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The Market Reacts To The Fed's Minutes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The USD is soaring after somewhat hawkish Fed Minutes (up 1% this week) - pushing up towards critical resistance at 1-year highs. Treasury yields slammed 3-4bps higher and are holding those losses (30Y up 11bps this week). High yield credit is at the worst levels of the day as stocks retrace gains towards record highs. WTI crude jumped 1% on the minutes, back above $96 as gold slipped modestly back below $1290. Stocks, having kneejerked lower (below VWAP) have been ripped back higher by a VIX-slamming algo that decided that FOMC uncertainty is exactly the signal to buy certainty.

 

VIX lifting stocks...

 

Nothing else retracing...

 

and credit at lows of the day...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:50 | 5121353 order66
order66's picture

Printing Press Uber Alles.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:56 | 5121386 y3maxx
y3maxx's picture

...World War is now Guaranteed.

Stay safe fellow ZH'ers.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:58 | 5121403 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

WW or they finally announce Ebola is in a "Western" country or an actual attack on a Russian convoy and Putin blows the fuck out of Ukraine/Kiev?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:03 | 5121414 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Ok, so now that the fake reaction has taken place, the headlines are all printed, and the gullible have positioned themselves accordingly, when do we get the reversal?

Let's see how long it takes for this bluff to get called out. 

Watch gold for the clue:  http://www.pmbull.com/gold-price/

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:59 | 5121698 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

@ Maxx

I have to tell you a dirty little secret, the WWIII is already on for at least 6 years.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:07 | 5121460 MalteseFalcon
MalteseFalcon's picture

LOL. Is their investing horizon down to a nanosecond?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:32 | 5121583 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

It's all Bullshit!!!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:53 | 5121372 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The Federal Reserve must continue printing to the max. No way out and it knows it,

Only bluffs. It's stuck keeping rates low for Obama borrowing.

The Federal Reserve just keeps back-door buying treasuries until the currency blows.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:57 | 5121390 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Running an engine without oil, intentionally.

They know the oil tank is dry.

Pensioners need to get out soon.

Take the hit and get out.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 18:22 | 5122406 August
August's picture

>>>Pensioners need to get out soon.

Take the hit and get out.

Agree... in spades.  For one brief, shining year, your AGI will look like a rock star's, then you cough up 40% and move on.

Just think of the tax hit as being your contribution toward building a better world. In you own small way, just like the US Navy.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:02 | 5121432 theonewhowaskazu
theonewhowaskazu's picture

ECB talks rates lower, doesn't manipulate them lower.

FED talks rates higher, but manipulates them lower. 

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:03 | 5121433 GooseShtepping Moron
GooseShtepping Moron's picture

I respectfully disagree. I predict that QE will go to zero and rates will start rising sooner rather than later. Even the central bankers are starting to realize that if we don't get some strength back into the dollar, there won't be any economy left to save. I'm not sure when stocks will finally get the memo, but if I was a Baby Boomer planning to retire and had been investing all this time, I'd take my profits now and call it good.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:19 | 5121539 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

The economy is not crashing because of low interest rates. 

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 16:07 | 5121723 KickIce
KickIce's picture

Agree, Rothschild 101 inflate then deflate and buy the world for a song; a strong currency makes the task even easier.

I also disagree with those that think they're trying to destroy the dollar, oligarchs love paper and trading money they create out of thin air for real assets is a win-win for them.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:33 | 5121587 RighteousDude
RighteousDude's picture

The entire world is in the same predicament. There is so much debt that the ONLY course of action is to rope-a-dope the gullible, keep paying theINTEREST ONLY on the debt, until that becomes unsustainable.  By then the PTB, will safely have purchased their farms and ranches to produce their sustenance, while amusing themselves by banging legions of Ukraine lovelies looking for Survival-Daddy.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:52 | 5121671 phoolish
phoolish's picture

Belgium to increase its bond buying activities.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:53 | 5121375 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The new normal.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:11 | 5121472 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

These people are here to ride the waves and the bigger the better. The only thing they fear is a dead calm sea.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:55 | 5121378 geotrader
geotrader's picture

Go this way!  No that way!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:57 | 5121399 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

GET OUT!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:55 | 5121382 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

CASH IS KING! My lumpy mattress never slept so good.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:59 | 5121412 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

This is just the retard reaction. Well see how the next few months go

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:55 | 5121387 kaa1016
kaa1016's picture

The trade is short VXX via the 27 puts that expire this week. VIX futures were bid going into the Fed minutes, yet the spot VIX sold off. As hedges get unwound, VXX should break down to catch down to the spot VIX weakness over the next few days.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:57 | 5121391 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

They might raise rates just to slam Gold.

Then when housing falls off a cliff, they can lower rates again.

Then if the markets take a crap, they can reinstate some QE.

Then they can jigger with rates again.

Lather, rinse, repeat.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:58 | 5121398 Babaloo
Babaloo's picture

Wait!  How can that be?  Tyler is constantly telling us nobody wants the dollar anymore!

The dollar can never rally...

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 14:58 | 5121404 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

"Markets" react..... Lol

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:04 | 5121437 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Yeah...exactly. "What movement?" This is a fart in a cat 5 hurricane. The Fed needs to give up forward guidance...the only thing happening with this bs is "churn." One the one hand "the end of QE continues." What's the "on he other hand" again?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:01 | 5121423 darteaus
darteaus's picture

Now we know why Barrack came back to DC.

Message/market coordination so that the vacations can continue!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:02 | 5121428 ekm1
ekm1's picture

The market?

 

Who is buying and who is selling, beside digits up or down on computers?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:04 | 5121444 teslaberry
teslaberry's picture

the fed will NEVER raise interest rates and the market knows this. 

 

the reason the high yield market is crashing is anticipation of a stock market crash and deliquiencies and defaults on debt. 

 

raising rates will not happen ever until after the currency is totally hyperinflated and destroyed.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:13 | 5121499 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Change your name to Bernanke and charge $250,000 per hour for that information

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:05 | 5121447 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

BTFATH!!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:06 | 5121452 Trade Guru
Trade Guru's picture

Yellen just did the right thing ( if that's even possible ) 

 

Suggestion that a net buyer of U.S assets with a current balance sheet of 4 Trillion will soon become a "net seller" is really all anyone needs to know / hear.

Kong has it down: http://forexkong.com/2014/08/20/comments-on-the-fed-all-i-needed-to-hear...

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:31 | 5121578 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

 

the fed will never reduce its balance sheet unless there is obvious persistant inflation.   still leaves plenty of room for mkts to move 20% in stocks and bonds!

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:09 | 5121465 jacship
jacship's picture

hawkish

i dROne u-iSIs

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:16 | 5121511 Triple A
Triple A's picture

martin armstrong has called it right once again, everyone here bashes him for the most part but his calls seem to be dead on regarding gold, USdollar, stocks, and war. The global debt crisis will emerge on the edges, it will then crumble inwards.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:37 | 5121606 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

who the f is martin armstong and EXACTLY what did he call perfectly "again"?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 16:00 | 5121702 GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

People bash him because he ridicules the buy and hold gold obsession. But he's been right. Stocks will continue to rise through interest rate hikes.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:16 | 5121514 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

double top in the spooz?

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:19 | 5121532 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

Just blow me! just print another trillion and pump the market to S&P 2001 cuz thats all a trillion can buy these days.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:20 | 5121540 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

TV dorks get an advanced look, and still get it wrong.  Perhaps the Fed should release the minutes in bullet point form.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:20 | 5121545 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

USD up, Oil up, Gold down.  Makes perfect fucking sense.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:29 | 5121576 stateside
stateside's picture

California ebola patient press conference after the market closes so as not to encite selling?

 

http://www.news10.net/story/news/health/2014/08/20/ebola-in-sacramento-c...

 

LIVE AT 1 p.m.: Update on Ebola in California

News10 Staff 11:58 a.m. PDT August 20, 2014

ebola-virus

(Photo: AP Graphics)

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State and federal health officials are slated to update the media on "the current status of Ebola infection in California" during a 1 p.m. conference call, according to a press release from the California Department of Public Health.

 

News10 will provide live updates from the call in the stream below. If you're on a mobile device, check out the stream at http://bit.ly/1naPb7h

 

Speakers on the call are expected to include Dr. Gil Chavez, deputy director for the Center for Infectious Diseases and State Epidemiologist at the California Department of Public Health, and Dr. James Watt, chief of the Division of Communicable Disease Control for the Center for Infectious Diseases.

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 15:47 | 5121647 nosoeawe
nosoeawe's picture

the gang of myopic traitorous benedict arnolds at the federal reserve know damn well they can not raise interest rates. 

-- what would the monthly interest payment be on $17,555,437,713,904.00 (don't ask me for the answer and yellen can only count fingers and toes)

the dumb fuckers jawboning, spitting and foaming at the mouth like a pack of geriatric rabid mongrels attempting to perpetuate the lie of rising interest rates and the timing of.

to keep the ponzi scheme from collapsing (like WTC bdlg #7), the ill-bred, white haired, demented, garden gnome will follow the lead of the brilliant donkeys at the EU to enact negative interest rates

what does yellen's pussy smell like? -depends

 

Wed, 08/20/2014 - 16:01 | 5121705 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Que absolute beexching.  It was so predictable, are you long?

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