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Ebola Control Goes 'Medieval': From Patient Zero To Pandemic In 7 Months
A report in The New England Journal of Medicine traces the spread of the recent Ebola outbreak from Gueckedou, Guinea, to nations worldwide. As The NY Times reports, West African governments have gone 'medieval' as they have revived a disease-fighting tactic not used in nearly a century: the “cordon sanitaire,” in which a line is drawn around the infected area and no one is allowed out. And most worryingly, Reuters reports that a nurse who had close contact with a Liberian Ebola patient skipped quarantine in Lagos and went to her home in the eastern city of Enugu, where she made contact with 20 other people.
Cordons, common in the medieval era of the Black Death, have not been seen since the border between Poland and Russia was closed in 1918 to stop typhus from spreading west.
The phrase cordon sanitaire, or sanitary barrier, appears to date from 1821, when France sent 30,000 troops into the Pyrenees to stop a lethal fever raging in Spain from crossing the border.
Plans for the new cordon were announced on Aug. 1 at an emergency meeting in Conakry, Guinea, of the Mano River Union, a regional association of Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia, the three countries hardest hit by Ebola, according to Agence France-Presse. The plan was to isolate a triangular area where the three countries meet, separated only by porous borders, and where 70 percent of the cases known at that time had been found.
...
“It might work,” said Dr. Martin S. Cetron, the disease center’s chief quarantine expert. “But it has a lot of potential to go poorly if it’s not done with an ethical approach. Just letting the disease burn out and considering that the price of controlling it — we don’t live in that era anymore. And as soon as cases are under control, one should dial back the restrictions.”
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But here is how it started...
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But, as Reuters reports, containment is a problem:
A nurse who had close contact with a Liberian Ebola patient skipped quarantine in Lagos and went to her home in the eastern city of Enugu, where she made contact with 20 other people, the government said on Wednesday.
Information Minister Labaran Maku said the nurse, herself a suspected case, and her 20 contacts were all under surveillance in Enugu, bringing the total number being watched in Nigeria to 189.
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Barack Obola did make this.
I am so afraid I am not even playing my old Motown records anymore...
Use an "ass gasket" or carry your own if you are in an international airport.
http://preventebola.com/public/index.php/news/54-cdc-changes-criteria-for-ebola-transmission-admits-being-within-3-feet-or-in-same-room-can-cause-infection
http://wiki.answers.com/Q/How_long_can_Ebola_live_outside_the_body
but other viruses, namely HIV, can only make due for a couple of minutes. Ebola is certainly a hardy virus and might be able to make it for over a week...
JFC. . .
Ass gaskets have been shown pretty much to be a placebo, and just a psychological thing, whereas in reality we are a pretty greasy species and that gasket is probably just about worse than useless because it wastes resources.
This thing's literally "off the bat".
I'm scared!
If they can protect me from Climate-Change then I am sure that they can protect me from this. Therefore I'm going to send, care-of Israel, the DC US, UN, and Gore more of my freedom, rights and wealth to protect me.
For those wondering: /s
Instantaneous infection rate (smoothed over three data releases) is now:
13 Aug 14 - 40/day
11 Aug 14 - 37/day
08 Aug 14 - 54/day
06 Aug 14 - 55/day
04 Aug 14 - 57/day
02 Aug 14 - 43/day
29 Jul 14 - 38/day
27 Jul 14 - 23/day
23 Jul 14 - 12/day
17 Jul 14 - 10/day
Morbidity: 54%
(Date above is day WHO statistics were posted, e.g 02 Aug is compiled data as of 30 Jul).
http://www.who.int/csr/don/en/
"So, you are saying the infection rate has peaked and now its declining [?]" Oldballplayer
If you look back over the reports, the number of new cases jumps around significantly, hence the averaging. The most recent rate (calculated as the difference between this dataset and the last, and divided by the number of days) is the second largest across the dataset to date (63 cases/day versus the peak at the 4 August dataset of 81 cases/day). It should be noted that WHO appears to be sitting on the data, typically for around two to three days, before releasing it to the public.
Under-reported. From mid-series onward, add increasing factor of "fog" exponential 1.10 every day.
I think the numbers were merely seasonally adjusted.
Is HIV under control in Africa yet?
No, southern Africa in particular is a fucking nightmare. Pun intended.
A million deaths in sub-saharan Africa p.a., has peaked and is dropping slightly, but with 15-20% of the adult pop. carring the HIV virus, don't expect it to disappear anytime soon. It took a whopping 10 years off the national life expectancies of those nations.
Ho hum! Yet another fund raising fear based hysteria! We got over Disco Fever ... we will be able to deal with this too!
I never got over "Disco Fever." I still have "happy feet."
And now I have to go and put on my ABBA records...
In a month we'll be talking about another "Crisis".
Yawn. The stats are not worth panicking over. Need more zeroes added to the count.
I was diappointed that 'Mad Cow' disease came and went so quickly!
Mad cow is probably under reported like so many statistics, and often misstake for Alzheimers.
Bovine spongiform encephalopathy does not present like Alzheimer's. In mad cow disease or Creutzfeldt-Jakob (which is naturally occuring in humans at a rate of 1 in every million), your memory and intellect are left intact so that you can properly appreciate the horror of it.
Let me guess ... all the WHO needs is about US$500m and the problem will be solved and the world will be spared! Zzzzzzzzzzz........
Quarantine is another word for please stay inside the box and die because we cant fix this shit, sry
so the whores over there gotta be offering the full service for what, $2 now?
damn right price is going down
Meanwhile...
Illegal immigrant kids exposed federal agents to lice, scabies, tuberculosis and chicken pox
Couldn't happen to a more deserving bunch.
off topic , yes and no.
http://noliesradio.org/archives/86782
Dr. Mary’s Monkey, Part Two _ on Guns & Butter
This show was broadcast August 11, 2014.
.
part 1 too.
http://www.kpfa.org/archive/id/105195
.
what happened to mary sherman? and who was she?
(linear particle accelerator) spoiler.
"A nurse who had close contact with a Liberian Ebola patient skipped quarantine in Lagos and went to her home in the eastern city of Enugu, where she made contact with 20 other people, the government said on Wednesday.
Nurse by day, prostitute by night.
Field testing?
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23207275
Dig a trench, anyone approaching within 100 feet of the trench should be shot on sight. Any plane trying to leave, shot down, any boat, sunk.
goodness gracious Tyler. Seriously? Pandemic?
You are seriously trying to tell me/us/whoever that a still less than 5,000 casualty count is a pandemic? And 5,000 is a very generous number even at that.
Seriously Tyler Durden? Seriously?
No. Just no. Shame on you Tyler Durden for buying into the overhyped media frenzy calling things epidemics and pandemics that are not actually so.
It is a terrible disease, just like most diseases. And I certainly do not intend to dis-acknowledge the very real suffering.
But a pandemic? No. Just, no.
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What you seem to be missing about ebola, is the potential for the spread of the virus. It's becoming more and more apparent that it's extremely contagious and is infact, airborne.
You are mocking people because the numbers are small. Of course they are.
Right now.
View this disease in light of the idea of containment, panic, et cetera.
It has the potential to be devasting and the numbers don't show any sign of letting up.
•J•
V-V
Awaiting Michael Moore's movie "Eboling for Africa" coming soon to your Cineplex!!
Two survivors!!!
http://www.who.int/features/2014/life-after-ebola/en/
Nuke the site from orbit, it's the only way to be sure