did some recombination in a cluster.   Then it REALLY got going. 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:02 | 5066388 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Cool info.  A couple years ago I caught pertussis -- I know exactly where it came from -- a hacking couple near me on an Amtrak train.  I had a recent DPT booster so that failed completely.   At first they just diagnosed my case as flu or some respiratory infection, gave me a "Z pack" of antibiotics and sent me on my way.  Of course, at this time I was at my most contagious to others.  As time went on it morphed into the most wretched cough one can imagine.  Lasted for weeks.  Finally my doctor admitted that pertussis (whooping cough) is all over the place but isn't officially tracked by CDC nor do they like even like officially recording it onto their computer files (my HMO, not the CDC).  To this day my record just indicates "flu"-like symptoms.

So I understand now how that R0 works.  Imagine genetically piggy-backing some other virus onto the pertussis chain?

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 14:08 | 5066441 AurorusBorealus
AurorusBorealus's picture

I highly recommend this website for anyone who wants to understand virus evolution and current epidemic threats http://www.recombinomics.com/ .

 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!