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When (Ukraine) Intervention Fails

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The Central Bank of Ukraine has intervened 3 times this week... demanding the market listen to it that the Hryvnia is under-valued. However, with UAH reaching record lows over 13.5 this morning, it appears they are going to need more USDs to sell...

 

 

Just keep repeating...

  • HRYVNIA FELL ON PANIC; NO GROUNDS FOR RATE OF 13/$: GONTAREVA
  • UKRAINE TARGETING `BALANCED' RATE OF 11.5-11.9/$: GONTAREVA
  • UKRAINE CENTRAL BANK INTERVENED 3 TIMES IN LAST WK: GONTAREVA.
  • CENTRAL BANK'S MAIN TASK IS TO STABILIZE HRYVNIA: GONTAREVA

So if they had no USD before, now they have even less...

 

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Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:33 | 5081648 esum
esum's picture

they are correct...... if they start developing their fraking resources....... 

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:36 | 5081668 takeaction
takeaction's picture

WHat is causing the "Bump" in gold??

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:38 | 5081682 SWCroaker
SWCroaker's picture

Teeny-chart-itis.   If you're using Kitco Live gold, the last three days are all contained in a $16 range.   So the usual small dollar moves *look* big....         It's a theory.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:44 | 5081717 Backin2006
Backin2006's picture

On the plus side... things are looking up for the dollar!

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:49 | 5081742 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

So chaos in Ukraine, fomented by US, results in collapse of host hryvnia currency, results in fire sale of Ukraine assets in order to raise forex.

Cui bono?

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:28 | 5081958 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

So if they had no USD before, now they have even less...

 

Too bad the moneychanger took all their gold.

Karma's a bitch.

Bwahahahahahahaha

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:45 | 5082049 SamAdams
SamAdams's picture

Soros has never been happier....

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 12:00 | 5082125 Davalicious
Davalicious's picture

"So chaos in Ukraine, fomented by US, results in collapse of host hryvnia currency, results in fire sale of Ukraine assets in order to raise forex. Cui bono?"

The Jews benefit. They own the media and politics in Ukraine. Even Nuland and Kerry are Heebs. So were the interim bunch (one was a Christian Zionist actually), the Presidential candidates, the President who resigned and the regional governors who were appointed to raise havoc in the east. Jews are going all out in Ukraine. If this blows up in their face there will be a reckoning.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 13:35 | 5082605 Idaho potato head
Idaho potato head's picture

Hope springs eternal

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 13:47 | 5082661 Freddie
Freddie's picture

Well the Ukrianian people know who did this.  Until they go after the oligarch dual citzien elites then they will just suffer.   The same thing is happening with the USA,

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:42 | 5081700 power steering
power steering's picture

MH17 was a false flag. Shot down by Ukrainians. The Russian relief coonvoy is a desigined intimidation

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:33 | 5081651 The Axe
The Axe's picture

No one cares that the world is burning..algo are all in the hamptons.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:46 | 5081729 Renewable Life
Renewable Life's picture

Are you serious people, drop the obsessive bullshit with the Ukraine and start to focus on what will be the foreshadowing of the "fall of America", the shit going on in St Louis!!

As usual no coverage on CNBC and barely an article here yesterday, local media is covering the shit out of it and if you have family or friends near there, most are describing it as a "war zone" that is getting worse, NOT better!!

The rioters are screaming they are "owed something", but no one knows what exactly!! This one is going to be hard to sweep under the rug the longer it goes and bigger it gets!

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:57 | 5081791 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

It will stop when they suspend EBT payments and all the Nike's are looted.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:06 | 5081838 espirit
espirit's picture

St. Louis is isolated, thus easily encircled.

Had your warning to get out, now let it burn out. 

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:29 | 5081972 Renewable Life
Renewable Life's picture

Amazing
Americans truly are delusional on a scale not seen before in human history!! So no one sees anything systemic or at all unsettling by this??

I guess until your fucking community you live in is affected by it, people really don't grasp the undercurrents of this shit!!

Like seeing 40-50 million uneducated, unemployed, underemployed, mildly armed men between the ages of 17-45 completely unconnected and psychologically void of any context of the Country they live in or the principles that held us together the 250 years, as dangerous!

My bad, get your ass back to the NFL Network or MLB Network or NBATV or NHL Network and carry on, nothing to worry about, that some more EBT payments can't fix obviously!

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 13:30 | 5082565 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Woah Tiger!  I'm with you.  It's a friggin' mess.  Generations of lost souls raised on entitlement and killing each other for tennis shoes.  You need to get the flip out of that "community" and maybe the country.  Switzerland?  I'm right behind you.  U.S.A. is toast, sold out.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 13:47 | 5082671 Freddie
Freddie's picture

If you watch TV and Hollywood's shit then you are part of the problem.  Your viewership helps support your serfdom.  Get a clue.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:34 | 5081656 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

Why is it that every chart I see these days looks like a hockey stick?

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:40 | 5081693 SWCroaker
SWCroaker's picture

You've been hanging out with alarmists?     Here, have some koolaid, and let's talk pre-season football.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:44 | 5081715 power steering
power steering's picture

Bet you're also a Kardashian fan

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:34 | 5081657 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Many people will need to sell dollars and extinguish dollar-denominated debt shortly.  Fuck, tell us something we don't know.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:36 | 5081672 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

Perhaps they shouldn't have let the western banksters steal all their gold in the middle of the night. Might that have helped stabilize their currency? lol

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:37 | 5081678 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Ok NWO the writings on the wall and the wall is crumbling. Time to bail on the world dominance idea before all you fuckers go broke.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:01 | 5081808 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

There needs to be brave hunters to slay the beast with 7 heads and 10 horns... but it is a monster that spans 7 continents and has 10 very large and not very obviously connected organizations protecting it.

Maybe all that needs to happen is for the little horn to be yanked out and buried.

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:38 | 5081680 digitalindustry
digitalindustry's picture

Got SDR's ?

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 10:40 | 5081697 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Maybe Obama can fly in $20 billion in shrink-wrapped dollars on pallets as has been done in the past.  Blackwater is there again to ensure that the cash stays safe:

In 2004, the Bush administration flew twenty billion dollars of shrink-wrapped cash into Iraq on pallets. Now the bulk of that money has disappeared. The funds flown into the war zone were made up of surplus from the UN’s oil-for-food program, as well as money from sales of Iraqi oil and seized Iraqi assets. Recent estimates had the amount of missing money at about $6.6 billion, butaccording to Al Jazeera, Iraqi Parliament Speaker Osama al-Nujaifi says the figure is closer to three times that amount.

http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/06/19/missing-iraq-money-may-be-as-much-...

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:01 | 5081798 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Mercenaries aren't cheap.

The "Democracy" of Ukraine banned the Communist Party.

Ukranians sure to get a taste of EU "Democracy" (austerity & bail-in's, no representation).

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:19 | 5081913 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

In the words of Nelson Muntz:  Haha

 

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 11:53 | 5082099 JohninMK
JohninMK's picture

Yup, as ye sow so shall ye reap.

Looks like the financial wirlwind is coming and they still owe Russia $6billion or so for already delivered gas.

Good job all those USNATO people are giving all that gear free. They are aren't they? Maybe there is a 'tab' running.

Fire sale coming.

I wonder who is going to buy all those factories making 'for Russia only' products? Can we see a barter deal against that gas debt?

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 13:35 | 5082602 Jack4952
Jack4952's picture

I an American who has lived permanently in Odessa, Ukraine since 2009, with numerous visits here before then.

Issue #1:

Back then the exchange rate was 5 UAH (pronounced "Greev-va") per 1 USD. By 2009 it was about 7.8 per USD. Since the Kiev coup of February 2014, the value of the UAH has steadily declined. Today the exchange rate on the streets is 13.1 UAH per USD -and it the UAH has been declining in value virtually every day for the past week.

Personally, it is no loss for my wife and me, since out bank account in Ukraine is based in U.S. dollars. Ukraine banks have a rather unique system: Accounts in different currencies within the SAME bank require separate bank accounts. By law, withdrawal from accounts denominated in U.S. dollars must be paid in U.S. dollars. There is NO mixing of currencies with any one bank account. If one withdraws funds as USD, Euro, Roubles, etc. one must then go to a fiffernt teller within that bank for the actual exchange from the foreign currency in the Ukrainian UAH. Indeed, the devaluation of the UAH has actually LOWERED our everyday costs in terms of USD.

However, for the past several months Kiev has placed "currency controls" on all banks in Ukraine. For example, maximum daily withdrawal limits on USD have renaged from $500 to $1200, with the current maximum of $1,000 USD per day. However, one must give the bank branch at least one's day advance notice, so they will have your withdrawal on hand. The last time I did a wire transfer, transfers of more than $20,000 USD from an American bank into a Ukraine bank resulted in a maximum of $17,000 USD into my "USD account"' I had to accept the rest as Ukrainian UAH. We now limits wire transfers to $5,000 USD and withdraw it as USD immediately thereafter.

A site I have never seen prior to 2014 occurs daily in Ukraine. Due to Odessa being a huge tourist destination, some locals are paid in U.S. dollars, Euros, etc. They are the lucky ones. For those paid in Ukrainian UAH there has been a rush to the banks every day to exchange UAH for just about ANY foreign currency, especially USD and Euros. HOWEVER, the banks have set two types of limits on currency conversions from UAH into foreign currencies: first, a maximum limit exists on the amount per PESON of USD that can be converted FROM UAH - varying from about $100-$200 per day per person. Second. each BANK BRANCH has a daily limit on the amount of USD it will hand out in echange for Ukrainian UAH. I have no idea what this limit is, but once the limit in USD for that bank branch is reached, no more exchanges of UAH for USD occur. Those who had been waiying in the long lines must simply come back another day.

This situation has been "Hell" for the ordinary Ukrainian citizen, as he waatches his real purchasing power decrease with each passing day - and as prices continue to rise.

Issue #2:

Russia (that is, Gazprom) has officially halted all transfers of Russian natural gas to Ukraine. HOWEVER, since most of the pipelines to the rest of Europe travel through Ukraine, it is easy enough for the Kiev government to siphon off whatever amounts it wishes. And yes, the amount owed now well exceeds $4.5 billion USD. The current cost to Ukraine is about $1.2 billion USD when the gas is actually flowing.

Britain doesn't much care, as it has the northern pipeline running directly from Russia to Britain.

The Southstream pipeline currently under construction will by-pass Ukraine completely. Its route from Russia, across the Black Sea, then into Bulgaria, then Serbia, along with additional pipelines extending into Hungary, Baumgartenin Austria - right on the border with Slovakia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, CroatiaSlovenia and even into Tarvisio in Italy will supply all of these nations with an uninterrupted supply of natural gas.

THAT is why the Kiev government, the EU Commission and the U.S. government have "persuaded" Bulgaria to suspend construction of the Southstream pipeline in Bulgaria. Obviously, completion of this pipeline would remove Kiev's ability to "blackmail" the western European countries via theats of cutting off their natural gas supplies. Further, since these nations now PAY the Kiev government a "transit fee" on all gas flowing through Ukraine, the cost of gas via the Southstream pipeline to these nations would decrease. And Kiev would lose billions of U.S. dollars each year in such "transit fees".

Should the U.S. government succeed in stopping the Southstream pipeline AND in controlling the gas pipelines within Ukraine (via political means or actual ownership by "privatization", as mandated by the IMF re: its recent $17 billion loan to Kiev), the U.S. would not only significantly hurt the Russian economy, but gain control of all the economies of western Europe!

The old adage, "Never discount your enemy." applies here. The U.S. policy in Ukraine has been criticized as "haphazrd" and/or totally INSANE, but it is succeeds the U.S. government and international bankers will have looted Ukraine's most valuable assets, significantly degraded Russia's economic influence AND gained significant political and economic advantage over all of the western European nations.   NOT so dumb after all !!!

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 14:01 | 5082674 Idaho potato head
Idaho potato head's picture

Of course Russia is totally clueless regarding this and will do nothing to prevent it.

?????? ?.
1. ???. grivna (unit of currency in medieval Russia)
2. ???. ten-copeck coin

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