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Q2 US Labor Costs Miss After Massive "One-Off" Spike Revision In Q1

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On expectations of a 1.0% rise, US unit labor costs rose a disappointing 0.6% (missing for the 3rd of last 4 quarters). This should come as no surprise as despite the constant barrage of bullshit from the mainstream media's talking heads about wage growth around the corner, July saw the first annual decline in real wages since 2012. What is most worrisome for the serial extyrapolators about today's unit labor costs data is the massive revision to Q1 dats - up from a 5.7% rise to an almost record-breaking 11.8% rise. This is clearly a one-off and means wage growth (which was never really growing) is now fading rapidly.

Unity labor costs slipped back from the one-off spike revision in Q1...

 

which makes sense given the slide in real wages...first annual decline since October 2012.

 

 

Additionally, Productivity rose more than expected...

 

So the "blood from a stone" economy rolls on...

 

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Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:48 | 5064374 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

another revision on the way to include all the illegals incoming

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:51 | 5064401 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Bullish for healthcare and pharma stocks.  People will be going to hospitals and taking medicine for exhaustion. Long Redbull

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:52 | 5064412 rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

Just noise.  The algo's already launched on Russian tweets nothing's gona bring them down now.  Now had they announced this first, then the Russian news we might have a slight chance of being near the flat line instead of glorious days are here again.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:53 | 5064413 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The only thing that matters is the removal of QE now.  Markets need free money, end of story.  There is no free money an dthere is no collateral.  This market is giving up everything it got from QE, just like Japan did every time.  The only thing that will stop it is QE squared.  No free money to speculators means no stock market rally.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:56 | 5064436 Apocalicious
Apocalicious's picture

You can't have wage growth when the only employers are massive, oligopolistic feudal cartels that run every industry in collusion with their shakedown mafioso government regulators. 

 

BUST THE TRUSTS

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:58 | 5064450 youngman
youngman's picture

With Obamacare....trust me ..cpmpanies are trying to reduce employees..not hire new ones...

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:11 | 5064566 madcows
madcows's picture

The biggest cost to most employers is the labor.  Replace them with robots or software the costs go down exponentially.  This is our fate.  The only jobs in the future will be for prostitutes, politicians, and their leg humpers.  Everything else with be automated.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:11 | 5064567 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I'm seeing that, too.  What I haven't seen yet is a company decide to stop offering group health insurance and just pay the fine.  But they're all thinking about it behind closed doors.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:21 | 5064640 yrbmegr
yrbmegr's picture

This has been going on for 30 years.  Obamacare has had zero effect.  Reduce American jobs, build in Mexico, China, Indochina, and hire over there.  Same shit, different day.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:28 | 5064690 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

I see you are not with the program here. Repeat after me, If there is a problem it's all OBAMACARE. You will see your up votes soar.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:37 | 5064723 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

Most of the posters here are not businessmen. What business would not hire full time employees if customers were swamping them. There IS NO business, people are not buying, people have no money and no credit.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:47 | 5064826 oudinot
oudinot's picture

Amen 100% correct

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 08:58 | 5064451 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

ADHD downward toward a long term chromosome+ situation.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:06 | 5064524 RiskyBidness
RiskyBidness's picture

At Youngman..........No Doubt.....and this is something that is hidden in the employment numbers by part timers!!

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:21 | 5064616 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

You can check out some of the reason for a productivity increase here(I cannot imbed the picture):

http://ejmoosa.tumblr.com/post/94155907844/goodbye-sign-twirlers-weve-al...

I saw this machine, which has replaced those sign twirlers we have grown accustomed to seeing working overtime for Little Ceaser's.

Yet another minimum wage job automated.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:29 | 5064704 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

I thought people holding signs was a way to get around sign ordinances.  I think that contraption would violate sign ordinances and littering laws.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:41 | 5064783 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

I cannot answer that for them, except that it is not permanent and they take it in every evening.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:19 | 5064627 yrbmegr
yrbmegr's picture

Nobody with any real power wants wage growth.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:20 | 5064635 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  SSDD/ Fuck this sideways clown show. Have a good weekend everyone. Thanks TYLERS for  keeping us alive this week/

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:28 | 5064699 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Labor costs include a lot more than wages - and we know that healthcare and all the other 'taxes' on employing a laborer will increase much faster than even the real inflation rate. And as those other costs increase, the pressure will be to DECREASE wages!

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:35 | 5064740 SilverRoofer
SilverRoofer's picture

Wage growth in the construction fields has been non existant for over 25 years.there once was Craftsman now its all about who can do it the cheapest.And with a government that does not inforce the law so much cheap labor has come into the country from the southern border.When i was in highschool they would tell us If you know a Trade you will have a job for life.What a bunch of bullshit

 

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:49 | 5064843 oudinot
oudinot's picture

Your high school teachers might have exaggerated but having a trade is still a skill that will become even more important as society starts to really crumble....

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 09:45 | 5064822 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

deflation

 

what do you think yellen?

 

since gubbamant's revenue is tied to percentages, deflation should have a nice devastating effect

 

no more $200,000 per year firemen - that's a shame

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 10:57 | 5065226 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Stick to the script! At all costs! Stick to the script!

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 10:58 | 5065234 Skip
Skip's picture

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101890969#.

All Tennessee's Employment Growth Since 2000 Has Gone to Immigrants; Yet, Natives Accounted for 60% of Population Growth

WASHINGTON, Aug. 4, 2014 The Gang of Eight immigration bill (S.744) passed by the U.S. Senate last June, and voted for by both Tennessee senators - Lamar Alexander (R) and Bob Corker (R), would have roughly doubled the number of new foreign workers allowed into the country, as well as legalized illegal immigrants. To put into context the possible effects of this legislation on Tennessee, the Center for Immigration Studies has analyzed recent government data on employment.

The analysis shows that, since 2000, all of the net increase in the number of working-age (16 to 65) people holding a job in Tennessee has gone to immigrants (legal and illegal). This is the case even though the native-born accounted for 60 percent of the growth in the state's total working-age population.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 12:27 | 5065680 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

At best it's wrestling over pennies when the problem is dollars.

Fri, 08/08/2014 - 12:49 | 5065839 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Obviously they aren't using enough fairy dust...

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