This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Bonds Don't Believe It's All Over

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As stocks soar higher amid dismal volumes, Treasury yields remain trapped in a very narrow range and just slipped lower on the day. It seems bonds don't believe the world's geopolitical carnage is over...

 

 

and since crude oil is apparently "contained" - Dow Transports are up over 3% from Friday's lows...

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:17 | 5076688 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

partypoopers.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:31 | 5076798 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

50% retrace level hit this morning.

Wave two completed?

You know what it means if it is....

 

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:55 | 5076931 froze25
froze25's picture

Headbanger, I have no idea what it means please educate me.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 16:01 | 5078324 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

It's Elliot Wave Theory

In this case the Wilshire retraces 50% of the total (five waves down )drop from the peak 21100 to the low of about 20160 last Thursday

Which is a typical retrace for a Wave Two

Which if it is a completed Wave Two this morning means it will be followed by a Wave Three

And third waves are notoriously fucking horrible epic massive and really not nice waves down!!

Oh the humanity!!!

Now you know

So please send $500 to the Headbanger Charity Ammo Fund c/o Zero Hedge Fight and Gardening Club.

Or just FedEx me 5000 rounds of 308 (or 7.62x51 NATO)

Thanks!

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:32 | 5076812 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

Sell hi-yield

Spreads and prices are at laughable levels

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:06 | 5077366 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

Fifty-day MA phuqed?

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:19 | 5076705 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Wait til ISIS boats land on the eastern seaboard, that should send the markets up another 10,000 points.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:25 | 5076768 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Nothing short of beheading on the floor of the NYSE will suffice.

If it takes ISIL to do that, so be it.

Prolly get a dead head bounce, right after.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:59 | 5076956 knukles
knukles's picture

LOL
Sick fuck
(meant in spirit of true love)

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:52 | 5077241 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Wait til ISIS boats land on the eastern seaboard,

I am sure Barry will be there with open arms after his latest round of golf.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:02 | 5076974 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Always good to see that you remain optimistic.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:30 | 5076782 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

I remember my mom telling me about Jersey shore during early WW2, blackout shades, no lights allowed, horseback patrols on the beach... thought she was exaggerating until I read about U-123's exploits...(Operation Drumbeat)

well just another acecdote of another war we shouldn't have been involved in...

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:19 | 5076719 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Why, yes, yes they are giving the middle finger.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:19 | 5076721 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

"B" movie can be cool but there needs to be a better ending than this.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:22 | 5076731 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

BTFD  bean berry berry goooood to me.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:23 | 5076744 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

+100 for early SNL ref, during those few fleeting years when it was worth watching

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:01 | 5076960 knukles
knukles's picture

...Berry berry long time ago...
(long before Berry took on such negative connotations)

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:22 | 5076735 q99x2
q99x2's picture

1/0

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:24 | 5076752 ekm1
ekm1's picture

I'll keep repeating this:

 

Geo-political mess will get worse and worse by the month or week now, unless quantitative easing is fully unwound and another $10 trillion extinguished.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:26 | 5076772 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Correct, and this must be accomplished without allowing rates across the curve to rise.

Meh, get Belgium on the phone, they got this...

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:33 | 5076816 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Saudis will demand a coup in that case.

They can't accept others get funny money to claim their oil

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:34 | 5076823 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

In that case, the Saudis will be extinguished right along with the debt.

hedge accordingly.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:37 | 5076844 ekm1
ekm1's picture

An empire survives only by treating allies very well.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:52 | 5076921 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

...or by complete exterminating them.

 

Yeah, 'merica has been treating their allies well...

they must love our inflation.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:09 | 5077391 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

Allies like France lol

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:38 | 5076848 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

That is why we supply them with weapons and military support.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:44 | 5076882 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Not enough, not nearly enough.

World is dumping USD. Life will get worse and worse.

 

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:27 | 5076781 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

And I will repeat myself, QE will never be unwound. The system is fucked.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:33 | 5076820 PoliticalRefuge...
PoliticalRefugeefromCalif.'s picture

..what?- you telling me voodoo doesn't cure cancer?

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:14 | 5077024 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

Yes the system is f'd and central banks know it. They will have to sacrifice something eventually and it will crash the stock market or the bond market. My bet is on their wanting to save the debt markets.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:08 | 5077377 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

The GEAB newsletter called them "phantom assets"

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:24 | 5076760 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

im really enjoying the absurd capping of the phony paper of Silver below $20 per oz...

to think that i can trade worthless paper for real money month after month for 2yrs running at price at least 200% below its TRUE VALUE is both enraging and delightful at the same time...

keep stackin, and thanks for listening.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:11 | 5077407 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

either these fake " prices" have no effect on the supply, or unreported high premiums are being paid for physical delivery of ton amounts of physical .

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:25 | 5076769 Absalon
Absalon's picture

The BMO pop up ads won't let me close them.  God I hate them.  Morons should have been able to program them properly.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:29 | 5076786 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

Just getting started........................ Just ask Odonothing.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:39 | 5076851 dearth vader
dearth vader's picture

Is it just me, of do we see utter desperation among PM price manipulators slam dunking every up-move, whatsoever.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 12:39 | 5076853 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Super Moon did it.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:05 | 5076982 knukles
knukles's picture

Hah ha ha ha ha
Publish or Perish
has a way of getting some odd stuff in circulation

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:15 | 5077025 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

so, bonds will catch up to stocks, the "new normal"?

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:20 | 5077055 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

 Both people and governments have lived beyond their means by taking on debt they cannot repay. Over the last several decades we have created entitlement societies built on the back of the industrial revolution, technological advantages, capital accumulated from the colonial era, and the domination of global finances. Promises were made on the assumption that the advantages we enjoyed would continue.

Ever greater prosperity and entitlements were to be sustained through debt financed consumption growth. In that eerie fantasy world, debt fueled consumption was to be the catalyst to bring about evermore growth. Now reality has begun to come into focus and it is becoming apparent that this is unsustainable. The entitlements and promises that have piled up have become overwhelming. More on why this system will fail in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/08/modern-monetary-theory-is-wrong-d...

 

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:29 | 5077105 Australian Economist
Australian Economist's picture

Here's some perspective on the recent "correction":

 

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EGSPC#symbol=%5EGSPC;range=5y

 

That's a lot of fuss over a couple of pixels in the top right corner.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:41 | 5077155 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

One man's "pixel" is another man's house in the hamptons...

just saying...

perhaps one should be more concerned with what that pixel is "priced in".

same as it ever was...

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:05 | 5077353 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

Tits.
From the dating ad top L.

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 14:43 | 5077697 PoliticalRefuge...
PoliticalRefugeefromCalif.'s picture

I believe it was about mid April when the 67 mandarins of economics were forecasting the ten year bond headed over 3 percent in the next six months..

I read it on Bloomberg but it must have gotten lost on their site since then or something- haha- no matter...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-23/groupthink-or-black-swan-rising...

I wonder what they think of near 2.41 on today's market?- but it hasn't been a full six months yet, so I guess they could still be right..

..just like Japan's Keynesians will be proved ultimately right- sometimes it just takes twenty or thirty years to bake that cake.

 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!