30Y Treasury Yield Plunges To Fresh 15-Month Lows

Tyler Durden's picture


Someone is gonna be wrong...



Lowest yields since May 2013...


Charts: bloomberg

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Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:12 | 5150618 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Hah hah, and it's not going to be me. Come on 2.5%

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:15 | 5150627 wallstreetapost...
wallstreetaposteriori's picture

me too!  I started buying when the fed said the word taper and every pundit on TV said rates where going up.


Stocks are done for.. the sheeple are just to blind to see it.. blind euphoria.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:17 | 5150647 max2205
max2205's picture

Refi time!

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:19 | 5150654 Toolshed
Toolshed's picture

My thoughts exactly! My mort. is at 4.125%. I want 3.5% baby!!!!

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:22 | 5150667 wallstreetapost...
wallstreetaposteriori's picture

I'm waiting for interest free mortgages...  

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:31 | 5151071 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

100 year negative interest "loans".

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:23 | 5150674 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

The Fed should just install an ATM in every house. This would make things much easier. No messy applications to fill out all the time. 

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 17:16 | 5151246 Nick Jihad
Nick Jihad's picture

Hmmph. I think you mispelled EBT as ATM.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:23 | 5150671 Deathrips
Deathrips's picture

Why anyone uses technical to assess a rigged market is beyond me.....

Many of you know that the housing market is on life support. Rig the rates lower the qualifying criteria...hope and pray that the bottom of the housing market doesnt fall.


THis is not going to end well. Looking forward to houses 70% off todays prices in the next 36 months. Even with hyperinflation people buy food over real estate....so its going down.


Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:32 | 5150715 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

70%!?? Sorry, but that's a market view in a political economy (wrong paradigm). Fedgov will own every last house before they ever let the prices fall by 70%.

Just like the stock market, volume heads toward zero, while valuations are whatever they say they are.

And the talking heads rejoice! (as they survive another day filled with near-death experiences)

I do agree with your technical analysis view, however. It's just noise where signal used to be.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:06 | 5150938 reset71
reset71's picture

I tend to agree with Deathrips- it seems that when the bubble bursts asset prices will crash, then inflation will skyrocket when the government steps in.  I think there will be one more buying opportunity in real estate and stocks during the next recession.  After the dollar is ruined in an attempt to stop The Great Calamity (my name for the great depression 2.0 combined with WWIII), we will never see prices this low or lower again.  What do others think?

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:20 | 5151010 Deathrips
Deathrips's picture



Interest rates will rise robbing purchasing power of buyers of financed "assets" and they will fall violently in price.  This should be right about the time that the stock market is locked in for pensions and money market accounts...so they cant withdraw. The FED will scream this is the deflation we have been warning about..and its off to Weimar.


If you read Adam Furggusons When Money Dies....you will see what will happen to real estate prices during the crack up boom.

During this time food, energy and metals will start ascending ever higher...but dont worry thats not how inflation and or deflation is measured..right?


My 2 cents!


What was the last country to implode from deflation? I dont know any.


Signed..random internet guy with an opinion.



Wed, 08/27/2014 - 17:34 | 5151304 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

diito, I will only add that when fraud is the status quo, possession is 100% of the "law".  In other words defensible real estate is fucking pricelless...

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 18:06 | 5151428 eddiebe
eddiebe's picture

definsible real estate"  Is there such a thing?

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 00:23 | 5152602 reset71
reset71's picture

Thanks, I put it on my Books to Read list.  

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:34 | 5150736 BandGap
BandGap's picture

1/2 ounce of gold, 50 ounces of silver.

Just in case.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:52 | 5150842 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

You live in the wrong fucking country. The 50 year gilt is 2.948/2.940.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:20 | 5151020 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

I'm tempted to buy ZB; but I don't understand this shit. Are they really going back to 2.6%? I don't know. I don't know anything anymore. Knowing anything has kinda gone out of style.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:14 | 5150626 RiskyBidness
RiskyBidness's picture

I thought our economy was fuckin booming!!  And just think.....I have been BTFD!! forever!!  hahahahahaaha

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:16 | 5150637 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

The economy is in the "schrodinger's cat" box.   Don't open the box,  I don't want to know !

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:19 | 5150653 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

This country is sooooooooooooooo fucked!  

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:24 | 5150678 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Don't let me hear you say gold's
taking you nowhere,

bondz bitchez

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:26 | 5150686 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Golden years, gold, whop, whop, wah...


Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:26 | 5150697 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

You have been preaching the gospel for ages. 

Good sermon, fwiw. 

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:25 | 5150681 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

Mr Yellen, get to work!

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:29 | 5150710 Devils Advocate
Devils Advocate's picture

But the lower the rates the higher the multiple!!!  Stocks to the moon baby!!

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:31 | 5150717 youngman
youngman's picture

I think its all going to fall apart after the Alibaba IPO...seems everyone wants that first.....biggest ever so they say....and want......just to show the power of the Wall Street boys...then kaboom....

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:48 | 5150809 Boston
Boston's picture

Funny......didn't we hear the same predictions just before the Facebook IPO ?

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:14 | 5150979 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea exactly, and I recall hearing all thru 2011 that the market pumping was only to ensure Obama got re elected and then kaboom.....but they just keep going and going and going.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:17 | 5150998 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

It'll take a miracle to make it thru October.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:23 | 5151029 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

No,  "they" are going to keep it all-together so Hillary can get elected, then "boom".  

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 18:14 | 5151468 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture


That fits well with my September 17 crash prediction.


Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:32 | 5150727 jomama
jomama's picture


Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:42 | 5150771 HUGE_Gamma
HUGE_Gamma's picture

its a new paradigm in central banking.. interest rates at zero, perfectly controlled 1.5% inflation, 5% (non-gaap) unemployment, zero equity volatility, and stocks to the moon

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:47 | 5150804 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Sounds like utopia.     Sure hope they can keep it going until I'm dead.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:18 | 5151005 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

We're all dead already we just don't know it yet.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:19 | 5151007 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

It could be arranged; when do you want to die?

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:50 | 5150827 nobodysfool
nobodysfool's picture

Euro bonds at all time lows...who in the world loans money to (most of) the PIIGS at a lower rate than they would to the USA?  Unreal...something waaaaayy fishy in Denmark folks.... In Germany you can give the govt your money for 3yrs and they'll haircut you a little before returning it!! Insanity!! Stop the Madness!

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:20 | 5151021 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Gasprom now taking rubles and yen for oil so there goes the untouchable mighty Petrodollar.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 16:31 | 5151080 zerohedgesurfer
zerohedgesurfer's picture

The point is with the inverse price S&P500 and 30 year yield is that you must ask the question who is going to raise rates the MARKET or the FED ?  the fed hase several time said there is a rate hike comming and the market is not pricing that in so the FED is going to raise rates because the market doing it not !


Regards Johan

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 17:42 | 5151327 besnook
besnook's picture

 the old "rates are going rise" marketing campaign is the oldest and sleaziest of all used car sales tricks used in the respectable money trader business.

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 17:37 | 5151315 besnook
besnook's picture

real or not, the result is real. a gap is made making room for the infusion of more sanitized fiat from the chinese laundry. as the drop off window closes on the dollar laundry special offer the value of the dollar is suppose to go down ultimately making it competittive in the new world order. as the dollar is denominated in weaker numbers the sandp and other indexes should rise to present value. there is another 100% to go! BTFATH!!!

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 04:23 | 5152830 fibonacci's claus
fibonacci's claus's picture

jack and jill went up the hill to fetch.................. a pale of basal III bonds 

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